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Author Topic: Tennis League All Thread  (Read 196746 times)
jeremypwr
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July 09, 2022, 04:55:00 PM
 #11581

Kyrgios +2.5 Sets @ better than 1.5 w/ Price Boost is my only bet.
And of course; Djokovic to win out!   

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July 09, 2022, 05:07:12 PM
 #11582

Kyrgios +2.5 Sets @ better than 1.5 w/ Price Boost is my only bet.
And of course; Djokovic to win out!   

Well its not impossible. I think that Kyrgios can win a set but needs to win one of first two sets to at least win one. But i hope Kyrgios will be motivated so that we have a good match to watch. But hoping for Djokovic to win the match and tournament for his 21st grand slam

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July 09, 2022, 05:53:07 PM
 #11583

It turns out that bookmakers are extremely unsure about the result of the men's final, since the margin is unusually large (usually it is in the region of 4-6% and closer to 4% for major events). Even the women's finals (where the games are always more random) have regular quotes.
I am sort of cynical so I have a very simple explanation for that difference. Couple of percent on men's final is much more money in your pocket than couple of percent on women's final. Therefore you build your good odds reputation on smaller games and then earn your paychecks on big ones.  

Watching Mektic/Pavic now and they are holding admirably well due to circumstances but that backhand is missing in Pavic arsenal and it could prove enough of advantage for opposition.

I think that this is not the case at all (earnings on an additional couple of percent of the margin). I remember that for the Champions League final the margin was only 4 percent even though this event is much bigger than Wimbledon. Most likely, bookmakers see an abnormal number of bets against Djokovic, but due to his instability, they cannot correct the odds properly, therefore, for reliability, they increase the margin.
By the way, Mektic and Pavić, having won the second set, regained the status of favorites and are now leading in the third set. The odds are 1.32 - 3,50 in their favor.

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July 09, 2022, 06:15:43 PM
 #11584

For both players today, it was the first final they ever reached in a Grand Slam tournament. Ons Jabeur started as the favorite in the final, she is also much higher than Rybakina. She is lucky that she is now playing for Kazakhstan, I have been told since 4 years. When it was 1-1 it could have gone either way, but Rybakina seemed to be fitter than Jabeur. But of course everyone is looking forward to tomorrow when Djokovic takes on sensation-seeker Kyrgios. Kyrgios has never won a Grand Slam.

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July 09, 2022, 06:59:38 PM
 #11585

...
Djokovic, Novak 1.21

Kyrgios, Nick 3.8

Bookmaker margin 9%!  Shocked
It turns out that bookmakers are extremely unsure about the result of the men's final, since the margin is unusually large (usually it is in the region of 4-6% and closer to 4% for major events). Even the women's finals (where the games are always more random) have regular quotes.

This could be and interesting match.
There are nice odds for Djokovic vs Kyrgios match... I have seen in bet365 @1.25 and @4 !
Kyrgios could be and option to evacuate in a Exchange betting, because if he start to play well odds could decrease drastically

At Stake.com sports betting, these are the odds for this match. This is pretty similar to the bet365 odds. Usually most of the bookmakers have the same odds. Is this coincidence or done deliberately?



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July 09, 2022, 07:01:41 PM
 #11586

Seeing these odds, Jabeur is the favorite to win this final but i am not sure whom to bet on. I am not a big fan of women's tennis and i think most people watch more of the Men matches as compared to the Women's tennis matches. I have watched almost all the matches of Nadal and Djokovic live on the TV but only watched the highlights of a few of the women's matches.
I hope you did not bet on Jabeur.  Smiley

Those who bet on Rybakina must be enjoying and very happy to bet on her. Rybakina won her first Grand Slam title. She was down in the first set but won the next two sets 6-2 6-2 to be the first player from Kazakhstan to be the Wimbledon title holder.
Jabeur was in good touch for last few matches but Rybakina is also having very impressive run, and she won her first Grand Slam in great way after losing first set by 6 - 3 and after this she never looks back which was another great quality from her even she was ranked 23rd and Jabeur was at second but still having win like this is not easy for any player.

But, we have to praise here Jabeur she is surely going to be game changes in Arab world with first Arab girl reaching into Gran Slam final is never been easy and now surely she is going to achieve her best ranking for few more weeks because with this form she can win some events which are good for her and future of her in this game.

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July 09, 2022, 07:16:08 PM
 #11587

For both players today, it was the first final they ever reached in a Grand Slam tournament. Ons Jabeur started as the favorite in the final, she is also much higher than Rybakina. She is lucky that she is now playing for Kazakhstan, I have been told since 4 years. When it was 1-1 it could have gone either way, but Rybakina seemed to be fitter than Jabeur. But of course everyone is looking forward to tomorrow when Djokovic takes on sensation-seeker Kyrgios. Kyrgios has never won a Grand Slam.

