◢◤ e-SPORT ◢◤ picks ►►► (+54.99 units)

[geoffreyqp]

maybe you could throw some analysis into why your making certain picks?

[magicmexican]

maybe you could throw some analysis into why your making certain picks?

Not really my style.

Cant see any reasons to do it, or any advantages that it will provide. It will only lead to me wasting more time to be honest.


Anyway. Last pick for tomorrow :


Dota 2

SLTV StarSeries

----------------------------------------------------
NaVi v Virtus Pro Polar
Match: Virtus Pro Polar ML 1.811 (-123)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

Another pick for the recently annouced match :

December 25

Dota 2
JoinDOTA League

-------------------------------------------------------
Kompas v xGame
Match: xGame ML 1.453 (-221)

1.2 units
-------------------------------------------------------
Kompas v xGame
Match: xGame -1.5 2.323 (+132)

0.8 units
-------------------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

Today's results :

December 25 picks (part 1)

Starcraft 2

StarLeague

--------------------------------------------------
Bbyong v CJ.Hero - will be played tomorrow
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.640 (-156)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Leenock - will be played tomorrow
Match: Leenock ML 1.566 (-177)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------
Super v Byul - will be played tomorrow
Match: Byul ML 1.631 (-158)

1 units
--------------------------------------------------
Dark v Parting - LOST
Match: Parting ML 1.563 (-178)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------

Myunggsik v San - LOST
Match: San ML 1.645 (-155)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------



----------------------------------------------------
NaVi v Virtus Pro Polar - WON
Match: Virtus Pro Polar ML 1.811 (-123)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------------


-------------------------------------------------------
Kompas v xGame - WON
Match: xGame ML 1.453 (-221)

1.2 units
-------------------------------------------------------
Kompas v xGame - WON
Match: xGame -1.5 2.323 (+132)

0.8 units
-------------------------------------------------------

Day 6 : 3 Wins / 2 Losses +0.375 units

Total : 21 Wins / 18 Losses -1.511 units

[magicmexican]

December 26 picks part I :

Dota 2

SLTV StarSeries

-----------------------------------------------
Power Rangers v Lajons
Match: Lajons ML 1.391 (-256)

0.35 units
-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v Empire
Match: Lajons ML 2.037 (+104)

0.8 units
-----------------------------------------------

I-League

-----------------------------------------------------
HGT v Invictus Gaming
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 1.312 (-321)

0.5 units
-----------------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

December 26 picks part II :

Dota 2

OK Dota 2 Cup

----------------------------------------------------
Cant Say Wips v Insidious Idol
Match: Insidious Idol ML 1.879 (-114)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------------
Mineski v First Departure
Match: First Departure ML 1.741 (-135)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
Nvidia Aces v First Departure
Match: First Departure ML 1.421 (-238)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
G-Guard v Nvidia Aces
Match: G-Guard ML 1.959 (-104)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
G-Guard v Mineski
Match: G-Guard ML 2.589 (+159)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------


+ bonus pick

-------------------------------------
G-Guard v First Departure
Match: G-Guard ML 2.825 (+183)

0.25 units
-------------------------------------


Starcraft 2

StarLeague

--------------------------------------------------
Bbyong v CJ.Hero
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.640 (-156)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Leenock
Match: Leenock ML 1.566 (-177)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------
Super v Byul
Match: Byul ML 1.631 (-158)

1 units
--------------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

Another match came up, so yet another pick for today.

(starts in 5 hours 20 minutes)

Dota 2
JoinDOTA League

------------------------------------
AlbumS v Moscow 5.int
Match: AlbumS ML 2.559 (+156)

1.2 units
------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

December 27

Dota 2
G-League

-----------------------------------
CDEC v LGD Gaming
Match: CDEC ML 2.067 (+107)

1 unit
-----------------------------------

[magicmexican]

December 26 picks part I :

Dota 2

SLTV StarSeries

-----------------------------------------------
Power Rangers v Lajons - LOST
Match: Lajons ML 1.391 (-256)

0.35 units
-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v Empire - LOST
Match: Lajons ML 2.037 (+104)

0.8 units
-----------------------------------------------

I-League

-----------------------------------------------------
HGT v Invictus Gaming - WON
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 1.312 (-321)

