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Author Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +97043 units  (Read 38923 times)
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July 23, 2021, 09:28:25 AM
 #1161

Well done Australia for kicking Argentina for two goals. Bravery and aggression wins the day. S Korea lost too so we didn't get insurance, no problem.

Sweden Women's shocked USA in the last game, snapping their 44-game unbeaten run. Australia women have played together only once the entire past year because of Covid. But can we bet on an overconfident Sweden to fall to nothing-to-lose Aussie girls? I say yes.

100 units at Sportsbet on Australia women's to WIN vs Sweden @8.04. Other odds: 7.55
Units advantage: 49

Running advantage after 418 bets: +28,173 (+49)
All-time cumulative: +66,471
Running units after 417 bets (63W|354L): +11,478 (-100)

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July 24, 2021, 10:24:03 AM
 #1162

Ouf, Aussies actually took the lead at some point but it's closing minutes now and Samantha Kerr can't save her team, down 4-2, tough.

Let's take another big one though, same Women's football, Japan to beat Great Britain to superior technical prowess, but the Brits also somehow able to score?

100 units at Sportsbet on Japan to WIN and BTTS @7.00. Other odds: 6.50
Units advantage: 50
Bet ID: 60fadbe29621d192c30bbdab

Running advantage after 419 bets: +28,173 (+49)
All-time cumulative: +66,471
Running units after 418 bets (63W|355L): +11,378 (-100)

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July 25, 2021, 09:47:06 AM
 #1163

It wasn't to be, and in the end the Brits put up a typically resilient defence, forcing Japan into submission ala EURO. Good sign for English progress, but not so much for progressive footie maybe?

Another upset is all I'll do today, and if I don't get this, I'll double up on Saudis later? Maybe

100 units at Sportsbet on Australia to WIN vs Spain (Men's soccer) @10.02. Other odds: 9.70
Units advantage: 32

Running advantage after 420 bets: +28,205 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +66,503
Running units after 419 bets (63W|356L): +11,278 (-100)

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July 26, 2021, 07:18:41 AM
 #1164

Man, so close, and yet so far. Lost 0-1 but Aussies defended like hell and couldn't register a single shot on goal, so well-deserved win for the European lasses.

Football is returning soon, and the signs are already there, so we'll be ending this season soon with the EPL Community Shield kicking off the new season.

Today, another 5-leg acca:

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Corinthians, Juventude, Heilongjiang, Pyramids, Wisla Krakow to WIN @25.27. Other odds: 23.02
Units advantage: 225

Running advantage after 420 bets: +28,430 (+225)
All-time cumulative: +66,728
Running units after 419 bets (63W|356L): +11,178 (-100)

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July 27, 2021, 06:33:06 AM
 #1165

Oops;) But 3 out of 5 on a big leg ain't bad, right? Shall we make another mess out of the same 5-leg accas at Sportsbet? With UCL qualification games tonight, I don't see why not.

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Gamba Osaka, Dinamo Zagreb, Legia Warsawa, Malmo, Fluminense to WIN @26.98. Other odds: 23.20
Units advantage: 378

Running advantage after 421 bets: +28,808 (+378)
All-time cumulative: +67,106
Running units after 420 bets (63W|357L): +11,078 (-100)

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July 28, 2021, 10:42:56 AM
 #1166

Oh man. Now profits is below 11k, might even not make it out of the season with 10,000 units. Not that it's a bad thing, still great to end the season in profit after so many consecutive losses but it really teaches me that my league football is a lot better than tournaments heh.

One last Olympics men's football bet, then I'll give up and go elsewhere haha.

100 units at Sportsbet on South Africa to WIN vs Mexico @10.24. Other odds: 9.80
Units advantage: 44

Running advantage after 422 bets: +28,852 (+344)
All-time cumulative: +67,150
Running units after 421 bets (63W|358L): +10,978 (-100)

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July 31, 2021, 12:05:49 PM
 #1167

Forgot to put in bets yesterday, US progress and BTTS against Netherlands in women's soccer was a solid 4/1 win, and it almost didn't need to go to ET and penalties. As it happened, that was the length the Dutch girls went.

Let's do a 5-leg acca with MLS and Chinese games, hm?

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Hebei, Shanghai, Seattle, NY RB, Sporting Kansas City to WIN @24.12. Other odds: 22.78
Bet ID: 61053bea9621d128f01507f7
Units advantage: 134

Running advantage after 423 bets: +28,986 (+134)
All-time cumulative: +67,284
Running units after 422 bets (63W|359L): +10,878 (-100)

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August 01, 2021, 08:07:55 AM
 #1168

Both MLS picks dead in the water, so we lose the acca. Not at all nice:)

Anyway, I've been looking at Bottas for a bit in the last few F1s, and his odds have always been about 8/1 to win, but Hamilton and Verstappen are impossible to get out of the way, even with a crash one or the other still ends up winning. But I'll put Bottas down again a third time and it'll be the end of it (until I change my mind).

