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Author Topic: Economic Totalitarianism  (Read 345712 times)
trollercoaster
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June 06, 2015, 03:58:24 AM
 #261

http://altcoinpress.com/2015/06/worlds-bitcoin-exchanges-track-and-report-customer-activity/
TPTB_need_war
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June 06, 2015, 08:48:11 AM
Last edit: June 06, 2015, 12:01:54 PM by TPTB_need_war
 #262

Monero's implementation is fixed.

Like Bitcoin, only Monero's emission schedule is fixed (by social contract).  

In all other areas, both remain open to improvement, bound only by the constraint of community consensus.

Considering this, it seems to me that another ledger does not have to surpass a dominant ledger in any metric for it to coexist. When the culture of a collective strives for technological advances under the auspices of everlastingly standing against any nefarious PTB, I think this can challenge the thesis that there has to be one dominant ledger, at least immediately. Consider as an imperfect example: Apple vs. Windows.

The argument has been the unit-of-account advantage for a dominant currency. As you (and recently rpietila in the Economics Totalitarianism thread) astutely point out, there are overriding priorities for what we want from money that have less do with unit-of-account.

Bitcoin isn't even a unit-of-account, although it is more widely accepted than any other crypto-currency by far. Yet still I forsee Bitcoin protecting neither my stores-of-wealth nor my ability to do commerce without a 1000 papercuts. Thus I am not contented with Bitcoin as the only dominant money.

I am 90% sure that at least 25% of the readership of this forum shares my articulated perspective. That is a huge market for an altcoin and enough to give it critical mass.

IMO Monero's delimma is they didn't map out a currency usage for it (except for rpietila's game project). But I just had an epiphany on that earlier today (at 2am) and now forsee Monero as an integral part of any project I might do. It turns out Monero can do something that Bitcan't can't (pun intended), which is essential to my current strategy (subject to change).

Appears this forum is under DoS attack again.



Includes the first media coverage I've seen of MPEX's economic doomsday weapon, the GavinCoin Short:

Quote
Popescu explained why any hard fork that increases the block size limit is destined for failure:

“The fate of this fork will be exactly the fate of all attempted forks to date : the savvy Bitcoin holders will sell their fake-Bitcoins on the fake network, while double-spending (and thus invalidating) their sale on the actual network, thereby keeping their actual Bitcoin safe (iv). The proceeds of this "victimless" (v) crime will be used to purchase more legitimate Bitcoins on the legitimate network, thus draining away value from the holders of Bitcoin fakes, into the pockets of the legitimate Bitcoin holders.”

This is why the cartel need Blockstream's pegged side chains as a defense against MP when they implement the Fascist side chain. This is why Blockstream has received all the $millions. Ditto 21 Inc. The cartel is funding the WMD.

They are going to burn MP's hands up to his armpits one day.

iCe brigade, why can't you see that TPTB have fooled you into supporting your own demise. Do you enjoy being dogs chasing your tails? Please send this to MP.



P.S. Dirty HLarry and I share the middle name "Henry".

trollercoaster
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June 07, 2015, 09:43:00 PM
 #263

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3114155/David-Cameron-launches-international-hit-squad-battle-pandemics-Ebola.html
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June 08, 2015, 10:09:26 AM
 #264


The conspiratorial view is this can be used as a justification for martial law.

Armstrong's pandemic model expects one of some yet unspecified scale 2018ish. Should rear its head in 2017. He did also predict the current ebola epidemic would be contained and die down.

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June 08, 2015, 01:55:06 PM
Last edit: June 08, 2015, 03:23:57 PM by TPTB_need_war
 #265

For those who don't believe there is a cabal:

https://archive.org/details/TaxExemptFoundationsTheEnemyWithin-NormanDoddDrStanMonteith

Princes of the Yen: Central Bank Truth Documentary 『円の支配者

http://billmoyers.com/episode/the-deep-state-hiding-in-plain-sight/

https://www.google.com/search?q=Anthony+Sutton

https://solari.com/blog/the-bilderbergers-with-dr-joseph-farrell/

https://solari.com/blog/solari-stories-the-black-budget/

Rumsfeld 2.3 Trillion Dollars missing Pentagon

$9,000,000,000,000 MISSING From The Federal Reserve SHOCKING FOOTAGE

rpietila
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June 08, 2015, 03:22:06 PM
 #266

Armstrong's pandemic model expects one of some yet unspecified scale 2018ish. Should rear its head in 2017. He did also predict the current ebola epidemic would be contained and die down.