0.5 units
-----------------------------------------------------

Dota 2

OK Dota 2 Cup

----------------------------------------------------
Cant Say Wips v Insidious Idol - LOST
Match: Insidious Idol ML 1.879 (-114)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------------
Mineski v First Departure - WON
Match: First Departure ML 1.741 (-135)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
Nvidia Aces v First Departure - LOST
Match: First Departure ML 1.421 (-238)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
G-Guard v Nvidia Aces - WON
Match: G-Guard ML 1.959 (-104)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------
G-Guard v Mineski - LOST
Match: G-Guard ML 2.589 (+159)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------------


+ bonus pick

-------------------------------------
G-Guard v First Departure - WON
Match: G-Guard ML 2.825 (+183)

0.25 units
-------------------------------------


Starcraft 2

StarLeague

--------------------------------------------------
Bbyong v CJ.Hero - WON
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.640 (-156)

1.2 units
--------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa v Leenock - WON
Match: Leenock ML 1.566 (-177)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------------
Super v Byul - LOST
Match: Byul ML 1.631 (-158)

1 units
--------------------------------------------------

Dota 2
JoinDOTA League

------------------------------------
AlbumS v Moscow 5.int LOST
Match: AlbumS ML 2.559 (+156)

1.2 units
------------------------------------

Day 7 : 6 Wins / 7 Losses  -2.9 units

Total : 24 Wins / 23 Losses  -4.79 units

[magicmexican]

December 27 :

Dota 2
SLTV StarSeries

------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret
Match: VP Polar ML 2.756 (+176)

0.6 units
------------------------------------------------
HellRaisers v Team Secret
Match: HellRaisers ML 3.307 (+231)

0.35 units
------------------------------------------------
HellRaisers v VP Polar
Match: HellRaisers ML 2.736 (+174)

0.25 units
------------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

Dec 27 results :

December 27 :

Dota 2
SLTV StarSeries

------------------------------------------------
VP Polar v Team Secret - canceled
Match: VP Polar ML 2.756 (+176)

0.6 units
------------------------------------------------
HellRaisers v Team Secret - canceled
Match: HellRaisers ML 3.307 (+231)

0.35 units
------------------------------------------------
HellRaisers v VP Polar - canceled
Match: HellRaisers ML 2.736 (+174)

0.25 units
------------------------------------------------

December 27

Dota 2
G-League

-----------------------------------
CDEC v LGD Gaming - LOST
Match: CDEC ML 2.067 (+107)

1 unit
-----------------------------------

Day 8 : 1 Loss -1 unit

[magicmexican]

December 28-30 picks :

Dota 2
ECL 2014

----------------------------------------------
Newbee v Vici Gaming
Match: Newbee ML 2.333 (+133)

0.25 units
----------------------------------------------
Newbee v Vici Gaming
Match: Newbee +1.5 1.429 (-233)

0.35 units
----------------------------------------------

Starcraft 2
SK Telecom Proleague

----------------------------------------------
Rogue v Classic
Match: Classic ML 2.166 (+117)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
MarineKing v Stats
Match: Stats ML 1.708 (-141)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
Curious v CJ.Hero
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.448 (-223)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------
Life v Bbyong
Match: Life ML 1.645 (-155)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
San v sKyHigh
Match: San ML 1.798 (-125)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------




----------------------------------------------
StarTale-Yoe v CJ Entus
Match: StarTale-Yoe ML 2.471 (+147)

0.3 units
----------------------------------------------

[WhatsBitcoin]

Not doing too well sir. Hope you turn things around.

[gmannnnn]

Not doing too well sir. Hope you turn things around.

yeah, i was honestly surprised by his results the first few days, guess he just got lucky. hopefully people didnt lose too much money on this

[sickhouse]

Thanks for this! I like playing dota but I dont know anything about the elite gaming

[magicmexican]

Not doing too well sir. Hope you turn things around.

yeah, i was honestly surprised by his results the first few days, guess he just got lucky. hopefully people didnt lose too much money on this

Drawing conclusions from this sample size only reveals how clueless you are, no offense though. Its pretty common to lack knowledge about standard deviation, variance, ev, and distribution when it comes to betting(or poker for that matter)

But if doing a research on these topics by reading is too hard for you i could suggest just looking at the pictures (i've provided graph in the thread), its pretty easy to see how often a sample of ~50 bets results in being down units.

