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June 19, 2019, 10:29:00 PM *
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Question: Closing BTC Price June 17:
$0 - 4 (3%)
<$6,500 - 7 (5.3%)
$6,500-$6,750 - 1 (0.8%)
$6,751-$7,000 - 2 (1.5%)
$7,001-$7,250 - 3 (2.3%)
$7,251-$7,500 - 6 (4.5%)
$7,501-$7,750 - 4 (3%)
$7,751-$8,000 - 12 (9.1%)
$8,001-$8,250 - 13 (9.8%)
$8,251-$8,500 - 7 (5.3%)
$8,501-$8,750 - 6 (4.5%)
$8,751-$9,000 - 11 (8.3%)
$9,001,$9,250 - 13 (9.8%)
$9,251-$9,500 - 17 (12.9%)
>$9,500 - 17 (12.9%)
$20,000 - 9 (6.8%)
Total Voters: 132

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21229671 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (66 posts by 16 users deleted.)
HairyMaclairy
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March 18, 2019, 12:16:30 PM


I capitulated today.  Am now 100% cold hodl storage Bitcoin for my crypto portfolio.   No fiat reserves left at all and no open trading positions.  Am completely committed to the bandwagon.  

I have also increased my Bitcoin stack by 58% since 1 December 2017 so good outcome there.

Time will tell if I have moved too early but I believe the risk of any meaningful downside is now gone. 

This...is the kind of hubris that the Bitcoin market routinely punishes.

just sayin'

Hewp I’m being threatened with a green dildo
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March 18, 2019, 12:27:27 PM


I capitulated today.  Am now 100% cold hodl storage Bitcoin for my crypto portfolio.   No fiat reserves left at all and no open trading positions.  Am completely committed to the bandwagon.  

I have also increased my Bitcoin stack by 58% since 1 December 2017 so good outcome there.

Time will tell if I have moved too early but I believe the risk of any meaningful downside is now gone. 

This...is the kind of hubris that the Bitcoin market routinely punishes.

just sayin'

Of course that is true.

There is always some risk of meaningful downside.

The 2018-2019 bear market might not be long enough to be complete yet, so I would say that the risk of significant downside is still relatively high, but diminishing with each passing month.

At a rough guess , the probabilities favour the bottom being in, but only just...perhaps 40% chance of a new low later this year.

In other words, bull market?  hahahahahaha

Anyhow, currently, as I type, we have a bit more than a $800 gap between current price and most recent bottom of $3,122.  So it is possible to bounce around within the gap and without breaching the bottom.  Of course, if BTC prices get closer to the bottom, such as below $3,500, then folks will begin to become worried that the bottom is going to be tested again.

You are almost more bullish than me, with that 40% number, while I am like a broken record that is still stuck on 52% (I'm a lagging indicator  Cry Cry), until additional facts play out.
This sideways shit is just too much to constantly deal with because what you pointed out. We're only $800 from the bottom, which is a bit of wiggle room but definitely possible to break in a few minutes. It feels like we have that slow growth and we need to just drudge through the shit.
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March 18, 2019, 12:32:42 PM

Just read that in Holland (Utrecht) was another shooting on a tram
Could be an act of terror but not sure yet, still not to much news
Hopefully it isn’t to bad

Shootings on multiple locations and the suspect(s) is still missing.
One confirmed dead and multiple injured. The Netherlands is currently in a state of emergency.
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March 18, 2019, 12:37:00 PM

Regarding scenarios for adjusting your position or taking some kind of action?  I wonder what those would be.  A new bottom or something close to $3,122 might change your plan, and then I suppose if BTC prices go up too quickly, you might want to shave a bit of BTC off, too, I would think.

I might consider taking a leveraged long in 2021.  But frankly at this stage I am done with trading for the time being.*.  There is no chance of me selling and any further buys will require new money rather than recycled money, so would only dribble in at best.  


*I reserve the right to change my mind at a later date.

It is almost that you can take a break from this thread too.

