1581
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Work out how big the Nitrogen Dice Jackpot has to be for play to be profitable
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on: October 23, 2015, 04:00:23 AM
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- House edge/expected value
Each roll has a 1% house edge, 99% expected value.
- probability of rolling a 7
each roll has 4 numbers ##.## and each number has a 10% chance of being a 7 so each roll has a 40% chance of including a 7
- probability of rolling 13 consecutive 7s
40% x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 x .4 = 0.00067108864% Probability of having a 7 in the result of a 4 digit dice roll. => 1 - chance of 7 not appearing in 1 place ^ number of digits = 1-(0.9^4) = 0.3439 or 34.39%. Probability for the event to occur 13 times consecutively = 0.3439^13 = 9.4106210549937454718076051037294e-7 = 0.00000094106210549937454718076051037294. That is 1 in 1062629.12315 rolls. (1/(0.3439^13) directly) That is 1 bet in 1062.62912315 BTC wagered. House edge would be 10.6262912315 BTC. That is, if the number of required consecutive rolls with 7 to win the jackpot is 13, the jackpot should be more than 10.6262912315 BTC for the player to have a positive EV. Edit: Looks like it has been changed to 12 rolls. Jackpot > 3.6543815545 BTC in that case. [1/(1-0.9^4)^12]*0.001*0.01 = 3.65438155453 BTC
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1584
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Bitcoin price bet ?
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on: October 22, 2015, 03:22:13 AM
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There are a lot of sites offering binary options.
The most reliable in my opinion is secondstrade.com.
Then we have btcoracle, bitplutos, liberoptions etc. etc.
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1585
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Economy / Games and rounds / Re: [LONTONG SAYUR Giveway] - Answer & Win total 0.1 - Level : HARD
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on: October 22, 2015, 02:51:52 AM
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No twitter. 1. 35 days. 2. 24 years. Mary, who is sixteen years old, is four times as old as her brother. => Mary's brother is 4 years old. How old will Mary be when she is twice as old as her brother? After 8 years, Mary would be 24 years while his brother would be 12 years. 3. --------- ------- a--- endocrine system's axes arms. 4. 23 boxes. 5. 0.133333 or 13.33333$ There is a box that contains 4 green ball and 6 red ball. With randomly selected 2 balls from the box. How much the chance to take 2 green balls ? Probability of selecting 2 green balls = 4/10 * 3/9 = 13.33%.
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1586
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Economy / Gambling / Re: DaDice.com - Next Gen Social Gambling Dice Experience | Progressive Jackpot
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on: October 22, 2015, 02:32:34 AM
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Looks like someone finally got around to crediting my account. Took 2 weeks and 8 support requests but at least I finally got it!
Aye. Steve said it was credited (only just checked. reply was yesterday (confirming) and the day before (response)). Thanks New update. Website will be taken offline in about 48 hours until the relaunch.ETA : first week of November, towards the end of the first week.
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1587
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Challenge: What's the best way to win 1 BTC with 1 BTC?
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on: October 21, 2015, 02:06:56 PM
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...you do you should always be doing this is what I am gathering, is that correct?
Not really. If you are concerned about increasing your EV and beating the edge, you shouldn't play. Whichever strategy you pick, you can only minimize the impact of house edge on your EV. Maximize impact of HE on EV : bet at 98% win chance. Minimize impact of house edge : follow the winning strategies of Dooglus and the other winner. Nullify impact of house edge : Don't play. Beat the house edge : Not possible.
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1588
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Other / Meta / Re: Evil score visualization
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on: October 21, 2015, 07:57:11 AM
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When someone is banned, their IP and some of their neighboring IPs receive evil points.
Just curious - Is it the last used IP? What happens when the IP an account registered with, is different from the IPs used later on? It is most probably the IP address the account is registered with.
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1589
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Economy / Gambling / Re: DaDice.com - Next Gen Social Gambling Dice Experience | Progressive Jackpot
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on: October 21, 2015, 06:43:38 AM
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Guys, they took the word gullible out of the dictionary!
People giving them the benefit of the doubt sicken me. If there is any small doubt you should not be going near this site. Its not like there is a lack of places to dice at, and there are 3 places I can think of right now which are pretty safe to play and 2 that are safe to invest into. You don't need to take on added risk with what is clearly a scam that didn't work out for the scammer!
Oh of course, you are free to play anywhere you like.
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1590
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Economy / Gambling / Re: ★No.1 BITCOIN BINARY OPTIONS ★HIGHEST REWARD 190%★1% DOUBLE DICE★EXPIRY:1~720MIN
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on: October 21, 2015, 06:38:18 AM
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Edit: If you select "UP", when expiry price > entry price + 3, you will win , at this time reward will be 471%
The way this is interperted is When the Expiry price is Greater then Entry Price by 3 you win.... The wording and way its advertised is slightly misleading
Constructive Criticism.
