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741  Economy / Gambling / Re: bustabit.com -- The Social Gambling Game (formerly moneypot.com) on: May 17, 2016, 03:16:41 PM
Here's a better example: I flip a coin.  It lands tails three times in a row.  I get ready to flip it again.  Do you think it's more likely to land heads on this flip than tails?  Why?  The coin has no memory.

I really like the coin example, because people can look at a coin and see it has no memory of the past. What tends to really confuse people is more abstract things like "low game median". E.g. over the last 1000 games, let's say the median is bust was 1.9.  We know the median is going to trend back towards 1.97x -- so surely it's a good time to bet?

If they could place an infinite number of bets, knowing that it will converge to 1.97x, it seems like that would make it +EV. But going back to the coin example, if it lands on tails 100 times in a row, we know it'll be 50% heads on an infinite number of flips, but unfortunately we can't bet an infinite number of times to catch that profit :-P

I don't see the illusion.. I believe the past events should be entirely discarded. So whether it was 1.9 or 2.1 or a 100, it shouldn't matter.

If there are two 1% house edge sites with same bankroll at the point, one with -1% (past) actual return on wagered and another with 2% actual return, and you are to invest in one of them, I wouldn't see any difference between the two.
But depending on how we think, we are like to prefer one over the other.


Edit: which turns out to be exactly the same as what RHaver said just in a different way. Grin
Eventually the number of past events will be so small when compared to infinity that the past events doesn't matter.
742  Economy / Gambling / Re: ♛ BitCasino.IO - BIGGEST BITCOIN CASINO! 750+ games, 25000+ BTC in jackpots on: May 17, 2016, 02:39:27 PM
I guess you can only check IP

That is just one way (the most obvious) to find an alt account.
743  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 17, 2016, 01:58:21 PM
Bump. Balance still 0 & Withdrawal not yet received.
744  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 02:16:34 PM
Im checking it. I think i deleted your balance when i changed the payout script.. I Will give you 25 extra free spins for this issue
You can playboy withdraw them instant ill pm you hete when i found the issue pls hold on

I am quite okay with 300 credits. Grin


Just to support the math:

Initial balance 325 (100 + 200 bonus + 25 free spins)

Total Amount Bet : (303)

Total Amount Won : 303

Final Balance : 325


This is not really a coincidence, when I completed 300 rolls, my balance was above 325, so I just kept spinning (3 more) till I made it to 325. Smiley
745  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 02:04:14 PM
User ndnhc wants to withdraw 325 credits.

but your acount has only 303 credits pls cancel the first one and try it again after 1 hour (it will be instant now)

Hi

My balance was 325 credits. I made 303 bets which covers the required 300 bets.

Anyway I cannot try to withdraw again because my balance shows 0 Huh I confirm I have not received the withdrawal.
Edit: I see no option to cancel anything either.
746  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 11:50:56 AM
ow yes i see... will update the script to send the payments instant.

I don't mind waiting a couple of hours if you:
1. have a signed wallet address with sufficient funds.
2. provably fair. (really important)
747  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 11:45:33 AM
Okay.

I deposited 0.1, got 100 credits after 1 confirmation. Waited, got 325 credits (100 deposit + 200 credits bonus + 25 for free spins). Made 200 spins and it wasn't going good.. On the last 100 spins it went back to 325 credits. Cheesy Cheesy *

*assuming I get my withdrawal  Grin



Note: Not provably fair at the moment.

Code:
1 credit = 0.001[btc]

First 100 Spins. Wins :
3
3
9
3
3
3
3

Next 100 Spins. Wins :
3
8
3
3
3

Last 103 Spins. Wins :  :o
2
3
8
3
100
3
100
3
12
3
3
3
3
10


Withdrawal not instant. reads : Confirmed, waiting admin confirmation.
748  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 10:59:15 AM
withdrawals will get processed instant. Only you need to approve your withdraw in your email.


How do I activate bonus? No provably fair?
749  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 09:52:38 AM
We have a house edge off 10% and 9% is for the jackpots

What is the guarantee that the withdrawals will get processed?
750  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 200% Bonus Up to 4BTC + 25 Free Spins NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits on: May 16, 2016, 09:45:49 AM
Signup Bonus**
200% Bonus Up to 4BTC
1x Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits!!

Playthrough Requirements: the wagering requirement is determined by the deposit amount plus the amount of the promotional bonus redeemed.

    For example, should a Player deposit $100.00 and redeem a 200% bonus that requires 1X playthrough, he/she must wager the amount of their deposit ($100.00) plus the amount of their bonus ($200.00) 1X before cashing out. This means that the Player must wager $300.00 X 1 = $300 before requesting a withdrawal from their account.

25 Free Spins**
DEPOSIT MIN 0.1BTC to Get your free Spins
NO Playthrough - ZERO Withdrawal Limits

Get your Free Spins

USE THIS LINKS TO APPROVE YOUR BONUS!

