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721  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: VC Tim Draper Revealed as Silk Road Bitcoin Auction Winner on: July 03, 2014, 04:49:20 AM
Just for some perspective regarding my question before. To purchase 5000 coins on stamp would move the market around $50, from 650 to 700.
So, to buy 30,000 coins (even spread across a few exchanges) would probably move the market $100 easy.

And companies like Bitpay, etc. are probably making a nice premium selling their BTC's to large pockets.

IAS
722  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: July 02, 2014, 10:49:44 PM
OK, the III Supernode was practically a whole week experience for me, but now safely back in Finland. What has happened meanwhile? Smiley

Oh not much .....

US auction was completed successfully.
California passes bill making crypto officially legal.
Winklevoss ETF bags the symbol COIN, announces will be on NASDAQ, and gets listed on Bloomberg terminal
1800flowers announces they'll start accepting bitcoin.
Newegg starts accepting bitcoin.
Beyoncee and Jay-Z accept bitcoin for upcoming concert.

IOW, just another boring couple of days .... Wink

EDIT: almost forgot! Kuwait finance firm suggests trading oil in bitcoins
http://www.gulf-times.com/eco.-bus.%20news/256/details/398622/kuwait-finance-firm-suggests-trading-oil-in-bitcoins

What is scary strange is just how fast this space is moving. Think back to just a year. There was not much going on outside speculation.
Now, Wall St. is just starting to get involved, Money is pouring in to infrastructure, Wallets and Services abound, big companies are jumping on board, etc.

What about in another year? Seriously, if this continues (and not to dwell on price but it is a huge measure of adoption and success) we might be in the $5,000-$10,000 range.
Unless something catastrophic happens then things are going to continue. And by catastrophic, I mostly mean I don't think the Elites planned that the free market might
rescue people from their planned USD/Euro collapse... (Unless BTC is theirs  Shocked ) No more wars please... (For the love of People)

IAS

If someone had predicted this list of developments a year ago, it would have seemed to many as being absurdly bullish. And yet, here we are.

What amazing things will have happened between now and one year from now? Perhaps I should start a thread on that question ....

Honestly, the event horizon is getting to the point that looking one year out is hard.
It is starting to really look like BTC might be the foundation for the 2.0 technologies and
A host of other coming technologies. Those "crazy" price projections are starting to
make contextual sense as the holes are being filled with so many possibilities.

Its about sharing
723  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: July 02, 2014, 10:46:28 PM
What is scary strange is just how fast this space is moving. Think back to just a year. There was not much going on outside speculation.
Now, Wall St. is just starting to get involved, Money is pouring in to infrastructure, Wallets and Services abound, big companies are jumping on board, etc.

What about in another year? Seriously, if this continues (and not to dwell on price but it is a huge measure of adoption and success) we might be in the $5,000-$10,000 range.
Unless something catastrophic happens then things are going to continue. And by catastrophic, I mostly mean I don't think the Elites planned that the free market might
rescue people from their planned USD/Euro collapse... (Unless BTC is theirs  Shocked ) No more wars please... (For the love of People)

IAS

Wouldn't it look like dot-com bubble?

Do you really understand how disruptive this space is?
724  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner Order Batch 1 Now! on: July 02, 2014, 10:40:06 PM
As mentioned before, a bigger problem is the LTC price. http://www.coindesk.com/litecoin-price-decouples-bitcoin-slump-continues/

A snippet:

The biggest problem is the sheer lack of money in litecoin and that other popular alternative cryptocurrency dogecoin.

The combined market cap of the two most popular scrypt altcoins is about $250m, yet KnCMiner was hoping to sell 2,500 Titan miners at $10,000 apiece – and that’s just the first batch of such miners, from a single company.

In other words, if it shipped today, a single batch of KnC’s scrypt miners would cost $25m – roughly 10% of the combined market cap of litecoin and dogecoin.

A glance at those figures reveals that this level of investment in scrypt mining hardware will be hard to justify and maintain in the long run.

