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Author Topic: ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)  (Read 23610 times)
rand1919 (OP)
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April 03, 2020, 10:30:49 PM
 #521

[DOTA 2] The ESL One Los Angeles Online Europe and CIS regional league features 16 teams in total, making it by far the biggest of the regional leagues, and it is starting very soon. Here are predictions and short analysis of Day 1, group A matches:

Gambit - ViKin.gg: Gambit -1.5, 2.11 @ BetOnBit
Nigma - OG: OG 1.5, 1.58 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - HellRaisers: Virtus Pro -1.5, 2.37 @ BetOnBit
Cyber Legacy - B8: B8, 2.22 @ BetOnBit

This match will open group A. Gambit and Vikin.gg never faced each other in the official games. Tha main reason is that Vikin.gg was not such a stable team during 2019. They’ve entered 2020 with a roster change, replacing the position 2 player. From the last 5 matches, they have won 4. They’ve mainly played vs tier 2 and tier 3 teams in the European region cups. I don’t see them as winners in this match vs Gambit. We all know who Gambit is. As contenders and participants of all bigger Dota 2 tournaments lately they are just another dimension compared to their opponents. Gambit - easy win.

Most probably this is the match of the day. This match is, of course, a rematch from The International 2019’s grand final, as the former Team Liquid squad will face off against OG yet again. You might notice that Neta “33” Shapira is standing in for Yeik “MidOne” Nai Zhengto, and Ceb will play instead Topson. So does this mean that Nigma has a real chance here to beat two time TI champions? Most probably. Nigma is playing with the full lineup, and I do expect them to win this match, even though OG can surprise with a map.

Those two teams faced each 3 times during the last month or so. Hellraisers won two out of three BO3 matches vs VirtusPro. However, the latest match they’ve played went smoothly in favour of VirtusPro (2-0). Even though VirtusPro is still looking shaky, I do believe they are improving fast and they are looking better and better. They could be real contenders in the future for the top tournament positions. Hopefully they will take this tournament seriously. If they do, I don’t give too much of a chance to Hellraisers. I would go with a VirtusPro win here.

Day 1 will end with a match between Cyber Legacy and B8. I’m not sure how the full lineup for Cyber Legacy will look on the matchday, since for now they are missing 2 players for this league, according to all available informations. Could this be the chance for Dendi’s stack, B8? I do think so. B8 made a lineup change too. Their position 1 player pio65 was replaced with Excalibur. However, that is not such a drastic change that would affect their gameplay so much. Neither team looks good at the moment, as both teams are struggling to make some impact. Odds on B8 are amazing and worth a try. I do believe Dendi can do this and win against an unstable CL team. Today those 2 teams played in StayHome Challenge. CL won with a close 2-1.

Those bets are really risky guys, if you want to go safe go for the winners: Gambit, Nigma, VP, CL money line. Odds are low, but better feel safe than sorry.
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April 04, 2020, 02:14:55 PM
 #522

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's ESL Pro League / Flashpoint matches:

Cloud9 - Envy: Cloud9, 1.48 @ BetOnBit
Fnatic - Ninjas In Pyjamas: Fnatic, 1.50 @ BetOnBit
Team Dignitas - Gen.G: Over 2.5, 2.00 @ BetOnBit
Vitality - OG: Over 2.5, 2.00 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3.
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April 05, 2020, 11:43:43 AM
 #523

[DOTA 2] Yesterday was bad Dota 2 day, good CS:GO day. Let's make them both good today. My today's picks and bets for ESL One LA Online:

Natus Vincere - Gentlemen: BetOnBit
Team Secret - Team Liquid: BetOnBit
Alliance - Ninjas in Pyjamas: BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. Big risky bets on this league.

[CS:GO] Yesterday 3/4. Let's try to predict today's EPL and Flashpoint matches:

Fnatic - FaZe: BetOnBit
HAVU - Cloud9: BetOnBit
Natus Vincere - Astralis: BetOnBit
MAD Lions - FunPlus Phoenix: BetOnBit
mousesports - OG: BetOnBit
mibr - Gen.G: BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. Went for high odds bets, mostly. Let's see what will happen today. Risk is high.
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April 05, 2020, 11:58:42 PM
 #524

[DOTA 2] Day 3 of ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS is coming up. Group A is going into the 2nd match day. Here are predictions and short analysis of Day 3, group A matches:

ViKin.gg - HellRaisers: Over 2.5, 1.99 @ BetOnBit
Nigma - Cyber Legacy: Nigma -1.5, 1.61 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - Gambit: Virtus Pro, 1.44 @ BetOnBit
OG - B8: OG -1.5, 1.34 @ BetOnBit

Day 1 of this tournament brought us a lot of surprises in the group A. Vikin.gg showed us they are ready to contest and surprise the best teams in their group. They have beaten Gambit with a surprising 2-0 result. They are currently holding 1st place together with OG. However, Hellraisers gave a good fight to VirtusPro in round 1, losing with a narrow 1-2 result on day 1. According to the sportsbooks, HellRaisers are big favourites, but after seeing the Vikin.gg vs Gambit match, I would give them an equal chance in this situation. Vikin.gg can surely make another surprise here. Over 2.5 maps is a good bet here.

