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Author Topic: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker  (Read 1648434 times)
adamstgBit
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June 24, 2012, 02:50:46 AM
 #261

MtGox is back!

so i just got back from watching some fireworks.
glad to see were still on track  Wink

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proudhon
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June 24, 2012, 01:16:46 PM
 #262

MtGox is back!

so i just got back from watching some fireworks.
glad to see were still on track  Wink

On, we're on track all right.
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June 25, 2012, 02:12:54 AM
 #263

MtGox is back!

so i just got back from watching some fireworks.
glad to see were still on track  Wink

On, we're on track all right.


yup!

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June 25, 2012, 04:24:07 AM
 #264

as I predicted here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89759.0

The bubble is over, expect another slouch to $3 and also expect the reward halving in dec to have no effect on the price.

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June 25, 2012, 05:22:32 AM
 #265

as I predicted here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89759.0

The bubble is over, expect another slouch to $3 and also expect the reward halving in dec to have no effect on the price.


I don't think this latest rise was strictly due to speculation. I would be very surprised if we fell below 6.25
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June 25, 2012, 05:27:38 AM
 #266

any drop to 3 or thereabouts will be more or less short term, in my very likely poorly informed opinion. i can certainly see plenty of fluctiation for the rest of the year with the various activites in mining and the block reward halving expected. but i think that will all shake out by this time next year, give or take.

or, in other words: *sits back with popcorn*
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June 25, 2012, 11:28:07 AM
 #267

As I said in the other thread, the "drop to $3" is not even a serious argument, it's trollish. The current rally is pretty much the most sound rally we've had ever. There is a real positive Bitcoin trend going on in regards to news and developments.

I'm kinda ruining it though. Being quiet is the most +ev move because there might be some idiots that dump because of a troll and give me cheaper coins. So in that sense saying anything is counter-productive.

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June 25, 2012, 01:35:56 PM
 #268

as I predicted here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89759.0

The bubble is over, expect another slouch to $3 and also expect the reward halving in dec to have no effect on the price.


I don't think this latest rise was strictly due to speculation. I would be very surprised if we fell below 6.25

6 is likely, 5.5 is possible, 3 will become possible if 5.5 falls.

Also, bit-pay was dumb enough to announce they have 50,000 BTC to sell over the next few days from BFL preorders.  Expect retreating bids.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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adamstgBit
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June 25, 2012, 02:10:35 PM
 #269

as I predicted here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89759.0

The bubble is over, expect another slouch to $3 and also expect the reward halving in dec to have no effect on the price.


I don't think this latest rise was strictly due to speculation. I would be very surprised if we fell below 6.25

6 is likely, 5.5 is possible, 3 will become possible if 5.5 falls.

Also, bit-pay was dumb enough to announce they have 50,000 BTC to sell over the next few days from BFL preorders.  Expect retreating bids.

whats a BFL preorder?

when did they say this?

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June 25, 2012, 02:21:20 PM
 #270

BTC is not another currency it is a place that you can secure your net worth anonymously. Where else can this be done? Gold? Silver? I think not.

BTC value can spike up or down depending on simple factors, if it's going to be used in conjunction with fiat currencies to purchase goods/services.

What we are trying to do on this Forum is speculate on future events as news about them trickle in.

At the end of the day if someone wanted to secure their net worth in BTC the price fluctuation would just be further compounded by fellow speculators on the expected value of BTC

So just remember when everyone else is selling you should buy. And when everyone else is buying you should sell.

Now its up to each one of us to decide at what market volume is the best time to jump in.
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June 25, 2012, 02:22:24 PM
 #271

when did they say this?
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=89734.0
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June 25, 2012, 06:18:23 PM
 #272

OK, somebody just moved his/her bids worth ~ 15k BTC from the 5.95$-6.05$ range to the 6.2$-6.3$ range. Does anyone have screenshots?
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June 25, 2012, 06:23:27 PM
 #273

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June 25, 2012, 06:56:08 PM
 #274

Lets taper that.


"A banker is a fellow who lends you his umbrella when the sun is shining, but wants it back the minute it begins to rain." - Mark Twain
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June 26, 2012, 01:24:07 AM
 #275

The ask walls are gone again. Did anyone see it? (i missed it)


The ask wall is there to scare people into selling so the manipulator can accumulate before breaking $7.2. We're in an upward channel in a strong trend.


I'm not surprised anymore by how quickly the picture changes.  I'm sure lots of people are getting really anxious right now.  I don't think we're far from seeing an enormous bite taken out of the bids.  $6.80 is the new $7.20 is the new $32.00.  Maybe back into high $4s over the next 3-4 months and then $5.something becomes the new $6.80?

The trend is up.

Up 80 cents from $5.8 to $6.6, retraced 60 cents to ~$6.03. Then up ~80 cents from ~$6.03 to $6.8. Could retrace to $6.2?

Sellers are not anxious yet, you can see this in the lack of reaction to the ask walls (did not spark a sell-off, instead price hugged the ask wall at $6.7). Contrast that to how the market reacts when a bid wall goes up (panic buying, because trend is up). We've been here before, but that was coming off $2! This time we're coming off $5. It wasn't that long ago.. this time sellers won't get anxious until after $7.2 (or we stall in the $6's for weeks).

So $6.22 was the low? Pretty good call if I say so myself..


20k wall has gone!
rally time?
online ppl on btcchart is increasing

You can bet he'll be back with his 20kBTC, and if he's waiting to sell it for more, then he'll probably have to sell into the bids; and my guess is that when he does that he'll accept significant slippage on the downside because he's going to try to sell at a top.  Whatever price rises we're in store for, if any, are probably going to be nothing more than an illusion.

I told you people: we're in an uptrend. Volume hasn't even picked up yet, and when it does, we'll smash through $7.2.


In an uptrend. Told ya so.

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June 26, 2012, 01:27:43 AM
 #276


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adamstgBit
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June 26, 2012, 03:05:01 AM
 #277


SkRRJyTC
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June 26, 2012, 04:33:21 PM
 #278

Anyone drawn any interesting conclusions from this thread?
notme
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June 26, 2012, 04:35:57 PM
 #279

Anyone drawn any interesting conclusions from this thread?

The price moves left to right instead of up and down like I thought.

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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proudhon
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June 26, 2012, 06:23:00 PM
 #280

Anyone drawn any interesting conclusions from this thread?

The price moves left to right instead of up and down like I thought.

Mind blown!
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