Additionally, the added hashing power these miners will bring is likely to further impact prices of scrypt-based altcoins in the near future.


I dunno, I think the biggest issue with this company is still the fact that they took your money and didn't deliver a product (and looks like they never will).  Why do you defend this company so much?  Seriously you have defended their every move all the way down, and now, when it is obvious to even the most hard core shills that no product is ever going to get delivered, your attitude seems to be, well it doesn't matter, the product wasn't going to be profitable anyway.  As if that somehow excused their behavior.
With that said, you are correct about their return, or lack thereof.  As near as my estimations can tell, you could have the 250Mh/s device delivered TODAY and it will never pay for itself.  

I think you have selective memory here. I wouldn't call my actions as defending them. I was often critical of them, especially in the last 3 weeks or so. The thing I did jump into was to quell the personal attacks. I saw those as getting in the way. You need to take a look at my posts over the last few weeks before spouting that stuff again, and don't be selective. Look at them all. Multiple times I mentioned and thankedboth Retro and Vesper for their work.

I might have lost 500 Euro. I don't even make much money but I have called my investments right in this space spectacularly so, and taken some, what others would call, huge risks along the way. So I am not sure if you expect me to be angry or the like. I move on and don't hold. I am super happy to have been able to experience all that I have in this space, everything. I am just not very affected by all of this. I'm honestly enjoying life too much.

I chose my handle for a reason,
Its about sharing

Ps - My post you replied to had NOTHING at all to do with discounting AT. I was saying the crashing price of LTC is a huge issue. And probably losing just the deposit would be better, for me anyway, than having a miner right now, as you alluded to. Less of a loss financially perhaps.
725  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: VC Tim Draper Revealed as Silk Road Bitcoin Auction Winner on: July 02, 2014, 09:17:36 PM
Has anyone calculate about how much the BTC price would rise if one were to buy 30,000 BTC across the biggest exchanges?
I'm wondering about how the bidders calculated the premium on the bids.
726  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Apple Approves Bitcoin Wallets on: July 02, 2014, 08:50:09 PM
Yahoo, Apple, Google, Amazon, Ebay, Wall Street; it is so delectable watching our baby growing so fast :')

Was just talking about something similar in another thread.
Think back to a year and what was happening then. Essentially speculation.
Now look at "us". Where will we be in another year? Scary to suppose...

Its about sharing
727  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: July 02, 2014, 08:47:56 PM
OK, the III Supernode was practically a whole week experience for me, but now safely back in Finland. What has happened meanwhile? Smiley

Oh not much .....

US auction was completed successfully.
California passes bill making crypto officially legal.
Winklevoss ETF bags the symbol COIN, announces will be on NASDAQ, and gets listed on Bloomberg terminal
1800flowers announces they'll start accepting bitcoin.
Newegg starts accepting bitcoin.
Beyoncee and Jay-Z accept bitcoin for upcoming concert.

IOW, just another boring couple of days .... Wink

EDIT: almost forgot! Kuwait finance firm suggests trading oil in bitcoins
http://www.gulf-times.com/eco.-bus.%20news/256/details/398622/kuwait-finance-firm-suggests-trading-oil-in-bitcoins

What is scary strange is just how fast this space is moving. Think back to just a year. There was not much going on outside speculation.
Now, Wall St. is just starting to get involved, Money is pouring in to infrastructure, Wallets and Services abound, big companies are jumping on board, etc.

