clgrissom3
Legendary
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Activity: 1722
Merit: 1032
Carl, aka Sonny :)
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February 09, 2018, 01:03:54 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? I've added 3 in January and I have 3 more on the way, 1 next week and 2 in March.
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wavelengthsf
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February 09, 2018, 01:07:43 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? I added a few more and am looking to add around 100 th/s more by the summer.
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VRobb
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February 09, 2018, 01:09:28 AM |
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That's totally rockin'! I added one a few weeks ago, and will grab one more by ditching my BitCH coin from the forkup as soon as possible! Add on, and Mine on!
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I don't believe in superstition because it's bad luck: 13thF1oor6CAwyzyxXPNnRvu3nhhYeqZdc These aren't the Droids you're looking for: S5 & S7 (Sold), R4B2, R4B4 (RIP), 2x S9 obsolete, 2xS15-28, S17-56, S17-70 Pushing a whopping 1/5 PH! Oh The SPEED!!!
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lok8nusa
Member
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Activity: 254
Merit: 11
Call 811 before you dig
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February 09, 2018, 01:14:13 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? I added a few more and am looking to add around 100 th/s more by the summer. And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/
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Coining bits since 2017 Kano Pool is the BEST BTC mining pool.
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heartlandmining
Jr. Member
Offline
Activity: 104
Merit: 5
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February 09, 2018, 01:20:03 AM |
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And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/
Don't be so down - Be proud of that S4! It has a Beagle Board
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kano (OP)
Legendary
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Activity: 4536
Merit: 1847
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
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February 09, 2018, 01:22:22 AM |
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Time? Nope - the first block ever found on the pool was pretty slow coz the pool was tiny. It was also lucky (less than 100%) However, Diff% is what matters for rewards, and this one is 542% at the moment. The 2 largest are there on the Web site Blocks page at the end of October - the largest being 928.788% Now for that CDF related number 0.99557285335217 542.000% 1 in 225.9 i.e. we expect to average, over time, 1 in 225.9 blocks to be over 542% Out of curiosity what is the actual number of blocks over 542% since the beginning of the pool? Including the block we're on now we have 4 out of the last 88 listed on the blocks page (or 1 in 22). I only have the stats from when I first joined. But since block 141, we have had 10 blocks 500% or greater. That number doesn't include orphan blocks. Thanks. That's pretty incredible. That's 10 out of about 2063 or 1 in 206.3. According to the tables Kano has posted before the CDF tells us that we should expect 1 in 148 over 500%. So at least going back to the pool's 141st block we are quite a bit better than that. Well it's actually a lot simpler than that The catch with looking at a single CDF line is that the data won't match exactly what's expected. While we expect to average 1 in 225.9 blocks to be over 542% - it doesn't mean we'll have exactly one every 225.9 blocks. Over a very large number of blocks (10's or 100's of thousands) you'd expect it to get close to 1 in 225.9 But if we note that the whole point of the CDF probabilities is adding up the area under the bell shaped curve and coming out with an long term expected average of 100%, then you just need to check the longer term averages ... and yep they're around 100% - so that's all good
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akadamson
Member
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Activity: 140
Merit: 18
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February 09, 2018, 01:29:19 AM |
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I'm adding 2 more just as soon as I get them another 22-24Th
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Yrth
Member
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Activity: 123
Merit: 21
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February 09, 2018, 01:31:31 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? I added a few more and am looking to add around 100 th/s more by the summer. And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/ The more, the merrier! Every little bit helps!
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DPoS2
Member
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Activity: 189
Merit: 11
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February 09, 2018, 01:31:35 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? Just about the same as smelling a fart in a wind storm. Or growing oranges on the moon
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Learn the *Truth* about Big Company Mining Pools!!! Stop Giving Your Money Away!!!
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lok8nusa
Member
Offline
Activity: 254
Merit: 11
Call 811 before you dig
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February 09, 2018, 01:39:03 AM |
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And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/
Don't be so down - Be proud of that S4! It has a Beagle Board Sorry, but I couldn't do it that easily/simply. I would LIKE an S4 (or two), I'm piecing together slightly more odd gear ... 'cuz I'm odd and apparently a glutton for punishment.
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Coining bits since 2017 Kano Pool is the BEST BTC mining pool.
