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2481  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: DISCUSSION: Bitcoin’s Integration with The ICP Blockchain on: June 11, 2022, 11:50:47 AM
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It’s essential to mention that ICP still relies on the throughput of Bitcoin’s blockchain with this approach.


OP, or anyone who's smart, from a technical standpoint, what would the net-positive of this "integration" be for Bitcoin? Plus why "Bitcoin"? Why can't they simply be "ICP"? Call me cynical, but this is the kind of clout-chasing some altcoin developers do to attract attention, and bring "legitimacy" towards their own network. There are probably developers from other networks who truly want to bring a net-positive for Bitcoin, and reciprocally to their own coin, but I don't know if it's ICP.
2482  Other / Archival / Re: The growth of annual inflation in US reached 8.6% on: June 11, 2022, 08:50:27 AM
Jerome Powell would have to do his own Paul Volker moment, and tell everyone to "tighten their belts", and raise interest rates higher than initially planned to control inflation. It will a be hard landing, there is currently no other choice but to swallow the truth that everything should be crashing down before it can surge up. Depleted savings, mass lay-offs, business/banking collapse, simply the whole set of what should happen after euphoria MUST happen. A recession.
2483  Economy / Economics / Re: Jamie Dimon says ‘brace yourself’ for an economic hurricane on: June 11, 2022, 08:31:11 AM

Doesn't really seem like something to be honest, since the start of the Ukraine Russia war have economist predicted a downturn in global growth. Right now the government is at the end of it's rope when it comes to monetary policy. The usual habit for politicians since the 2008 financial crisis was to lower interest rate and print money whenever needed. For more than 10 years we have been in a ultra low interest rate environment, banks paying 0% interest on bank accounts for years.


I believe you misunderstood how the system works concerning Central Bank interest rates. It's not about savings interest rates. It's about the annual lending rates that the banks charge for loaning money out to different entities.  

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The average saver has been losing money even with inflation rates around 1-2%. But now we are facing inflation rates of 5-10%, there is no more possibility for politicians to keep the interest rate low and print money. The risk of running into hyper inflation is high now, and once we enter such high rates it will be hard to get out of it anymore. The high volatility Jamie Dimon writes about we already have since March.


Actually, there were people in the forum, especially in the Economics sub, who were already saying that inflation was not transitory last year, IT WAS PROVEN RIGHT, IT ISN'T, and that it will be a problem, IT NOW CURRENTY IS.

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Prices are fluctuating on a daily basis, including crypto currencies. For me there is no real alternative to not be invested, holding cash is no option with the current inflation. The best we can do is to HODL and face the storm.


Place your bids near over and under Bitcoin's 200-week SMA. Cool
2484  Economy / Economics / Re: Jamie Dimon says ‘brace yourself’ for an economic hurricane on: June 11, 2022, 06:55:18 AM
Even though I know all the economic indicators are signalling towards an economic squeeze I doubt that there will actually be one. Prime reason for that is because generally when a news about a recession is so public in news everywhere there generally is no recession coming in because people will invest carefully after reading these news and big whales don't really want this. When there is a hurricane coming by the news will be, market will recover from here, good times about to come and such positive news. If you see the past trends of depressions this has been a trend always.


Don't be so sure that it won't haapen. There are already some companies, like Tesla, that have announced that they are laying off 10% of their work-force this year. Coinbase has started rescinding those applications that have already been approved/accepted. Recession is merely starting ser. The Fed will keep tightening, raise rates, and shrink their balance sheet until something breaks before they start easing again, lowering rates, and expand the balance sheet.

I understand that all the macroeconomic factors are indicating a recession but my point is that generally there is a silence before a big thunder, I can't see that silence around right now, tell me one time in history when there was a expected recession? People were dancing in 2008 before the housing market collapse kicked in.


