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Author Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It  (Read 3916342 times)
Chris_Sabian
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October 06, 2014, 06:20:39 PM
 #23521

Didnt see this posted here yet, and in fact, I hadnt seen it anywhere, but might be relevant to you:

BitFury plans to achieve 0.2 Joules-per-Gigahash (J/GH) in its high powered mining centers by the end of this year, with plans to improve to an astounding sub 0.1 J/GH by “mid-2015[.]”
http://cointelegraph.com/news/112520/bitfury-announces-02-jgh-energy-efficiency-plans-sub-01-jgh-by-mid-2015

0.2 J/GH was what Gen 3 asicminer chips were simulated to achieve at 40nm but unforeseen heat problems in the design were encountered in actual chip testing. Friedcat stated that these heat problems were solved going into Gen4 so I guess we will have to wait and see in both cases.  Whatever happens, we'll have interesting stories to tell the great grand kids while rocking on the back porch.


0.2 J/GH would be amazing. 
0.2 J/GH + liquid cooling from DataTank = huge hashrate
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Dexter770221
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October 06, 2014, 08:35:51 PM
 #23522

Doesn't matter what the J/GH is if you can never recover the capital cost of miners even with free electricity, which is where bitcoin mining stands right now.

nah, 350$/btc is still much better than last year.
... and difficulty is MUCH MUCH better than last year. Nothing to compare...

Under development Modular UPGRADEABLE Miner (MUM). Looking for investors.
Changing one PCB with screwdriver and you have brand new miner in hand... Plug&Play, scalable from one module to thousands.
hdbuck
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October 06, 2014, 08:45:52 PM
 #23523

Doesn't matter what the J/GH is if you can never recover the capital cost of miners even with free electricity, which is where bitcoin mining stands right now.

nah, 350$/btc is still much better than last year.
... and difficulty is MUCH MUCH better than last year. Nothing to compare...

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.
RoadStress
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October 06, 2014, 09:04:05 PM
 #23524

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

hdbuck
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October 06, 2014, 09:05:37 PM
 #23525

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

they at least have produced 60Ph more. bitch. Kiss
RoadStress
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October 06, 2014, 09:30:35 PM
 #23526

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

they at least have produced 60Ph more. bitch. Kiss

Produced is not equal to having online!

hdbuck
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October 06, 2014, 09:38:08 PM
 #23527

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

they at least have produced 60Ph more. bitch. Kiss

Produced is not equal to having online!

and selling is not equal to be produced. tell this to spongebobtech.
JoTheKhan
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October 06, 2014, 09:44:46 PM
 #23528

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

they at least have produced 60Ph more. bitch. Kiss

Produced is not equal to having online!

and selling is not equal to be produced. tell this to spongebobtech.


No reason to argue back and forth.
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October 06, 2014, 09:49:13 PM
 #23529

right, still AM's capacity is not the same too.

But nowhere to be seen!

they at least have produced 60Ph more. bitch. Kiss

Produced is not equal to having online!

and selling is not equal to be produced. tell this to spongebobtech.


No reason to argue back and forth.

sure ^^

power to FC teh almighty.
jdany
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October 06, 2014, 10:08:06 PM
 #23530


No reason to argue back and forth.

Shush.  This is gunna get good.
Fordee
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October 07, 2014, 02:59:38 AM
 #23531

*grabbing popcorn
Puppet
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October 07, 2014, 07:43:38 AM
 #23532

Doesn't matter what the J/GH is if you can never recover the capital cost of miners even with free electricity, which is where bitcoin mining stands right now.

You couldnt be more wrong. Here is a chart for you:



It shows the network speed where miners would break even after 2 years using the listed assumed variables. Even  in the current climate and with current efficiency, we are no were near where (industrial) mining  would not be profitable. And the effect of power efficiency is quite dramatic if you consider reasonable electricity cost price ranges (~0.06 / KWh)
rudi
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October 07, 2014, 07:56:16 AM
 #23533

Doesn't matter what the J/GH is if you can never recover the capital cost of miners even with free electricity, which is where bitcoin mining stands right now.

You couldnt be more wrong. Here is a chart for you:



It shows the network speed where miners would break even after 2 years using the listed assumed variables. Even  in the current climate and with current efficiency, we are no were near where (industrial) mining  would not be profitable. And the effect of power efficiency is quite dramatic if you consider reasonable electricity cost price ranges (~0.06 / KWh)

But only AM is selling at ~$330/TH. Spondoolies is advertising $650/TH ... for a pre-order. And my understanding is that other producers are even more expensive?
At which price per TH does it not become profitable to mine anymore, even if you get free electricity?
bitsalame
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October 07, 2014, 07:59:05 AM
 #23534

can you share the spreadsheet?
Puppet
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October 07, 2014, 08:00:25 AM
 #23535

But only AM is selling at ~$330/TH. Spondoolies is advertising $650/TH ... for a pre-order. And my understanding is that other producers are even more expensive?

Its not because they are asking that much to individual miners and their costs are anything like that.
Even so, if we were to calculate with $700/TH, we get this:



Puppet
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October 07, 2014, 08:05:32 AM
 #23536

can you share the spreadsheet?

https://mega.co.nz/#!dBEHFSLJ!-iNog5E3QldnbMDKjkOYgf6yoWVojhkYQ6Aq2F-h9_s
rudi
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October 07, 2014, 08:08:29 AM
 #23537

Thanks, very interesting.
MrTeal
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October 07, 2014, 04:11:55 PM
 #23538

ASICMiner isn't selling at $330/TH/s. Their product is $330/TH/s, but that's not an installed and hashing price.

That's a little pessimistic in some ways, and optimistic in others.

First, I'd set the break even period to ~650 days, which is about 93 weeks. That's about the time the block reward is going to drop to 12.5BTC, which baring a major shift in the price or hashrate will make everything unprofitable.

If price doesn't move, I would suspect we would see all the hardware in the pipe get flushed, but not a lot of new wafer starts after that. It's already incredibly tough to move hardware, and without pre-orders investing the money in 500PH/s worth of wafers is quite risky if you're looking to sell them at close to marginal cost. My gut is that baring price movement we see another doubling to ~500PH/s in the next few months, and then maybe some slow movement from there. Going much beyond 600PH/s or so is going to take someone producing an awesome new ASIC that can get decently better than 0.5J/GH and $250/TH/s though, IMO.
laustcozz
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October 07, 2014, 05:23:21 PM
 #23539

Holy dump batman!  Someone is trying to start a panic.
sharky101
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October 07, 2014, 05:27:04 PM
 #23540

Holy dump batman!  Someone is trying to start a panic.

Trading in the dark. Is it still Chinese holidays?

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