I did not say anything about the Pope. I think that his thoughts on this matter are irrelevant at this point if you really need a comment from me.

As for the rest, you are comparing today's situation with Cold War. That explains why you consider Putin's actions valid - you live with him in the sixties. The US know it. The US is using it. There is no winner.

Spanish "Mus" is a game that is played between four players in pairs. There is a version for 6 players, but I find it less interesting. Four cards per player and 4 "games", "grande" "chica" "pares" and "31". In each of these different combinations are ordered from best to worst. So you will bet with you cards four times with different criteria, so you have to strategize to get it right without giving too much information to others.

KYC is something that most people perceive as negative because they feel they will be loosing their anonymity and might triggers taxes or investigations. However, if you are a legit player is actually a demonstration of the casino being actually correctly registered in a law abiding jurisdiction that can actually give you confidence on the management and the law that protects your accoiunt.

Not that much if you have open code that can be verified at any time. One example of this are ethereum contracts, which I believe can also be implemented over a bitcoin network indirectly. You can verify at any time that the contract is there, you are calling it and, if you want to get into the code you can validate the RTP and the fairness. That is what I call provably fair at least.

Advertising certainluy needs to be integrated into a wider startegy. The gambling market is quite packed with sites and it is technically simple to setup a new site and create content is not really expensive, so like in the startups it is all about growing fast and growing cheap. You cannot count on going viral, so you would do best in finding a niche that can be reached by an specific campaign and get a foothold with these clietns.

I do  not believe in referral systems at all. Firstly there is a partner trust cost - the site may or may not recognise that you have referred someone and may or may not honour the agreement of count the refers correctly. Also, it encourages blind or promoted clicking and tends to generate clickbaits unless carefully controlled - which it rarely is at all. I would rather have the campaign style.

Let's put together all your hypothesis, so that we can appreciate the deepness of your thought:

- The West cannot offer billions for reconstruction, a solid diplomacy and a representative system, but just "degeneracy". I see.
- The dollar is going to collapse inevitably - after 90 years of dominance - despite being actually the rouble being downgrade during last 20 yr.
- And the most interesting one: Ukraine is going to forget the murdering of its people and the destruction of their infrastructure and "naturally fall" for Russia and China.

Ok... if all of that happens then you will be right.

As the war is going now, that "land bridge", AKA occupied territory belonging to Ukraine, is certainly anything but something that Putin has any certainty of holding. This war has just started, now is when the long term economic effects, sanctions and support kicks in.

Putin would do much better in finding a way to retreat and negotiate something sensible - not daydreaming crap.

You still do not see it. Putin has been brought into a war that is a trap.

Even in the best possible outcome, as war is happening now, Russia is still a looser. The army has demonstrated that is unable to wage modern warfare, even having in front an army that had less resources. He has suffered a number of diplomacy backslashes that are not easy to overcome. He has made Europe consider raising the military spending (seriously, Europe raising military spending... unheard of) to the delight of the US. Who could ever have thought that Germany and Europe would ever consider decoupling from Russian oil and start the process of finding alternative sourcing for gas? What a victory for Putin!

I really hope your guys are not betting your bitcoin on anything like a surrender. US cannot be happier than seeing Putin bleed himself and send the your Russian soldiers to serve as test dummies for their latest toys, the sea crews to test their naval missile and combined arms tactics, Russian pilots to test the Starstreaks, tanks to test the Javelins... Meanwhile, the money that should be flowing to make Russia a better a place and the people who should be making Russia a more populated nation are being sent to die on a war that cannot be "won".

BTW, you do not seem to understand the concept of "unconditional", you may have read that in the official media I guess. Unconditional means "no conditions" - e.g. you do not get to keep any territory, nor army, nor government. It is all at the will of the victor - e.g. Japan after WW II so that you get the picture. I do not think you honestly believe that is going to happen.

Ok, so for now you do not like Jews (Hebrews should I say not to offend anyone?), you do not like the people who killed them either, you do not like Europe ("gayrope"?), the US... Sounds like the picture of a Russian supremacist (basically a Nazi). And you wonder why Ukraine did not want to play with you guys. Anyway, Putin is not challenging the world order, he is trying to be that order. Must be that all the countries (including Turkey!!) are ruled by the Israelis.

My questions is.. do you also feel superior to all Semitic races and cultures?

They are certainly influential in the US and in financial circles - that is where the other war, the one that is not about the "missile" but on how are you going to build that missile without microchips and how do you intend to pay for it, is happening and is going to get much worse. No need to kill all tanks, no need to have Ghost aviation ACEs - yet their are welcome.

I can see also some comments on Wikipedia not being a source. It is a good starting point, but you need to do the hard work: go to the references and see if you can form your opinion or question the article. But nah... much better to use a carpet-cancelling comment and get the sceptic-is-smarter free bonus.

