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2281  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 19, 2021, 03:10:02 AM
A generous gesture, but, still, you should buy when stuff is going up and sell (or holdl) when things go down, NOT vise versa.
BTW, it is difficult to do, granted, I even bought a small amount of COIN when it was on the decline slope, but started to temporarily recover.
Not buying that anymore after reversal.
Hodling all btc, not selling a satoshi.
2282  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 19, 2021, 12:04:51 AM

Yes. very interesting, but Mr Burry is known to first LOSE a big chunk of his bets before making a large profit, so taking an opposite short-term position might just pay off..it is a bit cynical, but so are his bets as well.
2283  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 17, 2021, 08:31:51 PM
Off-topic.

UFOs regularly spotted in restricted U.S. airspace, report on the phenomena due next month.

Quote
We have tackled many strange stories on 60 Minutes, but perhaps none like this. It's the story of the U.S. government's grudging acknowledgment of unidentified aerial phenomena— UAP—more commonly known as UFOs. After decades of public denial the Pentagon now admits there's something out there, and the U.S. Senate wants to know what it is. The intelligence committee has ordered the director of national intelligence and the secretary of defense to deliver a report on the mysterious sightings by next month.
--
Imagine a technology that can do 6-to-700 g-forces, that can fly at 13,000 miles an hour, that can evade radar and that can fly through air and water and possibly space. And oh, by the way, has no obvious signs of propulsion, no wings, no control surfaces and yet still can defy the natural effects of Earth's gravity. That's precisely what we're seeing
--
These photographs were taken in 2019 in the same area. The Pentagon confirms these are images of objects it can't identify. Lieutenant Graves told us pilots training off the Atlantic Coast see things like that all the time.
Ryan Graves: Every day. Every day for at least a couple years.

I don't think about this subject everyday but keeping track this U.F.O phenomenon from time to time. They are observing us for a very long time, kinda interesting how they intensifies their showing past years that makes the U.S goverment nervous, it's becoming a ''threat''.




The mouse move on the computer screen is also very fast and "has no obvious signs of propulsion" from a point of view of a regular desktop folder.
The point is that this phenomena might be best described by the suggestion that we are in a simulated world...and there are the "simulators" out there.
I have seen the video of one of these "objects"..."computer" cursor might be the best fit, otherwise we are about to get "boarded".
2284  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 15, 2021, 04:35:09 PM

I have a couple of real world projects that I am trying to juggle currently, so I have not been able to get some greater grasp upon how my shitcoin holdings had changed in comparison to my bitcoin..

Wait what?

Your WHAT?!?

Shit.  It IS the altpocalypse as foretold by the... by the... well whoeverthehell is foretelling it.

His were not performing well initially, that's the reason of the 'The lady doth protest too much, methinks'.
This and not realizing that selling btc for fiat gives him/her the worst of s-tcoins aka fiat.
BTW, he/she is NOT joyful or helpful, but belittling, resentful and overall being just a typical nincompoop/'primadonna'.
2285  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 15, 2021, 04:55:02 AM

Drivel


With each post, not only do you demostrate what a terrible human you are. But also how much of a retard you actually are.


You should speak...

doom and gloomer.

 Tongue Tongue


Drivel


With each post, not only do you demostrate what a terrible human you are. But also how much of a retard you actually are.


bad behavior-check
doesn't know how markets work-check
likes to call people names-check

Conclusion-@JJG is Bender reincarnate.
https://youtu.be/ln4rfYh7ng0?t=77

At least you know how to stay topical, and stick to the issues.

rrrrriiiiiigghhhhttt?

It is a fact that bitcoin price is under-performing since Feb.
What caused it? Will it continue or turn around? What would cause such turn around?
Instead of examining these points, you attack the source, as usual, as if you want everyone to be silent about and if everyone stays silent it would get better somehow.
It could get better, but only if alts get smashed soon, otherwise we would bleed down to maybe 32-35% and then the situation can become unstable (multi-polar).

