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 Author Topic: FreeBitco.in-\$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆\$32,500 Wager Contest  (Read 446322 times)
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Mixing reinvented for your privacy | chipmixer.com

 December 03, 2017, 11:58:43 PM

First, Accumulate at least 2000 satoshi. EDIT: make that 2048 satoshi, so you would still make profit if you win after the 12th loss
Research game theories, betting theories like Martingale
It's harder than it sounds, but stick to your strategy with cool nerves.
Expect to zero your balance a few times before learning how to do the above 3
Shouldn't it be after the 10 losses. 1 +2 +4 +8 +16 +32 +64 +128 +256 +512 +1024 = 2047
the 11th bet of 1024 will be the last chance to win it all back.
This above is the original (unmodified Martingale). Notice that, after your last losing bet of 1024 sat, if the next one was a winner with a bet of 2048, then your profit, after all the stress of the 11 loss streak and almost having a heart attack, your profit would be only 2048 - 2047 = 1 satoshi !!!
That's one of the things each needs to modify in his version of Martingale!

I never said I used basic martingale, I was just saying 2047 only gets you 11 rolls
and the 11th roll will be your last chance to win it all back
If you said the next bet of 2048 could've won it back, then your correct it's the 12th bet
but your starting balance must be minimum 4095
fyi I started with multiplier of 3 do hi-lo switches, but this method cannot be used straight forward
once a while need to change strategy of different combination multiplier and hi-lo sequences
oh... I understand now, you also modified the bet amount too, not only multiplier
the point is modified martingale with several strategies adapting the house roll pattern
it's not easy.. and you need to control your emotion and use the best strategy after you overcome greed

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 December 04, 2017, 12:44:41 AM

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 12:53:33 AMLast edit: December 04, 2017, 01:12:28 AM by hroub

First, Accumulate at least 2000 satoshi. EDIT: make that 2048 satoshi, so you would still make profit if you win after the EDIT: 11th loss
Research game theories, betting theories like Martingale
It's harder than it sounds, but stick to your strategy with cool nerves.
Expect to zero your balance a few times before learning how to do the above 3
Shouldn't it be after the 10 losses. 1 +2 +4 +8 +16 +32 +64 +128 +256 +512 +1024 = 2047
the 11th bet of 1024 will be the last chance to win it all back.
This above is the original (unmodified Martingale). Notice that, after your last losing bet of 1024 sat, if the next one was a winner with a bet of 2048, then your profit, after all the stress of the 11 loss streak and almost having a heart attack, your profit would be only 2048 - 2047 = 1 satoshi !!!
That's one of the things each needs to modify in his version of Martingale!

I never said I used basic martingale, I was just saying 2047 only gets you 11 rolls
and the 11th roll will be your last chance to win it all back
If you said the next bet of 2048 could've won it back, then your correct it's the 12th bet
but your starting balance must be minimum 4095
fyi I started with multiplier of 3 do hi-lo switches, but this method cannot be used straight forward
once a while need to change strategy of different combination multiplier and hi-lo sequences
oh... I understand now, you also modified the bet amount too, not only multiplier
the point is modified martingale with several strategies adapting the house roll pattern
it's not easy.. and you need to control your emotion and use the best strategy after you overcome greed

Oh, I see what ur saying. yea, my math was off. I meant after "11th loss" (12th bet)... I was referring to basic martingale as an example (which doesnt work because at the end if u win, ur profit is whatever your first bet was, i.e 1 satoshi in the above example.

I'm kinda new to the lingo of this. What do you mean by "started with a multiplier of 3"? Does this mean triple the bet every time, or Payout = 3, Win chance=31.67% ?
If you are referring to tripling the bet every time, I think that can be extremely dangerous if you don't have a laaarge balance and u don't start from the minimum bet. I think it's safer to play with the amounts. (Hint: The bet amounts don't have to be common multiples. PM me and ask me for my referral code if u want my secret   I haven't been able to refer anyoe so far)

I'm still experimenting with my adapted Martingale. One trick I recently started using to avoid dangerously long streaks is watching the rolled numbers and try to predict a pattern. Usually it;s not easy, but a few times, you could detect a recognizable pattern. Example: if you roll the following sequence of numbers:
13503
24679
39573
45012
You can bet almost safely that the next roll would be higher than 50000

Another example of a recognizable pattern is something like:
49321
51893
46061
54021
32023
You can bet almost safely that the next would be above 6000

