As the bridge to Crimea partially opens a wave of patriotism emerges as thousands of cars queue up for hours. These patriots are going from Crimea to Moscow, to show how one can fight remotely (probably they are thinking of using Microsoft Teams) and still be a true believer in victory. Literally, I just saw a video of people fleeing Crimea declaring "I am going to Moscow to wait for victory there."

Repeat with me ... "I am safe in Putin's RF" ...

I would need a few clear verifiable sources to believe  that Zelensky is asking from preventive strikes or for that matter, anything that means using or attacking  with or to nuclear weapons or the systems that enable a nuclear response.  In a nuclear war there is no winner. The first strike is guaranteed to be followed by a response (it could even not be a nuke, but certainly proportional and devastating)... and from there nobody knows.

A different thing is asking about readiness in case Putin and the Psychos think they have nothing to loose and recur to a tactical nuke or a limited nuclear mid range cruise.

RE bridge of Crimea, in my understanding it simply means that the US and possibly allies have made clear that they can also destroy expensive and critical infrastructure "outside-ish RF territory" as the RF has destroyed the Nord Streams "outside NATO territory". Seems that Mafia rules have found an equivalent response.

On the tactical side, that bridge down means that it will be slightly more difficult to reinforce or trade with Crimea and more expensive to maintain it as RF controlled territory.

Oh, by the way, the orc slaves seem to be having patriotism issues with the Rodina. They insist on eating. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dWLYcfRC0jE

It is a well known fact that life expectancy is linked to income levels. As an example I would use the deceased Queen Elizabeth of England - it is obvious that she exceeded the average expectancy of most, but also of most in the UK and England.

Jokes apart, the American dream is failing to many people and that also has to show in the life expectancy, but I am sure also in the stats for suicides, mental illness and other side effects.

No leadership in itself is not enough. Systems must be designed so that there are strong incentives to act in favour of the collective and acting against is strongly discouraged. One of the keys for that is accountability, the individual knows that he is very likely to have to respond for their actions. It requires leadership to build that type of system and many times they do not come out right.

And Bluesondine cures COVID... same sources (I am asking because you do not mention any)

Now that I think of it, you may be speaking in US "billions", 10^9 , while I am thinking of European Billions 10^12, so ok, I can accept American billions.

Still, at the risk of wasting a few second of my valuable time on earth, most people do not die killed by other "eye to eye". Take WW II, 55 million civilians, 25 million military. That is what modern warfare looks like. An old warfare sometimes even worse (Romans were well known genocidal).

 Anyway, back to something that is not you and your ego: Today the RF gloriously made a "precision strike" on a building in Zaporiyia. A civilian building with no strategic value whatsoever that was, obviously, in use. Again, this is Mafia rules: senseless killing of civilians that makes no sense: it does not stop the war, does not provide any advantage nor is any other way beneficial for the RF war effort. Senseless destruction that not even animals engage in.

Either they feel very safe or they are outdated in relation with best practices. White hat hacking including bugs or even beta testing by the crowd is actually a sound way of detecting what is wrong with you site and even can save plenty of headaches in the future. Also, it is quite cheap compared to an audit and may actually yield better results. It has to be used with care of course, as there may be incentives to hack and not tell.

Sad to know that people would have such influence as to broadcast anyone gambling. I assume this also would affect poker tournaments? Because, honestly, those are broadcasted all over and nobody seems to care much. There seems to be some short of double standard, or maybe it is simply a calculation of benefit versus image cost done by twitch.

Assuming or imagining that I am a pleb  I think that we should all be playing mostly poker, as mostly as a social activity. It is more likely to end in winnings and fun than most games out there in the casinos and in my view much more fun that those you listed. Anyway, thanks for the compilation and I will see that I learn a bit about each of those ones.

You should be able to cover the risks in your business just like any other industry has the opportunity to do. Even space flights can be insured. As long as the site follows the recommendations, is audited and has some degree of technologically savvy team, they should be able to do business as usual. Now, maybe the problem is that none of that is usual at all.

If you gamble regularly there is not anything like leaving it with your winnings. Eventually you come back and unless you have a constant strategy that somehow beats the odds you will eventually loose. So the point is to effectively develop that strategy. Poker players do it by training, some other by learning about a sport ... you just have to figure somehting out.

