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Question: Price Target for Nov. 30, 2024:
<$75K - 4 (3.3%)
$75K to $80K - 1 (0.8%)
$80K to $85K - 2 (1.7%)
$85K to $90K - 10 (8.3%)
$90K to $95K - 15 (12.4%)
$95K to $100K - 27 (22.3%)
>$100K - 62 (51.2%)
Total Voters: 121

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26580034 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
jojo69
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May 03, 2020, 05:23:00 PM

To all hodlers, and Mindrust, a 2.5 minute message from Warren Buffett during yesterday's Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Meeting:

https://www.youtube.com/embed/69rm13iUUgE?start=11600&end=11756
Reasonable: If you don't know what you're doing don't do it.

I converted about 10% of my retirement holdings to mutual funds/cash on Thursday. Logic being I was 100% into stocks and bonds, and I wanted to have some cash either to tide me through if jobs and such blew up or to buy dips in the market. Market has come back way too much right now, so a good time to sell. Took most of that from real estate as I can't see why anyone would have an office anymore since remote work is going so damn well....

That plus some bitcoin proceeds and such should keep me running for about 5 years without worry.

The other 90% I'll leave as is because I really don't need it. A lot is in overseas funds because I think they will recover sooner than the retards in the US. Will check back in 5 years or so.

Weird times. Wonder what will be next.

Haven't you heard? The asteroid (or has it already flown by?)  Grin

murder hornets  (no, really)
Toxic2040
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May 03, 2020, 05:26:39 PM
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Clean and simple

Support and resistance zones from the 0.236 to the 0.618 long fibs. Working between the 0.382 and the 0.5 seems like its right where we outta be. #dyor

4h

#stronghands
Last of the V8s
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May 03, 2020, 05:28:47 PM

You know those Asian hornets are a bit overblown. We've had them dotted about for a few years now and yes they are a bit mean to honeybees, but then they are not long for this world so who cares, and they don't attack people unless you try very hard so meh.
Biodom
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May 03, 2020, 05:38:51 PM

Clean and simple

Support and resistance zones from the 0.236 to the 0.618 long fibs. Working between the 0.382 and the 0.5 seems like its right where we outta be. #dyor

4h

#stronghands


Scenario: down to the dashed line, up to the dotted line...beats the reverse, IMHO.
What are our chances @Toxic2040? Most probable scenario?
eXPHHorizon
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May 03, 2020, 05:39:55 PM

To protect the Bees you need a Metal Housing, the Hornets will not penetrate that. + When you see that Giant ass Hornet , pick up a Tennis Racket and play some Hornet Tennis  Grin
Biodom
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May 03, 2020, 05:44:56 PM

To protect the Bees you need a Metal Housing, the Hornets will not penetrate that. + When you see that Giant ass Hornet , pick up a Tennis Racket and play some Hornet Tennis  Grin

Hornets remember   Wink
OutOfMemory
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May 03, 2020, 05:48:49 PM

To protect the Bees you need a Metal Housing, the Hornets will not penetrate that. + When you see that Giant ass Hornet , pick up a Tennis Racket and play some Hornet Tennis  Grin

Hornets remember   Wink

Dead hornets won't  Cheesy
Biodom
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May 03, 2020, 05:52:38 PM

To protect the Bees you need a Metal Housing, the Hornets will not penetrate that. + When you see that Giant ass Hornet , pick up a Tennis Racket and play some Hornet Tennis  Grin

Hornets remember   Wink

Dead hornets won't  Cheesy

they still have their alive buddies, don't they?

