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Author Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)  (Read 23578 times)
Saint-loup
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June 05, 2020, 05:14:56 PM
 #1021

Very successful Dota 2 day. 6/7.  Cool

✔Nigma - ViKingg: Nigma, 1.61
✔NiP - HR: NiP, 1.58
✘Alliance - FTM: FTM, 2.18
✔Prodigy - Winstrike: Prodigy -1.5, 1.32
✔Secret - Family: Secret -1.5, 1.34
✔NaVi - Gambit: NaVi, 1.44
✔OG - CL: CL 1.5, 1.85

GG boys!
WOW! You're doing this score frequently?  Shocked
Have you already calculated an average of your previous scores?

Check out the webpage here

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XSQTTt8zu8CA7L_2gjDk8kL-NriG52bDJNK5v2lPLlk/edit#gid=0
Oh thank you very much  Smiley I didn't know this spreadsheet. Very useful to track his record. 

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rand1919 (OP)
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June 05, 2020, 09:48:53 PM
 #1022

Friday was a good day.  Tongue

#Dota2
✔Secret - Nigma: Nigma 1.5
✔Alliance - VP.Prodigy: Alliance ML

#CSGO
✔Vitality - Team Dignitas: Vitality ML
✔Gen.G - Triumph: Gen.G ML

Still waiting for 3rd CS:GO match to finish!
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June 05, 2020, 09:49:47 PM
 #1023

Nigma didn't seem to turn up for the secret game. They (Secret) got it by default after waiting 20 mins.

But its showing up as voided in my bets.





Yea map 1 was walkover for Team Secret. A free win. 2nd map won by Nigma. 3rd by Team Secret. Some sportsbooks graded this normally, some not, depends on their rulebook.
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June 05, 2020, 10:29:46 PM
 #1024

Nigma didn't seem to turn up for the secret game. They (Secret) got it by default after waiting 20 mins.

But its showing up as voided in my bets.





Yea map 1 was walkover for Team Secret. A free win. 2nd map won by Nigma. 3rd by Team Secret. Some sportsbooks graded this normally, some not, depends on their rulebook.

I think is quite not fair that Nigma gets to play only two maps (technically) and lost the game, they could have cause an upset, really.

I know for fact that the ML bet was graded null and void on Stake and it's graded as a win on 1xbet (please note: I'm not recommending 1xbet)

The truth is that there's nothing anyone can do about how these sport books decide to settle bets in this kind of situations.

@Rand1919 how was the bet settled on your sportbook ? And nice streak you've got today...

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rand1919 (OP)
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June 05, 2020, 10:48:16 PM
Merited by Harkorede (1)
 #1025

Nigma didn't seem to turn up for the secret game. They (Secret) got it by default after waiting 20 mins.

But its showing up as voided in my bets.





Yea map 1 was walkover for Team Secret. A free win. 2nd map won by Nigma. 3rd by Team Secret. Some sportsbooks graded this normally, some not, depends on their rulebook.

I think is quite not fair that Nigma gets to play only two maps (technically) and lost the game, they could have cause an upset, really.

I know for fact that the ML bet was graded null and void on Stake and it's graded as a win on 1xbet (please note: I'm not recommending 1xbet)

The truth is that there's nothing anyone can do about how these sport books decide to settle bets in this kind of situations.

@Rand1919 how was the bet settled on your sportbook ? And nice streak you've got today...

Yea, sadly there is nothing you can do in those kind of situations.

My site graded this match normally, they've just cancelled map 1 bets as far as i've seen.

Here is the betslip: https://betonbit.com/bet-slip/5fa6be17-990c-423f-824f-c5f27281445c
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June 06, 2020, 03:34:53 AM
 #1026

Nigma didn't seem to turn up for the secret game. They (Secret) got it by default after waiting 20 mins.

But its showing up as voided in my bets.

A win by default is not honored in some betting sites. I've just had a similar case of an unfinished game due to one team losing a member by disconnection. It was also decided as a win by default in favor of the complete team. However, bets related to it were also voided.

I'm now thinking of moving to betonbit.

Nigma didn't seem to turn up for the secret game. They (Secret) got it by default after waiting 20 mins.

But its showing up as voided in my bets.

