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October 16, 2019, 12:57:58 AM *
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Question: Oct. 5 Closing Price:
$0 - 5 (3.5%)
<$8,000 - 38 (27%)
$8,000-$8,500 - 16 (11.3%)
$8,500-$9,000 - 10 (7.1%)
$9,000-$9,500 - 13 (9.2%)
$9,500-$10,000 - 12 (8.5%)
$10,000-$10,500 - 10 (7.1%)
$10,500-$11,000 - 5 (3.5%)
$11,000-$11,500 - 2 (1.4%)
$11,500-$12,000 - 4 (2.8%)
>$12,000 - 17 (12.1%)
>$20,000 - 9 (6.4%)
Total Voters: 141

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21402734 times)
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lightfoot
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May 27, 2019, 08:17:37 PM

*yawn* 8700. Blah.
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May 27, 2019, 08:21:01 PM

Dominance:
Bitcoin Dominance has fallen, and altcoin dominance (in total) has increased after falling to their bottom range after their lates spikes.
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May 27, 2019, 08:27:29 PM

I have put buy orders in the mid to high 6,000s (why so low?) I am remembering the bear market and if it taught me anything was that there would be a dip  a rally to lower than previous price point calm and a dip lower .

We are in reverse, bears had that low 6s dip and now it's gone higher than previously. They'll dip again but it won't reach previous lows and we will run higher than 8900.

Seems like you are putting a decent amount of reliance on your downward BTC price trajectory, which may or may not happen, prior to BTC going past $10k.

Hopefully, you are not betting too much on the downwards direction and that you are willing to leave those bets behind in case they do not fill.

I will admit that I currently have BTC buy orders down to the upper $3ks, but I could give too ratts' asses whether they fill or not.  Surely, you are correct that the odds for the buy orders filling are much greater the higher that you have them set, and each of us should always be prepared psychologically and financially for either BTC price direction, including surprises and overshooting. 

So the fact that you are disclosing to us that you are prepared for DOWN causes me to question your level of preparation for UP.   Preparing for either direction seems to be the most prudent approach, even though it might seems less profitable than making BIGGER bets in one anticipated direction or another.
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May 27, 2019, 08:31:19 PM

I have put buy orders in the mid to high 6,000s (why so low?) I am remembering the bear market and if it taught me anything was that there would be a dip  a rally to lower than previous price point calm and a dip lower .

We are in reverse, bears had that low 6s dip and now it's gone higher than previously. They'll dip again but it won't reach previous lows and we will run higher than 8900.

I suck at programming but here is my take: :p


If ever hits $6k, again;
I'm instabuying 0.3BTC

elif BTC hits $5k;
me buys another 0.5BTC

elif BTC hits $4k;
me buys 1 full BTC

else;
Keep DCA'ing.

exception   : sell some when it hits $50k
exception 2: sell some more when it hits $100k
exception 3: no matter how much you sell, always keep some in case it goes even higher

Mindrust, your tentative sell plan does seem to wait for pretty decently damned high prices before you sell any, and in case BTC prices do not hit such high levels, I hope that you are prepared for those kinds of price dynamics, too.

Furthermore, I would add to your plan outline that you (and anyone else) should be planning and preparing to keep some dollars, just in case the BTC price goes lower than your expectation levels.  It might not, but better to be prepared, than not.  That is my thinking, even though I know that others like to gamble a bit more than me and to even go all in at various price points.
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May 27, 2019, 08:44:05 PM


9600 by next week boys.

10k will be a strong psychological border, if we break up i would say we are officialy in bull market again lol

Too late.

We already are in a bullmarket.

Been a few weeks now that such transition took place.

A few weeks? We've been in a bull market all year.

Reasonable market assessments do not work like that.

Yeah, retrospectively, you can search for the bottom, including identifying the mid-December 2018 low of $3,122, but you cannot really rest assured to make an assessment that the transition from bear to bull has taken place until you reach a certain level of confidence that the bottom is in.  