What does this bet mean? It means Nigma must win with a 2-0 result. Is it possible? On the paper, it surely is. However, in the round 1 Nigma lost to a mixed OG team with 2 standins. Nigma were favourites there, but seems like OG with a Notail on the helm can’t be beaten easily, even with 2 standin players. Cyber Legacy beat Dendi’s B8 with 2-1 in round 1, but let’s be real, those 2 teams are the weakest teams in the group most probably. Nigma should win this match, and I do believe they can do it with 2-0.

This is most probably the most interesting match of the day in the group A. Two best teams in the CIS region currently are battling each other. Sounds interesting. I already mentioned how Gambit lost their round 1 match. They played terribly and their opponent crushed them easily. However, VirtusPro took a close 2-1 win vs Hellraisers, and showed that team play is really strong. I do believe in VirtusPro in the long run, and they are slight favourites here vs Gambit in this situation. 3 maps are possible, but i’ve decided to go with VirtusPro money line win here.

Let me remind you that in OG’s lineup you might notice that Neta "33" Shapira is standing in for Yeik "MidOne" Nai Zhengto, and Ceb will play instead Topson. And with that lineup, they have beaten Nigma with a clean 2-0. What a shocker. This time, they have a match vs much weaker opponent. Dendi’s B8 teams is not in the top of the EU nor CIS Dota 2 yet. With their new recruit Excalibur, I wonder how quickly they can adapt and adjust their gameplay. Surely in this match vs OG won’t be any time for practice or adjusting. If they don’t pull off some miracle, OG will demolish them. I believe OG will win here, 2-0 is highly possible too.
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April 06, 2020, 12:25:38 PM
 #525

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's ESL Pro League EU matches:

Fnatic - Astralis: Astralis, 1.44 @ BetOnBit
Natus Vincere - OG: Natus Vincere, 1.32 @ BetOnBit
mousesports - FaZe: mousesports, 1.79 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. Went for a little safer picks today's, direct winners of the matches.
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April 07, 2020, 09:20:46 PM
 #526

We are back boys. 4/4 #DOTA2

✅ Secret - NiP: Secret -1.5 @ 1.71
✅ Liquid - Alliance: Over 2.5 @ 1.91
✅ NaVi - Chicken Fighters: Chicken Fighters 1.5 @ 1.48
✅ Unique - Team Spirit: Over 2.5 @ 1.78
rand1919 (OP)
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April 07, 2020, 11:04:26 PM
 #527

[DOTA 2] Yesterday 4/4.

ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS are going into it’s fifth playday. After 2 match days in the group A, the situation is getting pretty interesting. Let’s analyse the 3rd match day in group A.
HellRaisers - B8: B8 1.5, 1.70 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - Cyber Legacy: Cyber Legacy 1.5, 1.94 @ BetOnBit
Nigma - Gambit Esports: Nigma -1.5, 1.87 @ BetOnBit

OG - ViKin.gg: OG -1.5, 1.62 @ BetOnBit

As we predicted before, it seems like B8 really is one of the weakest teams in this group. With 2 losses from 2 official matches in this league, they are currently holding 7th place in this league. On the other side Hellraisers managed to beat Vikin.gg, but they lost to VirtusPro with a close 1-2 score. Who is the favourite here? Definitely Hellraisers. B8 doesn’t know for a win in the last 5 official Dota 2 matches, while Hellraisers showed they can play against some much stronger teams.

Cyber Legacy surprised us all in the last match of this group, where they managed to take a map off Team Nigma. It looked bad for Nigma in game 3 too, but they’ve managed to get back and win that match with the massive experience they have. However, Cyber Legacy was struggling in the match vs B8, where they’ve lost 1st map in just under 19 minutes. Surely, they have some drafting problems. They can’t contest VirtusPro here sadly, as they are holding 2nd place in the group currently with 2 wins. Let’s mention here that VP are playing with a standin player on the position 1. iLTW is playing instead of Cooman.

