who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections?

[lixer]

Actually, if I recall correctly.
Biden's winning margin last time was quite slim, so if Trump manages to become the Republican candidate there is a good chance Trump would win this time. The Republican party has become more radical, so has the democrat Party, those in the middle who suffer from the economical decisions taken by the executive are those who will decide on 2024 who is going to be president.

If Biden had won with a wider margin than he did, I think I would agree with you prediction, though.

Well, you are sort of right, but also wrong. How should I put this, the end result wasn't close, it's required 270 electoral votes to win and Biden had 306 vs Trump having 232, so when you look at it that way then we can say that it was a landslide win, it was a "huge" win like Trump would say, the difference was insane when it ended, reaching 300+ is always a huge one. However, if you look at it individually state by state, there were some states that were closer than the others.

It means the end result shows you are wrong, but some states were close so you are right. If Trump somehow gets ALL those states to flip, then he can win. He needs to flip Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and all of those small difference states but we are not even talking about just one, he needs at least 3 if I am not wrong, that's going to be tough, I am not sure if he could do it on all three together.

[Mate2237]

Op from your topic

who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections?

, do you have free flight and provision of international passport with free ticket, if yes we are here to witness the election and come back to Nigeria.
Trump might win this election if he is still coming as rumour carried. Joe Biden is not strong enough to pilot the country affairs. He even fell down last week when he was in the gathering with other dignitaries. And the security men raised him up. US needs a very vibrate president in the country to do well for the citizens and the world at large. My speculation goes to Trump.

[slapper]

US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I wonder why would anyone think Trump handled economy well, you do realize it was his term when pandemic happened and he did basically nothing about it right? He just printed money and gave money to his friends under PPP as well and huge tax cuts to rich.

In any case, I would bet on Biden, you may not like to, and you may dislike him, and you may think he wasn't a better president, but majority of the nation believes Trump is such a terrible president that they rather see a senile old dude barely speaking to be up there on that post instead of Trump. You can deny this, you may think it is not true, but that's what happened on the last elections and I think it would be the case on the next one as well, people dislike Trump more than they dislike Biden.

Yeah, I get where you're coming from and your forecast definitely tracks. It's like when we crunch numbers and speculate future trends using present and historical datasets, isn't it? Biden's calm demeanor and Trump's potent populism each find resonance among their respective fanbases.

Yet, I would contend that, much like an app suddenly rolling out new features, there could be a plot twist or two in the upcoming election narrative. History is testament to the fact that pre-election happenings can turn the tables overnight. From headline-grabbing controversies, atmospheric shifts in politics, socio-economic pivots, unexpected political tag-teams, to cutting-edge tech breakthroughs - all can swing public opinion, eventually steering the election outcome.

Also, I'd underscore the impending impact of tech on the election a bit more. Who's to say, campaigns powered by AI might just hit it out of the park this time!

[nullama]

~snip~
Yeah, I get where you're coming from and your forecast definitely tracks. It's like when we crunch numbers and speculate future trends using present and historical datasets, isn't it? Biden's calm demeanor and Trump's potent populism each find resonance among their respective fanbases.

Yet, I would contend that, much like an app suddenly rolling out new features, there could be a plot twist or two in the upcoming election narrative. History is testament to the fact that pre-election happenings can turn the tables overnight. From headline-grabbing controversies, atmospheric shifts in politics, socio-economic pivots, unexpected political tag-teams, to cutting-edge tech breakthroughs - all can swing public opinion, eventually steering the election outcome.

Also, I'd underscore the impending impact of tech on the election a bit more. Who's to say, campaigns powered by AI might just hit it out of the park this time!

We've already had AI powered campaigns, Cambridge Analytica used that 10 years ago. The thing is that at that time AI was just getting started, it showed its potential in 2012 with image recognition, so it was immediately used for other purposes soon after.

Now, 10 years later, we are surrounded by it, and basically AI has gone mainstream. There's no escape to it, pretty much anything you read or see has the potential of being created by AI. At least AI-Assisted.