I care about all people in general - more about the ones I consider closer. I have Ukrainian friends and one Russian friend and whish the no harm, nor for that matter anything bad to anyone on reason of ideology, ethnicity or origin.

The reason why I graphically describe the likely end of RF soldiers in the Ukrainian front is because I want anyone who still reads this to understand the crude reality of the front and the fact that they will die for nothing. RF citizens have the right to the truth and it is not their government of the trolls here who will give it to them.


You mean... All the orcs running away is a trap! Oh... how are we so blind thinking that RF army is on the run and Adolf Putin enslaving new untrained and unwilling recruits is just because this operation is botched and has failed miserably... you are right, Ukraine has to stop and surrender.

Now that I think of it, how do you surrender to someone who is running the other way? You would need to run after them... that's it! The Ukrainian army is surrendering en-mass, they just have to run faster to let the Orcs know.

Yes! RF will take Odessa. They will rebuild the Moskva in a week, go back to Snake Island and then take Odessa no doubt.


Obviously, I am against it, it is not that I am blind to the world nor understand the use of violence and that you cannot accept being killed or enslaved without a fight. Well, unless you are an RF citizen being recruited, they seem to be fine with it.

Oh, you having reasonable success... bullshit if you say thinks that "billions have died looking at the bla bla..." but I will not waste time educating you on who, why and how many die in wars, your assertions have the same sense as all your other mumbling.

Dude, you like to pose as as someone who can see things that others cannot - hate to break it to you: The US policy is very transparent, the German position on regards to it is known since ages you are just stating stuff that everyone knows years if not decades ago . Trump, who is a egomaniac even said it out loud: US does not like Germany to be a commercial partner of the RF while they depend on US for defence against them.

Your level of "analysis" and "dangerous questions". is equivalent to reading an 8 year old newspaper.

Now, you go back and read all the reasons why an RF attack is very likely (payback for EU help to Ukraine, rules of Mafia) and an US attack is very unlikely (basically an act of war to one of the few allies they have left) and try to make your case.

BTW, EU's answer to US cutting in spending while demanding more payments from EU, was "sure, but instead of paying NATO, we are going to create an EU army". Trump never raised the point again.


I am against war and killing. You have been justifying the RF aggression because is "a fight against capitalism".

Unfortunately, there are countries in which changes are possible and others in which, as of now it is not. The pressure from EU and US for social liberal policies is subject to reality checks, like most things in life.

And for the snipers to have a clear shot at the Orc Slaves backs.

Ukraine's tactics are improving. From replying to every artillery shot with a shot to striking the single failure points of the Slave Orc's supply lines to the point that they cannot be reinforced nor resupplied. I wonder who is advising them and providing all that intelligence... one could think that Ukraine has its own satellite network uh?

You need to read more carefully - in what you or I would think is irrational. The Mafia world has its own rules.

No, if Germany buys gas from RF through any means that Adolf Putin is desperate enough to sell gas to EU - nothing else - it makes no difference to the point.

If Ukraine falls under the influence of the Orcs Adolf holds the key, if not Ukraine is a partner in the EU. In any of those cases, Germany should have learnt the lesson and have a plan B in the future to avoid being blackmailed by RF or, if it really should come to it in a million years, by Ukraine.

Germany has made a mistake when appreciating the real control and reliability of Adolf Putin as a commercial partner. They should know better in the future, even if they decide to keep using cheap RF gas, they will need the plan B and a progressive energetic transition (which is anyway needed).

Sure, it leaves one wondering why people do not flock to the recruitment offices -  but rather they try to burn them. I think that the Psychos got the price wrong, no decent RF wife would sell his dear husband for less than 8 million rubles.

But it certainly inspires me a business: Match-a-slave. Basically, women from around the world can see soldiers on-line, with info of where are they mobilised and AI information about the possibility of them being killed. They chose one (or many?) and get married on-line. Then is just a question of waiting for them to be HIMARSed, or burn alive in their tanks.

Easy money duh??


Do not forget to get married first.

Fat chance of you going even near a front line. You are a psycho, you like others being killed and you like to boast about how great is to kill others to steal their land and their future -  but that always comes with the internal fear of someone doing it to you. Certainly you will not ever volunteer.

