who Want To Bet On 2024 USA elections?

[Hispo]

-snip

I don't think that a lot of people are going to make bets on someone like Michelle Obama. But there will be a few, who explore remote possibilities. POTUS 2024 elections are still more than a year away. Given the health of the two main candidates, there is always a chance of some surprise occurring before the elections. And then we have the Trump conviction drama going on with Hunter Biden laptopgate in the background. The returns are too attractive for high-risk takers to ignore such bets. If I am not wrong, Michelle Obama is being given odds ranging from 36.0 to 96.0.

I can agree when you talk about it is possible a surprise to occur in this incoming election. Actually, Barack Obama was a surprise candidate who ended up winning and beating Hillary out her chances to become the first Woman in charge of the USA. Or I think it was another man... I dont recall.
If the health of Biden continues to deteriorate and Trump ends up in prison, then there will be more chances of a younger and less extreme person to take over the polls.

Though, Trump still could run from Prison, as far as I know.

[OgNasty]

I’d like to bet on the election but not until the primaries have been settled. I have my doubts as to whether or not Joe Biden will be healthy enough to truly run for President again so without know for sure who the candidates are, I’ll have to refrain. I do hope that Stake will offer this bet when the times comes as it is fun to bet on elections.

[Sithara007]

I can agree when you talk about it is possible a surprise to occur in this incoming election. Actually, Barack Obama was a surprise candidate who ended up winning and beating Hillary out her chances to become the first Woman in charge of the USA. Or I think it was another man... I dont recall.
If the health of Biden continues to deteriorate and Trump ends up in prison, then there will be more chances of a younger and less extreme person to take over the polls.

Though, Trump still could run from Prison, as far as I know.

Knowing how selfish Trump is, I don't think that he will allow anyone else to get nominated from the GOP for 2024 polls. Not even Ivanka. We saw that during the 2020 senate runoff for Georgia. Trump refused to campaign after he lost the POTUS elections and as a result GOP lost two senate seats that they would have won otherwise. If someone else becomes the GOP nominee, then Trump will simply refuse to support that candidate and his supporters will simply sit at home and don't vote in the elections. Democrats are more united, at least when compared to the GOP.

[Hispo]

I can agree when you talk about it is possible a surprise to occur in this incoming election. Actually, Barack Obama was a surprise candidate who ended up winning and beating Hillary out her chances to become the first Woman in charge of the USA. Or I think it was another man... I dont recall.
If the health of Biden continues to deteriorate and Trump ends up in prison, then there will be more chances of a younger and less extreme person to take over the polls.

Though, Trump still could run from Prison, as far as I know.

Knowing how selfish Trump is, I don't think that he will allow anyone else to get nominated from the GOP for 2024 polls. Not even Ivanka. We saw that during the 2020 senate runoff for Georgia. Trump refused to campaign after he lost the POTUS elections and as a result GOP lost two senate seats that they would have won otherwise. If someone else becomes the GOP nominee, then Trump will simply refuse to support that candidate and his supporters will simply sit at home and don't vote in the elections. Democrats are more united, at least when compared to the GOP.

That is why the Republican party is afraid of Trump, indeed. He has a lot of influence over the red voters, which it could mean he has enough power to divide and destroy the GOP.

For example, I remember than some months ago, there was a rumor that in order to participate within the Republican debates, those nominees had to sign a document promising to accept and support whoever ended up being the chosen candidate. It may be a coincidence, but since then Trump has refused to debate publicly with other Republican runners and even refused to do so in Fox News.

[Sithara007]

That is why the Republican party is afraid of Trump, indeed. He has a lot of influence over the red voters, which it could mean he has enough power to divide and destroy the GOP.

For example, I remember than some months ago, there was a rumor that in order to participate within the Republican debates, those nominees had to sign a document promising to accept and support whoever ended up being the chosen candidate. It may be a coincidence, but since then Trump has refused to debate publicly with other Republican runners and even refused to do so in Fox News.

LOL.. GOP has become a laughing stock. Before 2016, I would have considered the GOP as one of the most transparent and fair political parties in the globe. Now GOP has become a private enterprise that is owned and operated by Donald Trump. There is no room for independent opinion. If anyone speaks out against Trump, then the latter would destroy that individual in primary polls. The same people who complained about the Democrat primaries in 2016 (when Bernie Sanders was defeated by Billary with help from super-delegates) are silent in this case.

[Betwrong]

~

I do not even know why Michelle Obama is an option there, as far as I know she has not announced her run for president and even if she had intentions to run, it seems that within the democrat party there is already an agreement on Joe being the main option to face whoever gets elected on the Republican side...

The odds look good enough, imo, though.