Yea map 1 was walkover for Team Secret. A free win. 2nd map won by Nigma. 3rd by Team Secret. Some sportsbooks graded this normally, some not, depends on their rulebook.

I think is quite not fair that Nigma gets to play only two maps (technically) and lost the game, they could have cause an upset, really.

It seems unfair but there must be clear-cut ESL rules on this. I believe the decision was fair enough as far as the rules are concerned. The other team, organizers, staff, and so on cannot wait for them indefinitely.

As for Nigma, they've wasted that opportunity really bad. There must be a reason for them showing up late. But then a late that long is a loss.

They could have actually won it against Secret, reach the bracket finals, and get back at the team that kicked them out from the upper bracket before having a chance to play for the grand finals.

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June 06, 2020, 07:06:41 AM
Last edit: June 10, 2020, 11:38:54 PM by STT
 #1027

It could be considered a throw almost, very possible for some people to have advance notice of that default because it was a delayed flight or some external circumstances.   I can understand why it might not be honoured, in part to protect players even ?

There was an event ages ago where the broadcast was delayed, the teams who played the match knew the result so bet on it.   I can understand companies wanting to avoid irregularities and possible problems from disruptions and unknown factors.

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June 06, 2020, 09:20:01 AM
 #1028

It seems unfair but there must be clear-cut ESL rules on this. I believe the decision was fair enough as far as the rules are concerned. The other team, organizers, staff, and so on cannot wait for them indefinitely.
Even if the opponent team wants to wait for an hour or two or even longer, they don't have the rules in their hands but it's the admin who manage the tournament. It may look bad if you are watching them lose without any fight but rules are rules.

They have a schedule to follow and they have grace period given for each team that can't make it on time. In Lan tournaments, there's no problem with defaults but this is an online tournament and it covers a lot of regions for ESL.

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June 06, 2020, 11:03:11 AM
 #1029

[DOTA 2] ESL One Birmingham 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS lower bracket finals:

VP.Prodigy - Team Secret: Team Secret -1.5, 1.57 @ MY BETSLIP

VP.Prodigy never beat Team Secret, and they have never took a map off Team Secret. They've played 2 matches (2-0 and 3-0 for Secret). Looks like Secret is doing pretty good against CIS teams, while VP.Prodigy is struggling against EU squads. This should be easy Secret win. Hopefully, we don't see any upsets here. Handicap for Secret for me.

GL!
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June 06, 2020, 02:41:09 PM
 #1030

[CS:GO] Yesterday I did 3/3 big bets. Let's try to predict NA matches today:

FURIA - Gen.G: FURIA ML, 1.42 @ MY BETSLIP
evil geniuses - mibr: mibr, 1.98 @ MY BETSLIP
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June 06, 2020, 04:06:05 PM
 #1031

Easy Dota bet  Smiley

✔ VP.Prodigy - Team Secret: Team Secret -1.5, 1.57
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June 08, 2020, 11:27:48 AM
 #1032

Pretty good last 4 days. Here is little betting summary:

#Dota2 bets:
✘ Alliance - Team Secret: Over 3.5
✔ VP.Prodigy - Team Secret: Team Secret -1.5
✔ Alliance - VP.Prodigy: Alliance
✔ Team Secret - Team Nigma: Team Nigma 1.5
✔ Team Nigma - Team Liquid: Team Nigma
✘ Team Secret - FlyToMoon: FlyToMoon 1.5

#CSGO
✔ Evil Geniuses - mibr: mibr
✔ FURIA - Gen.G: FURIA
✔ mibr - Cloud9: mibr
✔ Gen.G - Triumph: Gen.G
✔ Vitality - Team Dignitas: Vitality

We will continue tomorrow with BLAST Bounty Hunt bets and predictions  Cool

Enjoy your Monday!
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June 08, 2020, 11:49:21 AM
 #1033

Not much Dota on today,

I backed the following CSGO acc-

Complexity v Fnatic

MadLions v Team Spirit

Heroic v Vitality
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June 08, 2020, 10:49:54 PM
Merited by Globb0 (1)
 #1034

3/3 today for VIP group friends  Cool



This month started really good. We are progressing slowly but surely  Smiley
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June 09, 2020, 10:33:39 AM
 #1035

I have these 2 as an acca

Team Liquid v Nigma
Alliance vs NiP




And another with Nip Navi Faze in CSGO
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June 09, 2020, 12:37:31 PM
 #1036

[DOTA 2] CS:GO tournament organizer BLAST revealed their unexpected foray into Dota 2, with plans unveiled to host a $145,000 online tournament called BLAST Bounty Hunt from June 9 to 13. Let’s analyse day 1 matches.