[Hispo]

Actually, if I recall correctly.
Biden's winning margin last time was quite slim, so if Trump manages to become the Republican candidate there is a good chance Trump would win this time. The Republican party has become more radical, so has the democrat Party, those in the middle who suffer from the economical decisions taken by the executive are those who will decide on 2024 who is going to be president.

If Biden had won with a wider margin than he did, I think I would agree with you prediction, though.

Well, you are sort of right, but also wrong. How should I put this, the end result wasn't close, it's required 270 electoral votes to win and Biden had 306 vs Trump having 232, so when you look at it that way then we can say that it was a landslide win, it was a "huge" win like Trump would say, the difference was insane when it ended, reaching 300+ is always a huge one. However, if you look at it individually state by state, there were some states that were closer than the others.

It means the end result shows you are wrong, but some states were close so you are right. If Trump somehow gets ALL those states to flip, then he can win. He needs to flip Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and all of those small difference states but we are not even talking about just one, he needs at least 3 if I am not wrong, that's going to be tough, I am not sure if he could do it on all three together.

In Georgia he only needed 11,000 votes to flip the state. The same he asked the Secretary of State to find out of no where in a call which (thank God) was being recorded.
When I say the margin was slim, that is what I am talking about, the votes necessary to flip the state and select the electoral college he needed to win.

As this campaign continues to progress I can see things getting nastier and Biden will continue to be the same unsavory and uncharismatic character. Trump has a chance a good one to come back to the White House.

[dothebeats]

~~~
Although all politicians are the same to me, I like Trump more 'for the simple fact that he is not a born politician.

I would agree with you. US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I for one, thought that Trump was the most dangerous option back then just because Biden looked like he's the reserved, calculating, and more sensible option since he knew politics that well. Turns out that I was wrong for the most part, and Trump's sly and dry remarks are way better than Biden not really knowing what to say at the right place and at the right time. A lot of questionable decisions made by the Democrats during Biden's administration made me switch sides for the 'lesser evil,' which is Trump. Although the MAGA poster boy seemed to be erratic and a lot more unpredictable, his policies made a lot of countries - even Russia and China - respect the US somewhat as he's form on what he says and does not back down against threats compared to Biden.

A huge possibility for Trump to win the next elections. Even if they put Harris on the slate, I don't think her popularity and what he did on the current administration is enough to win votes.

[Sithara007]

~~~
It means the end result shows you are wrong, but some states were close so you are right. If Trump somehow gets ALL those states to flip, then he can win. He needs to flip Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and all of those small difference states but we are not even talking about just one, he needs at least 3 if I am not wrong, that's going to be tough, I am not sure if he could do it on all three together.

All the three states you have mentioned here have moved to the left-wing spectrum in the last few years. I will not even consider these states as "swing states" anymore. At the best they are light-blue states. If it is Trump vs Biden in 2024, then Biden will get a lead of 4-5% in each of these states. In Arizona and Georgia, there is a lot of demographic changes occurring, as Hispanic voters are moving in. The case with Wisconsin is different. A majority of the voters are moderates and they have moved away from the GOP during the last few years.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Yes, in fact Yesterday on the news I couldn't really hear what they were saying on TV, but they said that Trump was guilty of having Sexually Assaulted a woman years ago, but I think that the politicians in the USA have a war against him , things can be seen that way, but I think that if Trump wins , things will change a lot in his favor, and he will persecute those who wanted to see him fall, while more things are mentioned to Trump to Disqualify him Politically, I think he will of more anger, I do not know to what extent it is good that they continue to attack him in this way , it may be that things are Getting out of the hands of the other Politicians.

It is undeniable that Trump will strike back if he wins and I am sure he can succeed in this turnaround if he wins.
See for example what happened in Brazil... the president-elect is an ex-convict (unfortunately... our shame), he went from prison to the most coveted position in the country and in retaliation he is "overthrowing" everyone who acted against him in the time he was accused and arrested, from lawyers, prosecutors and even judges.

