molecular
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
|
|
November 12, 2013, 11:50:19 AM |
|
Why don't you bring your stuff here, this is THE thread =)
chart courtesy to oper128This thread is an attempt to generate an exchange rate graph that goes all the way back to January, 2009. The datapoints are monthly averages or typical prices as follows: | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | Jan | .005 | .005 | .42 | 6.0 | 16.4 | Feb | .005 | .005 | .94 | 5.0 | 27 | Mar | .005 | .005 | .83 | 4.9 | 58 | Apr | .005 | .005 | 1.31 | 5.0 | 118 | May | .005 | .005 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 121 | Jun | .005 | .008 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 104 | Jul | .005 | .06 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 86 | Aug | .005 | .06 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 105 | Sep | .005 | .06 | 5.6 | 11.6 | 122 | Oct | .005 | .11 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 163 | Nov | .005 | .26 | 2.7 | 11.6 | | Dec | .005 | .24 | 3.5 | 13.4 | |
1/2009-5/2010 Attempt to find data of actual OTC trades. The trades found, happened between 0.0025-0.0054. We do not currently know exactly if there was a trend to either direction during this time, or if trades were isolated. Assumed flat 0.005 for the purposes of this analysis but will change if appropriate. 6/2010 Transition to Mt.Gox 7/2010-5/2013 Mt.Gox weekly volume weighted average prices' average per month. 6/2013- BitStamp's weekly volume weighted average prices' average per month. At approximately mid-May, 2013, Mt.Gox started losing market share to Bitstamp and it's price started to diverge. Therefore the crossover in prices is already in the beginning of June, although Mt.Gox had a larger volume until October. UPDATE: dree's datapoints used, which will change the trendline slightly: y = 0,092x - 2,9124. R² = 0,91466. This is not yet updated in the charts, however (difference hardly noticeable). NOTE: x=1, when in Jan2009 (previously x=0) Trendline target for November 2013: $296 Trendline target for December 2013: $365 (first post of rpietilas thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=322058.0)
|
|
|
|
crazy_rabbit
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
RUM AND CARROTS: A PIRATE LIFE FOR ME
|
|
November 12, 2013, 11:53:38 AM |
|
I think I was one of the last ones to successfully withdraw from gox, thankfully pulled out all I needed to buy my house before the withdraw problems started.
Although it was at an average of $120/btc, missed the 266 bubble and this runup... Would have been way better off with a mortgage.
You can talk about sellers remorse in a couple of years. Still got plenty more. Besides, remorse is the 5000btc wallet lost to a corrupted bitlocker partition, or close to that lost to pirate. Jesus Christ, I can't imagine. Truly no way to recover that partition? Sent it off to 4 data recovery companies. Almost all datas intact, but the bitlocker metadata (including master key) are corrupt... 256 bit AES key Well keep it cryofrozen till one day in the future when they can fix that too. :-)
|
|
|
|
haightst
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
|
|
November 12, 2013, 11:57:57 AM |
|
I think I was one of the last ones to successfully withdraw from gox, thankfully pulled out all I needed to buy my house before the withdraw problems started.
Although it was at an average of $120/btc, missed the 266 bubble and this runup... Would have been way better off with a mortgage.
You can talk about sellers remorse in a couple of years. Still got plenty more. Besides, remorse is the 5000btc wallet lost to a corrupted bitlocker partition, or close to that lost to pirate. Jesus Christ, I can't imagine. Truly no way to recover that partition? Sent it off to 4 data recovery companies. Almost all datas intact, but the bitlocker metadata (including master key) are corrupt... 256 bit AES key Well keep it cryofrozen till one day in the future when they can fix that too. :-) now the stock market peeps are outright begging me to sell them coins at summer vacation prices!!!LOLOLOLLL ~spot price not cheap enuff for you?= how about 500?weeee
|
|
|
|
molecular
Donator
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
|
|
November 12, 2013, 11:58:31 AM |
|
I think I was one of the last ones to successfully withdraw from gox, thankfully pulled out all I needed to buy my house before the withdraw problems started.