Hi mate, It is kind of straight forward. The interpretation is incorrect lol. this is what they stated: 5Seconds+3 If you select "UP", when expiry price > entry price + 3, you will win , at this time reward will be 471% => expiry price > entry price + 3, you will win => 7 > 4 + 3 => 7 > 7 which is FALSE. So the bet was a lose. Edit: Correct interpretation is: When the Expiry price is Greater then Entry Price by more than 3 you win.... it is because a greater than sign is used and not a greater than or equal to. If you want the game you implied, it is 5Seconds+2.
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1591
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Economy / Gambling / Re: DaDice.com - Next Gen Social Gambling Dice Experience | Progressive Jackpot
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on: October 21, 2015, 06:26:07 AM
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Well, considering the circumstances, if the sale is faked, it is illogical for the admin to payout 2 BTC in contests. I know more than half the winners of the contests there to be sure that they are not shill accounts. The old owner considers this a failed project, but still decided to honor everything. What the new owner does is entirely his business, and I have fairly no idea about that. I am not related/affiliate to him or anything relating to him in any manner. My term ended kind of months ago with the old owner and there was no scamming of any players or stakeholders (other than certain misunderstandings and inability to provide a signed message due to particular reasons. Past scams including dicebitco.in proved their bankroll, while there are existing trusted casinos who haven't.) The amount concerned (not credited) to unboogeyman is 0.02 BTC. I tried to warn you guys. This had scam written all over it.
I haven't had any issues until 2 weeks ago... Must be a new owner who doesn't give a shit. Any update? Can you check your account? Since stats.dadice.com is not available, I can't check it myself.
Attention! Please refrain from depositing any amount to Da Dice till the new owner announces himself and accepts responsibility over Da Dice. (ETA : November 7th)The following issues can arise: 1. Deposit may not be credited. Some deposits may require manual confirmation in particular cases, and I am not sure whether the site is staffed at the moment. Also there is this malleability attack which is causing issues with hot wallets/deposits/withdrawals of almost all sites. 2. Withdrawals may be delayed or not sent. Again, malleability attack, requiring manual confirmation, or hot wallet may be empty. 3. Support may be absent. I personally have no idea whether the new owner have anyone staffed for Support or not. Pretty sure he is not in a hurry to do anything atm. You can still hang out on chat and talk with other players, mods. Play PvP, claim faucet and try out, and have fun. Update: that Da Dice will be taken offline in about 48 hours until relaunch.
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1595
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Experience with directbet.eu - Horrible and never bet again !
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on: October 19, 2015, 09:15:41 AM
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I thought to give a try to gambling and after a little search I found directbet was the best one. So i started playing but the experience was horrible.
I bet on some event and my bet keeps being in pending status and once something bad happened ( according to what I needed ) they immediately placed my bet. I thought this might just be a incident but after doing this 3 times I am sure the guys are very sketchy.
My personal recommendation : Never bet here at any cost, even if this is the last site on earth to bet at !
I hope the owner contacts me, else I will publish this at every possible forum.
Looks like your bet was on Negotiate Odds? Can you provide the bet ID? I never had any delays. All bets got confirmed like max 10 seconds after I send it (I pick flexible odds most of the time)
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1596
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Economy / Gambling / Re: Magicaldice.com | Officially Launched | Bitcoin Dice Website | Fancy Rolling
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on: October 19, 2015, 09:09:46 AM
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Hey I've had this one idea for quite some time now and I've noticed that no other site has anything like it.
I had heard discussions about the concepts from multiple dice admins. They just let the hi, lo stand because it is dead simple for players to bet. Bitoomba (now closed) had exactly the same thing you mentioned. btcdemon had a better version by allowing the player to select on any numbers or any range.
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1598
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Old $5000 bill help
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on: October 19, 2015, 04:16:40 AM
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$2. I bid $4! Double. send it over. It comes to around $30,000 to $100,000 I think, mostly depending on how rare it is. I am not an expert, but if you find the right buyer you can get more than that.
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1600
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Economy / Gambling / Re: [ANN] Bitroll.XYZ - Gambling platform - Free bitcoins
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on: October 19, 2015, 04:01:05 AM
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Seeing the last "High winning bets" I don't think ndnhc won it by betting , probably deposited and withdrawn without any betting just to check the bankroll.
Yesterday, I couldn't bet in the first place. It always threw up an error that the bet amount is bigger than the max bet which is -0.025 (negative) or something. That bug got fixed too.
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