Anyway... first Trump needs to win and honestly I'm sorry for that to happen. As much as the other candidates are notably "pushing too hard" to the point of being ridiculous, I think Trump's chances of winning the next election are still slim.

Well, although I say something, in Brazil it continues to maintain that very good level that the country has always had, I see that Brazil continues to grow in technology, in progress and that is something that I like a lot, sometimes I say that if it had not been born in me country and if they give me the choice of where to be born again it would be Brazil because I loved that country and I didn't even know Rio, but it's something spectacular, and what you say is true, Trump will come with everything, he already knows how to handle the powers and How to manage the congress, he already has the experience, the contacts, and this will be very easy for him, for me it is indisputable, the winner will be Trump , they can say what they want, but for me the Winner is him.

~~~
It means the end result shows you are wrong, but some states were close so you are right. If Trump somehow gets ALL those states to flip, then he can win. He needs to flip Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and all of those small difference states but we are not even talking about just one, he needs at least 3 if I am not wrong, that's going to be tough, I am not sure if he could do it on all three together.

All the three states you have mentioned here have moved to the left-wing spectrum in the last few years. I will not even consider these states as "swing states" anymore. At the best they are light-blue states. If it is Trump vs Biden in 2024, then Biden will get a lead of 4-5% in each of these states. In Arizona and Georgia, there is a lot of demographic changes occurring, as Hispanic voters are moving in. The case with Wisconsin is different. A majority of the voters are moderates and they have moved away from the GOP during the last few years.

I don't know very well how things are handled at the level of Elections by States , I don't remember that, but I am sure of one thing, with all the War they are waging against Trump, attacking him, they want to disable his participation, they are charging him more of accusations against him , what resounds the most is that he has messed with the nuclear project documents and this is putting him to the ground , now , if he manages to get out of this , there is no doubt , I think the Advantage that they talk about Biden about Trump will fall.

I see very badly the attempt they have to make to attack it , however I have seen that one of the US states with the most Hispanics is Chicago, it is incredible , but if those who have Entered the US for pure Humanitarian Action if they can vote , Biden will Undoubtedly win.

[Betwrong]

Any comment on this?

https://twitter.com/robertsepehr/status/1662917294379655170

The US media has been largely silent on this story. The released pictures and videos are extremely graphic and if it was anyone from the GOP, then that individual would have been arrested by now, but to jail and his political career would have been finished. But then it is Hunter Biden, who belongs to the left-wing political spectrum. The only platform that is covering this story is Twitter and any related posts are being removed immediately from other platforms such as Facebook.

Well.. I got one article from Fox News:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/nearly-10k-photos-hunter-bidens-laptop-hit-web-truth-transparency

There about 40 people in the category "Next President" on sports betting sites, and there's no Hunter Biden in there, so, I don't understand why is it relevant. Oh, the FoxNews. You know that Fox News is pro-Trump propaganda, right? And they are so desperately want to denigrate Joe Biden that they resort to such dirty methods as citing Russian media known for their constant lies. FFS!

If it where Trump's wife ormson has those things inside the laptop, the media would tirelessly flash all those things to keep the votes down on Trump. Its just the way it is though. Biden was not asked like they were pressing him to answer. The media was more interested on what ice cream flavor did Biden bought.

If there were many options, Trump probably may not win as well. But he is more popular among any other candidates.

You mean, he's more popular among the other Republican candidates, or what? Because the bets are going on Biden:



and I think we have these odds for a reason. It's not like gamblers decided to support Biden this way, oh no. They bet their money on the most popular candidate because they want to win their bets.

[Sithara007]

You mean, he's more popular among the other Republican candidates, or what? Because the bets are going on Biden:



and I think we have these odds for a reason. It's not like gamblers decided to support Biden this way, oh no. They bet their money on the most popular candidate because they want to win their bets.

I still don't agree with these odds. Biden's odds should be similar to those for Trump. At this point, Trump is facing hardly any opposition from the other GOP candidates and he is almost certain to win the Republican nomination for 2024. The only X factor is the ongoing criminal proceedings against him, which may make it impossible for him to file papers for the 2024 race. But then Biden also has a similar handicap. His health is not getting any better. Regarding Ron DeSantis, his candidacy has died even before it was launched. 

[bittraffic]

You mean, he's more popular among the other Republican candidates, or what? Because the bets are going on Biden:



and I think we have these odds for a reason. It's not like gamblers decided to support Biden this way, oh no. They bet their money on the most popular candidate because they want to win their bets.

I still don't agree with these odds. Biden's odds should be similar to those for Trump. At this point, Trump is facing hardly any opposition from the other GOP candidates and he is almost certain to win the Republican nomination for 2024. The only X factor is the ongoing criminal proceedings against him, which may make it impossible for him to file papers for the 2024 race. But then Biden also has a similar handicap. His health is not getting any better. Regarding Ron DeSantis, his candidacy has died even before it was launched. 

I think because there is a risk of Trump not able to run, a slight 50/50 chance if the lawsuits put him on hold then it's just going to be Biden vs DeSantis. Desantis candidacy though is a bit shakey. Thus the reason Biden still favored.  A disastrous future is ahead if he is reelected. Not sure why people would see him fit but anything can happen in 2023, UFOs are here.

Desantis despite his sane looking, he might not win against the old guys.

[LUCKMCFLY]