Team Liquid - Team Nigma: Team Nigma ML, 1.47 @ MY BETSLIP
Alliance - Ninja in Pyjamas: Alliance ML, 1.38 @ MY BETSLIP

MATCH: TEAM NIGMA VS TEAM LIQUID
Date: Tuesday, June 9th @ 16:30 CEST

Team Liquid will have a chance for the rematch here. When Team Nigma is at its best, it’s capable of winning anything, including The International. It’s also entirely possible that Nigma will completely flop at any given event. The team looked weak at ESL One Los Angeles and the WePlay! Pushka League, and finished last in Gamers Without Borders. What’s the cause of this inconsistency? That’s unclear. It isn’t a matter of substitutes, as Nigma will bring the same roster they always do to BLAST Bounty Hunt. While Team Nigma has been inconsistent, Team Liquid has been predictably good. But not quite great. The team has posted solid results in most of the events it has competed in, but hasn’t won anything this season.Liquid placed in the top six at both majors and has posted solid placements in most of the leagues it has taken part in this season, including second place at OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online and third in the WePlay! Pushka League. Liquid has proven it’s capable of getting wins over formidable opponents, but it may face a stiffer test in Team Nigma. Liquid and Nigma actually just finished up playing against one another in the playoffs of ESL One Birmingham. Nigma came out on top of their showdown 2-0, taking lopsided wins on both maps. This also put Nigma ahead in the teams’ overall head-to-head matchup history 4-3. The betting odds reflect that, with Nigma standing as a favourite in this match, while Team Liquid is a slight underdog here because of their recent match history. Given the fact that Nigma is far more credentialed than Liquid and is coming off a decisive win over their former organisation, choosing Nigma here looks to be a serious value.

MATCH: ALLIANCE VS NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
Date: Tuesday, June 9th @ 19:30 CEST

Alliance and Ninjas in Pyjamas have pretty big Dota 2 history. There is a big rivalry between those two esport organizations, especially in Dota. In the last month, those two teams played 2 times and both teams have one win. Even though NiP was the team that took a win over Alliance 15 days ago in the  ESL One Birmingham. Somehow it feels like that NiP is always performing good vs teams like Alliance. Even though NiP’s match history doesn’t look good, as they were losing their matches vs teams like FlyToMoon, Cyber Legacy and VP.Prodigy. NiP was one team that Alliance lost to in the ESL One group stage, but Alliance is the only team that managed to take a series of Team Secret in the ESL One playoffs. Alliance had a 7 match win streak before Secret crushed them 3-0 in the ESL One grand finals. And based on their currently amazing form they are the favourites here. Their position 1 player Nikobaby is playing the best Dota of his life and he is always the player that pushes Alliance to their victory. On the other side, their standin position 5 player fng is doing better and better, and in ESL One he didn’t disappoint like in their previous tournaments. NiP is a very strong Dota 2 squad, with a lot of potential, and I don’t think Alliance should be so big favourites in this match. Based on their match history, NiP surely could take a map here or even make an upset even, even though odds for something like that are extremely low if you ask me. The safest bet would be to go for Alliance win. They are a better and more stable squad in the last days and they should take this match. I just think that NiP won’t have an answer on Nikobaby’s carry capabilities.

GL all!
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June 09, 2020, 08:02:26 PM
 #1037

Nice and clean day. 2/2 #dota2

✅ Team Liquid - Team Nigma: Team Nigma ML
✅ Alliance - Ninja in Pyjamas: Alliance ML

💰💰
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June 10, 2020, 11:35:06 AM
 #1038

Grinding up slowly.

Not much dota again today,

Secret v Nigma

OG v Alliance

Have an accumulator on it.