What is the house edge?
751  Economy / Gambling / Re: SafeDICE.com ★ Bitcoin Dice ★ Monero ★ 0.5% Edge ★ Fast Cashout ★ Since 2014 on: May 15, 2016, 06:53:28 AM
I feel like this is a dead site... Can't raise investor funds, can't even turn a profit with the funds it does have...can't stay online. What can SD do?

What are you on about? You know very well that the bankroll recently got hit with huge huggermugger's win. You expected it to bounce back instantly?

There's always at least few people playing and there are new high bets every day. For a small dice site with zero advertising, I'd say SD is doing pretty well.

As for the profit, I made +9% (as of now) in ~6 days on my small investment (at x2 kelly), so above expectations.

Yeah, I think SD is doing pretty well too. Smiley
752  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [Primedice.com] Bingo Competition! - Win up to 4 BTC Each - Positive EV Gambling on: May 15, 2016, 04:58:06 AM
When do we get paid on Bingo?  I have not received mine as of yet.

User: Intensity



Please take a look again on the account requirements. Your account is not qualified.

He is qualified with over 200 coins wagered

I searched on his 9 posts. There is no posts about his entry in the bingo competition.

I think it's only one claim per person but you can play for the different prizes. Say, you first tried playing for the 0.001 Bet and you get rewarded 0.05 btc first. You can play another game with a higher bet which is 0.01 BTC then be rewarded 0.1 btc less the 0.05 btc that you already got from your first attempt. I'm not quite sure of this one tho.

Hi Smiley
This was responded either by PM to Intensity here or through reddit (don't remember which) a month ago.

Just to update you guys about it, his entry was made here, https://www.reddit.com/r/Primedice/comments/4b6vm2/primedicecom_bingo_competition_win_up_to_4_btc/ He is qualified as per the 200+ wagered criteria, but unfortunately did not complete the grid on 5th April and on 10th April (5 days extension was given for participant side errors on copy pasting and duplicate bets).
753  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: BetKing.io Pi competition. Up to 3 Bitcoin prize for all players! on: May 14, 2016, 09:03:41 AM
-snip-

For the record, I had replied by PM.  Cool
754  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: ☆☆☆ LuckyBit Red Raffle ☆☆☆ on: May 14, 2016, 07:49:29 AM
Hi Luckybit,

I always include 333 in my bets (and have done so for the past few days), so my bets are for example 0.10333 or 0.0333..... does this give me tickets? If possible, could you round down to a whole number of tickets?

Thank you,
Tal

Yeah I think they do. Smiley It is in the OP.

If you make two bets say 0.10333 and 0.0333 you will get 41 + 13 = 54 tickets.

Edit: Looks like you got the official reply before I could post this. Grin
755  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitsweep on Bit-exo.com is not fair. on: May 14, 2016, 05:04:44 AM
Bombs are just illusion, there are no bombs on the field.
Outcome is determined when you click, regardless of position.

agree 100%, its just a illusion,  anyone who plays this game knows this.
Bit-Exo is one of the best sites out there, the owners are adding things all the time to enhance the site.


Bit-Exo works like that because Moneypot handles bets as rolls (for those who don't know). So every click would be a roll. (Position doesn't matter.)

On the other hand, sites like satoshimines pick the position of the mines. (Position matters.)
https://satoshimines.com/s/78434566/MhQwH4tAxbdo/
Secret : Secret: 9-15-14-MhQwH4tAxbdo   SHA-256 Hash : e8cd7ff770da572bf7f39b57ceb6a519b71f66a9c5660ac6ec399279d29fe1e5

Note: I don't know if satoshimines is legit atm. I tested in practice mode.
756  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Subject: [Primedice.com] The Big Multiplier Competition! - Win up to 1 BTC! on: May 13, 2016, 06:35:09 PM
Received! Thank you guys Cheesy
757  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Free BTC Givaway!!! One Billion Rolls Promotion at Fastdice.com on: May 13, 2016, 06:29:39 PM
ty fastdice.com i am WINNER    Kiss Kiss Kiss

Congratz Cheesy
758  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Free BTC Givaway!!! One Billion Rolls Promotion at Fastdice.com on: May 13, 2016, 06:21:41 PM
Didn't make it Sad

Someone by the name of septianuciha won! Congratz. Cheesy
759  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Free BTC Givaway!!! One Billion Rolls Promotion at Fastdice.com on: May 13, 2016, 06:10:38 PM
Less than one million rolls to go before we hit the big B. Make sure you're rolling to have a chance in the prize draw

What if I play at plaid speed ? Even if I win, I won't be able to know that was me
The plaid speed is insanely fast...  Shocked

Just use the option Bet Lookup in the left menu.  Cool
hurry up one million rolls  999531540 gogogogo
Awesome, lets hit it

I am on Cheesy
760  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: BitcoinRevolvers.com: Ongoing 2 Hour Daily Tournament. Win 0.01 to 0.5BTC Faucet on: May 13, 2016, 05:22:09 PM
Username : ndnhc2 Cheesy


Need clarification:

losses in daily tournament are not counted? Like if I win 0.05 in the first day and lose 0.09 the next day, my net profit would be 0.05 for the weekly and monthly tournament?

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