~~~
Although all politicians are the same to me, I like Trump more 'for the simple fact that he is not a born politician.

I would agree with you. US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

Yes, in fact I think that Biden has many mistakes, and the mistakes he has made are because he has been very condescending with everyone, the policies he has taken are very soft, and apparently the American citizen does not like that very much, he always seeks it is to have more strength and to be radical, in addition to the fact that it is said that Biden flirts a lot with the rulers of socialist political tendencies, so at this point TRUMP is the opposite, he is not a socialist he is 100% capitalist and I think that is what governs this country , for me personally each political Scheme is the one that offers the best opportunities to its people without considering giving gifts, when you give away Everything is lost.

[Sithara007]

I think because there is a risk of Trump not able to run, a slight 50/50 chance if the lawsuits put him on hold then it's just going to be Biden vs DeSantis. Desantis candidacy though is a bit shakey. Thus the reason Biden still favored.  A disastrous future is ahead if he is reelected. Not sure why people would see him fit but anything can happen in 2023, UFOs are here.

Desantis despite his sane looking, he might not win against the old guys.

Even if Trump is unable to run, it will never be Biden vs DeSantis. Trump is not in speaking terms with DeSantis as of now, and in case he is barred from running for POTUS 2024, then he will select one of his loyalists rather than DeSantis. The Florida governor on the other hand is struggling to stay above the 20-point level for Republican nomination in recent opinion polls, while Trump is consistently polling above 60 percent. 2024 can get a lot more complicated and there can be unexpected scenarios. Especially if someone like Trump or Kennedy jumps in as an independent candidate.

[Betwrong]

You mean, he's more popular among the other Republican candidates, or what? Because the bets are going on Biden:



and I think we have these odds for a reason. It's not like gamblers decided to support Biden this way, oh no. They bet their money on the most popular candidate because they want to win their bets.

I still don't agree with these odds. Biden's odds should be similar to those for Trump. At this point, Trump is facing hardly any opposition from the other GOP candidates and he is almost certain to win the Republican nomination for 2024. The only X factor is the ongoing criminal proceedings against him, which may make it impossible for him to file papers for the 2024 race. But then Biden also has a similar handicap. His health is not getting any better. Regarding Ron DeSantis, his candidacy has died even before it was launched.  

That's a serious factor, don't you think? I agree with bettors that trust Biden will be the next President, and Trump won't be, even more than before now.