There were already times that recessions were expected,  BUT the problem, NO ONE listens to the warning. They plebs listen to CNBC, CNN, and other other big media companies to make plebs like us dance, WHILE they are selling.

July will be the month for GDP announcements for the the Second Quarter in many regions of the globe. U.S. GDP numbers were negative during the First Quarter. Another negative GDP will technically, or "officially" be a recession.

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Nowhere was this being mentioned that market is fragile and macro factors indicate bearishness. I understand that today information transmission is easier but still I feel you need a lot of longs to be opened before you can do the big short.


Are you living under a rock?
2485  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin thrives on education and self-sovereignty on: June 10, 2022, 10:21:35 AM
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Bitcoin thrives on education and self-sovereignty


I believe it also depends where you're getting your "education". There are many charlatans and snakeoil salesmen within the community who are not paying attention to how Bitcoin actually works, and its limits/constaints. It might make people have too much expectations, and then become disillusioned because they might have a different "idea", or "vision" of Bitcoin. I understand that Bitcoin is hard to define, but base expectations on what's technically possible.
2486  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | 0.28% House edge | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: June 10, 2022, 09:57:34 AM
Finally after waiting a few hours I got my first win in hourly contest it seems the whales are sleeping or they forgot to hunt this one
Usually @RealWinner @sverelst @Zb dominates the first place in every hour since he's been inactive since last 2 hours then my turn takes place
The next target is the daily competition  Smiley




compliments!

I also managed to win an "hourly competition" without too much effort, but it was more a case of the absence of other players and not so much for having played a large amount Grin .

the daily challenge is really tough. all these users you nominated are very active and ... aggressive! Roll Eyes


What games and how long were you playing, plus how much mBTC per bet? I'm planning to do some "gambling" through some of the site's choices of casual games if I'm not too busy during the coming weeks. I will be spending most of my time playing "fun games" like 1942, and Plinko. Cool


Anyway 85 mbtc is not a small sum these days so doing that in one day alone, that is fantastic.


FOR JUST BEING FIRST PLACE IN HOURLY?
2487  Economy / Economics / Re: Jamie Dimon says ‘brace yourself’ for an economic hurricane on: June 10, 2022, 07:21:34 AM
Even though I know all the economic indicators are signalling towards an economic squeeze I doubt that there will actually be one. Prime reason for that is because generally when a news about a recession is so public in news everywhere there generally is no recession coming in because people will invest carefully after reading these news and big whales don't really want this. When there is a hurricane coming by the news will be, market will recover from here, good times about to come and such positive news. If you see the past trends of depressions this has been a trend always.


Don't be so sure that it won't haapen. There are already some companies, like Tesla, that have announced that they are laying off 10% of their work-force this year. Coinbase has started rescinding those applications that have already been approved/accepted. Recession is merely starting ser. The Fed will keep tightening, raise rates, and shrink their balance sheet until something breaks before they start easing again, lowering rates, and expand the balance sheet.
2488  Economy / Economics / Re: Jamie Dimon says ‘brace yourself’ for an economic hurricane on: June 09, 2022, 10:47:24 AM
Jamie Dimon is one of the most corrupt human beings on the planet, and runs one of the most corrupt companies on the planet.  JP Morgan Chase bank has over 36 BILLION dollars in fines just since the year 2000 ( https://violationtracker.goodjobsfirst.org/parent/jpmorgan-chase ).  The guy would sell his own mothers soul if he thought it would benefit Chase.  

As a financial advisor I've worked directly and indirectly with most of the major financial company players, and I can tell you first hand how awful and corrupt Chase is.  I've also had several close friends who've worked for them and they all agree.  

So moral of the story being, don't fully trust anything this scumbag says.  Just remember his main goal is to profit off of you, period.


