keewee
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
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September 13, 2014, 10:12:12 PM |
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weren't there some blockchain visualising tools developed around the mtgox implosion? They might be able to graph these movements a bit better.....anyone know them?
You can use the tree view for a transaction at blockchain.info to see how it propagates to new addresses. Try https://blockchain.info/tree/64385545 for example. Unfortunately, unless you know the ownership of the addresses it doesn't help a lot. I'm sure there is someone cleverer than me who might be able to work it out
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1keewee2vRp63UWvPBynT55ZYw6SUCKDB
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stompysteve
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September 14, 2014, 05:44:24 AM |
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Couple things from the RM update that dont seem very promising (I cut alot of stuff out but see blog for full post) 1) In August, we mainly produced 1,000 units of T1 Bitcoin miner (based on ASICMINER’s open source blades). About 300 qualified ones have been sold. And only a few of them were sold at price above our cost while the rest majority were sold at price lower than the cost because of price comparison and fierce market competition. Overall, this batch of T1 miner has been in loss. 4) We originally planned to deploy at least 2P hashing power via cooperating with ASICMINER. But this plan has to be temporarily postponed for various reasons such as mining difficulty is rising up than our expectation, intense competition and prolonged low price of BTC. The plan waits to be carried out in the future at a proper timing. maybe #4 is why AM still is only hashing at 280TH
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jjdub7
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September 14, 2014, 06:49:02 AM |
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Ah...if the first dividend isn't more than 0.02 BTC per share, the price is going to plummet. I've watched this situation unfold for over a month now, and now halfway through September, still no release. The salon over the summer seems to have been perceived as adequate PR for the rest of the year,
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irritant
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 473
Merit: 250
Sodium hypochlorite, acetone, ethanol
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September 14, 2014, 11:36:10 AM |
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nobody remembers FC refunded the 200 BTC fee mistake?
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hdbuck
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
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September 14, 2014, 11:48:22 AM |
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nobody remembers FC refunded the 200 BTC fee mistake?
I do whats the point?
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vortex1878
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September 14, 2014, 12:02:41 PM |
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I heard that the 28nm chip will tape-out in 8 days.
I heard this news too. Waiting for the next weekend. Has this just been a (false) rumour after all? No sources were provided despite some users asking for it.
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stompysteve
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September 14, 2014, 01:58:13 PM |
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I heard that the 28nm chip will tape-out in 8 days.
I heard this news too. Waiting for the next weekend. Has this just been a (false) rumour after all? No sources were provided despite some users asking for it. if it theoretically did tape out today, how long until we actually got confirmation it was done, or chips to test
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webbrowser
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September 14, 2014, 02:05:56 PM |
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All of us got involved knowing that communication has always been bad with AM.
I give AM more latitude than any other company I deal with. Almost to the point that I feel guilty when I hold real people to actual standards.. I almost feel like a hypocrite. I would never, in a million years, put this much money at risk - in the real world - with these types of chronic communication deficiencies. When shit does hit the fan, communication is crucial. It can sabotage even the most talented, able company.
I don't know. Not saying that communication is /hard/. But amongst all the priorities that AM and the small team has... - better communications with shareholders - chip sales & support - tube sales, assembly, packaging & support - deploying to a self-mining farm, and maintaining it - gen4 design, tape-out and what not What do you think the relative priority of "better communications with shareholders" lies? Especially if this particular task needs someone who is trustworthy and understands english. I'm sure there are plenty of people here who would do PR for AM for free or for only a nominal fee, who have the needed skills and background. The need to be trustworthy is not just lip service, because there is an immense opportunity for insider trading, not to mention the PR statement tends to move the market. I do agree that the website could do with better design, proper shopping cart, etc. Add that to another in the list of tasks/priorities for the team.
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webbrowser
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September 14, 2014, 02:40:16 PM |
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Nice speculation. Appears to have started small automatic withdrawals in late July... check! Appears to be getting ~ 40 BTC daily in the past few dates. By my calculations, that's 2.4 PH of miners - correct? BTCguild rankings shows only 1 possible user at that speed, userid 566620.
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nycgoat
Member
Offline
Activity: 117
Merit: 10
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September 14, 2014, 04:32:52 PM |
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Luffy27
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
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September 14, 2014, 04:46:04 PM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
Please note: Total network hashrate and coins mined by the whole network are very rough estimates. Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days.
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bbxx
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September 14, 2014, 08:40:09 PM |
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nice find. if friedcat would have free power thoose 3ph now would earn 0.04 btc within next year per share of course if diff would stay as it is now and hashrate too.
will friedcat farm deploy speed overcome difficulty raise?
if yes, share price will go up.
of course assuming paying dividends like in autumn 2013...
