galdur
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:19:47 PM |
|
When will diff change? I expect blocks will slowdown on this change. ETA on diff change is 3.3 days. And I wouldn't call a jump from 40,6 bill to 43,5 bill negligable. I guess you don´t read too well. As you might have guessed I didn't click on that link at first. My estimate was if the recent drop in hash rate was real and not just a probability fluctuation (which would make sense when the price keeps dropping). If the hash rate hasn't dropped significantly we will end up somewhere in the area of 44-44,5b as suggested by bitcoinwisdom and bitcoincharts. The estimate is just lagging nonsense.
|
|
|
|
kryptopojken
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:26:01 PM |
|
It's so quiet in here
|
|
|
|
Fatman3001
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:26:56 PM |
|
When will diff change? I expect blocks will slowdown on this change. ETA on diff change is 3.3 days. And I wouldn't call a jump from 40,6 bill to 43,5 bill negligable. I guess you don´t read too well. As you might have guessed I didn't click on that link at first. My estimate was if the recent drop in hash rate was real and not just a probability fluctuation (which would make sense when the price keeps dropping). If the hash rate hasn't dropped significantly we will end up somewhere in the area of 44-44,5b as suggested by bitcoinwisdom and bitcoincharts. The estimate is just lagging nonsense. Bitcoinwisdom has a weird way of calculating estimates. The first week it is almost always way off. When it is closer to diff change it tends to be more in line. I normally use bitcoincharts for estimates as they seem to average in a more conservative way.
|
|
|
|
Fatman3001
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:29:36 PM |
|
It's so quiet in here
Är bara lugnet före stormen
|
|
|
|
|
galdur
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:33:09 PM |
|
When will diff change? I expect blocks will slowdown on this change. ETA on diff change is 3.3 days. And I wouldn't call a jump from 40,6 bill to 43,5 bill negligable. I guess you don´t read too well. As you might have guessed I didn't click on that link at first. My estimate was if the recent drop in hash rate was real and not just a probability fluctuation (which would make sense when the price keeps dropping). If the hash rate hasn't dropped significantly we will end up somewhere in the area of 44-44,5b as suggested by bitcoinwisdom and bitcoincharts. The estimate is just lagging nonsense. Bitcoinwisdom has a weird way of calculating estimates. The first week it is almost always way off. When it is closer to diff change it tends to be more in line. I normally use bitcoincharts for estimates as they seem to average in a more conservative way. Well, since mining is online I would have to assume that they´re capable of accurately keeping track of the hashrate.
|
|
|
|
luckygenough56
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1012
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:57:21 PM |
|
next stamp update soon :
blablabla need another 72h to flee with coins
|
|
|
|
|
Elwar
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
|
|
January 09, 2015, 12:59:06 PM |
|
The next 12 hours are
|
|
|
|
ChartBuddy
Legendary
Online
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:00:01 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
Fatman3001
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:03:21 PM |
|
When will diff change? I expect blocks will slowdown on this change. ETA on diff change is 3.3 days. And I wouldn't call a jump from 40,6 bill to 43,5 bill negligable. I guess you don´t read too well. As you might have guessed I didn't click on that link at first. My estimate was if the recent drop in hash rate was real and not just a probability fluctuation (which would make sense when the price keeps dropping). If the hash rate hasn't dropped significantly we will end up somewhere in the area of 44-44,5b as suggested by bitcoinwisdom and bitcoincharts. The estimate is just lagging nonsense. Bitcoinwisdom has a weird way of calculating estimates. The first week it is almost always way off. When it is closer to diff change it tends to be more in line. I normally use bitcoincharts for estimates as they seem to average in a more conservative way. Well, since mining is online I would have to assume that they´re capable of accurately keeping track of the hashrate. Nobody knows the exact hashrate at any given time. All anyone knows is how many blocks are solved within a set timeframe. If the network is lucky, it will look like the network has grown dramatically, if it is unlucky it can look like it has slumped. But if you look at graphs of several days of data you can normally spot when huge data centers are switched online or Bitmain is shipping some new products, by the way the range of the pendulum shifts upwards. But when it comes to the averages I think bitcoincharts includes the current difficulty for the missing data points of the next diff change. Whereas Bitcoinwisdom just averages the hashrate that has been recorded after the last diff change, ie. if the network has been very lucky/unlucky the first couple of days the estimate can be off with several, if not tens of, billions in either direction(normally up).
|
|
|
|
galdur
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:07:38 PM |
|
When will diff change? I expect blocks will slowdown on this change. ETA on diff change is 3.3 days. And I wouldn't call a jump from 40,6 bill to 43,5 bill negligable. I guess you don´t read too well. As you might have guessed I didn't click on that link at first. My estimate was if the recent drop in hash rate was real and not just a probability fluctuation (which would make sense when the price keeps dropping). If the hash rate hasn't dropped significantly we will end up somewhere in the area of 44-44,5b as suggested by bitcoinwisdom and bitcoincharts. The estimate is just lagging nonsense. Bitcoinwisdom has a weird way of calculating estimates. The first week it is almost always way off. When it is closer to diff change it tends to be more in line. I normally use bitcoincharts for estimates as they seem to average in a more conservative way. Well, since mining is online I would have to assume that they´re capable of accurately keeping track of the hashrate. Nobody knows the exact hashrate at any given time. All anyone knows is how many blocks are solved within a set timeframe. If the network is lucky, it will look like the network has grown dramatically, if it is unlucky it can look like it has slumped. But if you look at graphs of several days of data you can normally spot when huge data centers are switched online or Bitmain is shipping some new products, by the way the range of the pendulum shifts upwards. But when it comes to the averages I think bitcoincharts includes the current hashrate for the missing data points of the next diff change. Whereas Bitcoinwisdom just averages the hashrate that has been recorded after the last diff change, ie. if the network has been very lucky/unlucky the first couple of days the estimate can be off with several, if not tens of, billions in either direction(normally up). OK, at any rate that +10% or more disaster seems more unlikely now.
|
|
|
|
roslinpl
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1199
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:08:17 PM |
|
The next 12 hours are Critical for whom? I don't really care about BitStamp future. Bitcoin will live without another not secure exchange. :-)
|
|
|
|
cbeast
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:12:44 PM |
|
The next 12 hours are This is Gentlemen!
|
|
|
|
|
NotLambchop
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:25:13 PM |
|
Good morning gentlemen. Her Majesty sends her regards to her dear friends.
|
|
|
|
Bitcoin_BOy$
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:28:55 PM |
|
Good morning gentlemen. Her Majesty sends her regards to her dear friends. I ask Majesty to pump bitcoin
|
|
|
|
soullyG
|
|
January 09, 2015, 01:43:12 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|