Gambit didn’t look too good in their last matches. They have lost 4 out of their 5 official Dota 2 matches. They are far from their 2019 form. What can they do vs Nigma? I do think Nigma is a big favourite here, but Gambit has it’s chance too, at least to take a map. Nigma was crushed 0-2 vs mixed OG squad, and they were struggling to beat Cyber Legacy. That match ended with a close 2-1. So definitely not a Nigma that we used to see in previous tournaments. Maybe the bet on Nigma victory can be the safest bet here, it doesn’t give you much return. Make your choice if Gambit can win a map or no. In their last 5 best of 3 matches, they have won only 3 maps.

Even if they play with 2 standins, OG just looks good. They are currently holding 1st position in group A with a 4-1 in maps and 2 clean match victories. Vikin.gg surprised us all with their 2-0 win vs the best CIS team in the last season, Gambit. But, in the next round they got demolished by Hellraisers with a 2-0. Seems like Sumail on position 1 and Ceb on position 3 will continue to carry OG no matter what, no matter the opponent. OG here is a sure win, but can Vikin.gg take a map here? I don’t think so.

VERY HIGH RISK BETS!
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April 08, 2020, 07:16:36 AM
 #528

This looks interesting, glad to see something at least is going ahead.

Thanks for the tips and commentary.

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April 08, 2020, 11:38:51 AM
 #529

[CS:GO]My ESL Pro League EU bets for today:

Fnatic - mousesports: BetOnBit
FaZe - Natus Vincere: BetOnBit
OG - Astralis: BetOnBit

Upsets have abounded at the ESL Pro League. On Tuesday, Fnatic were beaten in a three-map thriller by OG. Mousesports beat Natus Vincere without dropping a map, a stunning achievement considering Na Vi’s form. The law of averages is bound to catch up on Mousesports, who have won three matches so far since Sunday. Fnatic are, by no means, a bad team. They probably should have beaten OG 2-0 but messed up the closing stages of the second map. They will look to correct their errors quickly and put up an important win, possibly over three maps.

Natus Vincere will be reeling with the manner of their loss on Tuesday against Mousesports. In a map of their choice, they were thrashed 16-9 to complete a 2-0 rout. In CS:GO, a massive loss is a frequent occurrence. The best teams accept that and move forward to put out their best against their next opponent. That will be Faze, who have been decent this week. Faze came back strongly but weren’t able to stay abreast with Astralis in the opening exchanges of Tuesday’s game. This game has a similar feel to it. I’m not sure Faze have two maps in them against S1mple and this Natus Vincere team.

Astralis put their demons behind them in their previous matchup against Faze. They started strongly and closed out the first map in overtime. This was after a period of two successive losses, to Fnatic and Natus Vincere. I’d suspect that result will buoy Device and the rest of this Astralis team as they try to reverse an underwhelming run of form in their last few games. OG won’t be pushovers and might even take them to three maps, but this Astralis team is too strong, too experienced and too skilled not to put away OG eventually.

My twitter: RAND1919
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April 09, 2020, 12:09:49 PM
 #530

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's matches of ESL Pro League and Flashpoint:

FaZe - OG: OG 1.5, 1.52 @ BetOnBit
Fnatic - Natus Vincere: Natus Vincere, 1.71 @ BetOnBit
mousesports - Astralis: mousesports, 2.18 @ BetOnBit
MAD Lions - FunPlus Phoenix: MAD Lions -1.5, 1.72 @ BetOnBit
FURIA - mibr: mibr, 2.31 @ BetOnBit
Cloud9 - Gen.G: Gen.G, 1.71 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3.

Natus Vincere came back in spirited fashion on Wednesday, beating Faze after losing the first map. In the second map, they were trailing at the half 12-3 but came storming back to take the map and eventually the match. S1mple led Natus Vincere with another sensational performance that saw him accumulate 75 kills. Against Fnatic, this Na Vi team will prove to be too strong again as has been the case in most of the other maps they’ve played against each other. They’ve played 28 maps in the head-to-head matchup, with Natus Vincere winning 21 of them. Late in March, Na Vi cruised to a straight-maps win (16-11 in Dust2 and 16-10 in Overpass).

This is quite a tricky matchup. Mousesports were blown away easily against Fnatic in their previous game on Wednesday. Astralis cruised past OG, just as they had done against Faze the preceding evening. So, form is firmly on Astralis’ side. It was pleasing to see Device, Dupreeh and Magisk find their offensive fluency again over the last few days. Against Frozen and Ropz, that will be a hard task, but I’d back mouz to come through this, plausibly in three maps.