Recall in the $8k arena and March/april 2018 time frame you said something very similar, but I suppose that a lot of us had already assumed that the February 2018 bottom of $6k was in, until it was not.  This time is different?  perhaps? I suppose if the bottom is really in, and BTC prices don't really go below $3,500 in the coming months, then you are going to be able to rest assured, but I suspect if BTC prices go blow $3,500 you are going to start to worry, and maybe you won't worry too much (since you already might be prepared for that), unless BTC prices go below $3,300, then it is going to begin to appear much more likely that prior support at $3,122 is going to be challenged again, and might be breached.   We will see.  We will see.
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March 18, 2019, 12:37:54 PM

Just read that in Holland (Utrecht) was another shooting on a tram
Could be an act of terror but not sure yet, still not to much news
Hopefully it isn’t to bad

Shootings on multiple locations and the suspect(s) is still missing.
One confirmed dead and multiple injured. The Netherlands is currently in a state of emergency.
Another attack like the on that happened in Paris? It originally sounded like not many victims.
JayJuanGee
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March 18, 2019, 12:48:16 PM


I capitulated today.  Am now 100% cold hodl storage Bitcoin for my crypto portfolio.   No fiat reserves left at all and no open trading positions.  Am completely committed to the bandwagon.  

I have also increased my Bitcoin stack by 58% since 1 December 2017 so good outcome there.

Time will tell if I have moved too early but I believe the risk of any meaningful downside is now gone. 

This...is the kind of hubris that the Bitcoin market routinely punishes.

just sayin'

Of course that is true.

There is always some risk of meaningful downside.

The 2018-2019 bear market might not be long enough to be complete yet, so I would say that the risk of significant downside is still relatively high, but diminishing with each passing month.

At a rough guess , the probabilities favour the bottom being in, but only just...perhaps 40% chance of a new low later this year.

In other words, bull market?  hahahahahaha

Anyhow, currently, as I type, we have a bit more than a $800 gap between current price and most recent bottom of $3,122.  So it is possible to bounce around within the gap and without breaching the bottom.  Of course, if BTC prices get closer to the bottom, such as below $3,500, then folks will begin to become worried that the bottom is going to be tested again.

You are almost more bullish than me, with that 40% number, while I am like a broken record that is still stuck on 52% (I'm a lagging indicator  Cry Cry), until additional facts play out.
This sideways shit is just too much to constantly deal with because what you pointed out. We're only $800 from the bottom, which is a bit of wiggle room but definitely possible to break in a few minutes. It feels like we have that slow growth and we need to just drudge through the shit.

I am surely not opposed to a lot of sideways, and even the trickling up is far from guaranteed, because as you mentioned, we all know how much gain can be purged in a very short period of time....

This kind of market behavior does happen when the bottom is in, too.. but a similar thing seemed to have been happening at supra $6k, until it wasn't... that is part of the problem of becoming too assured. 

On a personal note, I am quite biased towards up, too... It is not like I have much fiat available to buy more BTC.  It is like less than 2%.. so I am 98% for up... and I seem to recall that I was mostly prepared for up in the $6k price arena too, something between 96% and 97%, so it is not like I have been able to buy very much BTC in this $3k to $6k price range...
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March 18, 2019, 01:00:24 PM

I am also flat at the moment, and buying the dips whenever I have a chance. I hope for a slow rise where I can scalp a few conservative longs, but I know the road ahead is likely bumpy.
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March 18, 2019, 01:03:59 PM

Interesting watch on nuclear power if you're afraid of it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciStnd9Y2ak

Well, I haven't done a personal inventory of all these US reactors, but I was under the assumption most of these things are 70's and 80's construction and technology and are not really built to deal with prolonged grid failures, epic CME events, sitting unmanned for years due to a Yellowstone event, etc.
Findingnemo
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March 18, 2019, 01:16:59 PM

Got this from while scrolling news feed.



This is an clear example how media fabricate the news,that how we need to hear it from the actual scenario.
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March 18, 2019, 01:25:47 PM

Got this from while scrolling news feed.



This is an clear example how media fabricate the news,that how we need to hear it from the actual scenario.

F*ck religion it's the root of all evil Cool
Last of the V8s
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March 18, 2019, 01:32:27 PM
Last edit: March 18, 2019, 01:47:49 PM by Last of the V8s

http://woodcoin.info/2019/03/16/the-environmental-case-against-fiat/


huh had no idea funkenstein was still with us tbh
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March 18, 2019, 01:34:54 PM

Just read that in Holland (Utrecht) was another shooting on a tram
Could be an act of terror but not sure yet, still not to much news
Hopefully it isn’t to bad

Shootings on multiple locations and the suspect(s) is still missing.
One confirmed dead and multiple injured. The Netherlands is currently in a state of emergency.
Another attack like the on that happened in Paris? It originally sounded like not many victims.

