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3121  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Help me out pls on: January 18, 2022, 04:29:00 AM
I agree with the comment that it might be slipping out of the slot. Some of these risers are very bad quality that I wouldn’t be surprised if the slot where the GPU sits is a little too wide and with the vibrations of the fans overtime it starts to slide off.

You can use the clip but it will slide off on the other end and can crash also. Hence you should just replace the riser entirely and be done with this issue.
3122  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Altcoin Mining: you WON’T pay for that card (with assumptions) on: January 18, 2022, 04:22:50 AM
Yes difficulty is your enemy here. You can always sell ETH at a specific price just by shorting the futures contract and just covering when you are sent the mined coins. So if it will take you a year to make 1 ETH and you short the future contract at today’s price then if price goes down you still get to sell it at the higher price.

The issues with this is that difficulty is very hard to predict. Right now it might take a year to make that 1 ETH but in 3 months it might take a year and a half. So given how fast the difficulty is rising you might never make that 1 ETH back, especially if prices keeps going up. And you are mining at a higher difficulty and selling at a lower price.

It’s a gamble there will always be some form of risk.
3123  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Fear Index at 10 on: January 17, 2022, 07:10:00 AM
The issue with these charts is not that they are unreliable, they can be reliable however you need to understand that it can keep dipping further and further and further before it actually bottoms out. Look at the chart in July 2018, it was already at fear. And then it kept going lower.

And when it broke $6K support, it was already very fearful however price still kept dipping. So if you bought at $6K originally you would of suffered a 50% loss at one point. Hence why in this situation, it can still go down to like $30K or even lower before it goes right back up. Not accurate unless you are buying long term positions.
3124  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: When? on: January 17, 2022, 07:05:39 AM
If ETH goes to $400 and you can find $100 Rx 480 8GB would you actually buy them? Your profits would be probably $0.20-$0.25 a day before electrical. Would it be worth it even back then. Taking into account electrical at $0.10 kwh you would be mining at a loss.

You say that difficulty will come down? Sure it might come down a little however as history has shown the difficulty barely goes down dramatically. People still mine in countries with free or cheap electricity.

It will be the best time to mine but nobody will want to mine. Similar to how nobody was mining when it was $80.
3125  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Worry about what temp is safe? on: January 17, 2022, 07:00:48 AM
I don't think high temps are what causes the GPUs to form cracks under the solder joints. I think that high temps can cause other components such as capacitors or mosfets to fail however not the GPU chip. I think the reason why the solder cracks is due to the huge heatsink sitting on it and the handling. Too much weight and causes the solder to crack.

That or when doing a thermal repaste job and you pull too hard and cause it to crack. And then with enough heat cycles it will just stop working all of a sudden. Because each time you start the rig, the heat expands and then contracts making the cracks bigger and bigger.
3126  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Watercooled rig - from scratch to (hopefully) reliable operation. Build saga. on: January 16, 2022, 09:58:37 PM
I also would love to have the option of doing this. However the bulk space, high cost it just wouldn’t make sense. I had a Antminer long time ago it was called the Antminer C1 and it was actually like an Antminer S3 but water cooled. It came with the heatsink and everything. And that miner was so quiet you didn’t even know it was there.

You could have that miner next to your bed and you wouldn’t have issues with sleep or anything. With GPUs it would probably be even more quiet since their surface is much larger so it would require less fan speed. It would be a neat quiet operation.
3127  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Worry about what temp is safe? on: January 16, 2022, 09:54:33 PM
That is a useless chart. GPUs temps range depending on what GPU it is. Back in the Litecoin mining days I had a bunch of reference GPUs they were all Radeon 6990 all the way to R9 290. Since the reference cooler was always loud AMD designed the operating temperature to be something like 80-90C. And I’ve mined for maybe 5 years straight with those GPUs and never had any issues.

Some of the later GPUs require a lower temp. However you need to understand that in each bios there is a GPU temp kill and when it reaches a certain temp to say a bad fan it will send a signal to the motherboard and the entire rig will power off. It’s been like this for decades with GPUs.
3128  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Mining Ethereum using Tesla electric cars on: January 15, 2022, 08:51:43 PM
The guy definately isn't or can't drive around if he has rigs mining in the back.

The Tesla batteries are like 50 kwh or so. So if he has 2kw worth of gear, its enough electricity to mine for 2 days. This isn't the issue. Mining rigs, especially GPU are very unstable even when they are stationary, if he is driving around, going into bumps and taking turns, there is no way a GPU or 2 wouldn't crash right away.

