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Author Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)  (Read 23582 times)
ralle14
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May 20, 2020, 02:43:28 PM
 #901

Seems like it's underdog day. But as i've said, very risky handicap bets, go low low low  Grin

HellRaisers took a map off Alliance, after 0-6 in the groups Cheesy Alliance looks very bad...

but 2 more matches remaining, high hopes!
They probably underestimated HR or just care less about winning this series since they've already qualified for the upper bracket seed after their win against FTM while HR could still qualify for the 2nd lower bracket spot if they win the third game.

-snip-
There are some pages / sportsbooks that take data live from the server (pages like dotabuff, datdota etc...), so they have results few minutes before the game ends on the stream.
-snip-
Is there a site where they provide more live data than just a score? Just score isn't enough Undecided
Vpgame provides net worth lead kill scores ahead of the official stream but currently they're not reliable because the info they provide is sometimes a hit or miss and not all matches would be tracked.

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May 20, 2020, 03:23:02 PM
 #902

but 2 more matches remaining, high hopes!
Secret and Ninjas in Pyjamas will be in-game shortly probably after HR vs Alliance and I guess this is going to be another easy game for Secret. Look at their standing on this group stage, they are dominating all of the games that they've played.

VP and Tspirit, let's go with the crowd and that's VP.

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May 20, 2020, 05:24:36 PM
 #903


That delay really is annoying, virtually impossible to take good live bets with that much of the delay.


Would it be removed when they get back to playing the games in person rather than all at home and online?

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May 20, 2020, 11:37:16 PM
 #904

[DOTA 2] Dota 2 OGA Dota Pit group stage ended. 8 teams qualified for the playoffs, while 2 teams were eliminated. It’s time for the playoffs, let’s analyze the first two winners bracket matches.

OG - Ninjas in Pyjamas: OG -1.5, 2.24 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Secret vs Alliance: Team Secret -1.5, 1.55 @ MY BETSLIP

OG won 1st place in the group A and with 4 wins they have dominated the group. The only map they have lost is to FlyToMoon on the last day of the group stages. Really impressive. Ninjas finished 2nd in the group B with 3 wins and 1 loss. Only team who beated them was of course Team Secret with 2-0. NiP showed good games vs VirtusPro, Liquid and Spirit, but would this be enough for the 2x TI champions? I don’t think so. OG are big favourites here, and you should grab those odds while they are still good. Their last clash was won by OG with 2-1 result. Sumail and MidOne are a nice tandem, even if it’s noticeable that MidOne has a high ping since he is playing from Asia on an EU server. Notail should draft this match nicely to be able to take it 2-0.

Team Secret are big favourites here. They have dominated group B with 4 wins and 8-0 in maps. Their performance in the last month or two is really impressive. They are the biggest favourites to take this tournament. Alliance lost to OG, but won their matches against HellRaisers, Vikin.gg and FlyToMoon, even though it didn’t go as perfectly as they’ve planned. They struggled a lot in some of those matches. Problem with the Alliance is that they win games when Nikobaby is having a good game, when he farms and creates space and plays for other players to come in. If he is struggling, the whole team starts to struggle and they simply lose the games or are getting outplayed. They are so dependent on him. I think Puppey as Secret’s captain is too experienced to let Nikobaby do whatever he wants. They will shut him down easily. Team Secret is a big favourite here. 2-0 for Secret is possible, but that handicap bet is very risky.

As we saw yesterday -1.5 handicaps are very risky, so go low on this bets. Other 2 bets later today!

MY TWITTER: rand1919
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May 21, 2020, 05:57:14 AM
 #905

Yesterday really showed how you must be lucky to win your tickets no matter the preparation. I was waiting for last game on my multi G2-Heroic. I had G2 match line. Heroic had result like 15-11 in the 3rd map. On their first match point, Heroic goes for retake and kills all G2 players and have 3 players left alive. I rage quit the stream. Later I see game is still going and 15-15. G2 won after extra time.

From what I read on some forum it seems Heroic sent the player without kit to defuse the bomb and they didn't made it. Big thanks from my side Smiley

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May 21, 2020, 06:55:57 AM
 #906

Heres the clip if you want to wonder what goes through players brains sometimes.      https://clips.twitch.tv/WiseSpoopyTitanDatSheffy

Its the very last round so long as they defuse that bomb, why are the two people who have kits running away from the bomb.    There is zero benefit to doing anything else but run towards the bomb and hold down the defuse/use key and it doesnt matter if its in smoke it would have worked.     Confusion about who had a kit but theres no excuse when you are a professional player.   
  Its not a throw but its just like what to do if you want to throw.  They did the equal of saving on the last round of the half, total pleb move.

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May 21, 2020, 07:19:39 AM
 #907

So they were trying to save the guns and equipment in case he couldn't diffuse the bomb?

Doesn't seem so unreasonable as it was in smoke. That was a hedge bet?

Funny how the players also had started leaving the server.
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May 21, 2020, 07:29:12 AM
 #908

So they were trying to save the guns and equipment in case he couldn't diffuse the bomb?