These are compelling odds for a matchup of this scale. Faze begin this as overwhelming favourites, which is potentially unfair to OG, who have been solid right through despite not having the same depth of resources as some of their counterparts. OG were beaten quite easily by Astralis on Wednesday. Natus Vincere beat Faze in three maps. Looking at form of both these sides, there isn’t a lot that separates the two. OG would have learnt quickly from their previous defeat to Faze as well. I’d back Faze and OG to both win a map each considering the unpredictability of the final result.
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April 09, 2020, 01:06:07 PM
 #531

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's matches of ESL Pro League and Flashpoint:

FaZe - OG: OG 1.5, 1.52 @ BetOnBit
Fnatic - Natus Vincere: Natus Vincere, 1.71 @ BetOnBit
mousesports - Astralis: mousesports, 2.18 @ BetOnBit
MAD Lions - FunPlus Phoenix: MAD Lions -1.5, 1.72 @ BetOnBit
FURIA - mibr: mibr, 2.31 @ BetOnBit
Cloud9 - Gen.G: Gen.G, 1.71 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3.

Natus Vincere came back in spirited fashion on Wednesday, beating Faze after losing the first map. In the second map, they were trailing at the half 12-3 but came storming back to take the map and eventually the match. S1mple led Natus Vincere with another sensational performance that saw him accumulate 75 kills. Against Fnatic, this Na Vi team will prove to be too strong again as has been the case in most of the other maps they’ve played against each other. They’ve played 28 maps in the head-to-head matchup, with Natus Vincere winning 21 of them. Late in March, Na Vi cruised to a straight-maps win (16-11 in Dust2 and 16-10 in Overpass).

This is quite a tricky matchup. Mousesports were blown away easily against Fnatic in their previous game on Wednesday. Astralis cruised past OG, just as they had done against Faze the preceding evening. So, form is firmly on Astralis’ side. It was pleasing to see Device, Dupreeh and Magisk find their offensive fluency again over the last few days. Against Frozen and Ropz, that will be a hard task, but I’d back mouz to come through this, plausibly in three maps.

These are compelling odds for a matchup of this scale. Faze begin this as overwhelming favourites, which is potentially unfair to OG, who have been solid right through despite not having the same depth of resources as some of their counterparts. OG were beaten quite easily by Astralis on Wednesday. Natus Vincere beat Faze in three maps. Looking at form of both these sides, there isn’t a lot that separates the two. OG would have learnt quickly from their previous defeat to Faze as well. I’d back Faze and OG to both win a map each considering the unpredictability of the final result.

Thanks for posting your bets here on a regular basis. I am often using them as a guide. I am cheering with mousesports and Astralis a lot. I hope one of the teams will win the current series.  Nevertheless NaVi is currently delivering really strong performances. Especially s1mple is playing like a god.. damn.

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April 09, 2020, 08:32:24 PM
 #532

Dota 2 today 3/3.

✅ Alliance -  Spirit: Team Spirit 1.5 @ 1.70
✅ Team Secret - NaVi: Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.63
✅ Liquid -  Unique: Team Unique 1.5 @ 2.10
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April 09, 2020, 10:30:53 PM
 #533

[DOTA 2] Thursday again 3/3 @ Dota 2. Let's try to predict Friday's matches.

ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS is entering day 7. We will watch the 4th round in the group A, as OG and VirtusPro will continue their fight for 1st place. Let’s analyse all upcoming Friday matches.

Nigma - B8: B8 1.5, 2.20 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - ViKin.gg: Virtus Pro, 1.38 @ BetOnBit
HellRaisers - Gambit: Over 2.5, 1.93 @ BetOnBit
OG - Cyber Legacy: OG -1.5, 1.81 @ BetOnBit

Nigma is a big big favourite here, according to all sportsbooks. Most sportsbooks have surprisingly low odds on Nigma’s win, around 1.10. How is that possible if we take a look on the rankins and the current standings. Nigma is currently the last placed team in the group, with the 1 match won and 2 lost. They even have the worst map win-loss ratio. From their 3 matches, they’ve managed to win only 2 maps from 7. They’ve shown very bard performance in both matches vs 2 CIS teams. Close 2-1 win vs Cyber Legacy, and devastating 0-2 loss vs Gambit, showed us that they are really lost now. Seems like they didn’t take this tournament too seriously, because surely they have the capacity to be top 2 in the group for sure. Dendi’s B8 has the same match score, but they have much better map win-loss ratio. They took a map off OG and they have beaten HellRaisers. They surely can surprise Nigma here, and take a map. Nigma didn’t show anything special, even though they are big favourites here to take the match.