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arnuschky
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September 14, 2014, 09:19:13 PM |
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Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days.
Great analysis, thanks. Good to see data rather than just talk.
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swordking
Member
Offline
Activity: 449
Merit: 10
swordking
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September 15, 2014, 02:28:52 AM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
Please note: Total network hashrate and coins mined by the whole network are very rough estimates. Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days. http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XNzgyMzczMjQw.htmlfew days ago, the Sales Manager of FC said in the forum: " we still in the plan to reach 20% of total hash rate before end of this year."
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my account was hacked by moondefi since past few years。 the moondefi is a scam, be careful!
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tinyfox266
Member
Offline
Activity: 67
Merit: 10
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September 15, 2014, 03:02:42 AM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
Please note: Total network hashrate and coins mined by the whole network are very rough estimates. Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days. http://v.youku.com/v_show/id_XNzgyMzczMjQw.htmlfew days ago, the Sales Manager of FC said in the forum: " we still in the plan to reach 20% of total hash rate before end of this year." from 4'45 to 5'04
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explorer
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
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September 15, 2014, 03:04:46 AM |
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Given the overall network increases, and 2 months of deployment so far, I have to conclude that it can't be done on gen 3 hardware. They are counting on the first batch of gen 4 to make the difference ("before the end of the year"). Not great news, but keeping the carrot dangling a little farther out. Any other interpretations?
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stompysteve
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September 15, 2014, 04:28:28 AM |
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just picked up another share from some left over btc and sig campaign payout looks like a couple people did as well right around the same time
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rudi
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September 15, 2014, 08:02:30 AM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
Please note: Total network hashrate and coins mined by the whole network are very rough estimates. Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days. Very nice find, thank you. If this is approximately correct, it looks like AM will soon have enough hashing power to consider solo-mining again. However, at the rate they are currently increasing their hashrate, there is no way they will reach 20% of the network before the end of the year, even if the total network hashrate does not increase (and I expect that it will increase). I therefore also think that something new is in the plans. Most likely they are counting on gen4. But 20% of the network? Say ~100PH by year's end? Will all of this fit into a single monster farm?
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VeeMiner
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September 15, 2014, 09:00:45 AM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
If this is true and I would like to think that this is, then we're finally cathing up to the competition...
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Fortega
Full Member
Offline
Activity: 155
Merit: 100
bitcoinAdd.net
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September 15, 2014, 09:01:37 AM |
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Hi Guys My Findings regarding mining addresses: - Official Asicminer mining address: https://blockchain.info/address/1HtUGfbDcMzTeHWx2Dbgnhc6kYnj1Hp24i - https://blockchain.info/address/1H7FpBV8huVmPvt5eRzszAkgnERH2FaWvq: Receives payouts the same way the official mining address does since a few days. Payouts started on July 24. Same as the official mining address, it forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/1ERszMSERwHNR9Xty73KZXpsg1jjBXWcHh. Also forwards to https://blockchain.info/address/17EA1UT5amSvasuhzUDPs1pLgxdrbRYLAX, which is known from Asicminer Tube sales. Please follow https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=735728.msg8357879#msg8357879I think it's safe to assume these two addresses indeed belong to Asicminer and are used to receive mining payouts. I gathered these payouts and looked at 10 day intervals to get a rough estimate for Asicminer's hashrate and hashrate growth: 2014-07-24 to 2014-08-03: 100 btc / 10*3600btc = 0.002777778; estimated total network hashrate: 134PH/s; ASICminer's share: 134PH*0.003611111=0,483888874PH/s 2014-08-03 to 2014-08-12: 230 btc / 36000 btc = 0.006388889; estimated total network hashrate: 141PH/s; ASICminer's share: 141PH/s*0.006388889=0,900833349PH/s 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-22: 280 btc / 36000 btc = 0.007777778; estimated total network hashrate: 165PH/s; ASICminer's share: 165PH/s*0.007777778=1,28333337PH/s 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-01: 351.88981744 btc / 36000 btc = 0.009774717; estimated total network hashrate: 180PH/s; ASICminer's share: 180PH/s*0.009774717=1,75944906PH/s 2014-09-02 to 2014-09-11: 543.13536631 btc / 36000 btc = 0.015087094; estimated total network hashrate: 200PH/s; ASICminer's share: 200PH/s*0.015087094=3.017418702PH/s
Please note: Total network hashrate and coins mined by the whole network are very rough estimates. Hashrate growth / Deployment speed doesn't look bad at all. I'm very excited for the next few days. Payouts in the last 10 days don't necessarily mean the same amount is mined in the last 10 days. In theory, they could be mining since july and only now configure the payout options on btcguild for example. So you should be careful about statements about hashrate growth and deployment speed.
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