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1981  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: [2022-12-21] SEC Charges Caroline Ellison and Gary Wang with Defrauding Investor on: December 26, 2022, 05:13:46 AM
Edit: Alameda Research ex-CEO Caroline Ellison and Gary Wang plead guilty to involvement in frauds causing FTX's collapse.

This implies that Caroline and Gary Wang might be in the process of creating an agreement with the SEC to tell everything they know in exchange for a lower sentence. The person who does not make the agreement will be the scapegoat and presently, this appears to be Sam Bankrupt-Fried.

In any case, Sam does not appear that he wants to plead guilty and tell everything he knows. Might there be something really behind FTX? Are the speculations on the Ukraine moneylaundering operation and Democratic party connection real?
I don't know Gary Wang but Caroline appears to be doing everything possible to have an agreement with the SEC by saying everything she knows about the issue. But Sam Bankman-Fried appears to believe in Mark Cohen his defense attorney capacity since he has once won a case against the SEC
About the Ukraine money laundering operation and Democratic involvement, I don't know if it's real and what I read is that it is a baseless theory.

Caroline and Gary Wang will tell Gensler and his team everything they know and I speculate will also add lies to save themselves from imprisonment and leave everything on Sam Bankrupt-Fried's shoulders.

On the Ukraine moneylaundering-Democratic party connection, I agree that everything is presently just speculation, however, something similar can be said about FTX before they were exposed. If someone speculated that FTX is a ponzi scheme during 2021, everyone would say it is only fud and a baseless story.

If the baseless story is true, Sam on the other side will have no choice but hide everything he knows or else he might end similar to Jeffrey Epstein hehehe.
1982  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Speculated] Barry Silbert dump on: December 25, 2022, 04:35:55 AM
I cannot argue against what you have said is his reason because you might be right. However, it might also be the first signs that Gray Scale might be having some problems in their cashflow.

Small correction, it's not Gray Scale, but Grayscale - the exact name of the company is important to know what we're talking about, but also because nobody likes it when their name is spelled or pronounced incorrectly.



Also, yes you are correct in all of your arguments.
1983  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: December 25, 2022, 01:35:54 AM
It appears some of the games were played already. I thought it was going to be the usual schedule, I forgot about the adjustment because Christmas is on a Sunday hehe.

In any case, the results of week 16 appear not to be very good for my team hehe. Congratulations to the lost man in the casino, @Hueristic. You are 136 projected vs. my 127 projected. Nick Folk had 0 fantasy points and Stevenson only had 3.30 points. I still have a chance, however, it would need for one of your players to get 0 points which, I am certain, is very impossible.
1984  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: SBF released, Will Solana ($SOL) come back? on: December 24, 2022, 06:28:00 AM
@janggernaut. Solana might pump again during a bull market similar to many of the other altcoins in the cryptospace. But to be something as a challenger vs. Ethereum or to be the first blockchain of choice for Defi and NFT, no more. Some of Solana's best developers have left already to work on Aptos and Sui.

I reckon Fantom has more potential than Solana. Famous Defi developer, Andre Cronje has also returned and it appears that he will be working on new projects in Fantom.
1985  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: SBF, arrested! on: December 24, 2022, 04:47:43 AM
The winner of this whole FTX and Alameda comedy show is Sam Trabucco, the former CEO of Alameda. He resigned with good timing, only 3 months before the collapse hehehe. In any case, the skeptical me thinks that there might be more on this. He might either have very good timing skills or he might be an informant? I leave this decision to you.
1986  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: [2022-12-21] SEC Charges Caroline Ellison and Gary Wang with Defrauding Investor on: December 24, 2022, 03:31:05 AM
Edit: Alameda Research ex-CEO Caroline Ellison and Gary Wang plead guilty to involvement in frauds causing FTX's collapse.

This implies that Caroline and Gary Wang might be in the process of creating an agreement with the SEC to tell everything they know in exchange for a lower sentence. The person who does not make the agreement will be the scapegoat and presently, this appears to be Sam Bankrupt-Fried.

In any case, Sam does not appear that he wants to plead guilty and tell everything he knows. Might there be something really behind FTX? Are the speculations on the Ukraine moneylaundering operation and Democratic party connection real?
1987  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Speculated] Barry Silbert dump on: December 24, 2022, 03:03:51 AM
In any case, it appears there was bigger dump than market average of different coins that are connected to Barry Silbert's Digital Currency Group. Nothing is confirmed if DCG is dumping, however.

Maybe after all the man realized that investing in shitcoins is not worth it, although it is not at all clear to me that someone who should be a serious business person and also intelligent can go in that direction at all. It's no secret that long-term investing in altcoins leads to an almost certain loss, that's something we advise all beginners on the forum.

Honestly, I don't care if he sells all altcoins, the important thing is that it has no effect on Bitcoin, which luckily is the case for now.