Vikin.gg really impressed me so far. But that’s mainly because most of the stronger teams did fail, not taking the tournament seriously. They won against Gambit and OG, and lost to HellRaisers, a statistically worse team than Gambit and OG. VirtusPro still didn’t lose a match here in this tournament. They have won all their 3 matches vs their CIS opponents, Cyber Legacy, Gambit and HellRaisers. Even though VirtusPro is playing with a standin on position 1, I do believe they will win vs Vikin.gg. Decent odds on VP win.

Their last clash was 4 months ago, when Gambit still dominated CIS scene. Now there is a slightly different situation. VirtusPro is rising, and Gambit kinda lost their identity from last year. HellRaisers and NaVi joined battle for the top of the CIS. Gambit are slight favourites here, but I do think this match is pretty much even, and we can see all 3 maps. Both teams have 1 win and 2 losses from 3 rounds played. However, HellRaisers have slightly better map win-loss ratio. Gambit impressed us with their win vs Nigma, while HellRaisers showed really good performance vs 3rd ranked Vikin.gg team.

Really interesting match as the last match of the day. Those 2 teams never faced each other in the official matches. Cyber Legacy is on 3 lose streak in all their Dota 2 official matches. Looking at their 3 matches in this league, OG showed us meme performances, picking unusual tactics and heroes. But it appears like Sumail and company are enjoying their matches, that’s all that matters for them obviously. On their way, they still managed to win something. OG won vs B8 and Nigma, but they lost to Vikin.gg. Surprisingly the only match where they didn’t drop a map was vs Nigma, where they won 2-0. Cyber Legacy is with the B8 the weakest team in this group A. Hopefully we won’t see any surprises here, as I think even if OG will again joke around, they could still take the match with 2-0.

Be careful please, this league is very weird, everything is possible.

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April 09, 2020, 10:40:39 PM
 #534

A bit sad as NaVi lost to Fnatic. I know that they are the usual choke teams but I thought they could do it since Perfecto is a good piece for the team as Guardian left. Fnatic though, they had a good run in this tournament, even defeating Astralis and now Na'Vi which is the number 1 team based on the tournament. This team might win this tournament.

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April 09, 2020, 10:54:31 PM
 #535

A bit sad as NaVi lost to Fnatic. I know that they are the usual choke teams but I thought they could do it since Perfecto is a good piece for the team as Guardian left. Fnatic though, they had a good run in this tournament, even defeating Astralis and now Na'Vi which is the number 1 team based on the tournament. This team might win this tournament.

Yea, it's hard to bet on this tournament. I was terrible today with my CS:GO predictions :/
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April 10, 2020, 07:31:43 AM
 #536

Im just in watch and learn mode for now. Is there a way to watch the games somewhere?

Thanks,
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April 10, 2020, 10:59:50 AM
Merited by Globb0 (4)
 #537

Im just in watch and learn mode for now. Is there a way to watch the games somewhere?

Thanks,

Yes, all matches are live streamed. For CS:GO you can follow results and streams here https://www.hltv.org/

Click on the match on the right side, and you will have streams there when it starts!
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April 10, 2020, 03:00:16 PM
 #538

A bit sad as NaVi lost to Fnatic. I know that they are the usual choke teams but I thought they could do it since Perfecto is a good piece for the team as Guardian left. Fnatic though, they had a good run in this tournament, even defeating Astralis and now Na'Vi which is the number 1 team based on the tournament. This team might win this tournament.

Yea, it's hard to bet on this tournament. I was terrible today with my CS:GO predictions :/

Well, that is fine though. I am also shocked by the current results especially Fnatic. I guess this is also influenced by the fact that it is being played online unlike the usual LAN tournaments. I will still continue to watch this thread bro, don't worry, it really happens.


Im just in watch and learn mode for now. Is there a way to watch the games somewhere?

They are also streaming it in their YouTube channel :

Dota 2 : https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCaYLBJfw6d8XqmNlL204lNg
CSGO : https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPq2ETz4aAGo2Z-8JisDPIA

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April 10, 2020, 03:04:36 PM
 #539


Be careful please, this league is very weird, everything is possible.


Not that much weird as The International games tbh  Grin
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April 10, 2020, 03:28:02 PM
 #540

Just wondering.  I know DOTA has like the biggest tourneys.  I tried watching the game with Team Liquid vs some team on it and I found the game a bit slow...  Are there any other popular games out there?  Preferably with quicker pace.

R


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