Maybe that's why we have such odds. Basically, your chance of winning your bet placed on her is less than 3%, right? It's a very small chance. And, w hy it's there at all? Well, there's a lot of time ahead, things can change.

~
 However I'll love to know the name of this site so I'll make my predictions at the right time when it's suitable for me because I feel there are still other candidates that are yet to declare their intentions publicly.

The screenshot was taken from Stake.com, but you can bet on 2024 USA elections on other sites too. They will start accepting such bets on FortuneJack in 2 days



also, Sportsbet.io is accepting them:



I don't know about other sites, but the key is to look for Specials/Politics in sports betting section of any gambling site.

[beerlover]

I can agree when you talk about it is possible a surprise to occur in this incoming election. Actually, Barack Obama was a surprise candidate who ended up winning and beating Hillary out her chances to become the first Woman in charge of the USA. Or I think it was another man... I dont recall.
If the health of Biden continues to deteriorate and Trump ends up in prison, then there will be more chances of a younger and less extreme person to take over the polls.

Though, Trump still could run from Prison, as far as I know.

Knowing how selfish Trump is, I don't think that he will allow anyone else to get nominated from the GOP for 2024 polls. Not even Ivanka. We saw that during the 2020 senate runoff for Georgia. Trump refused to campaign after he lost the POTUS elections and as a result GOP lost two senate seats that they would have won otherwise. If someone else becomes the GOP nominee, then Trump will simply refuse to support that candidate and his supporters will simply sit at home and don't vote in the elections. Democrats are more united, at least when compared to the GOP.

It's not about his ego or being selfish, if he is prisoned, or at least he is in a situation where he can't be nominated, then there has to be another one. What would republican party do, not have a nominee? Of course they are going to offer a nominee for the candidacy.

For the time being, Trump is leading but that is until this investigation is over, when it is over either he will be in jail or he will be the nominee, it all depends on the result. I believe that they are going to have some hard time, but I think it can still be done one way or another. Trump vs Biden is such a shameful period of USA history, a few decades down the line I really hope people look at this as a terrible period and not the period when all this crazy started.

[Hispo]

I can agree when you talk about it is possible a surprise to occur in this incoming election. Actually, Barack Obama was a surprise candidate who ended up winning and beating Hillary out her chances to become the first Woman in charge of the USA. Or I think it was another man... I dont recall.
If the health of Biden continues to deteriorate and Trump ends up in prison, then there will be more chances of a younger and less extreme person to take over the polls.

Though, Trump still could run from Prison, as far as I know.

Knowing how selfish Trump is, I don't think that he will allow anyone else to get nominated from the GOP for 2024 polls. Not even Ivanka. We saw that during the 2020 senate runoff for Georgia. Trump refused to campaign after he lost the POTUS elections and as a result GOP lost two senate seats that they would have won otherwise. If someone else becomes the GOP nominee, then Trump will simply refuse to support that candidate and his supporters will simply sit at home and don't vote in the elections. Democrats are more united, at least when compared to the GOP.

It's not about his ego or being selfish, if he is prisoned, or at least he is in a situation where he can't be nominated, then there has to be another one. What would republican party do, not have a nominee? Of course they are going to offer a nominee for the candidacy.

For the time being, Trump is leading but that is until this investigation is over, when it is over either he will be in jail or he will be the nominee, it all depends on the result. I believe that they are going to have some hard time, but I think it can still be done one way or another. Trump vs Biden is such a shameful period of USA history, a few decades down the line I really hope people look at this as a terrible period and not the period when all this crazy started.

To be honest, I am doubtful Trump will ever face serious time in prison, because the political unrest that may trigger around the United States. That is one of the reasons he is still walking around free while anyone else would have been locked up in days or weeks.

There was a young man, who months ago decided to withheld and share through discord confidential information from his workplace, he did it on Discord and he got arrested and handcuffed in days. The difference is that he was not running for president and was not a leading figure in the race.

If there was possible to bet on Trump getting in prison before the presidential elections, I would say he wouldn't.

[nullama]

~snip~
To be honest, I am doubtful Trump will ever face serious time in prison, because the political unrest that may trigger around the United States. That is one of the reasons he is still walking around free while anyone else would have been locked up in days or weeks.

There was a young man, who months ago decided to withheld and share through discord confidential information from his workplace, he did it on Discord and he got arrested and handcuffed in days. The difference is that he was not running for president and was not a leading figure in the race.

If there was possible to bet on Trump getting in prison before the presidential elections, I would say he wouldn't.

He did seem to get some kind of preferential treatment, because they didn't take a mugshot of him like they would have done with anyone else. They used an old photo instead.

But I think they are just taking their time as this is a very important case. We'll have to wait and see what happens.