Not as severe as Paris I think.

They just released the photo of the suspect. Apparently the person who did it, is a 37 year old Turkish guy. Not born in The Netherlands but in Turkey.
Last of the V8s
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March 18, 2019, 01:37:04 PM

mindrust
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March 18, 2019, 01:41:08 PM

Bought $500 worth of coins this day alone. (1.2k this month if I remember right) I'm headed towards $20k with the money I paid from my own pocket.

If I am not going to buy while it is down 80% when am I?

I am also starting to believe that 2.5 will never come. I still have a slight hope but it is diminishing with every day.

Not as severe as Paris I think.

They just released the photo of the suspect. Apparently the person who did it, is a 37 year old Turkish guy. Not born in The Netherlands but in Turkey.

Holy crap. That's not good. Not good at all. Fuck.
kingcolex
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March 18, 2019, 01:47:12 PM

Just read that in Holland (Utrecht) was another shooting on a tram
Could be an act of terror but not sure yet, still not to much news
Hopefully it isn’t to bad

Shootings on multiple locations and the suspect(s) is still missing.
One confirmed dead and multiple injured. The Netherlands is currently in a state of emergency.
Another attack like the on that happened in Paris? It originally sounded like not many victims.

Not as severe as Paris I think.

They just released the photo of the suspect. Apparently the person who did it, is a 37 year old Turkish guy. Not born in The Netherlands but in Turkey.
Everyone was jumping to conclusions that it was a newzealand copycat at first.
Last of the V8s
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March 18, 2019, 01:47:28 PM

https://twitter.com/mBTCPizpie/status/1107614413035462657
SCOOP: The Canadian Securities Administration is proposing to ban all short selling and margin trading in Canada. Lots of neat pieces of information in the document.
https://www.osc.gov.on.ca/en/SecuritiesLaw_csa_20190314_21-402_crypto-asset-trading-platforms.htm


if I see one more instance of the use of the fatuous use of the made up term 'resiliency' for 'resilience', i'll have to accept that both now exist and are part of the fucking language. and no i'm not getting old, other people are getting idiotic. what's next, retards, silency? nonsensy?
BTCMILLIONAIRE
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March 18, 2019, 01:49:11 PM


Nice.
BTCMILLIONAIRE
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March 18, 2019, 01:51:36 PM

https://twitter.com/mBTCPizpie/status/1107614413035462657
SCOOP: The Canadian Securities Administration is proposing to ban all short selling and margin trading in Canada. Lots of neat pieces of information in the document.
https://www.osc.gov.on.ca/en/SecuritiesLaw_csa_20190314_21-402_crypto-asset-trading-platforms.htm


if I see one more instance of the use of the fatuous use of the made up term 'resiliency' for 'resilience', i'll have to accept that both now exist and are part of the fucking language. and no i'm not getting old, other people are getting idiotic. what's next, retards, silency? nonsensy?
I am not even remotely old yet, but this is accurate. People often don't even seem to know what the words they use mean either.
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March 18, 2019, 01:52:04 PM


We need a bigger wall, not for the wall to get up and fly away.
ChinkyEyes
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March 18, 2019, 01:53:00 PM

Just read that in Holland (Utrecht) was another shooting on a tram
Could be an act of terror but not sure yet, still not to much news
Hopefully it isn’t to bad

Shootings on multiple locations and the suspect(s) is still missing.
One confirmed dead and multiple injured. The Netherlands is currently in a state of emergency.
Another attack like the on that happened in Paris? It originally sounded like not many victims.

Not as severe as Paris I think.

They just released the photo of the suspect. Apparently the person who did it, is a 37 year old Turkish guy. Not born in The Netherlands but in Turkey.
Everyone was jumping to conclusions that it was a newzealand copycat at first.
Yeah they advised closing Mosques in Utrecht directly after the attack happened.

Interesting is on 20th of March there will be elections in the Netherlands. This event will definitely influence the outcome.
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