French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1)

[jostorres]

Bookmakers are currently pricing the title race as follows:

PSG - 1.04

Lens - 15.0

PSG's odds seem absurd given the risk that just one draw and one loss in the head-to-head match could deprive PSG of the title. If I were to bet, I would bet on Lens, although even here the bookmakers could be more generous. But it's still more pleasant to aim at 1400% than at 4%  Plus, losing a small amount of money on a risky bet doesn't seem as nerve-wracking as risking a large amount of money on a "safe" one.

It's mostly about people not betting on Lens. Oddmakers do not make up these numbers out of their heads, they make it up based on what people bet on. If the whole world bets on PSG and only a few people bets on Lens, then they can't give a rate based on that. Plus, in a few months the leagues are over, and you are getting basically 4% return on your bet, if you do that with Bitcoin, there is absolutely nothing in the world, no other place, no other possibility, where you could get 4% more bitcoin for your bitcoin in a few months.

[letteredhub]

Paris Saint Germain can still drop points before they finish the remaining matches of the season, Lens can still have another opportunity to top the table but they will still give it up for Paris Saint Germain because they have done that about a couple of times. Paris Saint Germain is targeting to win the Champions League back-to-back so they will definitely divide their attention to both the Ligue 1 and the Champions League games. Lens is not a trusted team otherwise i would have loved to see them win the title instead of Paris Saint Germain.

If the request of PSG is not granted in the league for some of their matches to be postponed they will have issues winning the league this time because of Lens, the chances are there for PSG to drop points in their remaining games if they will be having a tight fixture in the champions League and the league games Lens having the league matches as their only focus can make use of the opportunity to go back to the top of the table and this time it will be hard for PSG to overtake them again because of the closeness in their points. You don't have to trust Lens to believe that they has tried this season with the level of players they have but PSG should be careful if nut they may lose both the league and the champions League trophy.

Based on the number of engagements that PSG is involved in I think it is possible that they could still concede a couple of defeats before the season finally comes to an end, PSG are chasing the UCL and that's enough reason for them to drop points, I know the French league1 would give PSG some preferential treatments that could allow PSG play their matches on different dates that aren't in conformity with their real match days at least to help them perform better in the UCL but this doesn't mean PSG wouldn't flop, I believe the pressure will still be there as long as the title race is still there and the point difference isn't wide enough, PSG might still have some difficulties at the end.

[hyudien]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

[ndutndut]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

PSG has a tradition of winning because they have a more even squad depth than other teams. Although PSG has a Champions League match it won't be a problem in the domestic league. Lens may have managed to put pressure on PSG so far, but I'm confident they won't easily drop points in the remaining matches especially now that PSG has returned to its best form.

Lens currently trails PSG by one point in the standings and they could still be four points behind PSG as PSG has a game in hand plus Lens faces PSG in their next two matches. This match will certainly be crucial for both teams, but considering the depth of their squads PSG remains the favorite even playing away from home as Lens isn't strong enough to defeat PSG which boasts many star players.

[verdinio]

PSG boasts superior squad depth compared to other teams in Ligue 1, including Lens, their current rivals. PSG won't be worried about the upcoming Champions League match as they have a strong squad making it easier for Luis Enrique to rotate players. Furthermore, PSG still has one match in hand having played 26 matches while Lens has played 27 and currently holds a one-point lead over Lens. If PSG wins this match, the gap will increase to four points. Furthermore, PSG and Lens face off in early April giving PSG the opportunity to further widen their lead over Lens and focus on the Champions League.

Unless Lens can beat PSG in that match the Ligue 1 competition will likely be tight again. But for some reason, I'm very optimistic that PSG can win Ligue 1, despite the pressure from Lens. And I'm pessimistic about Lens winning the League One trophy because at their current level Lens will struggle to be consistent in the remaining matches. Especially since Lens still faces tough opponents like Lille, PSG, Toulouse and Lyon.

it's true they have a very respectable squad and above all even the bench players can create a team that is already stronger than that of the lens, now in my opinion it was just a coincidence that they were under them, but they promptly recovered to ensure that they are back in great shape, i don't think that now there is any hope for other teams to win;

[tygeade]

I agree that PSG will not lose that many points, it is not going to be that common, I understand why people think that it could be possible, but at the same time I think it's very important to realize it is not going to happen, PSG won't lose. I mean they may lose a game, but they won't lose the title, at this point in they are four points ahead, so they can still lose a game and be fine, and that's on top of the fact that Lens will lose points as well.