But do you truly believe he's wrong, simply because "he is corrupt"? Plus it's very laughable to think, and be in the opinion of, the Fed will fix/solve everything within 1 year after 30 years of injecting fiat into the market. It's a different situation during 2020, and it's different situation right now. The Fed had some elbow-room to implement QE and to BRRRRR-print fiat into existence during COVID-19's outbreak. Right now, the Fed is required to control inflation, bring stability and maximum employment.
2489  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | 0.28% House edge | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: June 09, 2022, 10:05:40 AM

I wonder how these attacks work and what they can get from the website after they are in? Is it possible that they can have access to personal information like KYC and also the funds after DDOS attack. For example, if such hacker gets in what does he see? All the accounts, dashboard of admin and can he access specific account and transfer the funds with this?


No, but it can cause other damages to the site/merchant/service/casino through loss of income/revenue, it can also be in the form of loss of users, there's also reputational damage if attacks are not mitigated by the team. But Blackjack.fun's team are fast in finding the problem, and in solving it/protecting it, leaving no permanent damage to the casino.
2490  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 09, 2022, 07:51:09 AM
We experienced unexpected events or moments in gambling like this one, you are calling it off a day in a session then you're suddenly on a winning streak thinking that it's your time to get back what you've lost will you go or will you stop and come back the next day.

I'm sometimes tempted to continue but I know you cannot beat the house, so most of the time I just call it a day and just wished that tomorrow or next time it's my lucky day. What about you what's your take.

Some people can certainly beat the house. There’s a decent number of people whom are actually banned from entering some casinos since they’ve done so well (I think this is mostly due to winning games of blackjack).


Because of card counting, giving the ability for the players to change the odds into their favor, no? But what other casino games can a player change the odds into his/her favor? I believe that argument is moot.

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As for your question I’m kind of the same, if I get on a real hot streak I tend to walk away in order to keep my gains, regardless if that means I’m giving up some potential further upside.


But will you come back and play again? Or walk away forever and truly call yourself a "winner"? Because from the casinos' perspective, it's only long gambling session if you keep going back to play.
2491  Other / Archival / Re: Bitcoin's historical correlation with traditional markets begins to weaken on: June 09, 2022, 07:38:48 AM

Of course, this graph Wind_FURY posted is also something that is definitely fake, right?




Fake? Ser, I literally included the link of the site that chart came from. Are you saying CoinMetrics is giving us the plebs false data? Plus what would OP's zoomed out chart currently look like?

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OP, that chart is just from first of March to end of May. That's merely 3 months, and not enough data to say that the correlation has truly weakened.

Well, it has indeed weakened for a few days, and that itself is a thing worth mentioning because you can see even on your chart there is basically not much room left before we can say there are more tied together than sp500 and dow. Any fluctuation would mean a breakout of the current trend, for good or for worse and to be honest I would pick either, things are getting a bit boring.


Is it also worth mentioning if "the weakening" itself starts weakening after another few days? If yes, then I agree to disagree. Zoom out, it's getting stronger and stronger since the last bull cycle started. It could signify that as Bitcoin becomes more and more mainstream, the correlation between legacy markets and Bitcoin could become more and more correlated.
2492  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: [Megathread] The long-known PoW vs. PoS debate on: June 08, 2022, 12:28:18 PM
Shower thought. What if Bitcoin switched from POW to POS, and all of the world Central Banks' in the world printed enough fiat currency to buy 51% of the coins, then controlled the network.

What would "cost" more, the cost of printing enough fiat currency to buy > 51% of "POS Bitcoin" coins, or the cost of printing enough currency to have > 51% hashing power in the Bitcoin network?
2493  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 08, 2022, 12:06:51 PM
Call it a day after losing 1/4 of the profit againGrin

Kind of my traditional way of thinking when I am playing card games, dice, or any type of game that is played fast. I know I will lose because like you said, the house will always win it back. But there's a choice to not let them take everything.

The temptation will pull you back and you cannot stop it. Let it pull you but just for just a little amount and have the mindset that after losing it you will stop. If it wins more and reached your quota then do the same.