Although it was at an average of $120/btc, missed the 266 bubble and this runup... Would have been way better off with a mortgage.
You can talk about sellers remorse in a couple of years. Still got plenty more. Besides, remorse is the 5000btc wallet lost to a corrupted bitlocker partition, or close to that lost to pirate. Jesus Christ, I can't imagine. Truly no way to recover that partition? Sent it off to 4 data recovery companies. Almost all datas intact, but the bitlocker metadata (including master key) are corrupt... 256 bit AES key Well keep it cryofrozen till one day in the future when they can fix that too. :-) That could actually be worth it.
|
|
|
|
ChartBuddy
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1802
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:01:45 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
gandhibt
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:02:34 PM |
|
I think I was one of the last ones to successfully withdraw from gox, thankfully pulled out all I needed to buy my house before the withdraw problems started.
Although it was at an average of $120/btc, missed the 266 bubble and this runup... Would have been way better off with a mortgage.
You can talk about sellers remorse in a couple of years. Still got plenty more. Besides, remorse is the 5000btc wallet lost to a corrupted bitlocker partition, or close to that lost to pirate. Jesus Christ, I can't imagine. Truly no way to recover that partition? Sent it off to 4 data recovery companies. Almost all datas intact, but the bitlocker metadata (including master key) are corrupt... 256 bit AES key Well keep it cryofrozen till one day in the future when they can fix that too. :-) That could actually be worth it. When the price is 50 000 USD/BTC that harddrive is worth 250 000 000 USD. There's some motivation to some brilliant hacker. EDIT. ofc pint of beer can cost you 100 USD then...
|
|
|
|
barbs
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:07:05 PM |
|
I just got locked out of my gox account, it's asking me for a yubikey and stating Invalid code sent when i hit enter, I dont have a yubikey.
Now i was blocked for too many requests from my IP for 24 hours AND i can't log in, worked fine 2 hours ago. They still havent responded to my support request.
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
|
|
|
|
wachtwoord
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1136
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:08:05 PM |
|
EDIT. ofc pint of beer can cost you 100 USD then...
Most hackers will work for a pint
|
|
|
|
tarmi
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:10:25 PM |
|
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
fool me once, shame on you. fool me twice...
|
|
|
|
adamas
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1014
Merit: 1003
VIS ET LIBERTAS
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:21:14 PM |
|
As there is a high demand for a logscale ..
|
|
|
|
gandhibt
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:32:56 PM |
|
I just got locked out of my gox account, it's asking me for a yubikey and stating Invalid code sent when i hit enter, I dont have a yubikey.
Now i was blocked for too many requests from my IP for 24 hours AND i can't log in, worked fine 2 hours ago. They still havent responded to my support request.
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
You don't have 2fa? Your account maybe hacked? Is there a number in support where you could call? Try to recover your password.
|
|
|
|
600watt
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
|
|
November 12, 2013, 12:41:03 PM |
|
I just got locked out of my gox account, it's asking me for a yubikey and stating Invalid code sent when i hit enter, I dont have a yubikey.
Now i was blocked for too many requests from my IP for 24 hours AND i can't log in, worked fine 2 hours ago. They still havent responded to my support request.
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
You don't have 2fa? Your account maybe hacked? Is there a number in support where you could call? Try to recover your password. relax. stay friendly. they will not take btc from your account. hopefully your password is/was safe. my experience with them concerning issues like this was always good. i had an account that was sitting untouched between 2011 and 2013 (i thought it was lost, but it wasn´t)
|
|
|
|
ChartBuddy
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1802
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
|
|
November 12, 2013, 01:01:48 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
bnjmnkent
|
|
November 12, 2013, 01:44:20 PM |
|
I just got locked out of my gox account, it's asking me for a yubikey and stating Invalid code sent when i hit enter, I dont have a yubikey.