Medieval thinking 100%.

Again, Putin telling the people of other countries what they can and cannot do in the name of his safety. Again, Putin telling all countries that they cannot join NATO because he says so. This is Putin considering himself ruler of the old USSR and the one who can tell Europe what can and cannot do. It is no longer the case and, after this war, he will be lucky if other "territories" do not start revolting in view of the inefficacy of its army.



On the contrary, Russia has security interests, Ukraine has security interests (even more now), Finland has security interests, Sweden, Lithuania, Letonia,... all have security interests... the question is why Putin's interest are better than anyone else's. Is it because he's got a better army / more power? Now that argument seems to have a few leaks.


Worry not, Ukraine's battle plan is much more about using the howitzer's sent by France, US, Germany plus a few counter battery radars to blast Putin's army. The Ghost can take the day off. The Caesar units sent by France are classed as the best in the world - even they look like IKEA furniture half-assembled.

Escalation, you mean, as opposed to Putin's de-escalation by sending his troops over the border? By funding and providing military means to his hidden army in the Donbas? Seriously, try to have some sense of reality when playing the blame game.


The Javelins, NLAWS and other handheld weapons are very visual and catchy. They have and are helping Ukraine slow the Russian progress. However, the killing has been done by artillery mostly.

A usual, there is one winner to this war (perhaps two). 8 years of preparation and a great success for them. Not a surprise.


There you go, you just found the winners of Putin's war.


Of course, you can have a government, vote, have an economy and try to be free. But only if you do not anger Putin. This sounds like the guy that batters a girl and says that it is her fault for not wanting to have sex.


You are getting a taste of the first one, and Ukraine is not even in NATO.


That's cute. Israel does not only mean Israel, but the resources of Jews across the globe that are backing it - certainly influential.


Mmm, sounds like a plan... but no. Russia will not run out of tanks - it may eventually run out of young people willing to go into them or able to use them or maybe of ships if they keep sinking "by themselves". The USSR did not break because it ran out of tanks, nor nuclear weapons, nor people - however...

The West has more than enough resources to stall the war and take back, likely, much of the territory occupied. Ukraine has the manpower and the will to be free of Putin. The US strategy is not to win the war, and US does not want to depose Putin - that is far too risky due to the nuclear arsenal -  but to render Russia unable to try this again. That is not going to be achieved by weapons alone, that's sure.

You know who should be ending this war? Europe, Ukraine and Russia. All the loosers.

I reckon I sometimes may put two consecutive posts, but this is when I am answering two different lines of conversation and the posts are becoming just too long. A response with 4000 chars may be too much for many to digest, however with two posts somehow makes it possible to choose better.

One thing I dislike is people posting links to twitter, youtube or sources without any comment or addition of their own. I belong to a generation that reads, I do not like someone telling me about XYZ a his / hers chosen speed - I would rather read at my chosen speed.

I think that the land you would require depends a lot on the region you live in and the resources (water mainly) that you have a your disposal. Costs are also quite a critical consideration. In a wet and relatively cold location, there are not that many crops that do well in winter and the summer may be too short to grow a good quantity.

I personally only grow stuff from April to October, except for a few resistant crops out there. It is just a hobby and a way of getting some organic stuff I can fully trust. I would not consider that is particularly cheap.

Meanwhile, Ukraine is making a barbecue using a munitions convoy.

https://twitter.com/donikroman/status/1521555508058075137

This is the reality of war. It is not a videogame, it is not a place to earn money or progress. It is a hotdog factory.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1521043273367887874

and made a few more Russian Heroes that did not sell their vehicles to me for 100 USD on time. Do not die for Putin, your country is not being threatened, there is no reason to be burnt alive.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1521548104826298369

In the end, this will further widen the social divide between the haves (have enough for a ticket plane to a pro-choice state) and the have nots (have not enough to get it done legally) and will also increase the number of "unwanted" children that directly correlate to the dysfunctionality in families, drug abuse, school dropping numbers and many other issues.

If you consider the situation on the ground as opposed to the moral and legal stances on which the ruling is made, the net effect cannot possibly do any good and the effects will be felt long time. In my view, a clear step back.

Abortion is a moral grey area. It seems natural that the mother should have options at least during the first six weeks, as one would argue that there is not real brain activity in the fetus, but just a mere biological process without a conscience or human activity as I understand it. The state should have no say on how and why the mother may choose not to be a mother.

I am worried for the effect that may have in the trends in other parts of the world, as the US tends to create trends on social issues discussions and it is certainly not the only country with religiously motivated conservatives.