Then again, the problem with these patterns is that you never know when they change and switch to another pattern or just another totally irrelevant random number

BTW, a nice technique not to lose your cool is stick to a certain daily percentage increase in balance. I carefully increase my balance about by 10% every day. It takes me about 1-2 hours every day, but I just calculated that in if I keep compounding it, I will break even (make up my lost BTC) between 80 and 81 days from today

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 01:04:57 AMLast edit: December 04, 2017, 01:17:34 AM by hroub

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.
The week that I deposited 1.3 BTC and lost all, I had ended up with 860,000+ tickets and didn't win jack
It said I had 28+% chance of winning, on my lottery page, but guess what? Didn't win any of the 10 prizes. How unlucky can someone be???
Never waste any BTC or reward points on lottery tickets. Its so unpredictable, and chance of winning is ... idk... weird
I was so disappointed that I lost almost \$13K, that I wanted to believe that I was gonna win some back with the lottery, especially seince I had more than 28% of all the lottery tickets in the world! I didn't...

BTW, congratulations to me!!! I finally just became a Full Member

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› › › › ›  JOIN THE NEW AIRDROP ✈️        VERIFIED WITH DEEPVAULT  ‹ ‹ ‹ ‹ ‹
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chris200x9
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 December 04, 2017, 01:44:27 AM

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.
The week that I deposited 1.3 BTC and lost all, I had ended up with 860,000+ tickets and didn't win jack
It said I had 28+% chance of winning, on my lottery page, but guess what? Didn't win any of the 10 prizes. How unlucky can someone be???
Never waste any BTC or reward points on lottery tickets. Its so unpredictable, and chance of winning is ... idk... weird
I was so disappointed that I lost almost \$13K, that I wanted to believe that I was gonna win some back with the lottery, especially seince I had more than 28% of all the lottery tickets in the world! I didn't...

BTW, congratulations to me!!! I finally just became a Full Member

In a lottery, only 10 people are going to win and I think site need to remove that % of winning feature because it is not applicable. Even though if you purchase 90% of tickets but not sure whether you can win a lottery. It does not depend on how many tickets you got but it depends on your luck in the lottery.

You shouldn't have spent so much money but it is learning for you and should avoid these big mistakes in future.
Don Pedro Dinero
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 December 04, 2017, 03:14:04 AMLast edit: December 04, 2017, 10:52:50 AM by Don Pedro Dinero

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.
The week that I deposited 1.3 BTC and lost all, I had ended up with 860,000+ tickets and didn't win jack
It said I had 28+% chance of winning, on my lottery page, but guess what? Didn't win any of the 10 prizes. How unlucky can someone be???
Never waste any BTC or reward points on lottery tickets. Its so unpredictable, and chance of winning is ... idk... weird
I was so disappointed that I lost almost \$13K, that I wanted to believe that I was gonna win some back with the lottery, especially seince I had more than 28% of all the lottery tickets in the world! I didn't...

BTW, congratulations to me!!! I finally just became a Full Member

In a lottery, only 10 people are going to win and I think site need to remove that % of winning feature because it is not applicable. Even though if you purchase 90% of tickets but not sure whether you can win a lottery. It does not depend on how many tickets you got but it depends on your luck in the lottery.

You shouldn't have spent so much money but it is learning for you and should avoid these big mistakes in future.

I don’t think the site has to remove that at all, as it is applicable indeed.

Luck depends also on how many tickets. I you have 90% of the tickets you need way less luck to win the lottery than if you have just 0.0001% of them.

Anyway, buying so many lottery tickets is pretty crazy. Site owner must be very happy with customers like him.

(Post-edit: I’ve realized that he probably didn’t buy the tickets, but got them due to gambling so much, which is pretty crazy anyway)

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Bitinity
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 December 04, 2017, 05:39:40 AM

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.
The week that I deposited 1.3 BTC and lost all, I had ended up with 860,000+ tickets and didn't win jack
It said I had 28+% chance of winning, on my lottery page, but guess what? Didn't win any of the 10 prizes. How unlucky can someone be???
Never waste any BTC or reward points on lottery tickets. Its so unpredictable, and chance of winning is ... idk... weird
I was so disappointed that I lost almost \$13K, that I wanted to believe that I was gonna win some back with the lottery, especially seince I had more than 28% of all the lottery tickets in the world! I didn't...