Now i was blocked for too many requests from my IP for 24 hours AND i can't log in, worked fine 2 hours ago. They still havent responded to my support request.
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
You don't have 2fa? Your account maybe hacked? Is there a number in support where you could call? Try to recover your password. relax. stay friendly. they will not take btc from your account. hopefully your password is/was safe. my experience with them concerning issues like this was always good. i had an account that was sitting untouched between 2011 and 2013 (i thought it was lost, but it wasn´t) Barbs, if you use Google Authenticator, you could try re-syncing the application.
|
|
|
|
ChartBuddy
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1802
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:01:56 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
strawbs
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 868
Merit: 1340
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:02:32 PM |
|
Why don't you bring your stuff here, this is THE thread =)
chart courtesy to oper128This thread is an attempt to generate an exchange rate graph that goes all the way back to January, 2009. The datapoints are monthly averages or typical prices as follows: | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | Jan | .005 | .005 | .42 | 6.0 | 16.4 | Feb | .005 | .005 | .94 | 5.0 | 27 | Mar | .005 | .005 | .83 | 4.9 | 58 | Apr | .005 | .005 | 1.31 | 5.0 | 118 | May | .005 | .005 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 121 | Jun | .005 | .008 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 104 | Jul | .005 | .06 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 86 | Aug | .005 | .06 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 105 | Sep | .005 | .06 | 5.6 | 11.6 | 122 | Oct | .005 | .11 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 163 | Nov | .005 | .26 | 2.7 | 11.6 | | Dec | .005 | .24 | 3.5 | 13.4 | |
1/2009-5/2010 Attempt to find data of actual OTC trades. The trades found, happened between 0.0025-0.0054. We do not currently know exactly if there was a trend to either direction during this time, or if trades were isolated. Assumed flat 0.005 for the purposes of this analysis but will change if appropriate. 6/2010 Transition to Mt.Gox 7/2010-5/2013 Mt.Gox weekly volume weighted average prices' average per month. 6/2013- BitStamp's weekly volume weighted average prices' average per month. At approximately mid-May, 2013, Mt.Gox started losing market share to Bitstamp and it's price started to diverge. Therefore the crossover in prices is already in the beginning of June, although Mt.Gox had a larger volume until October. UPDATE: dree's datapoints used, which will change the trendline slightly: y = 0,092x - 2,9124. R² = 0,91466. This is not yet updated in the charts, however (difference hardly noticeable). NOTE: x=1, when in Jan2009 (previously x=0) Trendline target for November 2013: $296 Trendline target for December 2013: $365 (first post of rpietilas thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=322058.0) So for Christmas next year I can give myself retirement as a present? Hold, hold, hold.
|
|
|
|
crazy_rabbit
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
RUM AND CARROTS: A PIRATE LIFE FOR ME
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:04:04 PM |
|
I just got locked out of my gox account, it's asking me for a yubikey and stating Invalid code sent when i hit enter, I dont have a yubikey.
Now i was blocked for too many requests from my IP for 24 hours AND i can't log in, worked fine 2 hours ago. They still havent responded to my support request.
Goxxed. Thats what I get for giving them a second chance.
You don't have 2fa? Your account maybe hacked? Is there a number in support where you could call? Try to recover your password. relax. stay friendly. they will not take btc from your account. hopefully your password is/was safe. my experience with them concerning issues like this was always good. i had an account that was sitting untouched between 2011 and 2013 (i thought it was lost, but it wasn´t) Hey guys, this belongs in service discussion.
|
|
|
|
Sitarow
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:09:48 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
Sitarow
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1047
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:10:50 PM |
|
|
|
|
|
Miz4r
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
|
|
November 12, 2013, 02:28:16 PM |
|
Interesting how this correction looks very similar to the one we saw at $205 (Bitstamp). Price went back up close to ATH again both times and consolidates there. If it plays out the same way we should stay just below ATH for a few more days, perhaps with a few small bear traps on the way to shake some silly bears out.
|
|
|
|
|