Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[tuneman1980]

According to my data, the number of new users learning about Bitcoin is still decreasing.

(This is an index number based on statistics from websites/webpages explaining about bitcoin.)



Today's index (not plotted here but on hourly chart) looks like it's going to be a new yearly low for a Friday.

why does your "chart" only go back until January 2014?  That is a bit selective of a rendition of the situation, isn't it?

Here's a page that compares Google Trends data to the price: http://cryptocoinstats.com/interesttracker.php

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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[sidhujag]

Modi is elected.. that is bullish bitcoin.

sure. and the muslim riot within three months

Muslims actually dont mind him.. its terrorists hes after. They know its a problem in their culture.
Still i wouldnt be surprised if modi went full pro bitcoin and India took charge.

[Walsoraj]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[p0peji]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

Bullish!!!1111 MOON!!!11 CCMF!!!!!11

[Walsoraj]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

Bullish!!!1111 MOON!!!11 CCMF!!!!!11

Explain yourself.

[adamstgBit]

banks have no problem buying bubblicious derivatives, lending money to poeple that are likely to default in < 12months.

wtf is this "risk profile" bullshit

[adamstgBit]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

Bullish!!!1111 MOON!!!11 CCMF!!!!!11

Explain yourself.

"We need to go to the moon!"

The panel members agreed

[p0peji]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

Bullish!!!1111 MOON!!!11 CCMF!!!!!11

Explain yourself.

Bullish comments dont need explanation.

[knightcoin]

banks have no problem buying bubblicious derivatives, lending money to poeple that are likely to default in < 12months.

wtf is this "risk profile" bullshit

indeed I was wondering what exactly "regulatory compliance" bitcoin falls ... is it about "money laundry bla mumbo jumbo" ?  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[TERA]

My new view of the market:



I wouldn't be suprised to see flat for an entire year.

I wouldn't be surprised to see that you're fucking wrong for the 10th time.
Remember your case-in-point during October?

Anyone who thinks bitcoin is staying 500 for a year is delusional. You're not fooling anyone.

This actually could have happened if it weren't for china.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[macsga]

banks have no problem buying bubblicious derivatives, lending money to poeple that are likely to default in < 12months.

wtf is this "risk profile" bullshit

It's because they feel this "Money v.2.0" will lead them out of business. It's like funding the guy next door to open a store just like yours with better products. What else? 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[nioc]

Modi is elected.. that is bullish bitcoin.

sure. and the muslim riot within three months

Muslims actually dont mind him.. its terrorists hes after. They know its a problem in their culture.
Still i wouldnt be surprised if modi went full pro bitcoin and India took charge.

He is known as being socially as well as financially conservative.  I don't know if that is accurate or what it means in regards to btc.

[Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay]

http://www.coindesk.com/china-moves-disrupt-access-major-bitcoin-websites/


SELL SELL SELL! 

Wow, this is really extreme. I imagine how frustrated ppl with online wallets are . OTOH, Chinese officials are very inconsistent - mobile websites still OK. Truly, it will be kinder if they would just openly and honestly shut everything down, not suddenly closing access to online wallets or off shore exchanges. Guess these are cultural differences, for some reason they do not want to appear to ban btc, even if they are effectively try to do it 

[Bitcoin_is_here_to_stay]

http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-businesses-detail-banking-setbacks-at-us-task-force-hearing/

Annemarie Tierney, general counsel and legal EVP for SecondMarket, told the panel that the high-risk profiling recently cost the company a long-time banking relationship.

She said:

“[The bank] gave us notice yesterday that they wanted to end that banking relationship, in part because our transitions around bitcoin, even though we’re not an MSB or an exchange, [it] raised our risk profile and it was too much work for them to figure it out.”

Tierney added that the termination was “very, very discouraging” for the company.

Game over. Sell before it's too late.  

That is ridiculous - US bank closed Second Market's account because they invest in bitcoin? Are we becoming China 

[JorgeStolfi]

Also this chart seems to say that the bitcoin system currently costs 30 USD per transaction:
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transaction
The cost of running the system is currently hidden in the inflation caused by mining, but in the long run will have to be paid by users as transaction fees.  If the numbers above are correct, bitcoin will be inviable for payments below 1000 USD.

It's an compelling argument on the face of it, but the question is compared to what?
What is the transaction and system maintenance cost of a USD/GBP/EUR fiat transfer?

Credit cards make huge profits from their fees, so the cost is much less than what they charge.

What is interesting is the marginal cost of a transaction, not the average.
In other words : how much does it cost for the system in place to generate one more transaction ?

That's a good question indeed.  I am  looking at these plots:
https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transaction?showDataPoints=false&timespan=&show_header=true&daysAverageString=7&scale=0
Note that there was a marked increase in the number of transactions around 2013/Dec/14, and another smaller hump around 2014/Mar/20.  At those times, the cost per transaction actually increased.   Thus it would seem that the cost is more than proportional to the number of transactions, i.e. the marginal cost is greater than the average cost.

Perhaps this effect is due to some marked change in the character of the traffic at those times, such as a decrease in the number of transactions per block.  (I understand that the expected cost of processing one block is largely independent of how many transactions it contains; is this correct?  If so, the cost per block should be a "cleaner" parameter than cost per transaction, right?)