BTW, congratulations to me!!! I finally just became a Full Member

Sorry for what you have just lost buddy, it is lottery where you may not win anything even if you have 90% winning chance. I think the lottery system is provably fair already, so you can verify it if you doubt about the results. You were just very unlucky to not win anything last week. Probably you should try this every week with lower amount. With 1.3btc you may divide it into several weeks instead of 1 week only.

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 December 04, 2017, 09:57:56 AM

I found some claim that you need to deposit an amount greater than or equal to the free rolls amount you have won so far. Other say that you don't actually need to deposit, as long as your balance is greater than or equal to double the free rolls amount you have accumulated. (you can see this info in Stats -> Personal Stats in your account.)

Yes, I asked about it when it changed a while back and Wetsuit the site owner replied telling us of the 2x free rolls total requirement. There is a certain amount of multiply BTC and/or Lottery tickets purchased needed as well, I'm not sure what exactly the requirement is but I haven't done either for quite a long time and I don't get a captcha.

The amount isn't the same for everyone. If your balance is equal to or greater than 2x of your total free play winnings, you do not need to solve a captcha.

Ahh, that's why it came back, you changed it from playing hi/lo game. Looks like I'm stuck with capture then as I've been playing for so long.

Also, wagering in the HI-LO game helps. I had to increase the balance requirements to 2x from 1x previously because botters had figured it out and could reach no-captcha without depositing. Now they will need to deposit to roll without captcha so it has reduced their activity.

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Don Pedro Dinero
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Merit: 375

 December 04, 2017, 10:46:24 AM

I'm still experimenting with my adapted Martingale. One trick I recently started using to avoid dangerously long streaks is watching the rolled numbers and try to predict a pattern. Usually it;s not easy, but a few times, you could detect a recognizable pattern. Example: if you roll the following sequence of numbers:
13503
24679
39573
45012
You can bet almost safely that the next roll would be higher than 50000

Another example of a recognizable pattern is something like:
49321
51893
46061
54021
32023
You can bet almost safely that the next would be above 6000

No, you can’t, because next bet is an individual mathematical event, independent from the former ones.

Again, don’t listen to this guy. I don’t doubt that he is having good faith in showing what he is doing but he has no idea about probability in gambling and the fact that he deposited 1.3 BTC and lost it all clearly shows it.

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Chris314
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Activity: 658
Merit: 266

 December 04, 2017, 10:53:28 AM

I'm still experimenting with my adapted Martingale. One trick I recently started using to avoid dangerously long streaks is watching the rolled numbers and try to predict a pattern. Usually it;s not easy, but a few times, you could detect a recognizable pattern. Example: if you roll the following sequence of numbers:
13503
24679
39573
45012
You can bet almost safely that the next roll would be higher than 50000

Another example of a recognizable pattern is something like:
49321
51893
46061
54021
32023
You can bet almost safely that the next would be above 6000

Then again, the problem with these patterns is that you never know when they change and switch to another pattern or just another totally irrelevant random number

BTW, a nice technique not to lose your cool is stick to a certain daily percentage increase in balance. I carefully increase my balance about by 10% every day. It takes me about 1-2 hours every day, but I just calculated that in if I keep compounding it, I will break even (make up my lost BTC) between 80 and 81 days from today

I don't understand how you can have 5-digit numbers where the game only draws from 0 to 10000.
As said above, it's random, there's no "bet almost safely" possibilities in gambling.

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Don Pedro Dinero
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 December 04, 2017, 11:05:19 AM

I don't understand how you can have 5-digit numbers where the game only draws from 0 to 10000.
As said above, it's random, there's no "bet almost safely" possibilities in gambling.

Lol! He just made a mistake but he could argue that even if he deleted last number, so, for the first example the sequence would be like this:

1350
2467
3957
4501

And he would then be pretty sure that next number would be above 5000.

Here we can see again a typical mistake repeated in so many threads on the gambling section. You are not betting on a 5-bet sequence to have at least one result higher than 5000. 4 results have already appeared, so next bet having an outcome higher than 5000 is still 50%.

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BTCevo
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 December 04, 2017, 11:09:44 AM

Martingale strategy does not work 100% well on dice games, because there is the house edge advantage on casinos side, the higher number of times you martingale when you lost in the rolls, house edge will empty your bankroll even faster, so it is better to gamble just for the sake of entertainment.

