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301  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Scratch Offs on: March 16, 2024, 04:18:29 AM
I haven't seen a scratch-off in years...

Scratch offs were the form of instant lottery of the pre-internet era. Today you can still find some, but with the variety of instant bets available on cell phones, they have lost their meaning. I remember hearing at the time that due to the immediacy they had a higher risk of leading to addictive behaviors than regular lottery tickets but now the risk has moved to mobile.
302  Economy / Gambling / Re: Freebitco.in - FUN Token Investment Experiment on: March 16, 2024, 04:11:44 AM
I checked the all-time graph before commenting and have the same conclusions. Honestly, I expected a bit more from FUN at the beginning, I saw some potential in all the benefits they offer, but I was wrong... All I see in the last couple of years is the FUN token sinking deeper and deeper. I sold most of my FUN (with a huge loss) last year, and I said I would get back into FUN when I see it under 10 sats. But now when that time is close I am not sure if it's a smart thing to do, I guess the benefits from holding FUN are nice, but if the price really sinks to 0 then it's not worth the effort I guess...

I remember that when the site adopted the token the general comment in the forum was that in addition to the benefits that the site gave you it would help the token to appreciate in value. Even I who am not a shitcoins person bought some tokens, but I soon sold them because the price behavior was always worse than that of the Bitcoin.
303  Economy / Gambling / Re: Freebitco.in - FUN Token Investment Experiment on: March 15, 2024, 05:00:21 AM
I wouldn't say that FUN tokens look good, 5 cents at this BTC price is 70 sats. The FUN token price is 10 sats at the moment. The price of FUN tokens has gone down over the years. A few months ago I asked the question what are the chances that we will see FUN tokens under 10 sats, and here we are the price is 10 sats... so the big question is where is the bottom? Are we really going to see FUN tokens under 10 sats or is this the bottom finally?

The bottom is 0, as it usually happens with shitcoins.

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/funtoken/

If you look at the all-time graph there you will see what the trend is, and it is getting closer and closer to 0. It only had two spikes, at the beginning, as it usually happens with shitcoins, and when freebitco.in announced it was adopting it. Then the trend has been downward. And the only thing that saves it is because it gives some benefits in the site.

304  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin breaks 2021 ATH and hits $71k! on: March 15, 2024, 04:52:42 AM
This is what bull run is all about, and we are about to enter it technically after the block halving. Yes, that is true, this is the first time that we hit new all time high before the halving and it makes me thing that obviously, the bull run will be very much different as well. Obviously, we will see $100k for the first time, and we could only speculate how big it's going to be, $100k-$180k as others have predicted. For sure everyone is now drooling of the potential profits that we will get. However, still, everyone should be patience. Not the time to sell even if he hit $70k. Wait for the six digits this year or next year and then time the market when to sell.

Do you follow the price at all? For starters we are in a clear bull run for some time now, and the $70K was exceeded, reaching $73K, but what is relevant right now is that there has been the typical dip in which many retail investors who have bought at the top are going to be fleeced while the whales take the opportunity to collect profits, as they prepare for the next rally.
305  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Bitcoin ETFs and the pension system US on: March 15, 2024, 04:44:02 AM
Certainly there is a lot.

If 0.1% of that 55 trillions comes to bitcoin ETF, that is already millions of dollars.

The problem is that the high volatility is not good pension funds.... the downs (which may reach 50-60% in a year) may cause big discussions among the pensioners...

Well, but within the many types of pensions there is room for it. There are pension funds by expected retirement age, and for those who are going to retire in 20 years, for example, it has a place in the mix. Traditionally for people nearing retirement they held more potentially volatile assets, such as stocks, and as retirement age approached they increased the percentage of safer assets, such as bonds. It's just a matter of getting Bitcoin into the volatile asset mix. Even pension funds that are not governed by an expected retirement age for their participants have a place in small amounts.
306  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A Man bet his life savings on 1 spin of Roulette on: March 14, 2024, 04:55:26 AM
looks like an old casino advertisement? classic way of casino fooling people to make believe how gamblers can risk everything they had in single bet for a chance winning your money into double.

Roulette is my favorite table gambling and luck based but I will never risk my all savings just to have a single bet.