More in CSGO but I don't know many of the teams.
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June 10, 2020, 12:29:31 PM
 #1039

[DOTA 2] Day 1 of BLAST Bounty Hunt went as I expected. With both favourites winning their matches in the upper bracket round 1, it’s now time for the day 2 of the event. On the day 2 we will watch 2 matches from the upper bracket round 2.

Team Secret - Team Nigma: Nigma +1.5, 2.03 @ MY BETSLIP
OG - Alliance: OG +1.5, 1.47 @ MY BETSLIP

MATCH: TEAM NIGMA VS TEAM LIQUID

Date: Wednesday, June 10th @ 16:30 CEST

This has become such a classic match nowadays. Team Secret is the most dominant team in Europe right now, and as such they are starting this tournament as top 2 seed, placed in the round 2 directly. Team Nigma needed to fight their way over Team Liquid on Tuesday. And they’ve done it in a nice way. They have won vs Team Liquid with 2-1, but both game 1 and game 3 were really up and front for Kuroky and his boys. Basically they’ve crushed Team Liquid who played with their full lineup, compared to their last match where Liquid played with a standin (got 2-0’ed by Nigma). Secret and Nigma have had a very rich Dota 2 history lately, especially in the last 1 month or so. They’ve played 3 times, and all 3 times Nigma lost to Secret. Two times they’ve lost with 0-2, while a few days ago they’ve managed to take a map off Secret in the ESL One Birmingham losers bracket finals. Secret is known lately as a team who can rarely make mistakes. We still remember their loss vs Unique and Alliance in ESL One, and Nigma did make their road to the ESL One championship slightly harder by bringing them to all 3 maps in their clash. I think that Nigma is slowly catching their form and they are playing better and better. They ended up their ESL One road on a decent note, and they’ve started up this tournament with a nice win over a pretty strong team. I don’t think they are yet ready to beat Team Secret, but they can surely surprise Team Secret by taking a map off them. That’s for sure. But it’s a big risk. If you find good odds (1.30+), maybe go for the safest option and that is Team Secret ML win, otherwise take a small risk and go for one of the handicaps. My pick is +1.5 handicap on Nigma, I do think they can take a map off Secret again.

MATCH: OG VS ALLIANCE

Date: Wednesday, June 10th @ 19:30 CEST

Strangely enough, tournament organizers decided that together with Team Secret OG will be put as the top seed team too. And that means that they are starting from the round 2, same as the Team Secret. I’m not sure why that decision was made, since OG didn’t show much in the ESL One Birmingham Online tournament as they’ve ended in 7th place in their group. OG is playing this tournament in full lineup together with Topson and MidOne. In their last tournament, we saw that Topson is completely out of form. He didn’t play Dota for a while it seems so. Their last official match was 10 days ago, on May 31st. And it was against the Alliance, a ESL One group stage match which they’ve lost with 0-2. Interestingly enough, they are on a 5 match losing streak. They had 10 free days now, hopefully they’ve used them to recuperate and I do hope they are ready for the new tournament. With OG, you never know as you can never write them off. Even though they are in terrible form lately, they have such strong players, one of the best captains in Dota and they have a winning mentality, that I believe they can come back from that death pool of losses. Alliance won Liquid with 2-1 on the day 1 of this tournament, and they’ve shown again that they are in amazing form. It’s really enjoyable to watch Alliance play nowadays, as Nikobaby is just a pure class of a player. Sumail vs Nikobaby, this will be a really sick clash. Alliance ML bet is probably the safest one, odds are low on Alliance win, but I’ll rather pick a more dangerous road. My picks here would be OG taking at least 1 map as I would love to see 3 maps here. And hey, it’s OG here, you never know what will happen. They will get demolished by Alliance really hard or they will show some signs of improvement from the last tournament.
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June 10, 2020, 01:07:30 PM
 #1040

[CS:GO] My picks for today:

NaVi Junior - Hard Legion: NaVi Junior ML, 1.59 @ MY BETSLIP
Vitality - Ninjas In Pyjamas: Vitality, ML, 1.51 @ MY BETSLIP

Juniors never lost to Hard Legion. It should be a close match but with a Juniors win. Vitality is in good shape, even tho they always lose first map, and somehow they always get back to the match and win it 2-1. We will see how ZyWoO will perform vs NiP.
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