100 units on Bottas to WIN @8.50. Other odds: 7.80
Units advantage: 70

Running advantage after 424 bets: +29,056 (+70)
All-time cumulative: +67,354
Running units after 423 bets (63W|360L): +10,778 (-100)

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August 02, 2021, 06:29:11 AM
 #1169

Not just no 3rd time lucky, but 3rd time incredible way to crash and burn right on the 1st lap. Serves me right, I guess! "I think it's fair enough" he said, heh. Ah well.

Australia's actually done well in the Olympics, haven't they? I know I have been losing all women's soccer bets but forgive me for one more upset attempt.

100 units at Sportsbet on Aus to WIN vs Sweden @6.72. Other odds: 6.50
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 425 bets: +29,078 (+22)
All-time cumulative: +67,376
Running units after 424 bets (63W|361L): +10,678 (-100)

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August 03, 2021, 07:35:07 AM
 #1170

Close game but the Swedes deserved the final, should be a tight game against Canada. Men's football plays today and I think Spanish and Brazilian football will take a tough but likelier victories against the fighting Japanese and Mexico. So I'll parlay those with Champions League qualifications tonight!

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Spain, Brazil, Rangers, Monaco, Olympiakos to WIN @37.52. Other odds: 34.23
Units advantage: 329

Running advantage after 426 bets: +29,407 (+173)
All-time cumulative: +67,705
Running units after 425 bets (63W|362L): +10,578 (-100)

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August 04, 2021, 08:11:31 AM
 #1171

Yikes. Olympics football not good 0-0 draws at full time, no chance! Am I going to give up as I surely should on these 5-legs? Of course not haha.

Another go in MLS and Champions League football, tight games as usual and probably better to go for one upset, but can't beat free insurance I say.

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Slavia Praha, Dinamo Zagreb, RB NY, Orlando, LAFC to WIN @15.99. Other odds: 15.45
Units advantage: 154

Running advantage after 427 bets: +29,561 (+154)
All-time cumulative: +67,859
Running units after 426 bets (63W|363L): +10,478 (-100)

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August 05, 2021, 05:27:20 AM
 #1172

One draw, one loss, in UCL, 2 draws, one loss in MLS. That was a really, really bad acca that went absolutely nowhere close. Amazing how far off the mark it can get! Shall we throw more money in on the favourites to at least win the first half in Conference and Europa tonight?

100 units boosted acca at Sportsbet on Maccabi Haifa, Gent, Pacos Fereira, Galatasaray and Elfsborg to WIN at HT @14.34. Other odds: 13.88
Units advantage: 46

Running advantage after 428 bets: +29,607 (+46)
All-time cumulative: +67,906
Running units after 427 bets (63W|364L): +10,378 (-100)

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August 05, 2021, 07:40:45 AM
 #1173

I watched parts of Dinamo game and Parts of Slavia Prague game, both teams were much better at those moments and on another day it would have been clean wins both. Why is there no VAR at this stage, it starts from play off round. I am reading there were a clear penalty for Dinamo which was not awarded. Slavia was attacking and pressing high, then an own goal and penalty around half time mark turned the game 180.

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August 06, 2021, 09:23:09 AM
 #1174

I watched parts of Dinamo game and Parts of Slavia Prague game, both teams were much better at those moments and on another day it would have been clean wins both. Why is there no VAR at this stage, it starts from play off round. I am reading there were a clear penalty for Dinamo which was not awarded. Slavia was attacking and pressing high, then an own goal and penalty around half time mark turned the game 180.

I don't know if I'm imagining it, but the entertainment value of games has been pretty high even in these qualification stages. Watched parts of Celtic game last night too, and yes, the defence was a bit laughable at times but technically, they're not that badly different from watching some premier league midtable games. This high press, non-stop running, end-to-end action is trickling down even to lower leagues. Maybe it's me getting older that games appear faster haha.

Anyway, shame about the HT acca, I did win another 5-leg acca yesterday on FT results, picking better odds, so overall happy with Conference/Europa/UCL betting so far, just not putting the right picks on this thread for wins.

To change all that, here's a 5-leg long weekend big acca on English Championship and Ligue 1 action that kicks off from today!