Lens can't go on to just win the league unbeaten for the rest of the season, they will lose, and when that happens PSG will have even more chances. I guarantee you, if we calculated the difference at zero points, even for the rest of the season PSG will do better.

[macson]

Judging by the current condition of outright betting for Ligue 1, it seems the bookmakers are very confident that Paris Saint-Germain will win the league. We can see in the image below that Paris Saint-Germain only gets @1,03, RC Lens gets @15,00 & Marseille gets @151,00.

Image Source: Rollbit

Bookmakers have logical reasons for being so confident that PSG will win the Ligue 1 trophy because looking at PSG's performance, there is no team that can really pose a threat to them. Even though Lens are only 1 point behind them, they are not a threat because PSG will most likely widen the point gap and make it more difficult for Lens to catch up. Lens are also likely to drop points in their remaining matches, so PSG has a high chance of winning the trophy.

[MAAManda]

I don't think I can bet on Lens winning the league especially with how the league 1 managing body are postponing league matches for PSG to rest whenever they are due to play champions league match. We saw that in the round of 16, and it might continue in the next phase, and that doesn't look good for Lens.

Paris Saint-Germain has always had an advantage in the league, which is directly given by the federation, I think it's because they have a lot of money. So, they're more appreciated than other teams. I think the same as you, mate. For me to bet on RC Lens winning the league would be a waste of my money.

Lens are also likely to drop points in their remaining matches, so PSG has a high chance of winning the trophy.

The fact is that out of the 7 remaining league matches, they have tough challenges in 4 of them, those matches are:

1. Lille - RC Lens
2. Lens - Paris Saint-Germain
3. Nice - Lens
4. Olympique Lyon - Lens

[SilverCryptoBullet]

Paris Saint-Germain has always had an advantage in the league, which is directly given by the federation, I think it's because they have a lot of money. So, they're more appreciated than other teams. I think the same as you, mate. For me to bet on RC Lens winning the league would be a waste of my money.

PSG are too strong, dominating and experienced in Ligue 1 title competition and they have shown that in more than last one decade. In this season, they don't create too big difference against other competitors but they are still controlling the title competition. With one match less than Lens, if they win that match, they will create four points more than Lens with same total matches and that will become very safe gap for PSG to run toward the title quite easily.

The fact is that out of the 7 remaining league matches, they have tough challenges in 4 of them, those matches are:

1. Lille - RC Lens
2. Lens - Paris Saint-Germain
3. Nice - Lens
4. Olympique Lyon - Lens

Lens with this very difficult fixture and possible four points less than PSG will likely be very hopelessly in the title competition with PSG. Only with 4 points less, they are already hopeless in the race but if they lose a direct match with PSG, it will be the early ending for their fight for the title while it might even end before that big clash between two title competitors.

With Lens and these four difficult matches, they will have very high risk of losing points and with current status, losing more points mean dropping the title.

[dezoel]

I think PSG will not easily lose points when they are almost finishing this season as champions because there are only a few matches left so PSG needs to maintain its position at the top of the standings so that Lens cannot take over that place because the points difference between them is only small while Lens will face Lille in week 28 if Lens loses points in that match then it will be more advantageous for PSG to have more advantages over the teams below them so they can sit comfortably at the top of the standings.

If they don't put enough effort to avoid losing points then they could miss being the Champions, it won't be very easy for PSG cause they have the Champions League to worry about and the league which requires their consistency. Enrique should use this International break to study their next league opponents, find their weaknesses and think of how to handle it. Lens is seriously waiting for them to fail so they'll seize the opportunity but PSG doesn't allow that to happen.

There is no way that PSG will miss being champions, that's not going to happen, we should realize that by now. I understand wanting to be something that is not, but at the same time we have to realize that it's not going to happen.