I am a keyboard pacifist. Not a naive style, all wars are bad, people should be happy and friendly, etc... I just do not see any point on this war in which the only ones that will win are the ones that are actually not involved. It is pointless to loose as much as Putin is loosing for nearly no gain. It cannot be expected that Ukraine does not fight to confront either.

All this is stupid. Do not die for Putin.

Perhaps. Speaking of asymmetry, Australia is unlikely to invade the SI or China. However is a major exporter of raw materials to China and they may not want to play with the other kid if they start taking over the playground. I assume that a red line on this case means that there are conversations ongoing that would be stopped in the case China progresses the deal.

It seems that Putin's red lines are drawn in blood.

"Rumourology" update: Putin may be considering declaring "war" officially or making up some law that allows mandatory conscription or call to reservists. If that happens, it would send a clear signal of the issues at the front and the massive loss of professional soldiers.

What is happening in Belgorod (Russia). Seems that a bridge in there is currently under maintenance? Maybe they are cleaning the road to keep it shiny?
https://t.me/zhest_belgorod/11242

Or maybe there is some "bridge bug" in the region... seems to affect also railway bridges
https://t.me/zhest_belgorod/11250


Curiously, the quickest route from Kurst to Kharkiv passes through this. One could think that the Ukraine- Putin's Russia war is actually getting to be in Russia.


Thanks for further proving my point. Unless you consider 100 years "a blink" - you know we are in 2022 and there has been a WW II and a Cold War I after that? (my guess is that we will have a Cold War II after this war, that is, if the 1st really ever finished for Russia).

An "invasion by Poland" would mean a NATO intervening, that could only be pictured if Putin was taking full control of Ukraine and somehow the US decided to create some kind of buffer and even in that case it would have too many implications for safety - Poland would be burning all its partners and allies...

Nah.


There are several reports of Ukraine's successful attacks at Zmiiny Island. Seems that anything near Odessa is a potential coral reef habitat.


It is not interesting really, I could show you the second most spoken languages across all Europe... mostly English. Do we have to fear UK invading? I would ask for a source but it does not really matter.

Branko, again trying to find confirmation after taking a side?

Weapons are certainly aid when you need them. They are given under a "lend and lease", but the payments may be condoned, left in suspense, reduced... It is unlikely that Ukraine could repay ever, everyone sending civil and military aids knows that.


Probably since 1994, but they had to much on the plate.



https://kam.lt/en/international_cooperation_1089/nato_1282/lithuania_on_its_way_to_nato.html

Zero percent chance. Again, there are a million reasons why that would not happen. Definitely things that do not change "in a blink".

I cannot even believe that someone is trying to have a conversation that starts with "Poland is going to invade Ukraine". It shows a massive lack of understanding of the current geopolitical situation and the international relationships in Europe.

There is something we have to thank Putin for:



An this time, they are not even enemies.

Keep dreaming about motivated combatants fleeing their land, meanwhile have a read... here.

While discussing about a NATO country joining the war and other fairy tales, Putin's war with Ukraine is stalled. Odessa's air defences and Belgorod's are quite active at the moment. Izum seems to be the last noticeable advance, but pincer movements are stalled. There seems to be an attempt to conduct an increased air warfare, but Ukraine is now a porcupine, bite it and you will bleed. Putin's psychos have decided that it is a great idea to destroy the Ukrainian infrastructure all over the country: hospitals, schools, bridges, industries, civil infrastructure,...

There will be a permanent diplomatic cost on that. Firstly, Russia's assets may be seized across the world to pay reparations. Secondly, Ukraine will have even more reasons to look west for financing and prosperity and lastly, due to the atrocities and sub-human way of waging war of Putin's Chief Psycho, there will be a decades long hate to anything Russian right by their border.

IMHO, the US does not want Putin to go - it would create chaos on a country that holds too many nukes. However they have stated that the policy is to ensure that Putin nor the RF possesses the means to wage another war against Ukraine or anyone else. This is now not just about a peace in Ukraine or if there will be any territorial loss, it is a permanent loss of diplomatic and commercial status.

How is this going to be achieved? Playing with Putin's need to present some short of victory. Making him and his psychos believe that they are almost there, near some form of victory that somehow manages to elude them... but it will never be. Tactical Cannon Fodder battalions will suffer 20% losses over and over and become inoperative,  Putin's air force will be loosing irreplaceable pilots and planes. Also, infrastructure in Russia can now be a legitimate target, and it will be targeted.

But that is not the worst. The sanctions are not just an economic weapon, is also a technological one. Modern Russia is not the USSR, they do depend on components that are not locally sourced. The effects will be devastating for the industry.

Putin's Russia a quite autonomous economy, but there is no way to avoid an 8% drop in GDP this year and that may only be the beginning of decades on depending on China for trade. I would not want to be in that position.

Meanwhile, in Putin's controlled Donetsk...