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1481  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you think there will be a clone of bitcoin? and corporation will do what? on: July 12, 2011, 12:24:06 PM
Quote
With a central server you can have even more secure time stamps using one machine instead of a vast network of computers to do that job.  In that sense the protocol is wasteful - it uses huge resources for something that can be done with very little.  Sure it would not be exactly the same thing - it would be an alternative
And all in the control of one source, why even bother? The current money systems do this just fine.
What if that could be done in a decentralized manner?  The one central server is just a proof that this can be done in some way - but this is not the goal.  What I would expect is that you can have a timestamping protocol with multiple super-nodes (not unlike those that are proposed as adaptations of the bitcoin protocol to handle bigger traffic) with many checks and balances, some of them probably outside of the protocol (just like now outside of the bitcoin protocol you have distribution of the block chain 'checkpoints' into bitcoin clients).  Control over timestamping does not mean 'all control' over the system - the timestamping server does not need to know what it is signing.

1482  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you think there will be a clone of bitcoin? and corporation will do what? on: July 12, 2011, 11:31:55 AM
Mining is used to secure the network. Its not useless or wastefulness.
With a central server you can have even more secure time stamps using one machine instead of a vast network of computers to do that job.  In that sense the protocol is wasteful - it uses huge resources for something that can be done with very little.  Sure it would not be exactly the same thing - it would be an alternative Smiley
1483  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you think there will be a clone of bitcoin? and corporation will do what? on: July 12, 2011, 10:46:33 AM
What I would like to see is a clone that would get rid of the wastefulness of mining or use mining for something useful like folding at home or something. The only cryptographic purpose of the mining is to time-stamp the transactions - with a central server this could be done with one machine instead of this massive array of mining computers.   It is probably impossible in a completely decentralized protocol - but maybe it is possible to have a clever compromise that would introduce a few super-nodes with additional checks and balances on them to do that job. 
1484  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: MtGox SEPA Transfers on: July 12, 2011, 06:27:13 AM
Thanks for the update - I was starting to think that the reason you ignore inquiries or cite bogus reasons for withholding withdrawals is because you don't really have funds for them after the hack.


Withdraws

Withdraws must be processed next day. We may have some extra delays while we change the bank however we will process those faster then. Until we can get an API at the new bank, our representative in France will be manually inputting each withdraw request on the new bank.

Status

Checking your account history will show a "Details" link for withdraws. Clicking this link will open a page with the withdraw status and details on when it was sent to the bank/etc.

When you write 'will' - this means a new UI version?  Because now I don't see such link at the withdrawals records in the account history (in USD).
1485  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Something wrong with MtGox withdrawals? on: July 11, 2011, 05:33:16 AM
The status is the following, whatever that means.  Do you suggest that it is OK for them to keep my money indefinitely as long as 'the request is being processed'?  On top of taking a 2% fee?

---------------

This request is currently being processed by our staff
Natalie is assigned to your request.

You will receive a notification when the request status is updated by our staff.

Priority
Normal
1486  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Something wrong with MtGox withdrawals? on: July 11, 2011, 05:27:59 AM
Months ago I've managed to increase my withdrawal limit by sending a photocopy of my national ID to the MtGox admins and proving that I am not an US citizen.  After the hack that limit was back to the $1000 but I managed to catch MagicalTux at IRC and he lifted that limit again to $10000 daily.  Last week I tried to withdraw money 3 times, on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Today, after a week of waiting for the money transfers to arrive and 5 days after my inquiries,  received following email (and got ignored again on IRC):

------------

Natalie, Jul-11 10:51 (JST):
Hello,

It appears that the status of the three withdrawals were AML, meaning they are over the limit.

To increase your withdraw limit (by default $1000 USD per 24 hours and $10000 USD per 30 days), please provide your account name and the copy of an official ID document (such as passport, driver's license, etc...).

We will review your document and increase your withdraw limit based on your risk profile.

If you wish to proceed, please respond back with at least one photo ID and the following:

Username:
Requested Daily Limit:
Requested Monthly Limit:

Please note that you can also send a notarized color copy of your ID document to this address (remember to include your mtgox account name) via registered mail (fedex, etc) :

Name: Mark Karpeles
Company: Tibanne Co. Ltd.
Address: 26-1 Sakuragaoka-cho
Address (cont): Cerulean Tower 15F
City: Shibuya
Region: Tokyo
Zip: 150-8512