We should consider the possibility for sure, but it is not that common and we can't assume that it will happen that easily. Of course it is not that easy to just keep wining every game but neither will Lens, so even if PSG loses points, Lens will too, and that's what matters. We should realize that and do a fine job betting accordingly.

[Phoenix Anka]

I think PSG will not easily lose points when they are almost finishing this season as champions because there are only a few matches left so PSG needs to maintain its position at the top of the standings so that Lens cannot take over that place because the points difference between them is only small while Lens will face Lille in week 28 if Lens loses points in that match then it will be more advantageous for PSG to have more advantages over the teams below them so they can sit comfortably at the top of the standings.

If they don't put enough effort to avoid losing points then they could miss being the Champions, it won't be very easy for PSG cause they have the Champions League to worry about and the league which requires their consistency. Enrique should use this International break to study their next league opponents, find their weaknesses and think of how to handle it. Lens is seriously waiting for them to fail so they'll seize the opportunity but PSG doesn't allow that to happen.

There is no way that PSG will miss being champions, that's not going to happen, we should realize that by now. I understand wanting to be something that is not, but at the same time we have to realize that it's not going to happen.

We should consider the possibility for sure, but it is not that common and we can't assume that it will happen that easily. Of course it is not that easy to just keep wining every game but neither will Lens, so even if PSG loses points, Lens will too, and that's what matters. We should realize that and do a fine job betting accordingly.

Lens doesn't have a very high chance of winning every match they play. Of course, if Paris Saint-Germain drops points, Lens will also drop points. Therefore, instead of thinking one-sidedly, when we consider it in more detail, we see that Paris Saint-Germain has the advantage. Of course, I would like Lens to win the championship because I want to see a change, but we have to accept that the chances of this happening are very low.

[7juju]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

Sometimes I wonder why there is only one rich club in the Ligue 1. Why is it that the other clubs are not attracting rich investors that will also pump money into those clubs so they will equally be strong clubs that can be able to rival PSG on and off the field, thereby making the league more competitive and more interesting for the fans to watch and equally attract more global audience. Is very tiring to always know the winner of a league trophy even when the season haven’t started.

[Hvdv]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

Sometimes I wonder why there is only one rich club in the Ligue 1. Why is it that the other clubs are not attracting rich investors that will also pump money into those clubs so they will equally be strong clubs that can be able to rival PSG on and off the field, thereby making the league more competitive and more interesting for the fans to watch and equally attract more global audience. Is very tiring to always know the winner of a league trophy even when the season haven’t started.

I think they believe they can't create a budget that can compete with Paris Saint-Germain. And they're not wrong, because Paris Saint-Germain's budget is measured in billions of dollars. The income from France isn't enough for that. That's why wealthy businessmen usually prefer the Premier League, which has higher revenue. If you were going to buy a club, you would definitely consider the money you'll make.

[Toro iskandar]

Do you dare to bet on RC Lens to win the league & take the @15,00 odds?

Why not? PSG hasn’t been as consistent lately compared to last season. So it makes sense that anyone would be willing to take a shot on Lens winning the title this season. Even though most people still believe in PSG’s dominance, I personally hope this is the season where another team like Lens can break that streak and bring something fresh to the league. It would definitely make things a lot more interesting instead of the usual predictable outcome.

[m4r1o]

The worse that can happen will be that PSG may win with a slim margin but it is very likely they can comw back and be able to win the title displacing Lens. But then I want to believe PSG will not be taking things for granted knowing they may also loose out in the championship should they neglect it for too long and allow Lens build up the gap well enough to deny them the winning.

i are calm about the fact that they will win the championship, in fact i are surprised that they still haven't taken many points away from the goal, they're die-hards and they sell dearly, which i honestly didn't expect but they know how to be truly fearless and strong, no one expected that this team would resist for so long.