As for Biden's health "not getting any better", it's only Russian propaganda and their little helpers spreading that "news" now. No wonder gamblers have just been ignoring it.

[Doan9269]

Op from your topic

who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections?

, do you have free flight and provision of international passport with free ticket, if yes we are here to witness the election and come back to Nigeria.
Trump might win this election if he is still coming as rumour carried. Joe Biden is not strong enough to pilot the country affairs. He even fell down last week when he was in the gathering with other dignitaries. And the security men raised him up. US needs a very vibrate president in the country to do well for the citizens and the world at large. My speculation goes to Trump.

Should we make the comparison between the Trump administration with the Biden current tenure and his own administration, there will be a lot to discuss about because there are enough vast major difference in them both, what i will only advise is for Biden not to let the same mistake Trump did that made him victorious over Trump repeated itself on him to allow Trump win over him, there may be consideration on other candidates as well if the two of them aren't going to be the perfect representative to fit in the race and position of the United States president.

[LUCKMCFLY]

US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I wonder why would anyone think Trump handled economy well, you do realize it was his term when pandemic happened and he did basically nothing about it right? He just printed money and gave money to his friends under PPP as well and huge tax cuts to rich.

In any case, I would bet on Biden, you may not like to, and you may dislike him, and you may think he wasn't a better president, but majority of the nation believes Trump is such a terrible president that they rather see a senile old dude barely speaking to be up there on that post instead of Trump. You can deny this, you may think it is not true, but that's what happened on the last elections and I think it would be the case on the next one as well, people dislike Trump more than they dislike Biden.

Your point of view is very Interesting, of course I have Always said something, only those who live in the USA are the ones who can attest to what is the best situation that can arise in the country and how to handle it, for me this type of thing they are very Controversial, we Cannot deny that Trump is Very radical and in the USA there are very radical people in PRO-TRUMP, also the economies that Biden has applied are good, as for the pandemic there are many factors, all point out that the Chinese took the covid on purpose to improve its economy, personally I never believed that this was Because of the bat or the pangolin, unlike your thinking , I continue to maintain that Trump is and may be the Winner.

[nullama]

~snip~
Your point of view is very Interesting, of course I have Always said something, only those who live in the USA are the ones who can attest to what is the best situation that can arise in the country and how to handle it, for me this type of thing they are very Controversial, we Cannot deny that Trump is Very radical and in the USA there are very radical people in PRO-TRUMP, also the economies that Biden has applied are good, as for the pandemic there are many factors, all point out that the Chinese took the covid on purpose to improve its economy, personally I never believed that this was Because of the bat or the pangolin, unlike your thinking , I continue to maintain that Trump is and may be the Winner.

Yeah, I think the election will be extremely tight, but that eventually Trump will win. It will be controversial no matter what though, even if he wins or loses, there will be a lot of issues everywhere, controversies, etc. That's kinda his style apparently.

We'll have to wait and see what actually happens on election day, but it will be a long wait with lots of crazy debates.

[Sithara007]

US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I wonder why would anyone think Trump handled economy well, you do realize it was his term when pandemic happened and he did basically nothing about it right? He just printed money and gave money to his friends under PPP as well and huge tax cuts to rich.

In any case, I would bet on Biden, you may not like to, and you may dislike him, and you may think he wasn't a better president, but majority of the nation believes Trump is such a terrible president that they rather see a senile old dude barely speaking to be up there on that post instead of Trump. You can deny this, you may think it is not true, but that's what happened on the last elections and I think it would be the case on the next one as well, people dislike Trump more than they dislike Biden.

I am no fan of Donald Trump. But it is a very simple fact that economy was quite robust under Trump and it nosedived when Joe Biden became the president. Inflation is in double digit now and joblessness is at record high. And this is directly due to actions initiated by Biden when he came to power. One of the first things he did after taking over presidency was to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline. And then he imposed additional regulations on shale oil producers and banned fracking in federal lands. Crude oil prices immediately went up by 2x and this is the root cause of high inflation rates that are prevailing now.