My btc % is much higher than 40% market weighting, so I would be not be a happy camper if btc further declines in dominance and/or in price, yet I have no plans to sell.
Why? Because I believe that we might turn around at some point, could be soon or by the year end.
I never sold any btc for alts, but their proportion in my portfolio (bought using fiat) has arisen in this cycle quite significantly for a simple reason-a gigantic outperformance (so far).
Not naming any names since it is OT here.
I don't chase and try to buy low or very low. All my alt buys were done before the end of 2020, most either in 2019 or even earlier.
In 2021 I am only stacking btc sats via mining and small size random buys and slowly selling some alts, but even so, each sell was not at the highs, admittedly, so I slowed those sells down for time being.

Are you going to tell me that selling alts and buying btc is somehow impure (like you told Phil)?
What a wierd suggestion, pal!
2286  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 15, 2021, 03:45:45 AM

Drivel


With each post, not only do you demostrate what a terrible human you are. But also how much of a retard you actually are.


bad behavior-check
doesn't know how markets work-check
likes to call people names-check

Conclusion-@JJG is Bender reincarnate.
https://youtu.be/ln4rfYh7ng0?t=77
2287  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 15, 2021, 02:23:48 AM


haha, almost right, I have also 20% for reading something good and 30% hitting the sac and in the morning everything feels better (most of the time).
2288  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 15, 2021, 12:07:44 AM
I guess another relevant question is, when dominance hit 32% last cycle, what turned it around?

Mostly a very sharp drop in xerp, then continuing drop in both VBcoin and xerp.
2289  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: A member LIST .. What do we speculate the price will be this summer JOIN IN on: May 14, 2021, 11:22:03 PM
47200

mostly agree with a nice post from Theymos. I also wrote something about price dynamics in WO.
47.2 could be a bounce up from the intermittent 42-43 low.
2290  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 14, 2021, 11:05:57 PM
Everyone says that CMC dominance is irrelevant since it also includes stablecoins.
Yet, whatever params you use, there has been a sharp decline in btc dominance from the end of December 2020 (72%) to now (40%).

https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D/

IMHO, this has to reverse within a week or two, otherwise it would be difficult to recover and we would move (regrettably for me) from one hegemon (bitcoin) to a multi-polar crypto world.
It is not a popular possibility around here and my largely btc position would affect my worth (or the lack of it), but someone needs to point out that this scenario is possible.

TLDR; a bear market starting in 1-2 wk to smash alts or a true multi-polar crypto world is coming. Btc ETF approval could swing the balance back in btc favor, but I don't see anything else doing it, judging by the current dynamics.
2291  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 13, 2021, 02:34:38 AM
Musk borrowed a s-t load of money against his Tesla stock (there was a report that he pledged 97mil of his 220 mil TSLA shares, do the calculation even at 580/pop at 25-50%), much more than SpaceX or Neuralink are using, probably. He could have invested some of that in non-btc coins OR projects, although it is a long shot.
That said, he was one of paypal "mafia"/founders, so payment systems are probably quite familiar to him.
A very puzzling move. We have $100bil market move and bitcoin is not under SEC purview, so they cannot do anything even if they wanted.
Is this some kind of high level trolling? The joke is on us for now.

EDIT: and I was contemplating to spend my unsold doge on Tesla...f-k that idea.
2292  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2021, 10:27:26 PM
Ahhhh Elon, so that’s why

Probably manipulating the price so he can buy MOAR, the little shit.

wow, what a douche bag.

EDIT: a libelous remark at that, since fossil fuel use is actually declining, not increasing.
2293  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2021, 10:16:05 PM
Bitmex started doing their s-t again? Price lost 2k in minutes.
2294  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2021, 09:24:21 PM
Interesting, but in stonks at least there is some rationality by retail (apart from GME, etc).
A particular fast money fomoing-retail is attracted to alts, not your regular Joe.
2295  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2021, 06:41:25 PM
In case of pump: enjoy. In case of dump: turn screen upside down and enjoy.

The only way is up, with a few nice roller coasters tracks along the way... Excellent opportunities to fill your bags.

For people who don't understand this: go buy some Internet Computer thingies. Cool

That one certainly look like s-t right now; overall Willie Woo predicts a dominance reversal soon.
Overall, the whole thing (stocks mostly) looks toppy, not sure if increased inflation expectations would help btc in a short run, definitely positive for btc in a long run.

BTW, AlcoHoDL...

100% per year = 2x per year.

200% per year = 3x per year.