[Hispo]

~snip~
To be honest, I am doubtful Trump will ever face serious time in prison, because the political unrest that may trigger around the United States. That is one of the reasons he is still walking around free while anyone else would have been locked up in days or weeks.

There was a young man, who months ago decided to withheld and share through discord confidential information from his workplace, he did it on Discord and he got arrested and handcuffed in days. The difference is that he was not running for president and was not a leading figure in the race.

If there was possible to bet on Trump getting in prison before the presidential elections, I would say he wouldn't.

He did seem to get some kind of preferential treatment, because they didn't take a mugshot of him like they would have done with anyone else. They used an old photo instead.

But I think they are just taking their time as this is a very important case. We'll have to wait and see what happens.

They did not only avoid taking mugshots of him but also allowed him to continue to hold his passport and he is still allowed to travel abroad if he wanted.
Honestly, I like how the judicial system is trying to keep things calm in the USA, if they locked up Trump pre trial and took his mugshot for everyone to see around the streets I am almost certain and the Trump base would protest in a worse manner than they did back then on Jan 6th 2021.

He is getting a special trearment, because he is a special case, unprecedented in the history of that nation.

I am still waiting to see if Chris Christie is ever going to be considered even more in the polls, I am curious what his odds would look like.

[STT]

Ivanka Trump is not in any way qualified to be running for President so thats just a good thing its not likely to occur.   Just electing people because of a family link seems quite wrong for modern day political control of a democratic country, they should have to at least be justifying that power with work done over decades and thats not true here.  
  Chris Christie whether you like them or not is more the kind of path thats correct, he has a proper history to criticize or praise him over.  You have a hint of actions he might take later etc.   I always want to hear a person with strong opinions, justified reasoning and able to defend themselves.   A weak leader is a bad idea all round as it can mean the influence and decisions are truly being taken out of view by people not clearly known as having the influence over that weak character voted on the ballot; nobody should want that scenario.

[nullama]

~snip~
They did not only avoid taking mugshots of him but also allowed him to continue to hold his passport and he is still allowed to travel abroad if he wanted.
Honestly, I like how the judicial system is trying to keep things calm in the USA, if they locked up Trump pre trial and took his mugshot for everyone to see around the streets I am almost certain and the Trump base would protest in a worse manner than they did back then on Jan 6th 2021.

He is getting a special trearment, because he is a special case, unprecedented in the history of that nation.

I am still waiting to see if Chris Christie is ever going to be considered even more in the polls, I am curious what his odds would look like.

I am curious about why not more people are protesting about this special treatment.

The law should apply to everyone in the same way. There shouldn't be any kind of special treatment.

Of course everyone deserves a fair trial as well. But things like not taking the mugshots for example are non-standard. I'm sure this has happened before, but I reckon it shouldn't.

[Sithara007]

Ivanka Trump is not in any way qualified to be running for President so thats just a good thing its not likely to occur.  

I neither prefer Ivanka Trump nor Michelle Obama for the POTUS 2024 elections. Apart from their family connections, these two doesn't have anything in them to become the POTUS. But in case Trump gets disqualified to run in 2024, then there is a good chance that he will ask some of his family members (can be Ivanka or Donald Jr.) to stand in the election. GOP has become a laughing stock over the years. They used to say that they are the only mainstream party with internal democracy in the United States. Look at their state now.

[FanEagle]

Of course you would not jail an ex-president like you would to another person. Trump could have gone the Nixon route if he wanted to and he would have been smart if he did that, just leave politics completely in exchange for a pardon, he would have gotten it as well.

He would have been a person who could walk around freely and do whatever financial crime he wants without worrying about anything else, he would not be jailed, and he would not be worried at all, wouldn't see inside of a jail cell a single day, not even a house arrest, but he decided he wants to keep trying his luck for another term and this is the result. He is really a fool if he thinks that he can steal nuclear information and still be let to become the president again.

[Hispo]

~snip~
They did not only avoid taking mugshots of him but also allowed him to continue to hold his passport and he is still allowed to travel abroad if he wanted.
Honestly, I like how the judicial system is trying to keep things calm in the USA, if they locked up Trump pre trial and took his mugshot for everyone to see around the streets I am almost certain and the Trump base would protest in a worse manner than they did back then on Jan 6th 2021.

He is getting a special trearment, because he is a special case, unprecedented in the history of that nation.

I am still waiting to see if Chris Christie is ever going to be considered even more in the polls, I am curious what his odds would look like.

I am curious about why not more people are protesting about this special treatment.

The law should apply to everyone in the same way. There shouldn't be any kind of special treatment.

Of course everyone deserves a fair trial as well. But things like not taking the mugshots for example are non-standard. I'm sure this has happened before, but I reckon it shouldn't.

