Ik did put some 7Ths in CKpoolin on advise of a guy I spoke with.
But the pool was already running voor about 90hrs!?!?!
Plese give some advise, shall I remove my other hashes away from antpool or wait for the new block at CKpool?
(Am I making profit on this block if I jumped in later?)
The simple issue is that you can never know when a block will hit, or even when good and bad luck blocks will happen.
Looking at the block stats table you'll see that the long term average is above the expected average,
but even in those above average stats there's a 666.666% Diff (15% luck) block, the pool's worst block ever,
meaning that in all those stats there are enough good blocks to more than make up for the bad ones -
which of course is better than what is expected long term.
If anyone joined during that 666.666% block they'd probably never want to come back ever again
Understandable, but also a misunderstanding of statistics.
However, 'expected' is just that, what to 'expect', but not what 'will' happen.
If everything was as 'expected' then the current block stats table wouldn't show green for all the CDF[Erl] values and wouldn't show better than 100% for all the block history ranges.
The fact that it does show better than 100% luck for all the ranges doesn't mean it will continue to do that either.
All I can say is that the controllable elements, outside luck, that do affect the pool's 'luck' calculation, are better controlled here than most other pools, and the long term luck and orphan history suggests that is true.
The pool also uses a 5 Diff range for PPLNS payouts which reduces the variance in block payouts.
