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Author Topic: Yet another analyst :)  (Read 269513 times)
lucif (OP)
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January 19, 2013, 09:22:07 PM
 #521

Bah... Fok it. Bearish Wedge fig off the 760 low confirming on price, macd and rsi.

Price and both oscillators draw same figure

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg360ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zxzi1gADXzi2gMACDzi3gRSIzv

And ADX shows highly probable local top. I really don't know where to strongly go up from here.

And volume confirming wedge. You may call me nuts, but I think in days we will  go down hard.
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waspoza
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January 20, 2013, 12:23:24 AM
 #522

So you shorted?  Grin
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January 20, 2013, 05:57:59 AM
 #523

Aaaand... This weekly candle looks sooooo bubbly

Bubble highly possible!
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January 20, 2013, 03:49:15 PM
 #524

Some porn for bulls to jerk on  Grin



However we are heavily ovebought. Move up will start bubble.
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January 20, 2013, 05:38:22 PM
 #525

Some porn for bulls to jerk on  Grin
let me grab the BB book i dont really get that W patten in there

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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January 20, 2013, 05:53:29 PM
 #526

So you finally covered that short I see.  Cool

Bro, do you even blockchain?
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January 20, 2013, 05:59:04 PM
 #527

oh yes that's a W16 there are 2 problems in this W16:
1 end of W16 is not inside of BB
2 the W is not at a bottom like John Bollinger explains this patten on chapter XII

Los desesperados publican que lo inventó el rey que rabió, porque todo son en el rabias y mas rabias, disgustos y mas disgustos, pezares y mas pezares; si el que compra algunas partidas vé que baxan, rabia de haver comprado; si suben, rabia de que no compró mas; si compra, suben, vende, gana y buelan aun á mas alto precio del que ha vendido; rabia de que vendió por menor precio: si no compra ni vende y ván subiendo, rabia de que haviendo tenido impulsos de comprar, no llegó á lograr los impulsos; si van baxando, rabia de que, haviendo tenido amagos de vender, no se resolvió á gozar los amagos; si le dan algun consejo y acierta, rabia de que no se lo dieron antes; si yerra, rabia de que se lo dieron; con que todo son inquietudes, todo arrepentimientos, tododelirios, luchando siempre lo insufrible con lo feliz, lo indomito con lo tranquilo y lo rabioso con lo deleytable.
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January 20, 2013, 06:09:21 PM
 #528

So you finally covered that short I see.  Cool
I dont trade inside wedges, hehe. Still waiting for either bubble or wedge confirmation.

Weekly candle above BB - good plus for bulls.
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January 21, 2013, 08:43:45 AM
 #529

Yeah, and weekly upper bollinger provided us a... BUBBLE  Grin

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January 21, 2013, 08:49:45 AM
 #530

I didn't know they had bears on the internet o.O, the BTC Bears? Tongue

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lucif (OP)
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January 22, 2013, 07:53:49 AM
 #531

Looks like we got a first resistance. 50% retracement from 32 to 2.

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this statement is false


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January 22, 2013, 08:08:24 AM
 #532

the heavy weekly MASS INDEX just made re-entry. this usually indicates a long-term trend reversal. get your seatbelts on, kiddies! Grin

looks pretty ominous, huh?


this sentence has fifteen words, seventy-four letters, four commas, one hyphen, and a period.
18N9md2G1oA89kdBuiyJFrtJShuL5iDWDz
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January 22, 2013, 08:15:07 AM
 #533

the heavy weekly MASS INDEX just made re-entry. this usually indicates a long-term trend reversal. get your seatbelts on, kiddies! Grin

looks pretty ominous, huh?

Relying on one indicator is not a reliable way to trade. Especially in a small market such as Bitcoin. The orderbook still indicates significant demand that is only being held stagnant by Mt. Gox logistical issues: Money transfers are being delayed.
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January 22, 2013, 08:16:50 AM
 #534

Looks like we got a first resistance. 50% retracement from 32 to 2.



How are these numbers calculated?

edit: nm its just percent to peak...
arepo
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this statement is false


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January 22, 2013, 08:18:54 AM
 #535

Relying on one indicator is not a reliable way to trade. Especially in a small market such as Bitcoin.

10-day 2-hour scale

clear head-and-shoulders pattern in the Chaikin Oscillator (2nd from top), as well as a bearish crossover in the ADX, Aroon, and Aroon Osc.



Also, a midline crossover in four oscillators which I use.



in other words, down from here if only for the short term. but be prepared for some panic selling by the more short-sighted folks. the rally may well have been a bull trap after all.

this sentence has fifteen words, seventy-four letters, four commas, one hyphen, and a period.
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lucif (OP)
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January 22, 2013, 08:18:56 AM
 #536

According to EW count of this rally, we are [probably] in top of 3. Some pullback expected. Or we may go to another resistance at 61.8% (20.5).

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January 22, 2013, 08:28:49 AM
 #537

the heavy weekly MASS INDEX just made re-entry. this usually indicates a long-term trend reversal. get your seatbelts on, kiddies! Grin

looks pretty ominous, huh?

Relying on one indicator is not a reliable way to trade. Especially in a small market such as Bitcoin. The orderbook still indicates significant demand that is only being held stagnant by Mt. Gox logistical issues: Money transfers are being delayed.

the orderbook cannot indicate demand. many orders never show up on the orderbook and many orders on the ledger are cancelled before they are executed. a decent indicator of where the market is used to be interest rates on bitcoinica; the interest rate for USD denominated loans on bitfinex is ridiculous, indicating a demand for leveraged long positions, indicating an excessive amount of open, leveraged long positions. everybody thinks we're going up, up, up so we're likely to see a long squeeze.

this sentence has fifteen words, seventy-four letters, four commas, one hyphen, and a period.
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January 22, 2013, 08:31:01 AM
 #538

the heavy weekly MASS INDEX just made re-entry. this usually indicates a long-term trend reversal. get your seatbelts on, kiddies! Grin

looks pretty ominous, huh?

Relying on one indicator is not a reliable way to trade. Especially in a small market such as Bitcoin. The orderbook still indicates significant demand that is only being held stagnant by Mt. Gox logistical issues: Money transfers are being delayed.

the orderbook cannot indicate demand. many orders never show up on the orderbook and many orders on the ledger are cancelled before they are executed. a decent indicator of where the market is used to be interest rates on bitcoinica; the interest rate for USD denominated loans on bitfinex is ridiculous, indicating a demand for leveraged long positions, indicating an excessive amount of open, leveraged long positions. everybody thinks we're going up, up, up so we're likely to see a long squeeze.
The orderbook can indicate demand but it can also have misleading information, which is what you are trying to say. That in itself does not prove demand cannot be indicated. Even the disingenuous information may indicate a greater truth. While it is not reliable information, it is information.
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January 22, 2013, 08:33:20 AM
 #539

The order book always was super-minor indicator for me. It doesn't show funds which "hide and wait". I sure they overwhelm order book funds more than 100%. Because always were the huge walls appearing from nowhere at place where nobody expect them.
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January 22, 2013, 08:48:14 AM
 #540

Yes, the orderbook does not encompass the sentiment of the entire market. It does indicate some since there is a cost associated with putting funds on it. Even intentional manipulation of the data can be used as an indicator.

Again, using only a single indicator--including the orderbook--is not a safe way to trade. All data should be considered.
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