1241
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Economy / Speculation / Re: The rocket is secretly taking off! High 3.26, 20k BTC to $3.50 (up from $3.35)
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on: December 19, 2011, 10:02:38 AM
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Anyone that is buying in to this rally are now facing two very big enemies. The inflation (from the Bitcoin framework) and the manipulators that are starting to understand fundamentals. The manipulators are taking over this market. And they will probably soon understand that they also can make money by taking it down as well, before that they were super super optimists and just saw stable or up-trends in the price. But greed and power corrupts so maybe they are seeing the opportunities both ways now. Lets say that they also have inside information from Mt.Gox, then this market is totally corrupt. Good luck trading successfully.
Back in August the inflation pressure argument was plausible and I saved a lot of money following it - now what you don't take into account is that there is quite a bit of chance that bitcoin will level up.
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1247
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis & other financial markets (bitcoinbullbear.com)
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on: December 14, 2011, 09:57:32 AM
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We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied. Can I subscribe to your newsletter to find out when you're occupied? He admitted that he is now out of BTC needed for the stabilisation
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1248
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Is this the manipulator buying btc?
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on: December 14, 2011, 09:52:28 AM
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I don't see anywhere a 10K volume spike.
By the way - a propos 'the manipulator' - I also have, a somehow smaller, but still visible, ask wall and I certainly will move it up if the price slowly get's close to it. I follow a simple volatility reducing strategy. Does that make me 'the manipulator'? What really makes a player 'the manipulator' and how many 'the manipulators' can be there?
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1249
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Also see bitcoinbullbear.com
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on: December 11, 2011, 03:23:43 PM
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For me it seems more likely that we are now in the corrective wave and that it will take another 2-3 days before we resume the main up trend.
Right, and a typical corrective pattern would see another drop to about $2.6 as we saw 4 Dec, before continuing the upward trend. Did not happen - how do you interpret this? The bid walls stopped the C down wave and now we are back in the main up trend (and more precisely in the third wave of it)?
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1250
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Also see bitcoinbullbear.com
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on: December 07, 2011, 11:22:09 AM
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For me it seems more likely that we are now in the corrective wave and that it will take another 2-3 days before we resume the main up trend.
Right, and a typical corrective pattern would see another drop to about $2.6 as we saw 4 Dec, before continuing the upward trend. Does not look like that any more - or does it?
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1253
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Any thoughts about future direction ?
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on: December 04, 2011, 08:22:11 AM
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The rally speed was unsustainable - a correction was long overdue and only the bid wall was postponing it, when it was broken this generated a lot of down momentum - but it quickly got dumped. Maybe it is still early - but it seems that this time a sell off of 45K BTCs didn't have the same consequences as the last time - that shows the strength of the uptrend. My prediction is that there will be one small wave up, then again one down and then we'll be back to the up trend.
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1255
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Crash!!
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on: December 03, 2011, 03:25:06 PM
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[16:18:37] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 21.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:37] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 1.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:38] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 20.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:39] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 1.5624 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:39] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 1.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:40] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 2.3500 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:40] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 50.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:41] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:21 mtgox 25.0000 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:42] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:22 mtgox 1,098.9365 @ 2.90 USD [16:18:55] <amphipod> Dec03 15:18:43 mtgox 310.0000 @ 2.90 USD
This is when this wall was sold to.
The bot time is in UTC.
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1256
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Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Governments/regulators may eventually actually *like* Bitcoin. - coin blacklists
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on: December 02, 2011, 12:24:11 PM
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Thanks for the pointer - I hadn't seen that one. I don't think that thread explored the ramifications or the possibilities though. Sure - they couldn't just use this blacklist to stop silk road in it's tracks, because they don't know their addresses, but they could make it risky to do deals with various 'shady' outfits - because your coins could be tainted and thus taxed. Stolen coins would be the obvious addresses to add to the list. Also, a seized wallet from one criminal could provide a bunch of other addresses they could apply taint to. Honeypot systems could also taint your change. If I remember it well I wrote that post while thinking about the coins extracted from the MtGox hack. SilkRoad seemed as the most vivid example of what government would like to do so I used it instead, unfortunately that failed example because of my confusion of some technicalities of running a site like SilkRoad - this dampened the discussion.
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1258
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Soon
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on: December 01, 2011, 10:26:22 PM
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It was too fast in last two days - it now need to stagnate for some time for the trendlines to catch up the actual price Nervous time - that 50K wall somehow does not diminish that anxiety.
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1259
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Economy / Speculation / Re: This is to the buyers in this market environment
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on: December 01, 2011, 08:06:54 AM
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You are right now investing in Bitcoins. As an idea I think this is a good one, you will probably make some kind of good return on it within 2-5 years, but what you are missing is that you guys are in a hurry, don't forget the high inflation environment. You have put in your buying orders at least 6 months to early, we are still printing 7200 bitcoins/day, so you are buying to high to soon, it is a classic beginners mistake and you will pay it by forced liquidation (if you buy through Bitcoinica with leverage) or you have to wait maybe up to several years to get a good return. Let the market do what it is best at doing, giving what is traded the right value, knowing that we are printing 7200 BTC/day will let everyone that is interested get in to BTC at fair levels, and that level isn't 3 USD, it is much lower.
The market will do this with "force", meaning people will do all what it takes to tackle the high inflation environment (and losing a lot of money doing so), or we can just get to a good fair value as soon as possible and start building up the Bitcoin community and price.
To compare it, it is like the Economy in the real world, the central banks tries in every way keep the bubble intact, what is necessary is to let the bubble burst all the way as soon as possible (like 1929-1932 great depression), and after that start building it up again.
This is my point of view, lets see which one the market will choose.
Translation: My plan was to buy at another dip, now it does not look very likely, why you buyers don't think like me?
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1260
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin and Hype Cycle
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on: November 28, 2011, 01:57:16 PM
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...
Now imagine a distant future where your salary is paid in bitcoins and your utility bill is due in bitcoin and most of your wealth is stored in bitcoins. If bitcoin value is rising sharply or you expect it to, then you might be very reluctant to spend your coins as you have no way to "replenish" them. That is when hoarding might become a real issue, but thats still decades away IMO.
Oh - I love this! A clear sign that the down trend is over.
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