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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.9%)
7/28 - 11 (10.4%)
8/4 - 16 (15.1%)
8/11 - 7 (6.6%)
8/18 - 6 (5.7%)
8/25 - 7 (6.6%)
After August - 58 (54.7%)
Total Voters: 106

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26462092 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Arriemoller
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March 16, 2020, 05:37:16 PM

I was actually raised in a bunker from the mid 80s onwards because my parents worried Judas Priest would make me commit suicide.

You're telling me it's safe to come out now?

Haven't you been paying attention?? Of course its not safe!

Mum says get your arse back in the damn bunker before she has to break out the paddle.

So the bus stop was just a big lie? I'm hurt and I feel betrayed.
Raja_MBZ
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March 16, 2020, 05:47:14 PM

It really feels like we're going to see a Bart back up again till $7000+.

Double bottom



So much needed hopium... thanks  Cool

No problem! Lemme know whenever you need more of it. Wink
JayJuanGee
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March 16, 2020, 05:55:13 PM


Yes, we have another damn day for Bitcoin  Roll Eyes I wonder how much time it takes for Bitcoin to become as stable as before  Roll Eyes I'm sitting here and watching my account go down every day, outside there is a raging virus  Roll Eyes Damn series  day with my wrong decisions  Roll Eyes
Now the lowest is 4400, how much next?

What would have been your wrong decisions?

You did not prepare financially and psychologically for BTC prices to go down, which would be having the ability to buy moar in the case that BTC prices were to go down, which they did?
Arriemoller
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March 16, 2020, 05:59:20 PM

and tbh I'd rather have pandemic posts in here than that stupid fucking Vegeta game ... that can fuck right off into it's own thread please, thank you.

Unfortunately out of merits again, have a good imaginary handshake instead.
JayJuanGee
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March 16, 2020, 06:02:28 PM
Merited by infofront (1)

If any any of you WOers consider selling just think: you HODLed during $20k peak, during $14k and $10k minipeaks. So why sell now?  Cool  Let's ride this thing down to 0 or get filthy rich. There is no 3rd option.

Ride to 0.  That's the spirit.

If ppl actually use BTC as currency, they will continue.

Hodlers may as well stop watching the price.

Calculate your net worth at say, $100 $1,200 per BTC, and just treat it as a small , highly speculative part of your investments.

You should not be overly fear inducing bearish Majormax.. it is not necessary....  - because you are inducing more hysteria than what you yourself actually believe, based on your own representations of your own beliefs.

Accordingly, your 99% scenario puts btc at a low of $1,200 in the worser case (99%, helrow?) scenarios, therefore, seems reasonable that you should be using your $1,200 number rather than $100.... Therefore, I fixed your own statement above to be more in line with your own thinking... no need to overly induce fear based on outrageous scenarios that you do not even deem to be within the realm of 99% probability, amiNOTrite?  Concededly, each of us are going to come to our own outrageous numbers of the extremes, but you should use your own numbers rather than hypothesizing some more severe extreme of someone else who you have already concluded is not being reasonable.. which means $1,200 for you specifically, not $100.
Paashaas
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March 16, 2020, 06:07:59 PM

Corona is temporary... it will go away eventually...
Or stay permanently.

In Hubei province 2 cities (Xiaogan and Tianmen) locked down again after opening for only one day, this happens when you force to reopening facilities while the virus is still going on.

Spreading route is unstoppable, at this point there is always someone out there who keeps infecting other people and most likely without realising it.

Even when China ore Italy trying to get their country back to nomal there is a very high possibility to get reinfected again. Epicentre might be located in another city/region.

I don't want to see people suffering ore boomers to die -this needs to end asap- i'm a realist, as far i see it Covid19 will stay here for a while.

Teams around the globe working 24/7 finding a vaccine, i have full confident they will solve this problem. But when and how the virus behaves along the way is still uncertain.

Phil_S
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March 16, 2020, 06:10:14 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)

Every sane person has known for a very long time that the dollar must collapse someday;

Not anytime soon. No universally-recognized replacement on the horizon.

Why do you assume that a replacement must exist before it collapses!?

Because its value is rooted in psychology. Right now people sell all types of assets (even gold) to buy dollars. Completely illogical, but that's a reality. Dollar will collapse when people will lose faith in it, when they'll rush to sell dollars to buy something else. That "something else" will become a new universally-recognized replacement.