Thanks,

MtGox.com Team

--------------

This seems  bogus because in the UI I can see my increased limit and it lets me do these transfers (what was previously impossible).
1487  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: mtGox SEPA Transfers again on: July 09, 2011, 11:46:35 AM
I also made a SEPA withdrawal on Monday and as of Saturday they did not arrive.  I made another one on Tuesday and yet another on Wednesday - neither arrived yet.  I am not yet very nervous because in the other way it was also taking a week to transfer.
1488  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / MtGox bank withdrawals on: July 07, 2011, 04:26:25 AM
What's up with MtGox SEPA withdrawals?  I've maid three requests (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday) - money was deducted from my MtGox account all three times, and suddenly yesterday I've got an email from MtGox saying that I've requested a withdrawal:
Quote
There has been a withdraw from your Mt.Gox account:

Transaction reference: 04394ecb-9bd4-4912-aee7-15055bcbedcd
Date: 2011-07-06 16:20:19 GMT
IP: 217.17.35.154
Description: Bank withdraw (EUR)
But that is only my last operation.  What happened to the previous two?  I've answered that email - and ticket was registered - but as we know the tickets are never answered.  So I'd like to ask other MtGox users - did the site add this emal notification on Wednesday?  Have you received such an email previously?
1489  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How long one needs to wait for TradeHill to send BTCs? on: July 06, 2011, 07:12:28 PM
Update after even more waiting it eventually became 'Completed' - but in fact it was just sent to the bitcoin network and only started to get confirmations.  Update: I also made a mistake about the amounts being sent - because they are not displayed in order - I have to remove that accusation now.
1490  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How long one needs to wait for TradeHill to send BTCs? on: July 06, 2011, 05:39:50 PM
It can take a while, as I've recently learned too.  It's not just TH.  It can take a while for gox or any other btc transfer.  You have to wait for a certain # of confirmations.  I think for gox it's 6.  Not sure about the rest.

Generally speaking, I've found TH transfers to be the quickest actually.
I am well aware of the confirmation process - the problem was that it did not seem that they initiated the transfer at all.  But eventually it went through.

Normally it's less than half an hour.
We verify large amounts to make sure nothing weird is going on or an account wasn't hacked etc.
If you try to pull a large amount you will probably get a confirmation email.
This isn't written on the site and I'm going to update it right now.

-Jered
That depends on what is large amount - but I did not get any emails so I guess it was not large amount.  And today the same thing happens.  It is even more frustrating because there is no way to see the past withdrawals and verify the address.

I have just lost money because of this misleading information - today it is even longer than last time, I am already waiting 4 hours and it still in Progress, while just in last hour there were 7 new blocks.
1491  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Easy android bitcoin client. on: July 06, 2011, 10:32:14 AM
nice hack.

I'd still like to see a free java android app though - that would result in an explosive uptake when everyone can get bitcoin in their pocket without jumping through configuration hoops.

Apparently there was one just released: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2732708
1492  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What price are you going back in at? on: July 06, 2011, 06:13:30 AM
There is no competition for bitcoin now - but I would like to see something less wasteful.  Maybe with a bit of compromise on the decentralization requirement (which is in any case only partially meet by bitcoin - I am sure you've seen the latest Ben Laurie post).

Or maybe there is a competition - http://ripple-project.org/
1493  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: What price are you going back in at? on: July 05, 2011, 09:00:28 PM

Bitcoins are not headed towards oblivion in my opinion. The bitcoin economy must be distinguished from the bitcoin bubble.  By way of analogy, consider Amazon. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AMZN+Basic+Chart&t=my

During the Dot-Com bubble AMZN soared from a low value to around $100 per share, as traders generally projected the expected Internet economy and Amazon's central role in that Internet economy.  When the Dot-Com bubble deflated, Amazon's stock price sunk by two thirds or more, yet their participation in the Internet economy proceeded anyway.  Now in the fully post-dot-com-bubble Internet economy AMZN is trading at $213.  The point I am making is that the bitcoin price bubble is simply characterized as traders getting way ahead of themselves - eventually the bitcoin economy will get there too.

Yeah - but for all we know bitcoin can be pets.com instead of AMZN.
1494  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why do people sell at 15 when the price could rebound to 30? on: July 04, 2011, 06:14:49 PM
I've sold because of a few things:

1) Google trends for bitcoin are declining: http://www.google.com/trends?q=bitcoin&ctab=0&geo=all&date=mtd&sort=0
2) With the current price it means we need about $100 000 daily new money inserted into the bicoin economy to stabilize the price - without new people investing in bitcoin this will not happen
3) Media is mostly against bitcoin now - so there will not be many people to try bitcoin now
4) What Ben Laurie wrote is very convincing
5) Lack of instant payments (this can be improved - but this will not be easy)
6) The recent technical failures (and the user interface of TradeHill is a failure too) - decreased my faith in the skills of people running the show

It's possible that I'll buy back when the media is more in favour of bitcoin and I'll let you earn lot's of money, for now I am content with what I've got so far from my investment in March.  But even then I'll probably try to compute some numbers from the Kelly formula to determine how much of this money should I reinvest.