Man, how did I miss this? Thanks for point it out. Original post updated. Saylor's numbers looked a bit too high, but I guess the bull in me wanted them to be so... Now they make more sense:

Saylor's 200% up (3x) yearly growth prediction goes like this:

End of:
2020 — $30k
2021 — $90k
2022 — $270k
2023 — $810k
2024 — $2.4M   <--- sat/˘ parity (1 BTC = $1M) by early 2024
2025 — $7.3M
2026 — $22M

I wish it ALWAYS goes up 200%...but...remember 2014-2015 and 2018.
In short...it doesn't, so it might me something like:

2021-90K
2022-270K, then 60K
2023-180K
2024-540K
2025-3.3 mil, then 0.8mil
etc, etc
2296  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 12, 2021, 04:02:28 PM
BTW, Graysclale is currently corn-holing their bitcoin investors (like myself in IRA) as GBTC is at almost record discount to btc (fluctuating between -15-18%).
Someone wants off of that wagon (GBTC).
Why Wall Street ALWAYS making s-t out of everything?
2297  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2021, 05:10:04 AM
OT: ICP, lol. A monstrosity creature of the Valley venture capitalists.
Those who invested in the seed (not myself, unfortunately, missed it by 2wk of not paying attention) made out like bandits, but going forward $210bil fully diluted, he he.
...and they were complaining about little doggie.
2298  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2021, 02:36:29 AM
blockstream 2000th
=0.01btc a day for 14days=0.14btc
difficulty adjustment 5%=5% less per fortnight

daily                 fortnightly
0.01000000   0.14000000
0.00950000   0.13300000
0.00902500   0.12635000
0.00857375   0.12003250
0.00814506   0.11403088
0.00773781   0.10832933
0.00735092   0.10291287
0.00698337   0.09776722
0.00663420   0.09287886
0.00630249   0.08823492
0.00598737   0.08382317
0.00568800   0.07963201
0.00540360   0.07565041
0.00513342   0.07186789
0.00487675   0.06827450
0.00463291   0.06486077
0.00440127   0.06161773
0.00418120   0.05853685
total after 9month   1.68779991
total after 36month    2.73029601

so they want you to pay them 3.448btc now ($200k at~$57k/btc)
to receive 2.73btc in 3 years

anyone see the problem 3.448 in...2.73out

well, it is not my fundraise, so I am just a poster, but 5% adjustment per period is questionable going forward.
In fact, there were similar calculations pooh-pooing buying of miners (s17, t17) before and immediately after the last halving.
They paid off spectacularly, even in btc.
Plus, it is aimed at those with euro, not btc. Mining smoothes out the return ( you are not buying a lump sum of btc at the current price).
They just have a price a bit too high, we both agree on this. About 20% less would have been prudent.
2299  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2021, 01:56:34 AM
one thing occurred to me..with all those people negging on the "use of energy"...it has to be that use of energy that might be important to put value into btc (and Saylor often talks about it).

If NOTHING was used, I have difficulty understanding the "true" value claimed to be created.
It becomes more like a ethereal game of sorts, but even gamers understand that their games consume quite a bit of energy.

There has to be some math behind the fact that you are typically using energy to create anything of value.
A connection between energy and information, perhaps?
Like here:
https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/38368/how-is-there-a-connection-between-energy-and-information
2300  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 11, 2021, 01:20:43 AM
If any of you are not in US and some other countries (OK for EU), and can invest 200K euro (for 2000TH), consider this:
https://stokr.io/blockstream-mining/pitch
Nice graphs are presented, but there is a catch-you only get ALL your mined btc in 3 years.
It does not seem too many takers 6 days from conclusion.
I guess getting in all at the end is a bit weird.

Minimum 200k, and qualified investor status.

If they really wanted to involve more people, they'd lower the minimum stake significantly. 200k locked for 3 years doesn't sound a super exciting prospect. Insurance for the winter, possibly? At 200k a pop it's still not attractive as a lambo with the customary complement.

Well, 2000Th is roughly 20 S19, which go for $12-15K a pop on ebay (there are NONE for sale by the manufacturer until...who knows when [unclear]) which is pretty close to 200000 euro. Yep, they could have made it a bit more 'bargainy' and it shows.
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