Lots of worldwide value is locked in dollars right now. That value will not disappear. It will flow into "something else", into a replacement vessel.
El duderino_
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March 16, 2020, 06:10:33 PM

via Imgflip Meme Generator
lightfoot
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March 16, 2020, 06:11:12 PM

I wonder if someone could call the Fed and have them issue more merits on WO. We are in the middle of a serious merit liquidity crisis and need the Fed to come in and inject some much needed lubrication in the WO orifice.
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March 16, 2020, 06:12:42 PM

Am I too vain to say that it was a bit boring without football?
Maybe market low will be just before the mini-tournament (in lieu of CL).
https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/51906630

That tournament should lift the spirits.
Not a Vegeta, but something better of a game.
Lads would probably be super-hyper and would fly on the field.
Biodom
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March 16, 2020, 06:16:22 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Yes, we have another damn day for Bitcoin  Roll Eyes I wonder how much time it takes for Bitcoin to become as stable as before  Roll Eyes I'm sitting here and watching my account go down every day, outside there is a raging virus  Roll Eyes Damn series  day with my wrong decisions  Roll Eyes
Now the lowest is 4400, how much next?

What would have been your wrong decisions?

You did not prepare financially and psychologically for BTC prices to go down, which would be having the ability to buy moar in the case that BTC prices were to go down, which they did?

Interestingly, since this am btc correlates the best with gold stocks, but not with gold price.
gold stocks are outperforming gold by a vast %, which is for the first time during this 'downturn'.
EDIT: Dow is down 10%, but btc is holding 5K nicely.
infofront (OP)
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March 16, 2020, 06:25:15 PM

Corona is temporary... it will go away eventually...
Or stay permanently.

In Hubei province 2 cities (Xiaogan and Tianmen) locked down again after opening for only one day, this happens when you force to reopening facilities while the virus is still going on.

Spreading route is unstoppable, at this point there is always someone out there who keeps infecting other people and most likely without realising it.

Even when China ore Italy trying to get their country back to nomal there is a very high possibility to get reinfected again. Epicentre might be located in another city/region.

I don't want to see people suffering ore boomers to die -this needs to end asap- i'm a realist, as far i see it Covid19 will stay here for a while.

Teams around the globe working 24/7 finding a vaccine, i have full confident they will solve this problem. But when and how the virus behaves along the way is still uncertain.

It's a pretty crazy situation. If the virus doesn't recede significantly over the summer, will we stay on global lockdown for 1 year+, while waiting for a vaccine?
infofront (OP)
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March 16, 2020, 06:26:47 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Yes, we have another damn day for Bitcoin  Roll Eyes I wonder how much time it takes for Bitcoin to become as stable as before  Roll Eyes I'm sitting here and watching my account go down every day, outside there is a raging virus  Roll Eyes Damn series  day with my wrong decisions  Roll Eyes
Now the lowest is 4400, how much next?

What would have been your wrong decisions?

You did not prepare financially and psychologically for BTC prices to go down, which would be having the ability to buy moar in the case that BTC prices were to go down, which they did?

Interestingly, since this am btc correlates the best with gold stocks, but not with gold price.
gold stocks are outperforming gold by a vast %, which is for the first time during this 'downturn'.
EDIT: Dow is down 10%, but btc is holding 5K nicely.

That makes some sense, since gold stocks are extremely liquid, and all the big investors want access to quick cash.
rdbase
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March 16, 2020, 06:28:36 PM

TPC to save the day! Grin

https://www.somagnews.com/a-new-cryptocurrency-now-backed-with-toilet-paper

Didnt know munich cared enough in saving the rest of the world from their fetishes of pooping. Cheesy
lightfoot
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March 16, 2020, 06:31:37 PM

Busy day today, and to be honest this really fits my mood:


Biodom
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March 16, 2020, 06:33:24 PM

Let me guess: last hour 1000-1500 points rally in the Dow-60% chance; decline to 13% loss and circuit breaker #2-40% chance.
Maybe both? Just seems unlikely to persist at this 9-10% loss.
goldkingcoiner
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March 16, 2020, 06:34:06 PM

Corona is temporary... it will go away eventually...
Or stay permanently.

In Hubei province 2 cities (Xiaogan and Tianmen) locked down again after opening for only one day, this happens when you force to reopening facilities while the virus is still going on.

Spreading route is unstoppable, at this point there is always someone out there who keeps infecting other people and most likely without realising it.

Even when China ore Italy trying to get their country back to nomal there is a very high possibility to get reinfected again. Epicentre might be located in another city/region.

I don't want to see people suffering ore boomers to die -this needs to end asap- i'm a realist, as far i see it Covid19 will stay here for a while.

Teams around the globe working 24/7 finding a vaccine, i have full confident they will solve this problem. But when and how the virus behaves along the way is still uncertain.

It's a pretty crazy situation. If the virus doesn't recede significantly over the summer, will we stay on global lockdown for 1 year+, while waiting for a vaccine?