Update: added some more points.
1495  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why bitcoin won't make it on: July 04, 2011, 09:16:53 AM
Pure systems are pipe-dreams.  A bit of centralization on a decentralized framework is a good compromise.  Provided that the decentralized economy is what governs - and more importantly that the super-nodes are subject to competition in between them.  I think that the situation with exchanges will improve and it already started to improve.
1496  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why bitcoin won't make it on: July 04, 2011, 08:53:44 AM
Got your attention now, didn't I?  Grin

Anyway, I'd like to talk about one of the disadvantages of bitcoin over other digital currencies. Non-instant payments. In today's world we're used to instant payments. We go to the mall, pay with our credit card at the checkout and we're done, we use various digital currencies and payment systems online to again make payments in seconds. This is not possible with bitcoin even with 0 confirmations, and "0 confirmations" approach is quite insecure to be widely used. So in order for instant payments to be possible we need to have the payment confirmed in a faster way. The only one I can think of is by having trusted parties managing the money, thus when a trusted party confirms the money has been sent, you can be sure you'll receive a payment. In effect, these trusted parties are basically banks. However, because it's very easy to set up such a bank, because it takes few resources, anyone can create such banks. And this leads to the main question of this topic: how do we make sure fraudulent banks do not get included in the system? Or perhaps I'm going about this the wrong way entirely? What are your thoughts?

This is also my conclusion - this is the next step for bitcoin.  I think the chances are good here - because there is such a low barrier to entry for the 'banks' there should be much competition between them and the market should fix the trust problems.  Maybe this is where cooperation with Ripple (http://ripple-project.org/) could bring much benefits?

Please change the title of this thread.
1497  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: For next few months Bitcoins' price will not rise, it will slowly decrease. on: July 03, 2011, 09:21:28 PM

The problem is that bitcoin is not really mobile friendly - you need to wait an hour on average to have the transaction confirmed - this is OK for online stores but is useless for mobile payments.

Re-read, with particular attention to "directly hooks into an exchange".

If you don't have an account at an exchange but you don't want to wait for your beer, open an account at an exchange before heading out to the pub (or while waiting for confirms on your first beer order). Any exchange that fails to join the exchange-to-exchange SWIFT - uh I mean fast - private network so their customers can get quick service at retailers using any exchange on that private network might just not be the favourite exchange, at least for retail purchasing applications, of most retail-shopper types.

Yeah - but then you lose all the decentralization benefits that are the raison d'etre of bitcoin.  Maybe this is the way to go - some compromise, a bit more complexity but much more robust and universal system.  This could work especially well if married to the e-cash system http://finney.org/~hal/chcash2.html.
1498  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Capital leaving the market? on: July 03, 2011, 08:20:54 PM
I was thinking today while looking at the steady downward trend of prices over the last week or so. I began to wonder if this wasn't a trend due to the influx of miners.

My theory is that if you look at hashing rate over the last 60 days, you see a considerable jump in hash rate meaning people either joined up or made the monetary investment in mining for bitcoins. These people aren't using bitcoins as a source of exchange for services or goods, but as a method to extract capital from the current bitcoin market.

Because there isn't a healthy market for bitcoin purchases (some would argue this, but my opinion is that they're all still in their infancy), there's no capital flowing into the market (aside from speculators) and capital is leaving the market at a faster rate as miners look to make a return on their investment.

So my guess is that we'll continue to see a steady downward trend in prices as miners continue to cash out their earnings, until you see another large news story hit/eCommerce catch on where people would pump capital into the market to begin driving prices back up.

Thoughts?  Smiley

But you do understand that the hash rate can influence the supply of bitcoins only temporarily?   When it increases the difficulty follows to ballance it.
1499  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How long one needs to wait for TradeHill to send BTCs? on: July 03, 2011, 08:17:01 PM
It can take a while, as I've recently learned too.  It's not just TH.  It can take a while for gox or any other btc transfer.  You have to wait for a certain # of confirmations.  I think for gox it's 6.  Not sure about the rest.

Generally speaking, I've found TH transfers to be the quickest actually.
I am well aware of the confirmation process - the problem was that it did not seem that they initiated the transfer at all.  But eventually it went through.
1500  Economy / Trading Discussion / How long one needs to wait for TradeHill to send BTCs? on: July 03, 2011, 04:43:01 PM
I've tried to withdraw bitcoins from TradeHill - the interface says it can take up to 12 hours - but I thought this is just to cover the confirmation time and that they would send the bitcoins immediately.  When I look at blockexplorer there are no transfers to the address I used for over half an hour now Sad
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