How can it does not work? As long as you have enough bankroll to cover I think this will be okay. Many of us said that it does not work just because they do not have enough bankroll to cover their loss. They want to eaen big but with small bet, how is that be possible? You even need to calculate how much loss that you might suffer from your bankroll and do not play too long as I can suggest
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 December 04, 2017, 11:12:36 AM

Here we can see again a typical mistake repeated in so many threads on the gambling section. You are not betting on a 5-bet sequence to have at least one result higher than 5000. 4 results have already appeared, so next bet having an outcome higher than 5000 is still 50%.

It's not just here, Gambler's Fallacy is as old as gambling itself and I'm pretty sure no amount of logic will ever completely eradicate it.

How can it does not work? As long as you have enough bankroll to cover I think this will be okay.

The problem is that the maximum possible losing streak is infinity so you would need an infinite bankroll. Also, you will run into the house maximum bet limit before you get there.

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 01:18:22 PM

LOTTERY ROUND 131
This round, the winner with the lowest number of tickets is #3 with 126 tickets.
#1 won with 777,690 tickets.
The week that I deposited 1.3 BTC and lost all, I had ended up with 860,000+ tickets and didn't win jack
It said I had 28+% chance of winning, on my lottery page, but guess what? Didn't win any of the 10 prizes. How unlucky can someone be???
Never waste any BTC or reward points on lottery tickets. Its so unpredictable, and chance of winning is ... idk... weird
I was so disappointed that I lost almost \$13K, that I wanted to believe that I was gonna win some back with the lottery, especially seince I had more than 28% of all the lottery tickets in the world! I didn't...

BTW, congratulations to me!!! I finally just became a Full Member

In a lottery, only 10 people are going to win and I think site need to remove that % of winning feature because it is not applicable. Even though if you purchase 90% of tickets but not sure whether you can win a lottery. It does not depend on how many tickets you got but it depends on your luck in the lottery.

You shouldn't have spent so much money but it is learning for you and should avoid these big mistakes in future.

I don’t think the site has to remove that at all, as it is applicable indeed.

Luck depends also on how many tickets. I you have 90% of the tickets you need way less luck to win the lottery than if you have just 0.0001% of them.

Anyway, buying so many lottery tickets is pretty crazy. Site owner must be very happy with customers like him.

(Post-edit: I’ve realized that he probably didn’t buy the tickets, but got them due to gambling so much, which is pretty crazy anyway)

Exactly that. I had gambled so much that I ended up with over 28% of the lottery tickets lol
Another interesting fact was that right after losing all, the free roll amounts went up also for about 3 days before they’d started going down again (due toBTC price rise). So you’re welcome

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 01:51:36 PMLast edit: December 04, 2017, 02:15:12 PM by hroub

I found some claim that you need to deposit an amount greater than or equal to the free rolls amount you have won so far. Other say that you don't actually need to deposit, as long as your balance is greater than or equal to double the free rolls amount you have accumulated. (you can see this info in Stats -> Personal Stats in your account.)

Yes, I asked about it when it changed a while back and Wetsuit the site owner replied telling us of the 2x free rolls total requirement. There is a certain amount of multiply BTC and/or Lottery tickets purchased needed as well, I'm not sure what exactly the requirement is but I haven't done either for quite a long time and I don't get a captcha.

The amount isn't the same for everyone. If your balance is equal to or greater than 2x of your total free play winnings, you do not need to solve a captcha.

Ahh, that's why it came back, you changed it from playing hi/lo game. Looks like I'm stuck with capture then as I've been playing for so long.

Also, wagering in the HI-LO game helps. I had to increase the balance requirements to 2x from 1x previously because botters had figured it out and could reach no-captcha without depositing. Now they will need to deposit to roll without captcha so it has reduced their activity.

OMG! Thanks for the quote, but could wetsuit have been anymore cryptic?

The amount isn't the same for everyone. If your balance is equal to or greater than 2x of your total free play winnings, you do not need to solve a captcha.
This alone is false. My balance is way less than 2x total free rolls:

Also, wagering in the HI-LO game helps.
This complicates things substantially. Now we have to somehow incorporate the number Multiply BTC rolls played M in a formula related to B >= 2F

Currently my M = 28,021 lol any ideas what this value should or could be in relation to B >= 2F to keep avoiding captchas ?

Can everyone share their following data to help me find a new formula, plz:
Code:
Multiply BTC rolls played M =
Total deposits D =
Free Roll Winnings F =
Referral Commissions earned C =

Thanks.