I remember as a child stepping on a apparent ground nest of either large wild bees or hornets deep in the woods, then I saw them crawling outta there and starting to get airborne.
I ran like a wind...and escaped. It only takes a few dozen bites to bring you down, I think.
eXPHHorizon
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May 03, 2020, 05:54:17 PM

I doubt that a Giant Hornet can leave its hormone scent on a 200MPH swing from a Tennis Racket  Tongue. Although i would not advise you to fight a Giant Hornet nest with a Tennis Racket tho  Grin
jojo69
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May 03, 2020, 05:57:52 PM

I doubt that a Giant Hornet can leave its hormone scent on a 200MPH swing from a Tennis Racket  Tongue. Althrough i would not advise you to fight a Giant Hornet nest with a Tennis Racket tho  Grin

no, but they can rip the head off every soldier in another species hive without losing a single individual

they weren't sure what was going on at first because there are no casualties among the hornets so no bodies in the destroyed hives.

bees kind of important to our food chain yo, it's not about a couple goddamn humans getting stung
Globb0
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May 03, 2020, 05:58:45 PM

OMG I just cooked the most amazing lasagne.

Family fed will they leave me alone for poker? we will see.

OutOfMemory
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May 03, 2020, 06:00:23 PM

To protect the Bees you need a Metal Housing, the Hornets will not penetrate that. + When you see that Giant ass Hornet , pick up a Tennis Racket and play some Hornet Tennis  Grin

Hornets remember   Wink

Dead hornets won't  Cheesy

they still have their alive buddies, don't they?

I remember as a child stepping on a apparent ground nest of either large wild bees or hornets deep in the woods, then I saw them crawling outta there and starting to get airborne.
I ran like a wind...and escaped. It only takes a few dozen bites to bring you down, I think.

Oh yeah. Wild bees. These are of a different kind. The first marks you with a sting, the rest of the pack is locked in on you.
Hornets are big, mean sounding, thus intimidating, but they're really harmless, unless you attack their nest or squeeze them between clothing and skin (for example).
If you step on a wild bee nest, run before you catch the first sting and change direction often, like a rabbit.
El duderino_
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May 03, 2020, 06:02:51 PM

via Imgflip Meme Generator
eXPHHorizon
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May 03, 2020, 06:03:06 PM
Last edit: May 03, 2020, 06:49:07 PM by eXPHHorizon

I doubt that a Giant Hornet can leave its hormone scent on a 200MPH swing from a Tennis Racket  Tongue. Althrough i would not advise you to fight a Giant Hornet nest with a Tennis Racket tho  Grin

no, but they can rip the head off every soldier in another species hive without losing a single individual

they weren't sure what was going on at first because there are no casualties among the hornets so no bodies in the destroyed hives.

bees kind of important to our food chain yo, it's not about a couple goddamn humans getting stung

Yeah Giant Hornets are really effective at Killing other Flying Insect species.. They really like to kill Bees expecialy, thats why i promote the eradication of Hornet nests near Bees. it is either the Hornets or the Bees unfortunately.... Sad The Hornets will not die off, they will just be forced to move away from humans in a remote area.

We had a nest of Hornets in our attic and it was MASSSIIVEEE , so massive infact i did not dare to aproach it. Had to call the Firemen to come Fully suited for a big fire to take them on...


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJ8ls5oN3ps
It was something like this.. just that instead of this small Hornets flying around there were fully grown European Hornets  

Holy crap, watch this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35rNS8ZKZvQ
Biodom
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May 03, 2020, 06:04:27 PM
Last edit: May 03, 2020, 06:19:55 PM by Biodom

OMG I just cooked the most amazing lasagne.


Send me some over Zoom, please...no, Zoom cannot do it yet?  Cool

[some relatives are engaged in showing their live meals over that app....too much family interaction for my taste]




^^^you can't breeze through the skin, LOL...self-circumcision gone bad.
Toxic2040
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May 03, 2020, 06:21:21 PM


Scenario: down to the dashed line, up to the dotted line...beats the reverse, IMHO.
What are our chances @Toxic2040? Most probable scenario?

Most probable? That we trade between the 0.382 and the 0.5 imho. People are buying and hodling bitcoin from what I am seeing. Has me thinking we could see a test at $10k soon..if not now then maybe by mid summer.