Basically the RF Psychos last and final bet is nothing but a SLAVE ARMY, fighting only for fear of what their government may do to them of their families if they decide not to fight. Old reservists that know so well the deplorable morale and the inhumane treatment they will get under the Psychos that will be doing anything in their power to avoid fighting and will use any excuse to retreat.

My suggestions:

- Sorry officer, I do not know where that fuel went missing.
- Sorry officer, this truck does not start and somehow we cant find the sugar packets we had right here.
- Tank? What tank sir?
- Oh, sorry, I only had one week of training, what do you say I have to do with this WW I rifle?

Do you think slaves fight well? They don't, an less if they do not have logistics and need to forage around for food.

I see, this is the same user that was speaking of massive impulse and front collapse when the Orcs were taking a few scattered villages around and now is saying that Ukraine is "not ready for winter" and "fresh reserves" - AKA Slave Soldiers, AKA Tactical Cannon Fodder will miraculously do something different to what has been done before.


Adolf Putin is surrounded with potential next Adolf Putins. As of now, he is barely in control of the secret service and pretty much in the hands of the military. It is a problem that he has little to loose by dying in a last blast of "glory", but hopefully someone will kill him before that.

The scenarios being considered are not around the ICBMs, which guarantee that nobody wins anything, but rather about the nearly 2000 nuclear tactical projectiles of different kinds that the RF holds. The US has a few over 200, as it has been long since they decided that is much cleaner, effective and efficient to use other conventional weapons.

Please notice that "effective" and "efficient" in this context means that they can blast expensive and critical target with precision and certainty.

If you ignore the propaganda crap, you will have no reason to exist.

I can see that you finally realised what I have been saying over and over since months ago:  Russia and Europe have never been winner in any war in Europe. The ones benefiting from this one are Saudis, China, US...  Note: Certainly not the RF, it is not only coming diplomatically and politically weaker, but also fucking its economy for the long term.

 In the war of 1914, Europe lost world dominance, in WW II, USA emerged as the superpower is today and now thanks to the Psychos of the RF Russia is bleeding people and has no expectative of growth whatsoever for the next decade and Europe will have ... a bump in the road until they unlink from RF gas.

Again, I mentioned a while ago that, thanks to Adolf Putin and the Psycos in the RF army:

- EU has more debt and has to undergo an energy transformation.
- RF has extended its border with NATO by thousands of kilometres and has driven two neutral countries into the NATO.
- Has been proven as an unreliable supplier.
- Has been sanctioned and is unlikely to ever recover its stance in the world.
- Has lost the technological and professional elites that are needed for the progress of a country.

In essence, has lost everything that makes a country prosper and be regarded as a partner. Did the US intend this? Of course. Did Adolf Putin acted in the best way to stop it? You tell me genius.


I think you have lived for too long in a country that let's you speak freely. I urge you to apply for RF citizenship - with your previous military experience you will have the chance to fully enjoy the advantages of an authoritarian regime in the front line, like many of the young unready and unwilling recruited soldiers.


Mostly irrelevant, it does not matter when or how the reserves are used or filled. The fact is that RF shuts the valve and it matters little if the NS is operational or not in the short term and there are still several paths for the gas to fill the reserves if there was a political will, which is not the case.

There are several things in you post that are beyond reality (e.g. a Grexit), stating that the NS I & II are "Russia property",... I cannot even comment on those.

And now,

The RF is not acting in a rational manner as you or I would interpret it. Their prime objective is to act like they always act: twisting arms, threatening, intimidating and terrorising... having an international stance as "though" as Adolf Putin riding a horse half naked. They do not understand anything but retaliation and these attacks look to me like retaliation from miles away. Again, away from NATO territory, so it cannot be interpreted as an attack on a member country.

Again, the hypothesis of the US blowing up European infrastructures is pretty much senseless, as they already have Europe dependent on them for military and economic reasons and, if discovered, it would be such a radical change in relations for the worse that is simply not worth it.

Too many leaks in the pipeline of your "critical thinking".