I cannot argue against what you have said is his reason because you might be right. However, it might also be the first signs that Gray Scale might be having some problems in their cashflow.

Also, if Barry Silbert begins another round of shitcoin purchases to form a new pool for another trust, does this imply that investing in shitcoins is worth it again?
1988  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: [Poll] What are the safest platforms? on: December 23, 2022, 06:39:02 AM
@everyone. I am very aware that with centralized exchanges, none of them is 0% risk from bankruptcy, insolvency, government crackdowns or hacks. I am also not encouraging everyone to deposit their coins to the exchange with the highest votes in the list. However, the poll is asking which of those exchanges in the list have the least risk. None of the above is not an option.

Everyone can vote for 2 exchanges.
1989  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: December 23, 2022, 05:57:47 AM
I am quite certain that this is a shared opinion among much of the UFC commentators. Daniel Cormier, Michael Bisping, Joe Rogan, and the rest of them.

What is everyone's prediction on what is next for Paddy the baddy? How will he fix this problem on his image and hype everyone again to watch his fights? Will he improve as a mixed martial artist or will he decide to make it easier for himself and become the annoying loudmouth trashtalker who always loses his fights?



UFC commentator Laura Sanko takes a look at the decision win by Paddy Pimblett at UFC 282 and his immediate reaction to the scorecards.

The UFC 282 event that ended the year in terms of UFC PPV cards was filled with controversy. One bout that stood out was the co-main event between Paddy Pimblett and Jared Gordon.

Now looking back at the way he behaved after the fight, UFC commentator Laura Sanko thinks he handled it all wrong.

She went on to explain that even though he won that fight and regardless of how people scored it, the level of competition was up with the veteran Jard Gordon and Pimblett was not able to run through him as he has done in his first three UFC fights.

“When you have that moment where I feel like a lot of the audience wanted him to say, ‘Man, that was a close fight. I don’t know if I won that fight or not. I’m glad I got it on the judge’s scorecards love to go back and watch it, Jared’s great.’ I think his reaction to it did him a little bit of a disservice,” she said.


Source https://www.mmanews.com/2022/12/laura-sanko-paddy-pimblett-disservice/
1990  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Tank Davis vs. Ryan Garcia betting and discussion (May, 2023) on: December 23, 2022, 04:39:15 AM
Usually though to be able to peak at the right time, boxers mostly needs 8 weeks hard preparation inside the ring and probably that will still be the target of his camp, so that his condition will be just about right.

But maybe the preparation will be more on mental for Ryan and so his team needs more time to swallow and understand how they will overcome this one as others said, Tank will be the favorite and so Ryan will need to be very determined to overcome Davis in their fight.

I very much agree! It will certainly be more on his mental preparation than physical! He is in his best possible conditioning in his life as a boxer. He needs this challenge to test himself in the ring!

Also, if everyone can remember, Ryan Garcia was a victim of depression and suicidal thoughts before his return to fight Emmanuel Tagoe. He also said that he needed psychiatric help. We do not want this to return before May or the fight might be cancelled or he might go out of the ring with a stretcher hehehehe.
1991  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: December 23, 2022, 04:18:38 AM
It appears the playoff for our league will be on week 16. I thought week 16 will be a bye week and we resume on week 17 and have our champion on week 18. I will need Lamar Jackson to win against Hueristic but it does not look good for him and his knee, and this is clearly not very good for me and my team hehe.

According to some news articles, Lamar has a PCL knee strain. Grade 1 PCL will need up to 2 weeks to heal, grade 2 will need up to 4 weeks. However, it was never mentioned if Lamar has grade 1 or grade 2 and it has only been on the 3rd week. I am afraid that he might not come back until the post season.

Are we playing each other?

I'm at the casino this week and don't have the link or even remember my password.

Whats the link for the league?

Looks like my QB will be out next week as well.

I was going to be posting this thinking that you were making a sarcastic reply.



However, you were telling the truth on Jalen Hurts. He is really out for week 16. I assume you are also lost in the casino this week, without knowing the link for the league and cannot remember your password also?

1992  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 Oscar Awards betting and discussions on: December 23, 2022, 03:57:04 AM
According to this news, Everything, Everywhere All at Once has dethroned the Fablemans as favorite for the best movie. But did sportsbooks change their odds quickly? You will find 4.20 if you know were to go hehehehhe.

This is one universe “Everything Everywhere All at Once” definitely wants to stay in. The genre-bending dramedy has dethroned “The Fabelmans” to take over the top spot in the Best Picture Oscar odds.

Source https://www.goldderby.com/article/2022/everything-everywhere-all-at-once-oscar-predictions-best-picture/
Completely crazy, to have that movie as a favorite. I personally disliked it so much that I simply can't bet on it, even if odd is pretty decent (4.20 one). From what I've seen so far, my money will be on The Banshees of Inisherin.