From what I have seen on social media and on channels which are mostly leaning to the political left, I have got the impression that people (within the political left in USA) is aware that formally indicting a former president and current candidate is a delicate situation and the special treatment he is getting is for the good of most of the country. In the eyes of many in America, it was very unlikely any prosecutor dared to touch Trump, so this is a good first step, for those who believe he is a criminal, a good step keeping aside the measures to keep the radical MAGA branch calm enough.

Ironically, his criminal case as helped to increase his chances of winning.

[beerlover]

Ivanka Trump is not in any way qualified to be running for President so thats just a good thing its not likely to occur.  

I neither prefer Ivanka Trump nor Michelle Obama for the POTUS 2024 elections. Apart from their family connections, these two doesn't have anything in them to become the POTUS. But in case Trump gets disqualified to run in 2024, then there is a good chance that he will ask some of his family members (can be Ivanka or Donald Jr.) to stand in the election. GOP has become a laughing stock over the years. They used to say that they are the only mainstream party with internal democracy in the United States. Look at their state now.

That is true for Hillary Clinton as well, she wasn't really anyone before her husband and her husband was the president in the 90's, think about how long ago that was, and she became a career politician using her husbands presidential name and she got some positions here and there, but for over 15 years she has been trying to become the president, we have seen her go up against Obama, we have seen her go up against Trump as well, this time around she didn't tried it again but I am sure that if we keep this up, she will try to do it again later on.

Just stop with it, people do not want you, isn't that clear? The fact that presidents wife's try to be president as well makes me sick, just because your husband was elected, doesn't mean we want to elect you either.

[Gyfts]

I was looking at the 2020 aggregate betting odds and Biden had rather significant shot at winning: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/us_presidential_election_live_betting_odds.html

Keep in mind, that election came down to something like 50k votes spread across a few swing states.

Similarly, the 2016 election had Clinton up even greater: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2016_president/

That election played the same scenario. IMO the final odds for the 2020 election were giving Biden too much credit.

I've been following the Republican primarily day by day closely, and it's my opinion that DeSantis does not have enough to win the primary. Given Trump wins, I'm expecting the electoral map will look the same in '24 as it did in '20, with Biden winning by a small margin across a few swing states.

[Hispo]

...
I've been following the Republican primarily day by day closely, and it's my opinion that DeSantis does not have enough to win the primary. Given Trump wins, I'm expecting the electoral map will look the same in '24 as it did in '20, with Biden winning by a small margin across a few swing states.

I have also been following the Republican primaries and I must say it is very likely we will see a rematch between those two. Still, I am holding onto the hope of some unexpected person to walk in and steal the attention out of Trump or Joe Biden. It is more possible stealing the Democrat nomination from Biden than stealing the Republican one from Trump.

Not even a person like Chris Christie who frontally attacks Trump do not stand yet a chance, only having small percentages in the polls, last time I saw was almost 2%. I expected more. It is like Republican base do not care anymore about anything but theories.

[Gyfts]

...

...

Chris Christie, Nikki Hailey, Vivek Ramaswamy are all playing the game that Joe Biden himself has played in the past.

Run a campaign, never break out of 1-2% in the polls, and then endorse the "winning" candidate and in exchange for a cabinet position. This is how Joe Biden was able to get his Vice President spot in the 2008 election with Obama. So none of these people are serious.

The democratic party, with Trump as their opponent, will not need to nominate someone else. That time has past. If the DNC was adamant about someone else, they would have made that clear earlier. I saw some platforms float around Gavin Newsom or Michelle Obama in the betting markets with astronomically slim odds. If the DNC wanted someone else, Newsom would've been their pick IMO.

[Sithara007]

I was looking at the 2020 aggregate betting odds and Biden had rather significant shot at winning: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/us_presidential_election_live_betting_odds.html

Keep in mind, that election came down to something like 50k votes spread across a few swing states.

Similarly, the 2016 election had Clinton up even greater: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2016_president/

That election played the same scenario. IMO the final odds for the 2020 election were giving Biden too much credit.

I've been following the Republican primarily day by day closely, and it's my opinion that DeSantis does not have enough to win the primary. Given Trump wins, I'm expecting the electoral map will look the same in '24 as it did in '20, with Biden winning by a small margin across a few swing states.

It is the changing demography in a few states that gave Biden the upper hand in the end. Unlike what most of us believe, the POTUS elections are not decided by all the 50 states. Rather, the outcome is solely dependent on a few swing states. These states are - Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota and Maine. These 10 states decide the outcome of the elections. It is almost like the other 40 states are not participating in the elections. And Biden has an advantage in many of these states due to changing demographics.