well
after careful thinking
it's my conclusion that most asics on the market will not ROI in bitcoins.
it's also quite apparent NOW once things are put in perspective that that noone will be getting ROI in fiat currency as well.
the daily bitcoin amount is limited and the amount of money (bitcoins and fiat) spent on getting a tiny portion of the pie is now insanely high.
this means that if miners are rational they will all STOP selling
otherwise they will be mining AND selling at a loss. they'd have to be either altruistic or stupid.
hence i believe in the next coming months most miners will HOLD their btc and not sell at current prices no matter what (unless they are about to be evicted or something)
nothing to do with any price movements or looking at trading patterns just stating obvious facts.
this will squeeze the supply and slowly drive prices up.
That's not how it works.
If anything, miners will have to sell the BTC they mine to cover the costs of their expensive mining equipment.
I know I have charged the pre-orders I have on credit cards. I will sell the first few coins I mine to pay off those credit cards once those miners arrive.
Furthermore, no one will mine at a loss in the sense that the miners will make more BTC than it costs to run them. They may not make back their original investment but that is no reason to sit and hold the BTC. Since bitcoin can go both up and down and no one can predict which way it will go, you will make no more money if you sit and hold than if you sell right away.
mgio, i don't think you understood my post or the financial implications you have signed up for by putting it on your credit card.
you should just cancel your preorder since it sounds like you don't actually understand what you signed up for.
in really easy terms: the money you spent on preorder on credit card will *never* be recovered at the current exchange rate.
this means you will NOT be able to pay off your credit card for this purchase AT ALL. hence what i mean by saying will not ROI (return on investment). it's not like the first few mined coins will pay off your credit card and the rest will be icing on the cake.
what this means is that you are going into DEBT and will carry a portion of your balance with interest into the future until you somehow pay it off.
the only way you can "pay off" the credit card is if prices go UP..... by a lot.
don't worry pretty much EVERYONE is in the same boat - that's why i made this topic.
**** "first few coins" will never pay off the cost of hardware at current exchange rate- ever.
miners are better off "hoarding" their coins until prices go up to "pay off" their equipment.
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except i'd be guessing that the price is much higher than $200 i think more than $400+ (just a guess)