I'm glad you think so because you have to be a fucking retard to gamble your life savings on a single bet. It breaks all the principles of good gambling. While he's at it he could play Russian roulette, he only has 1/6 odds of blowing his brains out and he can get much more than double what he bet, depending on the odds he wants to give him who he bets against, but like 4 or 4.5 times what he bets.

307  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: When is best for a player to draw the line? on: March 14, 2024, 04:46:49 AM
Personally when I play poker I tend to play predetermined sessions, for example one hour long, and I tend to finish the hour whether I am winning or losing. This is what is usually recommended. The exceptions may be that after a while of playing you feel tired or something, and you see that it is affecting your game, then it is better to stop. The same if you see that you are losing a lot in a short time and it starts to affect you (this should not be so for a good poker player but if you come from a bad streak in previous sessions, sit back and see that you are still losing everything sometimes is inevitable that affects you). In this case it is better to do short sessions, even if it is less than what you have planned, if you see that it is going to affect you and dedicate more time to review the game or study.

308  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin might reach $100k before halviing. What is your exit strategy? on: March 14, 2024, 04:36:11 AM
My exit strategy is not to exit. Anyone else following this strategy? Huh

Not exactly, but similar in my case. I will make small "exits" or sales of parts of my holdings.

The current cycle has turned out to be anomalous.

This is not the case. What has turned out to be "anomalous" is the pattern, which is a creation of our mind, projected on the price evolution of previous cycles. There is nothing anomalous about price behavior, it is our conceptualization of regularities.

Look at the following series of numbers:

1,2,3,4,1,2,3,4,

How would you continue it?

The simplest answer is that the next 4 numbers are 1,2,3,4, and so on, ad infinitum, then if you see that the next 4 are, for example 7,8,3,2 you would say that there is an anomaly. But if the long term series is as follows, would you say that it is an anomaly as well or a regularity?

1,2,3,4,1,2,3,4,7,8,3,2,1,2,3,4,1,2,3,4,7,8,3,2,1,2,3,4,1,2,3,4,7,8,3,2

I could give you countless examples like this.

309  Other / Meta / Re: Bad behavior made by Newbies or Beginners on: March 14, 2024, 04:28:48 AM
I on this agree with the majority that there is nothing "bad" about his behavior and the OP himself claims that perhaps it is not the best word due to the fact that he is not a native English speaker. And the other thing I also agree on is that if the contest has been unsuccessful the OP should reflect on what he has done wrong and not blame the others, more so when most of the responses in this thread are along those lines.

310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The Monte Carlo fallacy on: March 13, 2024, 04:24:27 AM
-What is your analysis about this trick?

My analysis is that people tend to confuse the difference between a series of events and individual events. The probability of coming out 10 times in a row red in roulette is tiny, but if it has come out 9 times red, in the next spin the probability is still about 50% (actually a little less, depending on the type of roulette). You don't bet on what happens in a series, you bet on what happens in an individual spin, hence the confusion.
311  Economy / Gambling / Re: [Unlimited Money Generator] - [1$][XINF][99% RTP][PVP][NO LIMITS] on: March 13, 2024, 04:17:04 AM
No one has left a red tag in the OP's profile? Or even a neutral tag? I just saw this thread and my tagging agressivity went through the roof. I'm going to hold back for now but it has all the components of being a crude scam attempt, the title, the presentation and the responses of someone who gets very angry when he doesn't hear what he wants.

Besides, what kind of online business is offline?

312  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 4 years ago, WHO announced the pandemic, whole markets crashed on: March 13, 2024, 04:07:59 AM
The price dropped to approximately $5K at that time. Seeing that it's at $72K it's about a 1400% return in 4 years, not bad. For comparison, we can note that the S&P 500 had a return of 125% in the same period, which is not bad but far from the Bitcoin return.

This end of cycle can make us optimistic after the disappointing mid-cycle returns.
313  Other / Meta / Re: Should speculation about satoshi's identity be subject to doxxing rules? on: March 13, 2024, 04:01:46 AM
Because none of it lead to doxxing satoshi himself. Have anyone ever been able to post a complete doxxing for satoshi on this forum? I have not seen any.