I believe from the "house's" standpoint, the people who regularly gamble are simply in one long gambling session in their balance sheets. From their point of view, if you keep coming back, you're just holding your winnings in your wallet temporarily for the day. You're only a real winner against the house if you win then truly stop gambling, OR you keep coming back for the casino to continue tallying your wins and loses.
2494  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 08, 2022, 10:12:10 AM
All of us who gamble know how much that could be tempting whenever you are betting, and you are winning. You might think that you are the King of the World or something like that. To that extent, it would seem impossible to be taken down not until you lose it all. I know I have experienced that.

Experienced players probably would limit themselves to a certain amount on their balance and just continue another day. I have experienced this, and it's effective. Just have limits, and I think you would be okay.


"Just have limits" is very easy to follow if you're winning or losing little by little "slowly", giving your brain time to properly process everything. But if you have a losing streak right at the first 10 minutes of the game, reaching your budget limit immediately/making you emotional, I believe it would enough stress to make plebs like us to break that rule. Cool
2495  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New York's push to ban crypto mining on: June 08, 2022, 09:59:21 AM
here is another perspective..

lets use the scenario of the 2014 bit licence and also the 1900's alcohol prohibition..

if something is previously open and has no laws. a government cant just offer licences/permits to it.. they first need to outlaw/ban/prohibit it. .. to then bring it into their purview (jurisdiction) to then set terms of use in their licence/permits which hey can later sell/offer.

i dont see this as a "permanent ban" scenario.. i see this as phase one of establishing a permit/licencing scheme


Good point, but what if "the prohibition" isn't as short as 1900's alcohol prohibition? What if they, and many others like "they", make it a long "mining prohibition" as a strategy to weaken the network/protocol/technology that could weaken them?

i think you mean.. what if the prohibition is not as short as the bitlicence (literally hours with pre planned deadline)

where they done a scheme where they banned exchanging in new york after X date.. but months prior told businesses to get prepared and apply for a licence which became active hours after the date.. thus it felt like (for those businesses that applied for licence) as if there was no ban, no delay of service.

i do not see this as being that short(hours) .. but i also do not see this as being as long (over decade) as the 'prohibition' of 1920-1933


To put it in another context, 13 years is "short" for "a prohibition" of something like alcohol. Because compare it with Marijuana "prohibition", how long has it been?

Bitcoin being a technological development that can weaken political strongholds, I believe the government can take their "prohibition" for as long as possible.

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i see this as a upto 2 year delay/halt.. with a looming 'threat' where mining is could be permanently banned will be made.. after the 2 year period is up..

but within the two year "delay/halt" they will introduce licences for mining companies that can prove the source of their power is renewable to be active by the end of the 2 year delay/halt period(or sooner).. giving the government upto 2 years to set up the licence application department and regulations departments to over see mining operations.
(it takes time to train new staff in new tech, so dont expect licences being offered in the next few months)

after all if it was just a temporary thing. where 'open/unlicenced uncontrolled mining was allowed after 2 years. mining farms wont care about wanting to legitimise themselves to comply with any temporary delay/halt

..
NY state(local government) used to entice companies in via tax breaks and grants.. this way instead of giving real money away or avoid taking money away from treasury.. they can invent a new 'product'(licence) that comes at a huge fee when they dont want the business as much. and offer discounts/free licences when they want the business.. that way they can control how much mining comes into NY using up the renewable excess capacity, further controlling how much mining happens in NY

(.. all this is my opinion based on what a savvi business man would do if he was a politician)


It's possible that they only truly want proper regulation, but that's still an optimistic viewpoint. I don't trust them. They don't want Bitcoin, and probably wished it never existed.
2496  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New York's push to ban crypto mining on: June 07, 2022, 11:13:40 AM
here is another perspective..

lets use the scenario of the 2014 bit licence and also the 1900's alcohol prohibition..

if something is previously open and has no laws. a government cant just offer licences/permits to it.. they first need to outlaw/ban/prohibit it. .. to then bring it into their purview (jurisdiction) to then set terms of use in their licence/permits which hey can later sell/offer.

i dont see this as a "permanent ban" scenario.. i see this as phase one of establishing a permit/licencing scheme


Good point, but what if "the prohibition" isn't as short as 1900's alcohol prohibition? What if they, and many others like "they", make it a long "mining prohibition" as a strategy to weaken the network/protocol/technology that could weaken them?