Doesn't seem so unreasonable as it was in smoke. That was a hedge bet?

Funny how the players also had started leaving the server.
Players seems so bored when they are playing so they are trying to make more tactics and skills so that they can have more thrilling game. Gambling in CS go is a hard thing to do since there are many different tactics that may apply so you really need to study the statistics well because you can lose a big amount of money in just one game. I am recommending you to use stakes.com when you want to gamble in CS go because you can use different coins and you can cash out easily.
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May 21, 2020, 07:52:39 AM
 #909

Quote
Funny how the players also had started leaving the server.

Heroic had won on 1 simple condition the player with kit nearest to the bomb walked over to the loud beeping noise while holding the USE key and the player with no kit let go.   If they did that just after the last kill they'd won the round.     To consider saving any weapon instead of doing that was all wrong, they must have been confused like headless chickens or not wanting to win.   

I guess it means they carry on being a great underdog bet because they shoot themselves in the foot like the 3 stooges while possibly defeating the top tier teams, G2 is ranked 5 in the world.   Should not happen but hey CS is quite unpredictable at best.

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May 21, 2020, 10:29:44 AM
 #910

OG - Ninjas in Pyjamas: OG -1.5, 2.24 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Secret vs Alliance: Team Secret -1.5, 1.55 @ MY BETSLIP
Ez game 1 for OG  Grin. I had a little doubt about this -1.5 handicap before so I went for OG ML but I will try to add some live bets if I see a good draft on OG.

Based on their previous matches. I'm very sure Team Secret will be able to outdraft and outplay Alliance. Although, I'm quite sure that Alliance's last match isn't their best play/draft.
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May 21, 2020, 10:48:25 AM
 #911

OG - Ninjas in Pyjamas: OG -1.5, 2.24 @ MY BETSLIP
Team Secret vs Alliance: Team Secret -1.5, 1.55 @ MY BETSLIP
Ez game 1 for OG  Grin. I had a little doubt about this -1.5 handicap before so I went for OG ML but I will try to add some live bets if I see a good draft on OG.

Based on their previous matches. I'm very sure Team Secret will be able to outdraft and outplay Alliance. Although, I'm quite sure that Alliance's last match isn't their best play/draft.

Good that you went for GO ML, hopefully you found good odds. OG 1-1 NiP incoming Smiley
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May 21, 2020, 11:12:53 AM
 #912

Yesterday really showed how you must be lucky to win your tickets no matter the preparation. I was waiting for last game on my multi G2-Heroic. I had G2 match line. Heroic had result like 15-11 in the 3rd map. On their first match point, Heroic goes for retake and kills all G2 players and have 3 players left alive. I rage quit the stream. Later I see game is still going and 15-15. G2 won after extra time.

From what I read on some forum it seems Heroic sent the player without kit to defuse the bomb and they didn't made it. Big thanks from my side Smiley

You know I watched the game live through stake.com and the scote counter is faster than the stream, but still couldn't figure out what had actually happened, I was also furious with G2. When I saw it 3 against 1 in favor of Herioc I just looked away but on just looking back. saw the counter had updated to 15 - 13, so I didn't pay attention to what happened, It's one of the tensed match I've had to place a bet on in a long while.

@STT Thanks for the link.

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May 21, 2020, 12:18:53 PM
 #913

[DOTA 2] Here are some other bets for today:

flytomoon - Team Liquid: flytomoon 1.5, 1.44 @ MY BETSLIP
ViKin.gg - Virtus Pro: ViKin.gg 1.5, 1.66 @ MY BETSLIP

[CS:GO]

FURIA - Liquid: FURIA, 1.70 @ MY BETSLIP
G2 - Astralis: Astralis -1.5, 2.12 @ MY BETSLIP
North - Heroic: Over 2.5, 1.99 @ MY BETSLIP
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May 21, 2020, 04:01:55 PM
 #914

Not sure if i can post this here.

I've partnered up with BetOnBit to give away 5x 0.002 BTC balance!

JOIN HERE

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May 25, 2020, 10:31:56 AM
 #915

What happened Rand? did you get a ban or something?

No more suggestions since 21 May and same on spreadsheet.


Why have you forsaken us?!

WHY!   *screamed at the sky*


Seriously though hope all is OK buddy.
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May 25, 2020, 11:20:27 AM
 #916

What happened Rand? did you get a ban or something?

No more suggestions since 21 May and same on spreadsheet.


Why have you forsaken us?!

WHY!   *screamed at the sky*


Seriously though hope all is OK buddy.

I was just busy with my personal life, sorry about that. I went for a small vacation. I'm back now!
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May 25, 2020, 11:22:09 AM
 #917

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's matches:

Spirit - Fnatic: Fnatic ML, 1.47 @ MY BETSLIP
Sprout - Excellency: Sprout -1.5, 1.45 @ MY BETSLIP
GODSENT - FaZe: GODSENT 1.5, 1.60 @ MY BETSLIP
pro100 - Gambit Youngsters: pro100 1.5, 1.75 @ MY BETSLIP

All matches are best of 3 series, and betting risk is normal to high. Spirit +1.5 is good bet too, if you can find good odds. Regarding FaZe GODSENT be careful, since FaZe just changed 1 player, and it will be interesting to see how they will perform.