Ons Jabeur is ranked at number 2 in the single women's tennis ranking while Rybakina was ranked at no. 23. So we can say that today's result was an upset. Rybakina showed a better game on the day and deserves the title.



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July 09, 2022, 07:23:09 PM
 #11588

...
Djokovic, Novak 1.21

Kyrgios, Nick 3.8

Bookmaker margin 9%!  Shocked
It turns out that bookmakers are extremely unsure about the result of the men's final, since the margin is unusually large (usually it is in the region of 4-6% and closer to 4% for major events). Even the women's finals (where the games are always more random) have regular quotes.

This could be and interesting match.
There are nice odds for Djokovic vs Kyrgios match... I have seen in bet365 @1.25 and @4 !
Kyrgios could be and option to evacuate in a Exchange betting, because if he start to play well odds could decrease drastically

At Stake.com sports betting, these are the odds for this match. This is pretty similar to the bet365 odds. Usually most of the bookmakers have the same odds. Is this coincidence or done deliberately?




more or less the odds of the bets are the same among all bookmakers ... but obviously there can be variations due to the various bets that are placed by bettors to balance the profitability of the bookmaker.
keep in mind that what I entered is bet365 ita and I would not be surprised there were higher odds Roll Eyes

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July 09, 2022, 07:57:13 PM
 #11589

Nice tip for Ebden/Purcell @Trofo! HAd to do it the hard way but seems they went all the way every step except QFs. Nice.

Tip for tomorrow, for anyone using Bitsler. Look for the cashback promo (up to $100). Worked a treat today. If your ML selection takes a 4-game lead at any stage but ends up losing, you get money back.

Kyrgios +2.5 Sets @ better than 1.5 w/ Price Boost is my only bet.
And of course; Djokovic to win out!    

That'll be me tomorrow, just waiting for price boost to replenish Wink

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July 09, 2022, 08:09:21 PM
 #11590

At Stake.com sports betting, these are the odds for this match. This is pretty similar to the bet365 odds. Usually most of the bookmakers have the same odds. Is this coincidence or done deliberately?



Juicy odds on Nick, but Djokovic's racket is blazing hot recently.
This one is going to be a hard one, but over 3.5 sets seem to be a perfect pick to me.

Nick can surely get at least one set, right?? A 3-0 Djoko series will be a boring final  Cry
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July 09, 2022, 08:10:45 PM
 #11591

Well done from rybakina it was a huge win its her first grand slam trophy i guess especially that she was a huge underdog to win this title, personaly i did not expect her to win especially against jabeur since the number 2 ranked is really good in grass and rybakina seemed a bit off lately.
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July 09, 2022, 08:27:52 PM
 #11592

At Stake.com sports betting, these are the odds for this match. This is pretty similar to the bet365 odds. Usually most of the bookmakers have the same odds. Is this coincidence or done deliberately?



Juicy odds on Nick, but Djokovic's racket is blazing hot recently.
This one is going to be a hard one, but over 3.5 sets seem to be a perfect pick to me.

Nick can surely get at least one set, right?? A 3-0 Djoko series will be a boring final  Cry
it might end in three sets for Djokovic and it's what I think could happen, it would end with tight sets like 7-6 and 7-5, if Kyrgios couldn't break the serve of Novak this what I think will happen, the odds are pretty good for Novak to win 3-0 @2.55 I wouldn't miss a chance to bet on it.

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July 09, 2022, 09:35:20 PM
 #11593

Juicy odds on Nick, but Djokovic's racket is blazing hot recently.
This one is going to be a hard one, but over 3.5 sets seem to be a perfect pick to me.

Nick can surely get at least one set, right?? A 3-0 Djoko series will be a boring final  Cry
it might end in three sets for Djokovic and it's what I think could happen, it would end with tight sets like 7-6 and 7-5, if Kyrgios couldn't break the serve of Novak this what I think will happen, the odds are pretty good for Novak to win 3-0 @2.55 I wouldn't miss a chance to bet on it.
[/quote]
Current form is surely having good impact on this form and right now both players are in good touch specially Kyrgios who is coming from 3 - 0 in quarterfinal and Djokovic is consistently giving sets to opponents in big matches so better idea is not going with this score of 3 - 0 as Kyrgios can win, and we can go into four or five sets game.

After long time I am watching Kyrgios in better shape because in past he is mostly having few issues but now with improvement of quality and behavior he is playing good, and we can expect good resistance from him in final which is going to be vital for his future.

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July 09, 2022, 10:10:54 PM
 #11594

Tip for tomorrow, for anyone using Bitsler. Look for the cashback promo (up to $100). Worked a treat today. If your ML selection takes a 4-game lead at any stage but ends up losing, you get money back.