The cartelization, and specialization of mining which brought massive hashing power, making the network robust, is also an attack vector.

Thus regulating the BTC miners which "they" might have some rules in the end how and who are the people allowed to mine BTC. This is really not making the cryptocurrency as a whole a decentralized system. Interesting things might happen in the near future as to who's running this show.


Force rules upon the miners that if a transaction came from "nefarious" sources, miners in the state should not include them in their blocks. That's censorship at the protocol level that should never ever be accepted by the community. There is simply no trade-off acceptable.
2497  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New York's push to ban crypto mining on: June 07, 2022, 07:35:12 AM
here is another perspective..

lets use the scenario of the 2014 bit licence and also the 1900's alcohol prohibition..

if something is previously open and has no laws. a government cant just offer licences/permits to it.. they first need to outlaw/ban/prohibit it. .. to then bring it into their purview (jurisdiction) to then set terms of use in their licence/permits which hey can later sell/offer.

i dont see this as a "permanent ban" scenario.. i see this as phase one of establishing a permit/licencing scheme


Good point, but what if "the prohibition" isn't as short as 1900's alcohol prohibition? What if they, and many others like "they", make it a long "mining prohibition" as a strategy to weaken the network/protocol/technology that could weaken them?

The cartelization, and specialization of mining which brought massive hashing power, making the network robust, is also an attack vector.
2498  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 07, 2022, 07:11:16 AM
I'm quite rational in this respect and I don't get carried away because I'm on a winning streak, or a losing streak for that matter. I think a lot of people put too much hope in gambling and then get carried away and lose too many chasing losses or end up losing what they had won because they didn't stop in time. Not understanding the underlying mathematics also contributes to this.


I believe that shouldn't be considered an absolute, because if there was such a pleb who NEVER got carried away, he/she would be like an emotionless robot. It's simply impossible in my opinion. I am also very confident that a big losing streak in the beginning of a gambling session would, without question, break many people's emotional limit.
2499  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 07, 2022, 05:41:18 AM
Every time I gamble my objective is once I hit a good shot in a single game I will stop playing and this call for a day because I know not all the time has a good profit of course this is the time we become too much greedy that we want to earn more.


Because you might be a normal person, not a regular gambler who finds themselves in a casino every day for the whole day. I believe more than 80% of people who "gamble" are mere plebs like you and me, the rest are those real gamblers.

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If you have self-awareness and consciousness you can make control yourself when is your limit already always set a plan if you have a lot of money to wage and do not interfere with the amount go for the endless game but if not make a plan.


That sometimes depends on the person, and how much he/she is betting in the game. It's not very different from trading, "don't trade more than the amount you want to lose".

2500  Economy / Gambling / Re: Blackjack.fun | 0.28% House edge | Live tables | Baccarat |Slots| InstantWithraw on: June 07, 2022, 05:08:30 AM
still down for me. Two players have made it in to wager but have not used to chat box to explain how. No contact from Admin


The site is now currenty up, but expect and assume some connectivity issues to avoid disappointment for the time being. The site connection is OK though, fast and the page renders quick in the browser.


does anyone thinks they finally snap?  seem very surprising because they didn't show telltale sign.


Snap? I believe casinos and many other gambling services are the most profitable businesses/companies in Bitcoin Land once they are bootstrapped with regular users. It's almost impossible for them to "snap" unless it's very mismanaged, or have problems with the government.
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