Another issue is the heat. What is he going to do, leave the air conditioner turned on? He'd mine like 12 hours instead of 48hours if he had to leave the AC turned on. He needs to leave the trunk open, park it somewhere safe so the car or GPUs don't get stolen such as a private residence.
3129  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: Speculation about biggest airdrops of 2022 on: January 15, 2022, 06:08:32 AM
IF you want to get airdrops you need to be active with all these projects. A year ago nobody wanted to use DeFI or NFT because the fees were just too high, however for the lucky few that did they got crazy amounts of free airdrops. And the trick was NEVER to sell those airdrops right away, it was to hold it.

Remember UNI airdrop? It launched, everyone dumped, it went to like $2 or so and then ended up going all the way to almost $50. I think that was a very profitable air drop. There is always some pressure to sell the airdrop, however if you notice that price is hodling strong, you might want to hold on to some, because many times the token will end up going higher as a result.
3130  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: When? on: January 15, 2022, 06:03:32 AM
Forget TON no other coin will be as profitable as ETH and if ETH goes down many miners will switch their rigs to available coins which will result in higher mining difficulty so it won't matter anymore

Trolls think will be another coin that will save them from bad choices they have made hehe, even with eth bear market was negative profit from october 2018 to july 2020, now imagine without eth ehhe. Let them keep doing stupid decisions and blame other factors, trolls will never learn. In 2013 ltc got as high as 50 usd and then crashed to less than a dollar ehhe, that was funny, in 2018 eth got as high as 1440 usd and then crashed to 80 usd.

Because most miners who have been in this game for around 6 months or less have no idea how it works. Many just install Nicehash, it prints satoshis for them, which they later send to Coinbase and sell it for USD. As long as they are making some profit for doing nothing, they are happy and don't ask questions.

The questions come when the profits go down. They learn about "difficulty", then they try another coin and also learn that the profits are about the same. Then they hear the word "POS" and start to panic however they always think "Oh, I will mine ETC instead of ETH and everything will be, ok!"

 
3131  Economy / Economics / Re: 12% of First-Time Homebuyers Say Selling Crypto Helped Save for Down Payment on: January 15, 2022, 05:59:26 AM
I remember reading back in November how people were doing the complete opposite. They were getting a home equity line of credit to buy crypto and stocks with their homes equity. They got scared of what is happening with inflation and they borrowed money against their home to buy stocks and crypto and doesn't look like it was a smart move.

So seeing people do the opposite is pretty good. Since crypto is actually helping people get their first home. Its served its purpose of being a valueable investment that paid off. Buying a home is responsible unlike buying stuff like cars or watches which is what most of the young investors are blowing their money on these days.
3132  Economy / Economics / Re: US inflation jumped 7% in December as prices rise at rates unseen in decades on: January 15, 2022, 05:56:17 AM
I think one reason why its so high is due to the used car market which is one measure how the CPI is calculated. I've been in the market for a newer vehicle and let me tell you its crazy out there. Basically if you are looking at any vehicle over 2-3 years old, you are going to be paying the same or more than that vehicle was priced when it was new. And it doesn't end there. There is hardly any supply. You can't be picky about color or mileage or options.

Its pretty bad for people who end up getting their vehicle stolen, crashed or broken down. They got no choice. And since they are overpriced by 25%, you need to pretty much have a down payment for that 25% if you want to finance. Since banks know the car will depreciate very fast when supply ramps up. Hence this is one reason why we are seeing a 7% inflation value.
3133  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Fear Index at 10 on: January 15, 2022, 05:52:46 AM
So the fear right now is 10 and back in Nov-Dec 2018 when all hell broke loose and bitcoin broke $6K support and kept going down and down and down to $3.5K the fear was only 11.  This gauge just doesn't seem that accurate. I don't think there is more fear now than in Nov/Dec 2018. Back then people were thinking bitcoin is going to $1K. Right now many people still think its going to go to $100K.

Also the fear during covid was 9, and I remember trading that day when Bitmex went down, and let me tell you. There is no way if BTC breaks $40K again and heads down to $35K and the fear prints a 9 that its as fearful as the march covid19 sell-off. Its either that or there are just more retail hands now which are way more fearful than the previous cycles.
3134  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Price Forecast by Goldman Sachs on: January 15, 2022, 05:48:57 AM
If anything I consider this to be bearish and it means that bitcoin won't hit $100K. These Goldman Sach are not your friends. I remember I used to read their analysis back in my old stock days regarding certain stocks and commodities and most of the time their analysis was never correct.

