Me complace comparecer en este ya clásico hilo para traer a colación que tras una subida de más del 7% rondamos los 47k USD. Era de esperar, por las fechas que son (ya se ve la línea de meta del halving en el horizonte) y tras el hype generado por el anuncio de la agenda de aprobaciones de ETFs.

Abróchense los cinturones que vamos a despegar...

Nobody can tell for sure what will happen or of we will break the immense psychological resistance of 100k, but we can talk about hunches or sentiment.

Taking into account the news about incoming ETFs, the halving in the next months, the price action of 2023 and the pattern of cycles that repeat every 4 years approximately, I am quite optimistic for Bitcoin, and I'm almost sure that if Bitcoin takes off, many alts will have an incredible ROI, especially low caps.

We could lose it all too, the future is uncertain by nature, so I would avoid going all-in too, not to get our fingers burnt.

But the OP wasn't asking about taking advantage of vulnerabilities, but about the ability to predict the outcomes if someone got the full algorithm. Like if someone got a master key or something like that.

I'm not a technical specialist so I get lost in technicalities, but the way I see it, the algorithm applies a set of rules and, given an input, returns an output; the problem is that for one input, the output is not unique, so I don't think it would work the way the OP was asking. That would happen if you got a list of numbers pre-selected by the casino that go one after another, but I think that algorithms are more "dynamic" than that... but let's see what math savvies have to tell us.

Because, the way I see it, even if there is nothing like perfect randomness (at least not in anything created by a human being) randomizers work so well that they almost work as if they were 100% random, and there are so many variables to take into account that it would be impossible even for the casino itself to predict their own outputs.

Most games are designed to make you lose in the long term by a slight difference, so chances are that the more you play the more money you end losing. Luck doesn't last forever, and even if a lucky player won 10k, if he kept gambling with it most probably he would end up losing at least a part.

That's why I especially like lotteries. Because, if you win the big prize, you can forget about continuing playing, because you already won enough for a luxurious retirement. And even if you continued playing, the cost of each ticket is so low that it wouldn't impact in the prize won (unless you play with thousands of tickets per draw).

Pues hombre, efectivamente, para cuando se recupere la moneda probablemente el creador de la moneda dónde estará ya... aunque no creo que use las claves para robar. Seguramente ya tendrá entre sus posesiones más Bitcoins con lo que no creo que arruinar la misión espacial por uno más le salga a cuenta.

Bueno, pues hoy es el día D si no me equivoco. ¿Hora estimada de despegue?

Last weekend the second greatest draw of the year was held in my country, Spain.

As I said a few weeks ago, December the 22nd 2/3 of the Spanish population play the Christmas National Lottery. But on January the 6th there is a "second chance" to win, in a lottery called "El Niño" (The Child). The greatest prize is exactly half of the prize compared to the former, but chances of winning any prize are quite bigger.

I don't think we could say that this is due to a preference for bigger prizes rather than higher probabilities, because the thrill before Christmas is higher so that's the main reason I think. But in some degree I think that it is the cause in part.

WOW! that's great! I haven't had the same luck with the free spins, but reading that is encouraging. Congratulations!

And congratulations to the OP too! if you wanted that TV so much and will bring you moments of joy, you did the right thing I think. Enjoy it

¿¡QUE CON SEUR SE PUEDEN MANDAR PAQUETES A LA LUNA!? 
Sorry Mayus

Me acabas de dejar de piedra fM.

Vamos a ver, si como dices un kilo vale 60k, unos pocos gramos que pesará la moneda tampoco sale tan caro. Ya me estaba imaginando yo otra cosa, un viaje más ad hoc, lo que dispararía los costes.

Pues no te acostarás sin saber una cosa más. Tengo que echar cuentas, a ver lo que me sale enviar a mi suegra a la luna.
Es broma, un beso para todas las suegris.

In my case, I don't think I change in any way when I gamble. I try to keep the coherence in the way I do all things, and if my personality is rational in my everyday life I strongly believe that it is the same in my activity online in general. "Porfirii" is a good example of what I'm saying: looking at how I write here you can make a good idea of my real nature. In the rest of online environments it is the same.

Nowadays having a bug hunting program is highly recommended for all casinos online, because otherwise they are facing an unnecessary risk. I hope the OP is eventually rewarded because it is in the best interest of both parties. My two sats.

Not in sports betting precisely, but I tried arbitrage in trading long time ago. It didn't work as I expected and never tried again, although I think that with the proper knowledge and well done it can be very profitable, but I didn't have the patience needed, and the way I did it there was still a risk factor.