I will argue that if you were arguing that the bottom was in at the beginning of this year, then you were either premature, presumptuous or lucky.  I could give two ratts' asses if you happen to be right, you were still making the call too early.

I will concede that reasonable people will conclude that the bottom is in at differing times and still be reasonable, even if their opinions differ on that particular point.

[edited out]


All year? We´ve been in a bull market since 2010.

 Cheesy

Actually, I would proclaim that is another reasonable way of looking at the matter, even though that kind of an assessment seems to look more at the long term and to gloss over shorter periods, which sometimes those shorter periods of down can take a decently long period of time to play out.  For example, some bitcoin down periods have taken 3 years before they have gotten back to previous prices, which can feel quite brutal for those who are not playing the market well, taking chances and neither dollar cost averaging, buying on dips to accumulate nor HODLing sufficiently.
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May 27, 2019, 08:46:54 PM
Merited by micgoossens (1)

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!
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May 27, 2019, 08:47:42 PM

I have put buy orders in the mid to high 6,000s (why so low?) I am remembering the bear market and if it taught me anything was that there would be a dip  a rally to lower than previous price point calm and a dip lower .

We are in reverse, bears had that low 6s dip and now it's gone higher than previously. They'll dip again but it won't reach previous lows and we will run higher than 8900.

Seems like you are putting a decent amount of reliance on your downward BTC price trajectory, which may or may not happen, prior to BTC going past $10k.

Hopefully, you are not betting too much on the downwards direction and that you are willing to leave those bets behind in case they do not fill.

I will admit that I currently have BTC buy orders down to the upper $3ks, but I could give too ratts' asses whether they fill or not.  Surely, you are correct that the odds for the buy orders filling are much greater the higher that you have them set, and each of us should always be prepared psychologically and financially for either BTC price direction, including surprises and overshooting. 

So the fact that you are disclosing to us that you are prepared for DOWN causes me to question your level of preparation for UP.   Preparing for either direction seems to be the most prudent approach, even though it might seems less profitable than making BIGGER bets in one anticipated direction or another.
I only have my day trade stash ($500 or so ) for down. The rest of my btc isn't moving. I decided to up my buy orders to 7.3 ish for a majority.
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May 27, 2019, 08:48:58 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!
So spooky spoooky scarey.
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May 27, 2019, 08:53:28 PM
Last edit: May 27, 2019, 09:04:45 PM by bitserve

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!

Welcome!

Please don't be afraid of JJG. He barks profusely, but don't really bite and is usually somewhat kind in its own way.

Enjoy!

P.S.: The rules are simple, don't ever feed the trolls (nor JJG on thursdays?). I think there was some about jbreher on wednesdays but not sure if that did stick.... anyway, remember that only Bitcoin (BTC) is the true Bitcoin and all will be smooth.
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May 27, 2019, 08:56:33 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!






more https://imgur.com/gallery/NIqhh0t
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May 27, 2019, 08:58:04 PM

Oh I just remembered today comes out the fourth episode of Chernobyl. Awesome mini-series!

Awesome as a show, horrible for what could have happened (mostly described in the second episode, but maybe more news in the fourth).
The history could have changed and all (apparently) depended on a few man acting in almost complete darkness walking in the chest high contaminated water.
Beats GOT, though, as the s-t is real.
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May 27, 2019, 09:02:20 PM

Oh I just remembered today comes out the fourth episode of Chernobyl. Awesome mini-series!

Awesome as a show, horrible for what could have happened (mostly described in the second episode, but maybe more news in the fourth).
The history could have changed and all (apparently) depended on a few man acting in almost complete darkness walking in the chest high contaminated water.
Beats GOT, though, as the s-t is real.

Still can't even trust the lambs in some parts of Wales.
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May 27, 2019, 09:06:17 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!

Great to see you drop by. There is one rule about the WO, don’t talk about the WO Wink


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May 27, 2019, 09:09:24 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!