To be honest with you, I cannot argue yet. I have not watched any of the top movies speculated to be nominated in the Oscar awards. However, similar to what I have said before, sportsbooks and oddsmakers list the odds based on what they speculate might win with much of the votes from the academy of motion picture arts and sciences. They also clearly have more information than us. Our task as bettors is to speculate on the changes in odds and take advantage.

In any case, it appears Avatar: Way of water made less in the American box office than what was expected.



The opening weekend box office numbers for Avatar's sequel are in!

Avatar: The Way of Water pulled in $134 million at the domestic box office over the weekend,


Source https://people.com/movies/avatar-the-way-of-water-opening-weekend-box-office/


It was speculated to be over $174.5 million with odds of 1.57.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5419259.msg61409704#msg61409704

It appears that some people are not spending that much this Christmas season. Is this a warning sign that more recession is coming? I reckon if this movie was released during December of 2020, this would make over $200 million in the box office.
1993  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Tank Davis vs. Ryan Garcia betting and discussion (May, 2023) on: December 22, 2022, 04:01:59 AM
To those of you who criticize the fight cancellation vs. Gesta.

Ryan Garcia has made the correct decision, I reckon. If he was to continue the fight against Gesta and also has to have some of his attention on the superfight against Tank Davis on May, this will certainly be more added pressure that he does not need. Would fans still want King Ry vs. Tank if Ryan Garcia does not give a good performance against Gesta? What if he lost vs. Gesta? There is also risk of injury.

These are risks that Ryan should avoid. Similar argument to Tank also, he should cancel his fight against Hector Luis Garcia. He might injure his left hand again.
1994  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Speculated] Barry Silbert dump on: December 22, 2022, 03:39:48 AM
The market issue, of course, started with the Bitcoin issue. If they are able to control the Bitcoin issue, then they can easily control the crypto market.
The dump price changes are always based on the issue of someone who will sell Bitcoin in large quantities.
If Barry Sibert wanted to make a profit, of course he would not pass on the information that he would be selling most of Bitcoin to the public.
That means, there is something else behind what he said. Maybe we don't know the next stage yet.

He in the past was very active on Twitter and he gave financial advice about what coin they are buying. One coin that comes to mind is ZEC. No idea if they were already in position but ZEC had a huge rally after his tweet.

Then there was when they announced they were shorting Doge after
Or during the SNL skit. They didn’t short it directly but bought those 3x Doge short leverage contracts on FTX. And again if you followed this trade you would of also pretty much never been underwater and was very profitable.

Barry would certainly be in position already. Are you implying that he is something similar to a shill like John McAfee? Zcash is part of Barry Silbert's list of investments in Grayscale.

In any case, it appears there was bigger dump than market average of different coins that are connected to Barry Silbert's Digital Currency Group. Nothing is confirmed if DCG is dumping, however.



Over the weekend, we saw a huge sell off from the crypto markets, in particular, DCG's portfolio of coins saw a huge decline compared to others.

Source https://insights.santiment.net/read/dcg-a-sell-off-7141
1995  Economy / Service Discussion / [Poll] What are the safest platforms? on: December 22, 2022, 02:58:20 AM
My vote from this list are for Binance and Kraken. I do not trust all of the news articles and the negative propaganda being written about Binance. CZ has been bailing out platforms in the cryptospace that are at risk of bankruptcy or those that have been bankrupted already. Is this the activity of company that is at risk to be bankrupt? Head scratching if you say yes.

On Kraken, it has been online for a very long time without problems, without big scandals and I reckon it certainly will continue to exist without problems and without scandals.
1996  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance US buys Voyager Digital assets for $1.02 billion on: December 22, 2022, 02:26:46 AM
I know that CZ is investing in ventures and it keeps on going but what he's trying to prove? I doubt it that he just want to save the company and the people who has still some pending money there. Maybe he sees something that we can't see?
But we're all sure that we see the same thing that Voyager is already on the grave and it will barely stand up and even with his help, he's just throwing money there and good for the people if they'll still take their money out after the acquisition.

CZ is not trying to prove anything, I reckon. This is a business decision and his team might have made an assessment that there is value in absorbing Voyager clients and bring them to their own platform, binance.us. There might also be other things that might give Binance an advantage like old licenses that can be renewed, skilled employees necessary for Binance's expansion or some cryptocoin assets still being held by the company.
1997  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2022-12-16] Germany calls for global regulation of the cryptospace on: December 22, 2022, 01:27:43 AM
This is a bait and switch.  They claim to want to regulate crypto to protect people, but they really want to regulate crypto to protect themselves and their power over people's money and consequently their lives.  They like being able to tax the people of the world 5-10% every year via inflation.  With around $460 trillion in global wealth, that is a TON of money they'd lose out on stealing from people with the "little guy" being hit the most with high inflation.  

