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Author Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation  (Read 3312332 times)
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elrippos friend
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November 15, 2020, 08:47:40 AM
 #42501

Art this point I think the salient question is do we punch through the floor?  Or do we make a higher low.

Place your bets.



   I'm betting on a higher low.  If this was a depressing bear market, maybe a dip to a new low.  But now?  Doesn't sit well with me.  I don't lose by betting on a higher low.  If I buy a little too soon, and it spikes down to a new low and back up while I sleep, I'm happy with my purchase.  Anything with 2 leading zeros is cheap coins next year. month.

My prediction stands, but as we saw from the past double zeros are and propably always will accompain Monero in a dip  Roll Eyes

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elrippos friend
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November 15, 2020, 08:48:23 AM
 #42502

Ps.: I am happy that there is some movement in this thread, was dead for years  Grin Grin Grin

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November 15, 2020, 04:25:34 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1), explorer (1)
 #42503

Art this point I think the salient question is do we punch through the floor?  Or do we make a higher low.

Place your bets.


I am watching that trend line as well. I bet higher low. The selling volume below 0.78 was pretty unimpressive. We landed right back in our 15 month long accumulation range with a higher low. I can't imagine whomever scooped up the coins on this dip is looking to sell here. My guess is that someone used the recent spike as an opportunity exit a low conviction position. We may go lower, but after a year in this zone and the tail emission rapidly approaching, we will run out of low conviction holders eventually.
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November 17, 2020, 04:02:48 PM
 #42504

^  All action is at BTC rn.

Andreas Antonopoulos talks about Monero and its strong privacy compared to Bitcoin. First time getting an endorsement from Andreas?

https://twitter.com/monero_tv/status/1324615860439281665

He prolly lost his private keys in a boating accident.  I think a lot of people will after not knowing what to do with their BTC gains.  They'd have to hide earnings from the guvment.

R


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kurious
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November 17, 2020, 10:06:54 PM
 #42505

Personally, I don't think Monero will go to the 005s or even low 006s.  If it does, it will be because BTC rips up (or corrects suddenly) and it will be temporary.  Absolute worst case is bouncing off 0.0063 - but I can't see that in all but 10% of scenarios.

I see strengthening support in XMR/BTC around the .007 mark, even what looks like a double bottom. The XMR/USD chart looks healthier still.

We shall see, but the buy side XMR/BTC is strengthening again slightly (from what looked to be the worst ratio in a long time).  I will agree it's early to be saying so, the volume is still low, but I am thinking there is a good chance of this being the local bottom.

Gonna cull a few alts and throw the proceeds in.  Hope I am right Wink

DYOR - I did sell the top a bit, but bought back in far too early.  Props to elrippos friend for a better take on the drop than I had.

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November 17, 2020, 11:04:25 PM
Last edit: November 17, 2020, 11:25:34 PM by explorer
 #42506

Personally, I don't think Monero will go to the 005s or even low 006s.  If it does, it will be because BTC rips up (or corrects suddenly) and it will be temporary.  Absolute worst case is bouncing off 0.0063 - but I can't see that in all but 10% of scenarios.

I see strengthening support in XMR/BTC around the .007 mark, even what looks like a double bottom. The XMR/USD chart looks healthier still.

We shall see, but the buy side XMR/BTC is strengthening again slightly (from what looked to be the worst ratio in a long time).  I will agree it's early to be saying so, the volume is still low, but I am thinking there is a good chance of this being the local bottom.

Gonna cull a few alts and throw the proceeds in.  Hope I am right Wink

DYOR - I did sell the top a bit, but bought back in far too early.  Props to elrippos friend for a better take on the drop than I had.

Support has been very strong.  I've been waiting for that btc-rocket fuelled spike down, but instead we gain strength.  I don't know.  A few more days and that may be it.

I've been watching this develop:
(lines roughly transferred from a different chart for ease of sharing)




ZOOM:


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November 18, 2020, 12:00:52 AM
 #42507



DYOR - I did sell the top a bit, but bought back in far too early.  Props to elrippos friend for a better take on the drop than I had.

Well to be fair he said to buy back somewhere in December so we shall see. Smiley


I just can't take the chance of getting boned like alphabay again, so no selling any tops for me.

“Bad men need nothing more to compass their ends, than that good men should look on and do nothing.”
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November 18, 2020, 04:21:57 AM
 #42508

Personally, I don't think Monero will go to the 005s or even low 006s.  If it does, it will be because BTC rips up (or corrects suddenly) and it will be temporary.  Absolute worst case is bouncing off 0.0063 - but I can't see that in all but 10% of scenarios.

I see strengthening support in XMR/BTC around the .007 mark, even what looks like a double bottom. The XMR/USD chart looks healthier still.

We shall see, but the buy side XMR/BTC is strengthening again slightly (from what looked to be the worst ratio in a long time).  I will agree it's early to be saying so, the volume is still low, but I am thinking there is a good chance of this being the local bottom.

Gonna cull a few alts and throw the proceeds in.  Hope I am right Wink

DYOR - I did sell the top a bit, but bought back in far too early.  Props to elrippos friend for a better take on the drop than I had.

Support has been very strong.  I've been waiting for that btc-rocket fuelled spike down, but instead we gain strength.  I don't know.  A few more days and that may be it.

I've been watching this develop:
(lines roughly transferred from a different chart for ease of sharing)




ZOOM:




New low in the 0067's, and peeked through the trend line.  Watching...