And I suppose we can also fire guns in the general direction of people as long as we don't actually hit them?  No, pretty sure it doesn't work like that.

I just don't buy your analogy. The correct analogy is people shooting in the desert where there is no one and after 14 years you come to tell us that there is a danger of someone getting killed.
314  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is worth more than Silver on: March 12, 2024, 04:52:06 AM
And is crazy to think, How a virtual asset can be worth more than a precious metal? It's crazy times that we are living in, and money and value are just losing sense.

On the contrary, they are making a lot of sense now. Big business in the 21st century, unlike the 20th, has been done on the internet, and the capitalization of Bitcoin goes in line with that. The value of the 21st century is primarily digital. Think, for example, that states are planning CBDCs to convert money to digital.

Up next is Gold? Lol.

Gold would be the last, the next thing to beat in capitalization would be Google.
315  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Slot game with increasing RTP on: March 12, 2024, 04:46:58 AM
You never said by what percentage RTP is increased. If it increases from 96% to 99% you will notice that only after playing many thousands of games. If less than that(which is most likely the case) you will hardly notice it at all.

This is similar to other types of promotions given to people at the casino for betting a lot or discounts given by a business to customers for spending a lot. As the business earns more, it offers a bigger discount. I would like to know if those who bet on this type of slots and get to increase the RTP notice anything, because even if it increases 2%, as it is after many spins and there is always a statistical variability I think it will be little noticeable, unless the person is autosuggested.
316  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitLoto.org - daily crypto lottery on: March 12, 2024, 04:38:07 AM
As I see it you expect to raise $500 if you sell all the tickets and pay out $400 in prizes. If you give away some tickets the profit is reduced. I guess you are just starting out because such a low prize is not likely to attract a lot of customers. People go crazy the bigger the potential prize, even if the probability of winning is much smaller.

What system do you use to make the draw?
317  Other / Meta / Re: Why Do Some Posts Disappear? on: March 12, 2024, 04:29:54 AM
I guess the OP is looking for the posts where he posted them, and that's why he doesn't see them, since they have been moved, as Cyrus has said. But when they are moved there is a link on the boards that takes you to them. The other possibility would be that the boards where they have been moved he has them on ignore, although I don't think so because he is a newbie and I don't think he would have just registered to ignore boards.
318  Economy / Services / Re: [CFNP] MetaWin.com Signature Campaign | The First WEB3 Casino | Sr Member+ on: March 11, 2024, 04:36:13 AM
i think you should pay more attention to the people you pay to spam the forum with low quality posts 

do you really pay for a person to post such a things
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5483159.msg63764712#msg63764712

you are giving a bad image to Metawin

Look, I'm going to explain it to you so that someone who has the intelligence of an orangutan, like you, can understand it.

If you really think that what I write are low quality posts just report them and the moderators will delete them, according to rule 1:

Forum rules

1. No zero or low value, pointless or uninteresting posts or threads. [1][e]
319  Economy / Reputation / Re: o_e_l_e_o Such a life you will build/Laugh at death You will cry. on: March 11, 2024, 04:29:54 AM
The post I am writing now is very sad. I am writing this post with great pain. I feel so bad, I'm mentally broken.

Are you broken by a member of a forum that has not been active since you registered? It has happened to o_e_l_e_o what is going to happen to all of us, that's life. I agree with the other members who have expressed that you should lock this thread, otherwise you are going to earn dislikes from a few that this thread is nothing more than an attempt at merit fishing.
320  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler on: March 11, 2024, 04:21:44 AM
Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.

This is one of the reasons I hate cash out. This is also one of the reasons I do not like to watch any of the matches or their live scores until the matches ended.

You are putting the spotlight where you shouldn't be putting it and in this I agree with Outhue.

The lesson you should tell others shouldn't be about your instinct, because you will not going to be right always, the only thing that I could call a lesson here is to learn how to take small risks in gambling, if all you have as risk management is your instinct you will burn yourself up and you will be full of regrets later on.

Although I would express it differently. Agbamoni and Oshosondy have broken the first rule of the good gambler: gamble with money that you don't need, that you can afford to lose. If the possible outcome of the game is making you nervous to the point of rushing to cash out, it is an amount of money that is important to you, and therefore you are not respecting that rule.
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