Is it the same with sports betting arbitrage? or it doesn't have any risks? I suppose that if it is not risky more and more people will eventually try it and in the end odds in different sportsbooks will end being similar. Does it make sense?

People look for a purpose in their lives and some of them devote to their jobs, neglecting everything else. It might not be the best approach to living a fulfilling life, but it works for some, even if it is not the most ethical alternative in many cases. But, is the father or mother who are devoted to their family but aren't willing to have a job and let them live in poverty any better? There must be a balance.

A colleague in my work is retiring early, even if the effect in his income from now on will be terrible compared to what he would get if he held on for a couple of years more. He says that his work makes him angry or stressed sometimes, even at home, and that he doesn't want his son to remember him as the ogre he has become. And he has all my respect for that.

Vaya, eso último te iba a decir, que si la han "soltado" por ahí y se popularizan los viajes turísticos a la luna, a alguno le puede salir gratis el viaje si lo encuentra. One whole Bitcoin! dirá...

No sé hasta qué punto esta noticia tendrá impacto comercial entre los no iniciados pero supongo que financiar la campaña que hay detrás no será barato. Espero que les salga rentable el patrocinio. O no, que son centralizados.

It is the same, I think, with all addictions, or at least in most of them. Each one has its own negative social effects, and the impact of some of them is higher than others. In the case of gambling there are also degrees of addiction and, depending on the individual's circumstances, more or less damage for their relatives, friends and other people in his social or spatial circle.

The true danger in most severe cases is that, unlike what happens in the case of drug-addicts for example, is that the physical effects on the gambler can only be seen in the very long term (if they don't sleep well, don't eat well...), which makes it harder for others to know that there is a problem and, therefore, help in any way.

Dear Hatchy, thank you for your efforts. It seems that the admins in the other forum don't care about publishing there the services we provide here, which is great. Thank you for bringing it up.

About teleporting, in my case I created an account there with the same nickname as here to avoid phishing, but I'm not sure about it yet.



Congratulations!!! It makes a significant qualitative and quantitative difference. I remember how excited I was the day I got it.

I cannot edit the images right now from my smartphone, but I'll do it during the weekend from my computer. Keep up Hatchy!!!

That's the kind of trouble you don't think about until it happens to you. Not the same case, but I have had a few problems with wrong passwords that took me several days also to solve, which is also a very frustrating situation.

I always check twice (at least) the digits of the addresses before sending any amount to them, but it is true that I don't give it as much importance as the seed, which is even more important in reality because that's what all the funds in the wallet depend on.

Next time I create a new wallet I'll do it the way the OP suggests: note down the phrase and recover from it. If there is any problem with the recovery, then forget about the seed and create a new one. Much better to realise it before sending any funds, that's clear.

And it seems that there is a tendency to go all-in, for the chance to recover from the previous loss, in the case of many gamblers, which has his psychological explanation but that doesn't make much sense in terms of probability. But the possibility of erasing the mistake made (by gambling money they weren't willing to lose) is very strong, even if it is at the expense of falling in the same mistake.

I agree that it is potentially dangerous if children see their parents not only gambling, but also drinking or smoking, because according to research chances of becoming a gambler, drinker or smoker increase compared to cases in which this conditioning factor doesn't exist.

But there are degrees also in what we say, as it is not so potentially dangerous for the children to see their parents playing lottery from time to time, drinking a cup of wine or a beer in social events, etc. These cases are culturally accepted as innocuous or at least as an acceptable risk.

Esa es en parte mi duda, porque en el artículo mencionan el podcast, pero o muchísimo éxito tiene dicho programa o me parece que financiar toda esta campaña se sale del presupuesto. También se podía interpretar que la Administración pública podría estar colaborando. Amén de la comunidad Bitcoin. Bueno, una buena iniciativa, provenga de quien provenga.



No sé si estaremos consiguiendo equipararnos con el tiempo a Alemania o cada vez nos diferenciamos más, pero recuerdo que hace unos años la manera más fiable de comprar siendo español era hacerlo en algún sitio alemán, por falta de alternativas nacionales más allá del puro p2p y fíate tú de un tipo que anuncia que vende Bitcoin por Internet.

Wise words. A bit discouraging, but true in most cases.

The worst part would be that Newbies have the search feature capped by default for security reasons, which makes the learning curve at the beginning even more shallow for them. But we all here were able to make it, so I don't see any impediment for others to do the same now. It doesn't seem to be too late to start, but the perfect timing for those who didn't do it before, but patience is much needed.