--------------------------------------------------


Additional picks for Dec 29-30

Starcraft 2
SK Telecom Proleague

-----------------------------------------------
Cure v Dark
Match: Cure ML 2.205 (+121)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Yoda v Journey
Match: Yoda ML1.592 (-169)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

December 29 pick

Dota 2
ECL 2014
-------------------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 2.284 (+128)

0.6 units
-------------------------------------------------------


Next result update will be @Dec30, after previous bets will be settled

[magicmexican]

Dec 30-Jan 1 picks:


Dota 2 - ECL 2014
-----------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming
Match: Invictus Gaming +1.5 1.399 (-251)

0.6 units
-----------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 2.412 (+141)

0.4 units
-----------------------------------------------

Dota 2 - I-League

-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v LGD Gaming
Match: Lajons +1.5 1.825 (-121)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v LGD Gaming
Match:Lajons ML 3.504 (+250)

0.7 units
-----------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Invictus Gaming
Match: MVP Phoenix +1.5 1.499 (-200)

0.6 units
-----------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Invictus Gaming
Match: MVP Phoenix ML 2.520 (+152)

0.25 units
-----------------------------------------------

[magicmexican]

December 28-30 picks :

Dota 2
ECL 2014

----------------------------------------------
Newbee v Vici Gaming - won
Match: Newbee ML 2.333 (+133)

0.25 units
----------------------------------------------
Newbee v Vici Gaming- won
Match: Newbee +1.5 1.429 (-233)

0.35 units
----------------------------------------------

Starcraft 2
SK Telecom Proleague

----------------------------------------------
Rogue v Classic- loss
Match: Classic ML 2.166 (+117)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
MarineKing v Stats- loss
Match: Stats ML 1.708 (-141)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
Curious v CJ.Hero- won
Match: CJ.Hero ML 1.448 (-223)

1.2 units
----------------------------------------------
Life v Bbyong- loss
Match: Life ML 1.645 (-155)

1 unit
----------------------------------------------
StarTale-Yoe v CJ Entus- loss
Match: StarTale-Yoe ML 2.471 (+147)

0.3 units
----------------------------------------------





Starcraft 2
SK Telecom Proleague

-----------------------------------------------
Cure v Dark- won
Match: Cure ML 2.205 (+121)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Yoda v Journey- won
Match: Yoda ML1.592 (-169)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------



-------------------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming - loss
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 2.284 (+128)

0.6 units
-------------------------------------------------------



-----------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming- won
Match: Invictus Gaming +1.5 1.399 (-251)

0.6 units
-----------------------------------------------
Invictus Gaming v LGD Gaming- won
Match: Invictus Gaming ML 2.412 (+141)

0.4 units
-----------------------------------------------

Dota 2 - I-League

----------------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Invictus Gaming - loss
Match: MVP Phoenix +1.5 1.499 (-200)

0.6 units
----------------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Invictus Gaming - loss
Match: MVP Phoenix ML 2.520 (+152)

0.25 units
----------------------------------------------------

Total : 34W/34L   -6.918 units


Due to the combo of holidays, this week will probably end up having 25% of the normal volume of matches

[magicmexican]

Dec 30-Jan 1 picks:

Dota 2 - I-League

-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v LGD Gaming - won
Match: Lajons +1.5 1.825 (-121)

1 unit
-----------------------------------------------
Lajons v LGD Gaming - lost
Match:Lajons ML 3.504 (+250)

0.7 units
-----------------------------------------------

35W/35L

-6.793 units





Jan 3 picks :

Dota 2 - I-League

--------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Ninjas in Pyjamas
Match: MVP Phoenix +1.5 1.488 (-205)

1 unit
--------------------------------------------
MVP Phoenix v Ninjas in Pyjamas
Match: MVP Phoenix ML 2.549 (+155)

0.5 units
--------------------------------------------
Speed Gaming.cn v Vici Gaming
Match: Vici Gaming ML 1.23 (-469)

0.7 units
--------------------------------------------


Edit : +1 pick
--------------------------------------------
Speed Gaming.cn v Vici Gaming
Match: Vici Gaming -1.5 1.818 (-122)

0.3 units
--------------------------------------------