Dota 2 bets for today coming soon! Stay tuned!

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May 25, 2020, 11:51:41 AM
 #918

[DOTA 2] ESL One Birmingham 2020 – Online: Europe & CIS is Dota 2 tournament featuring the best teams from EU and CIS regions battling it out for the $200.000 prize pool. In the next 10 days we will follow the tournaments and analyse the most interesting matches.

Secret vs Gambit: Secret -1.5
NiP vs Winstrike: NiP -1.5
OG vs FlyToMoon: OG -1.5
Nigma vs NaVi: Nigma ML
VP.Prodigy vs HellRaisers: HellRaisers +1.5
Alliance vs Cyber Legacy: Alliance -1.5
Liquid vs Vikin.GG: Vikin.GG +1.5

Here is some analysis:

MATCH: Secret vs Gambit

What to say about Team Secret? After winning the OGA Dota Pit flawlessly without losing a game, they are coming into this tournament as the biggest favourites once again. In their last 5 matches, they have 5 wins and incredible 100% map win ratio, which means they didn’t lose a map. Hardly anyone can take a map off them, and it seems like they will continue to be dominant in this tournament too. We haven’t seen Gambit for quite some time now, as they’ve entered this tournament with a changed lineup with Blizzy and yol playing instead of fng (who is on load in Alliance and Shachlo). There is no doubt here for me who will take this match. Secret are clear favourites and they should win vs Gambit with 2-0. I don’t see Gambit’s lineup do anything special in this tournament.

MATCH: NiP vs Winstrike

In the opening match of the group stage NiP celebrated their 2-1 win vs Alliance. They looked really good and I am not sure how Winstrike can beat them. Winstrike ended up in this competition instead of Team Spirit who gave up their slot. If we see Winstrike’s match history, we see that their results are terrible, in the last 5 matches they have only 1 win vs tier 2 CIS t eam Khan. NiP has losses vs VP, Secret and OG, but all those matches were close and they are playing top tier EU dota at the moment for sure. Winstrike already has 1 loss in this league, a 1-2 loss vs Cyber Legacy. NiP are heavy favourites here, and there should be some nice value in a 2-0 NiP bet.

MATCH: Nigma vs Natus Vincere

Overall, both teams are not looking good lately. Nigma even skipped the OGA Dota Pit tournament, I guess to focus more on practice and adjusting to the new patch. They surely have a top tier lineup, but they still didn’t utilize it. NaVi just made a change to their lineup, replacing CemaTheSlayer with Belorussian player “so bad” (ex Unique and Vega Squadron). Will that help them to play better? I’m not so sure, as they still have a lot of work on their play. Yes, NaVi showed a glimpse of hope and good games lately vs OG and VirtusPro which they have won, but is there enough coming into this new tournament, we will see. Both teams still didn’t play any official matches in this tournament, and this will be a very interesting match. I would give a slight chance to Nigma to take this match. I love their lineup, and hopefully they will show us why they have won The International. Nice odds on Nigma ML.

MATCH: VP.Prodigy vs HellRaisers

Their last and only official match was 24 days ago, where VP.Prodigy celebrated with 2-1. However, since then VP.Prodigy is upsetting European Dota 2 scene with their games, matches and results. They have won Epic Prime League over their main team, VirtusPro (3-0). They have been beating VirtusPro, Team Spirit and FlyToMoon recently and they showed really good ingame coordination and play. However, lately HellRaiers have been in terrible form, and just a few days ago they started to climb back from the 5 match lose streak. With win vs Khan, Winstrike and most recent dominant 2-0 win over FlyToMoon they showed they are still top CIS team. VP.Prodigy are big favourites here, but when I see those odds on HR +1.5 handicap, there is nothing to think about. HellRaisers are definitely capable of taking a map off VP.Prodigy and surprise them, especially if they repeat their last play vs FlyToMoon.

MY TWITTER: rand1919
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May 25, 2020, 07:21:22 PM
 #919

Guys for Dota 2 bettors/fans. Here's the recent news for all of us, they've just released the Battle Pass just now.

http://www.dota2.com/international/battlepass/


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May 26, 2020, 03:25:18 AM
 #920

Guys for Dota 2 bettors/fans. Here's the recent news for all of us, they've just released the Battle Pass just now.

http://www.dota2.com/international/battlepass/

Great news! As of this time the TI 10 has already $4,282,155 prize pool. Very quick! And there's so much time left with the 2020 TI suspended indefinitely, possibly held in 2021. Way to go to beat that $34 million TI 9 prize pool.

Three Arcanas for this year's Battle Pass: 1 for WK, 1 for QP, and another 1 for WR. Sweet!

Meanwhile, the beauty of betting live. Cheesy





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