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wavelengthsf
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February 09, 2018, 01:40:48 AM |
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And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/
Hey, don't feel bad. It took a long time and progressively moving up the corporate ladder before I could afford to have silly and addictive hobbies like mining.
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akadamson
Member
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Activity: 140
Merit: 18
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February 09, 2018, 01:46:33 AM |
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got all excited, went to the home page, and everything had Questions marks instead of numbers... did refresh and reality returned... lol
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lok8nusa
Member
Offline
Activity: 254
Merit: 11
Call 811 before you dig
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February 09, 2018, 01:47:34 AM |
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And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/
Hey, don't feel bad. It took a long time and progressively moving up the corporate ladder before I could afford to have silly and addictive hobbies like mining. I don't feel bad about it ... I'm actually stoked that I can afford the gear. If nothing else, I get more dust. See my sig.
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Coining bits since 2017 Kano Pool is the BEST BTC mining pool.
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Tnaa97
Jr. Member
Offline
Activity: 76
Merit: 1
Mine on!!
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February 09, 2018, 02:03:47 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? I added a few more and am looking to add around 100 th/s more by the summer. And here I was, getting excited because I can FINALLY afford 2 more th/s. :/ I'm in!
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Mine on!!
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Biodom
Legendary
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Activity: 3808
Merit: 4032
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February 09, 2018, 02:43:07 AM |
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Want to make a point re luck, CDF, etc. Let me start with a point that long term luck is fine, I have no qualms.
In a more granular picture, if you started mining in May of last year, then you are "missing" about 14 blocks, give or take, which is about 4% of all blocks during that period. Granted, if you extend to one year, then you'll have what is expected, even slightly more.
As you can see by sheer number, there were much more blocks coming even a few months ago. Kano cannot control how many miners mine here, but the result is that with a current trend of relatively stable hash, it would be difficult to 'gain back' those 14 blocks in a reasonable time frame.
In fact, going forward, you always have 100% luck expectation, there is no 'compensation' for bad luck. That said, maybe he will have 110% luck for half a year, i would be fine with that.
In general, this used to be a much happier place, even when the luck was temporarily low. Suggestion: need another 100-150 PH hash, pronto.
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Tnaa97
Jr. Member
Offline
Activity: 76
Merit: 1
Mine on!!
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February 09, 2018, 02:48:43 AM |
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Want to make a point re luck, CDF, etc. Let me start with a point that long term luck is fine, I have no qualms.
In a more granular picture, if you started mining in May of last year, then you are "missing" about 14 blocks, give or take, which is about 4% of all blocks during that period. Granted, if you extend to one year, then you'll have what is expected, even slightly more.
As you can see by sheer number, there were much more blocks coming even a few months ago. Kano cannot control how many miners mine here, but the result is that with a current trend of relatively stable hash, it would be difficult to 'gain back' those 14 blocks in a reasonable time frame.
In fact, going forward, you always have 100% luck expectation, there is no 'compensation' for bad luck. That said, maybe he will have 110% luck for half a year, i would be fine with that.
In general, this used to be a much happier place, even when the luck was temporarily low. Suggestion: need another 100-150 PH hash, pronto.
So we recruit then? I'm in. Point me in the right direction!
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Mine on!!
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Ryedale1968
Newbie
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Activity: 11
Merit: 0
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February 09, 2018, 03:23:06 AM |
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What are the chances of us cracking over 30 blocks again without getting more hashing power here? If everybody went out and bought just one more new miner we would add about 20 PH to the pool. I got 7 more on the way. Who else is in? [/qu Mining with 8 (104ths) 5 more coming i'm ALL IN 170+ TH SOON
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A.Delaney
Member
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Activity: 266
Merit: 13
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February 09, 2018, 03:34:16 AM |
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Well I’m picking up 2 more tomorrow.
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fjtropepe
Member
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Activity: 126
Merit: 10
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February 09, 2018, 03:39:00 AM |
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I have 8 more on the way from Bitmain.
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Maus44
Newbie
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Activity: 53
Merit: 0
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February 09, 2018, 03:51:16 AM |
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I have 2 more S9's coming on Saturday, Just called UPS to give them my Tax ID information so it could be cleared. Then I will have 3 more coming in the March Batch
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