This is great but too bad though Im out of balance in bitsler, aye

Anyway Roobet is also offering up to $50 insurance if your player lose in 5 sets. Obviously taking Kyrgios to win in Roobet because of the insurance and I also have Djokovic to win on Sportsbet so yeah if nothing unusual happened tomorrow then either way, its going to be a decent amount of winning tomorrow. So glad that all these bookies throwing up promotions

R


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July 09, 2022, 10:20:38 PM
 #11595

Anyway Roobet is also offering up to $50 insurance if your player lose in 5 sets. Obviously taking Kyrgios to win in Roobet because of the insurance and I also have Djokovic to win on Sportsbet so yeah if nothing unusual happened tomorrow then either way, its going to be a decent amount of winning tomorrow. So glad that all these bookies throwing up promotions
Competition is always good for end customer. When somebody has monopoly on the market there is no incentive to be better, but when we get a couple of good bookies throwing promos around....happy times Smiley

Was a good day of betting for me today. Got something on Ebden/Purcell ML and one of my free bets multi tickets hit which is always nice. Managed to hit a perfect combo of eSports and tennis + one Swedish league football game which passed in 95th minute. So customary piece of good luck that is always needed to land an x5 multi.


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July 09, 2022, 11:15:48 PM
 #11596

At Stake.com sports betting, these are the odds for this match. This is pretty similar to the bet365 odds. Usually most of the bookmakers have the same odds. Is this coincidence or done deliberately?



Juicy odds on Nick, but Djokovic's racket is blazing hot recently.
This one is going to be a hard one, but over 3.5 sets seem to be a perfect pick to me.

Nick can surely get at least one set, right?? A 3-0 Djoko series will be a boring final  Cry
it might end in three sets for Djokovic and it's what I think could happen, it would end with tight sets like 7-6 and 7-5, if Kyrgios couldn't break the serve of Novak this what I think will happen, the odds are pretty good for Novak to win 3-0 @2.55 I wouldn't miss a chance to bet on it.
However the match doesn't look like a direct set win. Kyrgios will give the best, if match turns to be same as the semifinals then we'll get an opportunity to place bets on Djokovic at higher odds. For him this is a big opportunity, because if Nadal has played the previous match we don't how far is his chance of reaching the finals.

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July 10, 2022, 12:17:07 AM
 #11597

Would be absolute scenes if Kyrgios beats Djokovic in the finals. Highly unlikely since Djokovic has been looking pretty sharp at this point and he should be highly motivated to get yet another slam. Also, Congratulations to Rybakina for winning her first slam. Ons had been playing really well and probably would have deserved the win for Africa! but Rybakina was just too good. The stone cold assassin Cool!

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July 10, 2022, 06:22:58 AM
 #11598



Watching Mektic/Pavic now and they are holding admirably well due to circumstances but that backhand is missing in Pavic arsenal and it could prove enough of advantage for opposition.

Thanks for the tip Trofo, I took them on ML @2.75. It was a very close match, I watched
the last 3 sets and felt Ebden/Purcell didnt exploit the Pavic weakness as often as they
should have had but yea that last tie break was pretty much one sided.

Would be absolute scenes if Kyrgios beats Djokovic in the finals. Highly unlikely since Djokovic has been looking pretty sharp at this point and he should be highly motivated to get yet another slam. Also, Congratulations to Rybakina for winning her first slam. Ons had been playing really well and probably would have deserved the win for Africa! but Rybakina was just too good. The stone cold assassin Cool!


Yea John Macenroe said " Someone tell this girl she just won Wimbledon" I had Jabeur to
win, yea she was favourite at #2 and demonstrated fantastic Tennis in the first set but
the power of Rybakina came to the fore in the second and third sets along with her serve which
Ons couldnt match.

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July 10, 2022, 08:09:46 AM
 #11599

I am betting on Kyrgios to take at least one set @1.5 on my main insured x5 ticket. Glad this one was over >= 1.5 so that I could include it. Since I believe Kyrgios has to ride the momentum from beginning and if/when Djoko takes control the match will be over my second high stake bet is on Kyrgios +1.5 first set handicap @1.95 which is basically a bet that he does not lose serve in first set. My small stake bet goes on Kyrgios to win match 3:0 @11.00 but this one is just for fun.

I expect Kyrgios to actually take set 1 and maybe 2 and then Djoko to take over. We could have a 5 setter here to properly finish the tournament.

I'll be also watching youth finals, since our (Croatian) guy is in it, but no bets on it since I never watched his opponent play. Mili Poljičak has some serious skills and he could be the one to watch in future. 

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virasog
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July 10, 2022, 10:03:06 AM
 #11600

Nick can surely get at least one set, right?? A 3-0 Djoko series will be a boring final  Cry

When you have Djokovic in the final, then I do not see a 3-0 result. I am sure Djokovic will lose the first set, maybe he take more risk and lose the second set also.  Wink
By the way, if first two sets are won by Kyrgios, still bookmakers will not give good odds for Djokovic. Everyone believe that the winner will be Djokovic .

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