Agreed, the government has never wanted to protect the people. 99% of the politicians who run the government only want to act on their self interests and the personal agendas of their backers.

The cryptospace is a threat to the banking system because it will break their monopoly on the creation of money, moving money, laundering of money and many other things about money. It will also break the monopoly on the government's definition of money. If anyone has noticed, much of the people in the community has considered bitcoin to be a more authentic form of money than fiat.
Your conspiracy BS doesn't make sense at all. No need to wear a tinfoil hat when we can apply easy common sense:

"Government" isn't as simple as you are trying to suggest to us. It's different from country to country, some politicians are indeed corrupt, some want more power and some are just clueless but quite a large number of politicians are honest people.
Even Bukele wants more power because he's trying to run for a second term. Is it good? - No! But are his intentions malicious? I don't believe it.
Quite a large number of politicians want to protect people and bring prosperity.
In my opinion, Bukele wants to protect people and bring prosperity, too.

But it's very difficult to be succesfull. For Bukele, he bought Bitcoin when it was very pricey. Now, it has lost tons of value. Would you say he has a personal agenda, backed by criminal El Salvador networks or similar conspiracy bullshit? I would not.
He's just trying to improve his country and many politicians are trying to improve her country as well.
Yes, it's different in dictatorships, like Kim Yong Un, China, Putin's Russia or Erdogan's Turkey, where officials don't need to be elected and can't be removed. Or take Iran, where so many people protested for more human rights.

I would not generalize it too much. Scammers and hackers need to be caught and regulation is necessary. Crypto is full of scam maybe even more like we have scam, money laundering and corruption in traditional markets. Just take Ripple, Ripple should be taken out by Gary Gensler! I hope it will happen soon!
Crypto is a heaven for money laundering enabled by mixers like WasabiWallet, ChipMixer or Sindbad.io.
Even if a group like "war of rugs" is prepared better to fight against rug pulls or shady Darknet operators get arrested is already a good sign.
It is not easy but after time, crypto will get rid of scams, fraud, hackers, unbacked stablecoins and similar abuse.


Are you implying that the people behind the government are never corrupt and have never lied to their people to move forward with their self interests and their agendas? Never?

It is head shaking that you gave Bukele as an example and made the argument that because he made an incorrect investment decision, you use this as proof that he is 100% not corrupt and that he is a 100% honest politician hehe. I would admit that some countries have better governance than others, however, you should live in reality.
1998  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: December 21, 2022, 05:07:54 AM
It appears the playoff for our league will be on week 16. I thought week 16 will be a bye week and we resume on week 17 and have our champion on week 18. I will need Lamar Jackson to win against Hueristic but it does not look good for him and his knee, and this is clearly not very good for me and my team hehe.

According to some news articles, Lamar has a PCL knee strain. Grade 1 PCL will need up to 2 weeks to heal, grade 2 will need up to 4 weeks. However, it was never mentioned if Lamar has grade 1 or grade 2 and it has only been on the 3rd week. I am afraid that he might not come back until the post season.
1999  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread on: December 21, 2022, 04:20:18 AM
Unfortunately, for Dana White; Paddy doesn't have the same sort of persona or skill set as Conor. Conor was so popular because of his loud mouth, but also he backed it up. He usually put people to sleep in the first or second round. If you can last longer than that with Conor you'll probably beat him.

Paddy is a little less eccentric, and doesn't have the same explosiveness in the octagon. He'll still be a star, I'm sure. However, Conor level? Probably not, and that's okay. People like Conor are rare, they're the perfect combination for the fans, and the money counters in the UFC.

He's like a diet version right now. The paddy hype train will derail very quickly if he starts losing and even more so if he keeps acting like a cunt.

I like Paddy the baddy because he is an annoyance to everyone hehe. However, I very much agree with your assessment and if we force ourselves to see the reality after the fight versus Jared Gordon, the hypetrain is already beginning to derail. What can Dana presently do for him? His skills are not enough to enter top 10 in his weight division, he has no discipline with his body and he now cannot speak against hand sanitizer boy because no one would believe him. Hand sanitizer boy would kill him within 5 minutes hehehe.
2000  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance's proof of reserves raises red flags: Report on: December 21, 2022, 01:55:18 AM
Binance reserves is okay, according to this.



Two charts based on the same facts, but presenting one without the other can skew perceptions.

Binance BTC balance basically flat at 400k BTC since since mid 2021.


Source https://twitter.com/ergobtc/status/1604289386442788864


It has be very obvious that there are groups of people in the cryptospace that are creating a coordinated attack and negative propaganda against Binance. I am not defending Binance and my speculation on Binance as being used in a global moneylaundering ring does not change. However, we should also see reality.
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