As far as I see it, corona will never disappear. We can't even fully get rid of AIDS or other simple viruses which are spread throughout the world. Whats the chance we can make corona disappear? And its not like the chickenpox. You can keep reinfecting yourself. Survive once sure, but the second time, your immune system is going to be running on low.

Suddenly I have an urge to visit foreign countries. I think I got the corona. D:
OutOfMemory
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March 16, 2020, 06:34:58 PM

Local bottom forming, and support strengthening, resistance remaining constant.
Breakout very likely, imho. But also a very good opportunity to counter-trade and dump coins on us.
 Huh what's next  Huh


Getting rejected by the 200 Week MA and volume point of control on the hourly time-frame isn't promising imo, it was looking like a nice breakout for a moment there.

...

I also feel looking at smaller time-frames when the Weekly candle is about to close in 10 hours is somewhat redundant...

Sorry, i wasn't too wise in choice of words and i second your opinion. Not really optimistic.
But on the smaller timeframes: I chose it for visualizing the narrowing spread. Trading activity seems to be quite low, something might be in the air, imho.

Forgot to reply yesterday (too drunk, housemates birthday Tongue) but please NEVER apologize for posting your charts or ideas in this thread - especially if I disagree with it. There is little to no benefit in everyone believing the same thing will happen, especially when a majority are usually wrong.

For example, while me and exstasie disagreed a lot in the recent past during the mini-bull (dead cat bounce) last year, this was beneficial because we could both benefit from each others alternative perspectives when shared. In the past few months, we have been sharing the same opinions a lot more often, and therefore the only benefit is seeing the same picture from a slightly different angle - therefore there is almost no benefit to either of us for this, or anyone else for that matter, as it only entrenches our own perspectives further.

Hence, often a don't have a response to exstasie's TA, because all I would have to say is "I agree, thanks for sharing", which I find better said with merit than words.

TL:DR: Please continue posting your charts and opinions, especially if they contradict my opinions  Tongue

No worries, i will Smiley
I just wasn't very precise, using the term "Breakout", which is commonly associated with a sudden UP move. I found the probability for a down move more likely, and i tried to correct that statement in my reply. We were both biased in the same direction, but my initial post was reading like the opposite. That was what i was apologizing for.

More and more traders seem to follow triangular boundaries on shorter timeframes. The lines almost always match, i tried to emphasize my "prediction" with the chart.
But you were right on the weekly candle, i tend to forget basic things like that more than often (points at his nickname).

Today i got hold of a bottle of my favourite vodka (made from milk), so maybe i'm the one that will be too drunk to reply later on today  Tongue
JayJuanGee
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March 16, 2020, 06:35:00 PM
Last edit: March 16, 2020, 07:08:34 PM by JayJuanGee

OK, I gave in. Just sent £8,000 to Coinbase & bought.

I obviously have a good sized corn stash but I now literally only have £2,000 worth of fiat in my entire list of banks & savings.

Effectively I am all in.


(Feeling guilty - the 2BTC were £7,700 combined so I had £300 left. I bought Litecoin with the £300 Cheesy Grin)

Yes... presumptively, you have an ongoing cashflow that could be made available for buying more bitcoin in the event that BTC prices stagnate in this arena for 6 to 12 months.. in a kind of worser case scenario.. .. though I do concede that even your 99% scenario seems quite optimistic on the lower end possibility.. and I hope you are correct in your seemingly too optimistic optimism.

@Lambie

Thanks man, I’m balls deep any way, I’m pretty much all in now. If you’re not buying now & you have spare fiat then I guess it proves you don’t fully believe.

You're welcome.  Smiley I wish I could buy more rn, but I fired off my last rounds before the Virus crashed everything.

I’m still going to buy regularly as I always have done & always will but it’ll be £500 here, £500 there & not larger amounts now.

Subsequent answer to my earlier (above) question regarding your anticipated ongoing cashflow that can reasonably be anticipated to be dedicated to ongoing BTC buys...
JayJuanGee
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March 16, 2020, 06:36:47 PM
Merited by mindrust (1)

Bought some etherium at the cheap to diversify my portfolio.

Corona is temporary... it will go away eventually...

So bitcoin (and etherium) will rise once again  Cool

Fuck ethereum...   you don't even know how to spell it, anyhow...  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


I don't think ETH will rise like it did again unless you can find another round of ridiculous amount of idiots to get scammed by ICOs again..

ETH rose while facilitating all those disgusting scams..
ETH just made those scams too easy to pull off, and pumped on gas prices..

Fuck ETH almost the same as you would fuck ethereum or etherium.  Fuck them all!!!!    Wink Wink
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