[Betwrong]

US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I wonder why would anyone think Trump handled economy well, you do realize it was his term when pandemic happened and he did basically nothing about it right? He just printed money and gave money to his friends under PPP as well and huge tax cuts to rich.

In any case, I would bet on Biden, you may not like to, and you may dislike him, and you may think he wasn't a better president, but majority of the nation believes Trump is such a terrible president that they rather see a senile old dude barely speaking to be up there on that post instead of Trump. You can deny this, you may think it is not true, but that's what happened on the last elections and I think it would be the case on the next one as well, people dislike Trump more than they dislike Biden.

I am no fan of Donald Trump. But it is a very simple fact that economy was quite robust under Trump and it nosedived when Joe Biden became the president. Inflation is in double digit now and joblessness is at record high. And this is directly due to actions initiated by the incarnation of evil on earth when he came to power. One of the first things he did after taking over presidency was to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline. And then he imposed additional regulations on shale oil producers and banned fracking in federal lands. Crude oil prices immediately went up by 2x and this is the root cause of high inflation rates that are prevailing now.

No fan of Donald Trump? Good. It looks like most Americans think like you do. And gamblers know it, and hence the odds. As for repeating some anti-US nonsense taken from a banana republic's propaganda, like Biden is the incarnation of evil on earth and stuff, I don't think that's relevant here.

What's relevant is that Biden is very likely to win the elections, and those betting on him are going to win their bets. It's not guaranteed but very likely to happen.

[Hispo]

US politics seems to be about selecting the least dangerous option. At this point, Trump sounds like a better option when compared to Kamala or Biden. Kennedy is better option as well, but there is no chance that he will manage to win the Democrat primaries. Trump is not a perfect choice, but given the lack of other suitable options I guess a lot of people will be voting for him in 2024. One of his advantages is that he knows how to handle the economy. And Biden lacks that quality. Economy went on a downward spiral once he took over in 2020.

I wonder why would anyone think Trump handled economy well, you do realize it was his term when pandemic happened and he did basically nothing about it right? He just printed money and gave money to his friends under PPP as well and huge tax cuts to rich.

In any case, I would bet on Biden, you may not like to, and you may dislike him, and you may think he wasn't a better president, but majority of the nation believes Trump is such a terrible president that they rather see a senile old dude barely speaking to be up there on that post instead of Trump. You can deny this, you may think it is not true, but that's what happened on the last elections and I think it would be the case on the next one as well, people dislike Trump more than they dislike Biden.

I am no fan of Donald Trump. But it is a very simple fact that economy was quite robust under Trump and it nosedived when Joe Biden became the president. Inflation is in double digit now and joblessness is at record high. And this is directly due to actions initiated by the incarnation of evil on earth when he came to power. One of the first things he did after taking over presidency was to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline. And then he imposed additional regulations on shale oil producers and banned fracking in federal lands. Crude oil prices immediately went up by 2x and this is the root cause of high inflation rates that are prevailing now.

No fan of Donald Trump? Good. It looks like most Americans think like you do. And gamblers know it, and hence the odds. As for repeating some anti-US nonsense taken from a banana republic's propaganda, like Biden is the incarnation of evil on earth and stuff, I don't think that's relevant here.

What's relevant is that Biden is very likely to win the elections, and those betting on him are going to win their bets. It's not guaranteed but very likely to happen.

What I think it is happening is that bettors realize there is a silent majority who does not attend to neither leftist events nor MAGA gatherings, the so called moderated voters, they are more pragmatic and do not go along with whatever of the things Trump says, political related or in relation to the charges he is facing.

That is why Republican candidates in the mid terms under performed, on the news you only see fanatics but those who stay calm in their homes also vote and they do it in a more rational manner, there is where the Biden's changes of winning come from, from normal people who may not agree on several policies of Biden but approve his economical advances.