Announcing last stop in the 6300 block.  Please be prepared to exit the short bus, and make your way to the long bus.  Don't forget your helmets!
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November 18, 2020, 06:36:31 AM
 #42509

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

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November 18, 2020, 08:32:09 AM
 #42510

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?
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November 18, 2020, 08:51:55 AM
 #42511

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

The tried and true way.  By going on a bigger run.
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November 18, 2020, 11:17:19 AM
 #42512

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

The tried and true way.  By going on a bigger run.

Not necessarily...

I like to think of this as the sling shot method. BTC rallies, all alts pull back, BTC stagnates for a month or two, alts rally in the meantime. That seems a little more tried and true Cheesy
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November 18, 2020, 11:43:54 AM
 #42513

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

The tried and true way.  By going on a bigger run.

Not necessarily...

I like to think of this as the sling shot method. BTC rallies, all alts pull back, BTC stagnates for a month or two, alts rally in the meantime. That seems a little more tried and true Cheesy

Monero doesn't follow the alts very well.  It does slingshot rather well though  Cool
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November 18, 2020, 12:54:29 PM
 #42514

I was reading the previous comments and many are right and in this case we can know that Monero has its own path of appreciation despite following the appreciation of Bitcoin where the entire market follows this line. We can say that one day there will be a market crash in relation to the separation of each altcoin we can say that Monero is in great condition to move on alone.
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November 18, 2020, 01:09:40 PM
 #42515

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

You may be right, Monero used to have December lows, then a spring renaissance.  With Bitcoin ripping away it is hard to predict anything, other than there will of course be another run up.   I am sure we will see the USD ATH smashed once again in this cycle.  

Let's see what pans out, you have been right so far.  I did sell a chunk in 2017 - but I have only sold to scalp back more coins since it all cooled down in 2018, I am now happy to wait until the rally to come.

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November 18, 2020, 02:53:26 PM
 #42516

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

Currently, all investors' attention is directed towards bitcoin. 

As a result of the fall update of the Monero code, the price of the coin has risen above 0.01 BTC. 

That being said, the XMR price is currently 0.068 BTC ($ 122).  Monero hashrate is 1595 MH / S and this figure is growing. 

The next code update will be in the spring of 2021.  Also in the spring of 2021 (with a high degree of probability) the launch of the main network of the Tari digital asset platform will take place. 

https://www.tari.com/

Bitcoin price will be above $ 20,000.  Investors will be looking for similar but undervalued cryptocurrencies.  In my opinion, in 2021 the price of Monero could exceed 0.02 BTC.

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November 18, 2020, 03:04:27 PM
Last edit: November 19, 2020, 08:42:01 AM by elrippos friend
 #42517

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

You may be right, Monero used to have December lows, then a spring renaissance.  With Bitcoin ripping away it is hard to predict anything, other than there will of course be another run up.   I am sure we will see the USD ATH smashed once again in this cycle.  

Let's see what pans out, you have been right so far.  I did sell a chunk in 2017 - but I have only sold to scalp back more coins since it all cooled down in 2018, I am now happy to wait until the rally to come.

I hope i am right, i would be happy to see low 0,006 but i always also would not mind to buy back at the actual price  Grin Grin Grin

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November 18, 2020, 03:08:32 PM
 #42518

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

Currently, all investors' attention is directed towards bitcoin. 

As a result of the fall update of the Monero code, the price of the coin has risen above 0.01 BTC. 

That being said, the XMR price is currently 0.068 BTC ($ 122).  Monero hashrate is 1595 MH / S and this figure is growing. 

The next code update will be in the spring of 2021.  Also in the spring of 2021 (with a high degree of probability) the launch of the main network of the Tari digital asset platform will take place. 

https://www.tari.com/

Bitcoin price will be above $ 20,000.  Investors will be looking for similar but undervalued cryptocurrencies.  In my opinion, in 2021 the price of Monero could exceed 0.02 BTC.

The price of Monero will exceed 0,02 by far, everything else doesn´t fit Moneros character  Grin Grin Grin

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November 18, 2020, 04:21:30 PM
Merited by kurious (1)
 #42519

We have roughly 2 weeks for levelling out the bottom, so let´s see how it develops  Wink

I know you’re bullish.

But at 0.0068, if BTC goes on a run, how can we ever expect to get back to 0.015-0.02?

Currently, all investors' attention is directed towards bitcoin. 

As a result of the fall update of the Monero code, the price of the coin has risen above 0.01 BTC. 

That being said, the XMR price is currently 0.068 BTC ($ 122).  Monero hashrate is 1595 MH / S and this figure is growing. 

The next code update will be in the spring of 2021.  Also in the spring of 2021 (with a high degree of probability) the launch of the main network of the Tari digital asset platform will take place. 

https://www.tari.com/

Bitcoin price will be above $ 20,000.  Investors will be looking for similar but undervalued cryptocurrencies.  In my opinion, in 2021 the price of Monero could exceed 0.02 BTC.

I would LOVE for someone to explain to me why I should be excited about Tari.  Another "digital assets platform"?  Meh.  It sounds like ICOs and DeFi on Monero to me.

I originally thought Tari would be a lightning like layer 2.  Maybe it is also that?  I don't know.

I feel like I have fairly decent feelers and seers when it comes to future value... it's why I got into XMR in the first place. 

I'm just not feeling/seeing Tari.  Would some generous soul explain it to me?  Or tell me where I can read about what it is that does NOT sound like the marketing blurb on the website?  I feel like it's putting the fluff in fluffy. Wink
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November 18, 2020, 06:15:34 PM
Merited by pa (1)
 #42520

^merited for 'putting the fluff in fluffy'  Smiley

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