If anything they are correct half the time and the other time they are incorrect. So its pointless reading what ever analysis they point out. If they had some real knowledge that some event will happen and bitcoin will hit $100K, they wouldn't let the public know about it, they would just buy it themselves.
3135  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Most profitable coins for Antminer ?? BCH ??? on: January 14, 2022, 06:05:21 AM
The profitabilty for all SHA256D is pretty much identical. There are many pool hoppers out there which mine the most profitable coin and due to this is why all coins with the same algo product almost the same income.

The reason why your calculation is off is due to variance, sometimes its skewed to one side. And eventually as you take more samples you will see that the profit will be pretty much the same. There really is no secret coin out there. Due to sites like Nicehash everybody knows what is profitable and what-not. Hence its a tough competition and leaves no extra profits to be made.
3136  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Good investment or a trap? on: January 14, 2022, 05:59:17 AM
Its easier to get bad GPUs this days that's why I always avoid used GPU, there is no way to tell if the owner have do some soldering work on the GPU or not, some people failed to use the GPUs right, they push them to their limits and sell to unknown buyers

This is not true. Most sellers test the GPUs beforehand because they dont want bad feedback. They reflash the stock firmware and usually run a benchmark to make sure the GPUs works in games at least. GPUs don't have any mechnical components like cars so they are fairly reliable.

And how many people do soldering work on their GPUs? Almost nobody. The only type of work done on a GPU might be the fan replacements. Usually when something frys on the GPUs they throw it out instead of soldering parts on it to fix it.
3137  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: When? on: January 14, 2022, 05:54:38 AM
I've been around since 2014 and also assumed that during 2015 and 2018, there would be massive supply of GPUs all over Craiglist and eBay. I assumed I would be able to score crazy deals buying $20 RX 480 8GB video card, and guesss what? None of that every happened.

GPUs during bear markets don't really get cheaper. The only deals that i've ever seen was GPUs sold AS-IS with dead fans. Many miners didn't want to RMA them or get the fans fixed so they sold them AS-IS and those were usually good deals. Most of the times you can just reoil the bearings and they would work again. But I don't see any high supply of GPUs hitting eBay anytime soon.
3138  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Deep before the Raise on: January 14, 2022, 05:51:01 AM
Except we have no idea if this is a dip or just a bounce. Remember 2018, people assumed that every time it dipped, it was the bottom and kept going lower and lower and lower. Then when it finally broke $6K and went to like $4.5K, people were like "we are in a bear market". It went down another $1K and then stalled for months and bottomed out and went back up. People were thinking $1K was close back then but it wasn't.

Same situation here, $40K might be the low or $30K or $20K or even lower like $15K, you won't know until its too late to get out or get in. Same with the way that tops are hard to pick. Nobody assumed that $69K would be the top, maybe at least $75K or $95K however it went nowhere near that. This is the reason why you always need to take profits.
3139  Economy / Speculation / Re: Always have an exit strategy on: January 14, 2022, 05:46:29 AM
I think many had an exit strategy to either get out at $98-100K or so, however it never reached that figure. Right now I think many will have an exit strategy to exit at $50K and there is a good chance that even $50K might not hit, might come close to $48K and head back down. Similar to what happened in 2018, when it broke $10K a second time, everybody wanted to get out at $10K but it went to like $9800 instead.

Either way, you need an exit strategy before a certain event happens. Lets say your strategy was to exit at the old ATH $64K, however when you saw that bitcoin had lots of steam you cancelled your sell orders and moved your sells up, and now you are left holding the bag. Have an exit strategy and stick to it.
3140  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: CPU mining on virtual machine on: January 13, 2022, 06:18:51 AM
Hi,
I am about to upgrade my memory on the host to 32GB. I am going to build as many virtual Ubuntu's as I can run. I have an app on my windows computer that pays about $5 a week. I need more than 1 computer to make anything significant. I am also contemplating running a CPU miner on all the Ubuntu computers.
I have played around with the Ubuntu and the lowest I can get it to boot up at is 350MB of ram. Does this have anything to do with the CPU mining. Also, please post a link to a CPU miner I could download and run through Terminal.
Thank you,
Stacey

I don't know what this app is, however if it was this easy then everybody would create tons of VM and try and get as much money as possible. There are lots of places like Amazon AWS where you can rent CPU and people would be all over this if it was profitable, however there is something you are most likely missing.

CPU mining is never really profitable unless you got maybe a high end processor and you can mine Monero. However keep in mind that the profits for that aren't even that great. Renting Amazon AWS to mine monero won't make you any money because you will pay more for rental than you will make income.

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