All I can really say is that my bitcoin feels more like $10k coins than a $5k coins atm.
bkbirge
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May 03, 2020, 06:23:53 PM

bees kind of important to our food chain yo, it's not about a couple goddamn humans getting stung

QFT. I don't know why I still get surprised at people's lack of knowledge of some of the most basic topics. And I'm no Brainiac but this is kind of well known stuff.
JayJuanGee
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May 03, 2020, 06:25:47 PM

Vegeta is back guys

... shall we play a game?

To play a game you must have some bitcoins and you have not for you've already sold yours in anticipation of lower price.


Did that happen in regards to Marcus?  How do you know becoin?  I really doubt that marcus would sell a large portion of his BTC stash preparing for down, even though I would NOT presume that he did not sell some.

I am sure that some regular members, here, sold higher amounts of Bitcoin than they would like to admit in the thread because they realize that they might have been gambling a bit much in regards to the level of down that they were anticipating that in the end might not happen.

I doubt that Marcus went full fiat, but I would not put it past any member here to have made the mistake of overly preparing for down... meaning selling more in preparation for down and causing themselves to be inadequately prepared for UP (and the UP that we ended up experiencing in recent weeks).

Around March 23-24-ish, I made a decision to sell slightly more BTC in the $7k to $8,500 price range in order to be better prepared for the possibility of going below $3k.  Here is a link to a post in which I describe some of my contemplations in that regard.  I probably have a few more subsequent posts that were related to the topic that came after this linked referenced post.

In essence, my recollection is that at that time, I felt that I was inadequately prepared for the possibility of sub $3k prices, and even the drop from $7,200-ish to $3,850 on March12 caused me to buy a bit less bitcoins in the $4ks because I was somewhat hoarding some of my cash and really did not feel that I had much of any cash left in the event that BTC were to go sub $3k.  So, ultimately, after some thought between March 12 and March 23-ish, I considered meaningful adjustments, and I executed on that decision by tweaking my buy/sell orders.

After March 23/24, the BTC price mostly did not correct (so far), and so I ended up selling a bit more than I otherwise would have.  Of course, if the BTC price had gone down, after that date, then the flow of fiat and BTC in my portfolio would have played out a bit differently, yet I do not regret my decision, at all.  

I implemented incremental increases in my BTC sales, so instead of buying back more BTC than I sold (that I had been doing since about mid-2019 - and likely previous to that, too), I was selling a little bit BTC more than I bought back in the $7k to $8,500 price range, and which largely meant that part of any fiat proceeds from sales that were made from those BTC sales in that $7k to $8,500 price range  were allocated towards buy back in the lower $3ks, which would thereby free up some fiat that I have off-exchanges that could be dedicated to the possibility of BTC prices going below $3k, which I was thinking that would largely be assigned between $2k and $3k, but maybe I would spread it down a bit more, and then likely I would run out of money that I would be willing to dedicate to further BTC sales, unless the BTC price remained in those lower price ranges, then new cash flow could be used for old school regular DCA-ing.

Anyhow, it is seeming quite likely that my preparations might have been for naught, but I do not feel bad about it at all.  In the end, it is only a few percentage of what I would have otherwise done, and all of that provides a kind of just in case the shit hits the fan, insurance.

By the way, after going above $8,500 in the past few days, it seems to me that my buy/sell BTC orders have largely reverted back to a situation of what they had been prior to my March 23/24 "emergency" tweakenings of my plan and my attempt to execute upon those tweakenings based on the subsequent BTC price movements, which we saw ended up largely playing out to the upside after that "emergency" (somewhat) change of plans/past practices.
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May 03, 2020, 06:49:30 PM


Man that's f8cking gross  Grin Grin Grin
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May 03, 2020, 06:52:13 PM
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Here's another Warren Buffett quote that applies to Bitcoin:

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