Welcome!

Please don't be afraid of JJG. He barks profusely, but don't really bite and is usually somewhat kind in its own way.

Enjoy!

P.S.: The rules are simple, don't ever feed the trolls (nor JJG on thursdays?). I think there was some about jbreher on wednesdays but not sure if that did stick.... anyway, remember that only Bitcoin (BTC) is the true Bitcoin and all will be smooth.

Hahaha.... have actually noticed that long ago. He's more friendly than you think  Cheesy , together will sail with Bitcoin..... enjoy your day.
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May 27, 2019, 09:12:47 PM
Merited by Flying Hellfish (5)

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!



Well hello.... Sir, do know this is a very kind and fun thread, where we HODL together, Cheer together, (the knowledgable discuss together, I observe those situations), meme-gif together, just make some good moments together........ Also do don't mind the resident TROLLS : r0ach, Gembitz, rebal15.... just some noise in here.

for the rest we also do the



together Roll Eyes

Now back to BTC, PLEASE;





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May 27, 2019, 09:14:50 PM
Merited by kingcolex (1)

I have put buy orders in the mid to high 6,000s (why so low?) I am remembering the bear market and if it taught me anything was that there would be a dip  a rally to lower than previous price point calm and a dip lower .

We are in reverse, bears had that low 6s dip and now it's gone higher than previously. They'll dip again but it won't reach previous lows and we will run higher than 8900.

Seems like you are putting a decent amount of reliance on your downward BTC price trajectory, which may or may not happen, prior to BTC going past $10k.

Hopefully, you are not betting too much on the downwards direction and that you are willing to leave those bets behind in case they do not fill.

I will admit that I currently have BTC buy orders down to the upper $3ks, but I could give too ratts' asses whether they fill or not.  Surely, you are correct that the odds for the buy orders filling are much greater the higher that you have them set, and each of us should always be prepared psychologically and financially for either BTC price direction, including surprises and overshooting. 

So the fact that you are disclosing to us that you are prepared for DOWN causes me to question your level of preparation for UP.   Preparing for either direction seems to be the most prudent approach, even though it might seems less profitable than making BIGGER bets in one anticipated direction or another.
I only have my day trade stash ($500 or so ) for down. The rest of my btc isn't moving. I decided to up my buy orders to 7.3 ish for a majority.

Well, don't get me wrong, I am selling BTC in small portions all the way up, but I never make any BIG moves, and of course recently, BTC prices have mostly been going up (especially once the price broke above $4,200 on April 1), so I have not had too many opportunities to buy back... except the one dip a couple of weeks ago that we had down to from $8,200 to $6,200 - and that dip did not reach that $6,200 level on all of the exchanges... so fewer buy back on the exchanges that only dipped down to about $7k.

So, yeah, we could have more dips like the $6,200 dip, but sometimes, there is a kind of upwards price pressure that wants to continue to punish the shorts that continue to come in, and therefore, having a dip like that could stave off some further dips until it is no longer as profitable to punish shorters. 

So, yeah, if you are only hedging with a portion of your total BTC, then you are likely decently prepared for either BTC price direction, and not just betting in one direction that might not play out.
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May 27, 2019, 09:15:34 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!

if your visit brings a shitstorm of chinglish sig-campaigners and metatards down on us so help me man...

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May 27, 2019, 09:16:19 PM

Lol @ mic!
Fuck man, don’t ever change. You’re a legend, mate.

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May 27, 2019, 09:19:41 PM

Hello WO thread!

One of the regulars here said I should stop by and say hello.  I'll be honest though some of you lot scare the shit out of me!!!





*waves*

make yourself comfortable, we're mostly harmless
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May 27, 2019, 09:23:34 PM

Lol @ mic!
Fuck man, don’t ever change. You’re a legend, mate.





Thx man, will stay the same dude Smiley, what you say going both ways! Cheesy
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