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TheQuin
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 December 04, 2017, 02:10:55 PM

This alone is false. My balance is way less than 2x total free rolls:

All I can say is it works precisely for me. I have made withdrawals and deposits and the 2x multiple is precisely when captcha disappears.

OMG! Thanks for the quote, but could wetsuit have been anymore cryptic?

I think you will find that was deliberate. Wetsuit also said he wanted to keep the precise formula secret so the bot abusers can't get around it so easily. If you succeed in your mission to work it out I hope you keep it yourself rather than helping them.

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marlboroza
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 December 04, 2017, 02:11:41 PM

I'm still experimenting with my adapted Martingale.
All experiments with martingale ended the same way. Why do you think you are smarter than everyone else and ignoring facts?
One trick I recently started using to avoid dangerously long streaks is watching the rolled numbers and try to predict a pattern.
You can watch rolled numbers 20 years and you won't find any pattern, you know why? Because there isn't any.
Usually it;s not easy, but a few times, you could detect a recognizable pattern.
No, you can't!
Example: if you roll the following sequence of numbers:
13503
24679
39573
45012
You can bet almost safely that the next roll would be higher than 50000
Or lower than 5000.
Another example of a recognizable pattern is something like:
49321
51893
46061
54021
32023
You can bet almost safely that the next would be above 6000
Or under 6000.
Then again, the problem with these patterns is that you never know when they change and switch to another pattern or just another totally irrelevant random number
Which means it is random.
After 20 rolled high numbers chance to roll high number IS 50%(little less because HE), also chance to roll low number is the same - nearly 50%.
There is no pattern, there is no such thing as higher chance on next roll because previous roll was...

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 02:21:26 PM

I'm still experimenting with my adapted Martingale.
All experiments with martingale ended the same way. Why do you think you are smarter than everyone else and ignoring facts?
One trick I recently started using to avoid dangerously long streaks is watching the rolled numbers and try to predict a pattern.
You can watch rolled numbers 20 years and you won't find any pattern, you know why? Because there isn't any.
Usually it;s not easy, but a few times, you could detect a recognizable pattern.
No, you can't!
Example: if you roll the following sequence of numbers:
13503
24679
39573
45012
You can bet almost safely that the next roll would be higher than 50000
Or lower than 5000.
Another example of a recognizable pattern is something like:
49321
51893
46061
54021
32023
You can bet almost safely that the next would be above 6000
Or under 6000.
Then again, the problem with these patterns is that you never know when they change and switch to another pattern or just another totally irrelevant random number
Which means it is random.
After 20 rolled high numbers chance to roll high number IS 50%(little less because HE), also chance to roll low number is the same - nearly 50%.
There is no pattern, there is no such thing as higher chance on next roll because previous roll was...

Lol where do you see any math in the above quotes? I can probably School u in math any day. I just haven’t done any probability calculations in this thread (yet)

I was merely referring to the patterns as a concept. I don’t think each rolled number is independent. I think (or hope) in this particular provably fair game that all the rolls played should average to 50000. I haven’t read the randomization algorithm they are using so I guess I’m just speculating

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 December 04, 2017, 02:27:26 PM

Lol where do you see any math in the above quotes? I can probably School u in math any day. I just haven’t done any probability calculations in this thread (yet)

Mathematics isn't what you are missing, it is the very definition of words. The rolls come from an RNG (Random number Generator). Random implies the absence of patterns. You may think you see them but that is a quite normal behaviour in a human to find order where it doesn't exist. Go back up a bit to one of my previous posts and follow the link to Gambler's Fallacy and you can find out where you are going wrong.

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hroub
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 December 04, 2017, 02:35:40 PM

Lol where do you see any math in the above quotes? I can probably School u in math any day. I just haven’t done any probability calculations in this thread (yet)

Mathematics isn't what you are missing, it is the very definition of words. The rolls come from an RNG (Random number Generator). Random implies the absence of patterns. You may think you see them but that is a quite normal behaviour in a human to find order where it doesn't exist. Go back up a bit to one of my previous posts and follow the link to Gambler's Fallacy and you can find out where you are going wrong.

I see I got some interesting reading to do. Thanks for pointing that link out. But isn’t provably fair supposed to use an algorithm that “balances nature”? The provably fair document is too long for me to read right now. I should be preparing for my final exams lol

EDIT: I guess I’ll come back to the provably fair thing and the fallacy after finals... I’ll stop trolling

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