What about in another year? Seriously, if this continues (and not to dwell on price but it is a huge measure of adoption and success) we might be in the $5,000-$10,000 range.
Unless something catastrophic happens then things are going to continue. And by catastrophic, I mostly mean I don't think the Elites planned that the free market might
rescue people from their planned USD/Euro collapse... (Unless BTC is theirs  Shocked ) No more wars please... (For the love of People)

IAS
728  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: VC Tim Draper Revealed as Silk Road Bitcoin Auction Winner on: July 02, 2014, 08:40:55 PM
Wow, what a potentially beautiful thing Draper did. I have imagined that Bitcoin will be a way of transferring wealth to the developing world.
But how to get it there before the price explodes. Well, if Draper is thinking what I am, then Kudos to him. Amazing.
Looking forward to how they work this out.
729  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner Order Batch 1 Now! on: July 02, 2014, 08:27:25 PM
As mentioned before, a bigger problem is the LTC price. http://www.coindesk.com/litecoin-price-decouples-bitcoin-slump-continues/

A snippet:

The biggest problem is the sheer lack of money in litecoin and that other popular alternative cryptocurrency dogecoin.

The combined market cap of the two most popular scrypt altcoins is about $250m, yet KnCMiner was hoping to sell 2,500 Titan miners at $10,000 apiece – and that’s just the first batch of such miners, from a single company.

In other words, if it shipped today, a single batch of KnC’s scrypt miners would cost $25m – roughly 10% of the combined market cap of litecoin and dogecoin.

A glance at those figures reveals that this level of investment in scrypt mining hardware will be hard to justify and maintain in the long run.

Additionally, the added hashing power these miners will bring is likely to further impact prices of scrypt-based altcoins in the near future.
730  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: July 02, 2014, 04:35:37 PM
What the heck is MSC and XCP?

Mastercoin and Counterparty, both run on Bitcoin network as their transport blockchain.
Out of those two XCP is a better choice, but neither of the two can compare to NXT.
Bitcoin network is just slow to trade on.

XCP (and the Counterparty wallet) just blows me away. The potential of a coin to do where this is going is mind bending.
Looking into these 2.0 technologies. Not saying it will make you money, but the programmability and overall nature of
them is just incredible.
731  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - Secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency [CPU/GPU(NVIDIA+AMD)] on: July 01, 2014, 08:16:53 AM
Got the wallet up and running (OS X Mavericks). Is there a Monero faucet available, or do I need to buy some like the rest of the plebes? Cheesy

I couldn't get it running from source. Did you have to delete anything along the way?

Thx in advance,
IAS

ps - I look forward to a GUI wallet in 3-6 months. Hope they can deliver then. I understand they have more important things but with distribution
still ongoing, I feel it is important to have easier access for the masses. (ehehhe, as if most people even are considering BTC.)
732  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: July 01, 2014, 08:13:48 AM
TL; DR: We are at 650 in the beginning of July, 2014.

Looks like this particular prediction will come out right. On rpietila's time zone, it may even be exact.


Risto is a boss, this is spooky accurate.

Wow, it's truly spot on!
I hope he predicts 10000 for the beginning of August or something Grin

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178336.msg6847561#msg6847561

Quote from: rpietila
we are there earliest mid-July at 4700. If it postpones till August or longer, it also goes higher.

Oh wow!
Now I hope we are lower than 4700 mid-July!
Never thought I'd say that Cheesy

I think the auction is going to make us late...

But the whole auction fuss is over, no?
We already know we won't know the winning bids unless each winner tells it publicly.
Which means there won't be a single-moment news that tells us everything...

29,000 coins were sold, but that was just the escrowed coins (or something like that).
Ulbrichts private stash is 144,000 coins. So, for perspectives sake, things are "just starting".
I quote that as the trial may be a bit long so who knows when those coins hit the market.

But, most importantly, the sale has been bullish. It has been shown the demand is way higher than the supply.
I imagine companies like Bitpay and the like can have buyers for all coins collected each day (meaning their coins may never hit markets.)

IAS
733  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner Order Batch 1 Now! on: June 30, 2014, 08:08:48 PM
Anyone notice LTC is still going down? I wonder how this is going to affect Scrypt ASIC's?

The "great synthetic dive", to buy tons more before difficulty exponentially rises.