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Bournemouth, Blackburn Rovers, Derby, Nice and Strasbourg to WIN @89.32. Other odds: 84.60
Units advantage: 472

Running advantage after 429 bets: +30,079 (+472)
All-time cumulative: +68,378
Running units after 428 bets (63W|365L): +10,278 (-100)

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August 07, 2021, 09:35:05 AM
 #1175

Today marks the start of a fourth tracked season, which I traditionally start with the English FA's Community Shield and that's today.

So, after yesterday's loss. A final tally from last season:

Running advantage after 429 bets: +30,079
All-time cumulative: +68,378
Running units after 429 bets (63W|366L): +10,178

This will be entered into OP record.

Damn you Bournemouth, and now Derby odds dropped from almost 5/1 to now 24/10, so huge missed opportunity there I feel, damn.

Anyway, easy for me today to go against City on Community Shield, and tack that on to an opening day loss to Spurs, because hey, Nuno loves a win against City doesn't he?

100 units at Sportsbet on Leicester and Spurs to both beat City @22.04. Other odds: 21.45
Units advantage: 59

Running advantage after 1 bet: +59
All-time cumulative: +68,437
Running units after 1 bet (0W|0L):

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August 08, 2021, 10:36:42 AM
 #1176

Nice, late penalty from Leicester to book the first leg of our acca, but I have to say, not able to beat a weakened City playing 4-3-3 isn't a good sign. But it's a prize friendly, so let's not look too much into it. Spurs will be the real test!

Meanwhile, let's go for Japan and French league games today.

100 units boosted, insured on Vissel Kobe, Nagoya Grampus, Lille, Nice, Strasboug to WIN@24.20. Other odds: 23.12
Units advantage: 108

Running advantage after 2 bets: +167 (+108)
All-time cumulative: +68,545
Running units after 1 bet (0W|0L):

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August 08, 2021, 03:16:20 PM
Merited by buwaytress (1)
 #1177

Anyway, easy for me today to go against City on Community Shield, and tack that on to an opening day loss to Spurs, because hey, Nuno loves a win against City doesn't he?
100 units at Sportsbet on Leicester and Spurs to both beat City @22.04. Other odds: 21.45

Nice, late penalty from Leicester to book the first leg of our acca, but I have to say, not able to beat a weakened City playing 4-3-3 isn't a good sign. But it's a prize friendly, so let's not look too much into it. Spurs will be the real test!
Real test passed.
Great start for the brand new season of your betting venture.
Not sure what your target is for each season as I only just began following a couple of weeks ago but getting a 22x on the first one is a promising one for how the rest of your selections are viewed going forward.

Best of luck to you on the next parlay.

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August 08, 2021, 04:01:23 PM
 #1178

Real test passed.
Great start for the brand new season of your betting venture.
Not sure what your target is for each season as I only just began following a couple of weeks ago but getting a 22x on the first one is a promising one for how the rest of your selections are viewed going forward.

Best of luck to you on the next parlay.

Unfortunately not yet, haha. The second leg of that acca is next weekend against Manchester City, opening day game for both teams, not quite this friendly.

It would be a GREAT start for my betting season but City is still the firm favourite here haha.

Thanks for following, too. I had a terrible end to last season, hope I can bring all the luck back in 4th one;)

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August 08, 2021, 04:11:23 PM
 #1179

Thanks for following, too. I had a terrible end to last season, hope I can bring all the luck back in 4th one;)
I feel like you have best results when you play your game - betting on singles against big favorites. These x5 multi tickets on Sportsbet are killing you Smiley Just shows how good that insurance promo is, I am also playing them every single day and loosing more then I am winning and still I can't stop playing it. Just looks too good to pass.

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August 10, 2021, 10:02:16 AM
 #1180

Thanks for following, too. I had a terrible end to last season, hope I can bring all the luck back in 4th one;)
I feel like you have best results when you play your game - betting on singles against big favorites. These x5 multi tickets on Sportsbet are killing you Smiley Just shows how good that insurance promo is, I am also playing them every single day and loosing more then I am winning and still I can't stop playing it. Just looks too good to pass.

Thanks man, and yes, personally, I agree. I haven't actually done the research but I definitely recall all 3 seasons, bulk of the profits were made just from singles, and even the ones I didn't post here (since I rarely post everything), when I look at my Fairlay account, which is 99% ML, I'm in profit and it's from big underdog wins.

5x acca is a real killer, agree, I'm terrible at picking favourites... but as you say, the value is too great to ignore. That said, I think I've hit 3/4 5-legs in recent months that I don't post in here, I should go back and look to see if I actually got in profit (very sure I didn't). Insurance and the boost? How can you ignore that, right?Wink But now EPL starts again, I might do accas across longer days (not all in 24 hour period).

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