My mistake certainly, I did not use the right name (you get one merit for correct my facts and one more for presenting a funny hypothesis, that is my usual policy), but in fact we are agreeing that there is a path through Ukraine. If you like picture, see that big 140 BCM line in the middle of Ukraine below? Well, that is a gas pipe with a capacity of 140BCM. Nord Stream is 55 BCM at maximum capacity.




So, still the argument that you are failing to address remains:

Short term, Germany is no more fucked or dependent on Ukraine that it was before, since the NS were pretty much closed from the RF end. The Nord Stream was mainly a RF doing, because Ukraine asked for payment for the pass through their territory, paid with German money. Old news.

Long term:

- Ukraine can be either integrated in Europe (EU or other treaty), in which case will favour the passage of gas. If you try to fuck with Germany in the EU, you are likely to run into trouble. There are many examples including Greece, Poland (which is close to getting internal sanctions) and Hungary.
- Or (much less likely) occupied by RF who does not need it to close or open the valve anyway.

So curiously, the long term effect is only the loss of a valuable infrastructure which damages the German investors in the project but not much more, that is why the retaliation hypothesis makes perfect sense. Also an infrastructure that is precisely in non-NATO territory.

Now, why would the US sabotage the pipeline?
- To fuck like you say his main ally in Europe? (stupid)
- To force Germany to be dependent of Ukraine (not impossible, but still fucking your allies).

The second one makes a 25% sense let's say, but the risk of an international backslash against US in case of being found clearly exceeds any veeeery long shot "advantage".

Bottomline, as it is now, it looks like international terrorism from Adolf Putin's Psychos and the Chief Orcs.

Interesting theory I reckon, the US being the one blowing up the gas pipe to ensure that Germany does not use it. However it does not make sense, since they anyway have Nord Stream I which is already shut off. If Germany / EU would want RF gas, they can still get it. Following the argument, the NS I goes through Ukraine, but Ukraine would not interrupt these due to risk of EU becoming less friendly.

 Blowing the Nord Stream II looks like the RF army doing to kind of "make a point" on regards to EU aid and aligns well with a country that is under a Junta.

In my view, this is an act of war. The Orc army could have chosen any other target right? A bridge in France, a factory in Germany... Why do you think they would hit NS II? The answer is very simple: it is not in NATO territory and does not grant a NATO mobilisation which would end any expectation of even a technical "victory" in the invasion.

Now, what does YOUR critical thinking tell you about this?

Meanwhile, the disconnect between the RF army chief Psychos and the diplomatic and civil side of the government is show again in the terrorist attacks against Nord Stream II.

My analysis is that Putin and the diplomatic arm could be thinking of selling gas to Europe while the Psychos are keen of breaking all ties an ensuring that it is not possible. Think of it, the RF does not need to blow the gas pipes to stop the supply. This is someone in the army making sure it cannot be back. There is certainly a fight in Moscow.


For Ukraine it is. They have been preparing since your Psychos and Orcs took Crimea and have plenty of help with training and supplies. RF has show their inability to hold supply lines beyond 200 km. I suspect many of these soldiers will desert out of mere hunger.



Are you aware that there is a 19 mile long queue in the Mongolian and Georgian borders? It seems it is not "some people", it is kind of "a lot of people". And make no mistake, these are not precisely the poor sods that have little skills and do not have enough to fly, these are the qualified professionals you need to run a country.

There is difference between the number of people living in RF and how many can you mobilise for a war that is not threatening the country before the depose Putin and the Psychos - probably in a very expedite way, like in the Menshevik revolution.




And somehow managed to do so without any evidence to be found by all the Trumpists, with even members of the Republican party stating on-record that they were being pressed to lie about the result, Mike Pence part of it!, with even Trump close family speaking of an actual conspiracy by Trump to cheat, with recorded evidence of a President of the United stated calling for violence, with recorded proof of armed groups, with security officers killed in the Capitol while Trump stood silent and sent no one to protect the temple of the US democracy. It is shameful for the US and it is not politics or partisanship, it goes well beyond.

As I have said many times, it would require so many people to be in a conspiracy that it would actually be more than half of the Americans - which would then would not require to do anything but just voting.

Anyway, you kind of believe that you can lie of confuse your way out of any situation, so I am not going to insist, it is not worth any more time.