I really wondered about this. The chart (me being a TA guy, at least more in the past) is ugly though.
Not saying we don't go up though, but short term it does look like down for a bit more.
734  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: June 30, 2014, 08:06:47 PM
Just wanted to share some of my Gann charts. I have back-tested the ratio's used (comparing many and finding the best over time). Past charts have been very accurate and if you closely study these you will see they are fairly accurate.

The first chart is my "down chart" and the second is my "up" chart. The down chart is longer term and I based the up chart on the break of the downtrend (of course.)
Basically, the red diagonal lines and the black lines are resistance lines. The red bands are resistance/support and the green bands are "boosts" (usually).

On this first chart we are very close to resistance (red) just above current levels. But if we break that then resistance would be the double red band above and to the right.



You can see that the double green band acted as a spring to move up from. And now we are once again in it.
Being above the red diagonal line is significant. That was HEAVY resistance, so we are in a good place overall.

735  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner Order Batch 1 Now! on: June 30, 2014, 07:57:50 PM
Anyone notice LTC is still going down? I wonder how this is going to affect Scrypt ASIC's?

736  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: June 30, 2014, 11:11:41 AM
How did we get on the topic of drugs, instead of TA?



I think it started with It's all about Sharing saying "As Terrence McKenna said, We are a part of Nature, we come from it." on June 15th.

Thank you. Perhaps one of my greatest honors in recent internet memory. Grin

And on a further serious note, this is inevitable. As I've proposed before, Crypto currencies and related technologies are going to shift our
reality some. I really see what is happening as an exponentially shifted Industrial Revolution, or better yet, a NEW AGE.
Boundaries are getting thinner fellas. You can run, but you can't hide.
A taste of the red pill is here.

Its about sharing

737  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Alpha Technology Litecoin (Scrypt) ASIC Miner Order Batch 1 Now! on: June 26, 2014, 06:46:15 PM
anyway I see they STILL have no way to pay by credit card (they extended the time line) (this may have changed?)

The last word on that I believe is their most recent update which "guarantees" they will have one up and running before the end of June. Fiaz also confirmed this in their forum in a few posts, saying that they actually expect it any hour, any day now. I think they said that there would be timeframe beyond that which people could pay.



Well, that is certainly good news and what many of us want. No reason for the customer to take any more risks.
If they have that unit running then I am very likely to take part. I can't excuse some of the practices, posts, their deletions, etc. but at least I hope they get some units running with proper certification (if necessary.)

Thx,
IAS
738  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: June 26, 2014, 06:21:48 PM
whats the latest rate? current hash is 13,263,873.50

I get just under 0057.  It seems likely that the current price can't last.  Hot money will burn off eventually.  But it will do so slowly, as all the alt markets are at low volume ebb while btc is depressed.  Some speculate that when btc is depressed, alt traders tend to rotate into btc, in anticipation of rising btc costs.  Given that alt trades are 99% using btc as numeraire,  this seems utter folly to me, but that doesn't make it untrue.  If true, they will lose quite a bit of value in the rotation process, on average.
 

What do you think will happen when BTC is at $10,000 per BTC to the alt coins? Will they still move at the same ratios? I am getting the feeling they might not due to perceived value but then again when you can buy an Alt coin with a strong network for a fraction of that, then perhaps they do move together. For comparisons sake XMR at .005 would equate to $50. Dark at .017 = $170.
And as time goes on I think many coins would be accepted. It will be "plug and play" as far as many websites are concerned. And who knows what happens once we have our AOL moment.

I do however think that when BTC really starts to move up in price we will see a CLEAR distinction between the #2-#5 coins (for example) and those lesser ones.
Something like XMR, if things continue well with development and eventual a GUI wallet for wider adoption, will be very catchy. Unfortunately some of the coins with
questionable pasts (e.g. Dark, Cryptcoin, etc.) might take off just on "name" along.

This is certainly going to get more and more interesting. Again, enjoy the ride fellas.