[CageMabok]

...

it's true they have a very respectable squad and above all even the bench players can create a team that is already stronger than that of the lens, now in my opinion it was just a coincidence that they were under them, but they promptly recovered to ensure that they are back in great shape, i don't think that now there is any hope for other teams to win;

In Ligue 1, teams other than PSG always have a slim chance of winning the championship because of the players and the manager's richer tactics each season. So, it's fair to say that no other team has a chance of winning and becoming champions this season other than PSG, because PSG still has many great players they can rely on to achieve their goals, and this has been proven by PSG this season in other competitions, such as the Champions League, when they beat Chelsea.

[wakier]

Paris Saint-Germain has a very high chance of winning the championship and will most likely achieve it. I don't see a better team than them in the French league. At the start of the season, I wondered if Marseille could beat them, but as time went on, nothing changed and Paris Saint-Germain is still leading the French league. This year they have a surprise rival, Lens, but I think they will soon fall behind Paris Saint-Germain as well.

It's become a yearly tradition that PSG chances of winning the title are very high, they've dominated Ligue 1 for years, it may seem boring, but that's what happens when there's only one rich team. Marseille, who I expected to be a difficult team, didn't pose a real threat this year, but we're still fortunate to have Lens, a formidable team when the other big names are unmotivated, even if the champions are known at the end of the season, at least there's still an interesting spectacle at the top of the table.

Yes, actually it is not surprising that in the end PSG won the League 1 title because this club is the only club that has performed more consistently compared to other League 1 teams, my only hope this season is that there is a team that can break PSG dominance. I have a different view with Lens this season which might provide a surprise because I have been watching for a long time and at first doubted but Lens looked stable, but lately their performance has declined and started to lose points since then I lost hope in Lens, yes at least for some time Lens made League 1 look interesting.

[pewboy]

It's mostly about people not betting on Lens. Oddmakers do not make up these numbers out of their heads, they make it up based on what people bet on. If the whole world bets on PSG and only a few people bets on Lens, then they can't give a rate based on that. Plus, in a few months the leagues are over, and you are getting basically 4% return on your bet, if you do that with Bitcoin, there is absolutely nothing in the world, no other place, no other possibility, where you could get 4% more bitcoin for your bitcoin in a few months.

of course the bets are clearly in favor of paris san german it's obvious it's a sure thing and i think it's also a given given that paris is a team founded to win everything, they also have the money to do it, i don't think there's the possibility of other teams getting in the way, certainly not the goal.

[Sexylizzy2813]

Do you dare to bet on RC Lens to win the league & take the @15,00 odds?

Why not? PSG hasn’t been as consistent lately compared to last season. So it makes sense that anyone would be willing to take a shot on Lens winning the title this season. Even though most people still believe in PSG’s dominance, I personally hope this is the season where another team like Lens can break that streak and bring something fresh to the league. It would definitely make things a lot more interesting instead of the usual predictable outcome.

This is interesting, I would love it if this happens for Lens to win the Ligue 1 title but can they keep up the pace and enduring the pressure that comes with it? In as much as PSG are not as aggressive as they were it still doesn't mean they can't take this stage of this season very serious, it won't be as easy as it was last season but they can try making it as league leaders till the end of this campaign. Lens only mistake is losing to Lorient 2-1, if they had won that game I believe the pressure on PSG now even as they have a game at hand , the pressure would have been more than it is now. I believed in Lens back then when they miraculously emerge as league leaders competing with PSG but they gave me something different about how they operate so this doesn't have a high possibility of happening that Lens win the title.

[changaa]

It's mostly about people not betting on Lens. Oddmakers do not make up these numbers out of their heads, they make it up based on what people bet on. If the whole world bets on PSG and only a few people bets on Lens, then they can't give a rate based on that. Plus, in a few months the leagues are over, and you are getting basically 4% return on your bet, if you do that with Bitcoin, there is absolutely nothing in the world, no other place, no other possibility, where you could get 4% more bitcoin for your bitcoin in a few months.

Yes it is true what you say the percentage of bettors influence the numbers, an algorithm calculates the averages and they publish the results.
But behind it are experts beyond the numbers who evaluate the matches and evaluate the performance of the teams, of course they are always evaluations that have nothing certain, but still as in my case the odds can influence the bet I place. The Bitcoin discourse in my opinion is different and not comparable.