IAS
739  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: rpietila Altcoin Observer on: June 26, 2014, 11:21:29 AM
I am not doubting the network effect laws. I am doubting the 'Monero is strongest' part. Although I like the name, the name is best of them all. Some Hero members support is also good. But this race has just started. Bitcoin had a few years of network effect before others started to race with it. CN coins all begin at the same time, excluding Bytecoin for obvious reasons. Hence, the outcome is unclear.

I think some of those hero members are trying to make it seem like a foregone conclusion that XMR is going to be the winner because they have already invested in it. BBR started just a few weeks later and has some nice innovation and arguably the most knowledgeable cryptonote dev in Crypto Zoidberg.

It is nice to have a good dev, (and we also have a good dev team in XMR), but it is the Hero members alone who can "fish" for more hero members to join, and others will follow. The hero members don't invest or promote junk. XMR has a disproportionate large number of hero members supporting it, and this exactly is the network effect that is hard to overcome.

Great dev team and big money behind it is a recipe for success, adoption etc. Hero members can't be overlooked - move the market and they will come. Create the features and they will use, tell others...repeat.

And this came on page 42 no less. The answers abound.
740  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: June 25, 2014, 11:29:57 AM
eheheh, I listened to those two guys so much. I actually combined the two there. I remember now that it was Watts with the Apples and Peoples example. And thanks for that link, I'm going to show it in class. ;-)

Watts & McKenna, together with Robert Anton Wilson are something of a trinity of people who shaped my way of thinking more than any others. I have pretty much listened to everything ever recorded by them, many things more than once. This is how I can tell from your way of communicating, that you did, too Smiley

All three of them had a very clear understanding of the dangerous hubris of trying to "improve" upon the immense complexity of the natural order by using universal systems thought up with our tiny monkey brains. George Carlin understood this as well and might have articulated this particular point most clearly.

Reality is made of language and money is a language, too. The sooner we understand this on a society-wide cultural level, the sooner we can begin repairing the damage wrought by letting a handful of individuals define reality through language and control it from the top down, where they don't have any accurate feedback about what is going on anywhere and thus mess up everything.

Agreed on Andreas as the McKenna of Bitcoin. I've had that thought occur to me, as well. Seems we think alike Smiley



For good measure I recommend throwing in some J. Krishnamurti into the trio as well. And of course, to "do" some of what the trio said - Yes, if you are open to it the Shamanistic plants that have been used for 10's of thousands of years and much safer that what the doctor gives you; Best way to switch O.S. systems, but not for the faint of heart. When you have the red pill, you can't "exactly" go back. (I've heard  Wink )

McKenna focused on direct experience and my understanding/observation is that we are nothing but philosophers and spewers of information without it. Go beyond it. We are led by the mind, which by definition is of the past and old (J. Krishnamurti). I still quote on occasion, but I hope the point is made.

Not really off track when we think of the revolutionary nature at stake here. The apparent disharmony at work here, to me, is just a play of something much larger which we apparently are a part of. I actually enjoy the way Bill Hicks explained this all as a ride https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMUiwTubYu0.

So, Bitcoin as language touches a part of the brain that is inherent - our language centers. When we start to see/use/understand money differently, we start to see life differently. Language forms our world in large part and as we use money (a form of language) differently, our world, beliefs, reality, etc. will adjust. Not to say there won't be bumps along the way...  In a very real way, the effect of Cryptos on us will be a consciousness shift, and I say an expansion, how much is a bit up to the individual and how open you already are (hence expansion) - how deep do you want to take it? It is, and will be, a step towards a reboot for many people.  And with disruption on top of disruption coming our way, there is going to be a synergistic effect that takes place on our minds and hence, on our reality.

Back to the more direct topic at hand, we are again nearing a critical level. My Gann chart says we are one some support but bigger support is below and the FBI auction on Friday is probably making some nervous people. But, once those coins are off the table, that is just that many fewer BTC's. (Until following auctions) The recent trendline shows support at 540 ish on my chart. We can flash crash lower, but I only would see it as a flash crash as big money wants in.

IAS





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