Vaccination weakens the immune system, and makes you susceptible to diseases spread by further vaccination.

Let it sink in.

There is already a push for mandatory vaccines, and many places have mandatory vaccines "in case of emergency". I strongly urge to NOT take any vaccines forced on you at gunpoint, and to escape the shot, you need to prepare accordingly, possibly get to a higher ground in advance.

HIM TVA Dragon, AOK-GM, Emperor of the Earth, Creator of the World, King of Crypto Kingdom, Lord of Malla, AOD-GEN, SA-GEN5, Ministry of Plenty (Join NOW!), Professor of Economics and Theology, Ph.D, AM, Chairman, Treasurer, Founder, CEO, 3*MG-2, 82*OHK, NKP, WTF, FFF, etc(x3)
trollercoaster
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June 08, 2015, 08:39:32 PM
Last edit: June 08, 2015, 09:46:10 PM by trollercoaster
 #267

Armstrong's pandemic model expects one of some yet unspecified scale 2018ish. Should rear its head in 2017. He did also predict the current ebola epidemic would be contained and die down.

Vaccination weakens the immune system, and makes you susceptible to diseases spread by further vaccination.

Let it sink in.

There is already a push for mandatory vaccines, and many places have mandatory vaccines "in case of emergency". I strongly urge to NOT take any vaccines forced on you at gunpoint, and to escape the shot, you need to prepare accordingly, possibly get to a higher ground in advance.

I do believe the powers that be are aware of Armstrongs forecasting, and that they exploit it to their advantage (perhaps this is why he ever saw daylight again)

vaccinating your children is now mandatory where I live, and there seems a big push for this globally.

www.theguardian.com/society/2015/apr/19/vaccination-crackdown-australia-announces-end-to-religious-exemptions

"The alibi of tyrants is always the welfare of humanity"
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June 08, 2015, 11:38:32 PM
Last edit: June 09, 2015, 01:18:38 AM by TPTB_need_war
 #268

One more post to clarify some final issues of great importance...

Given the links I provided in the prior post (e.g. the Reese commission report) on the existence of a cabal and given Armstrong's unwillingness to post the revelation about Larry Summer's involvement with "21 Inc" given he had published every detail about Summer's involvement, and given Armstrong's insistence on a NWO monetary cooperation reset and him conditioning us for such on set dates, has anyone else entertained the possibility that Armstrong is a fraud set up by the DEEP STATE to condition us to accept the coming machinations of the TPTB as natural? (P.S. I am still evaluating the Farrell video which mentions UFOs, as this seems too fantastical to take seriously, but I am pondering an interpretation whereby TPTB created UFO mirages to scare their own members into believing they are reptilian. Keep in mind the strange pagan rituals of these elite groups, e.g. Skull & Bones, Bohemian Grove, etc)

Armstrong's unwillingness to publish the 21 Inc revelation could be simply explained as it would blow a huge hole in his assertion there is no global coordination amongst the elite towards a NWO. But why would he resist this interpretation? Why would he resist a mea culpa? Perhaps the non-conspiratorial reason could be that he feels so strongly that the only way the world can avoid a Dark Age is to implement his proposed solution and he may feel that if the readers think TPTB are preordained then they won't work for the political solutions Armstrong has proposed.

But if Armstrong's life vocation has been about not ignoring data, then the above explanation makes no sense. Thus I return to Armstrong being a fraud as perhaps the only explanation that makes sense, but then that doesn't compute entirely either, because he was in jail for so many years against his will. Perhaps the one explanation that makes sense is that Armstrong's model is real but he was hypnotized and mind programmed while in SuperMax prison and now is incapable of thinking for himself on this issue of TPTB. Or that the circumstantial evidence about TPTB is not sufficient for Armstrong to falsify their existence and his overriding desire for a political solution allows him to justify ignoring some data  Huh

Interesting reading the following post from Ethereum's Vitalik. My design also attacks the same problem, but in a much more elegant and non-heuristic manner that is guaranteed to always avoid censorship.

https://blog.ethereum.org/2015/06/06/the-problem-of-censorship/

P.S. rpietila the Farrell video discusses the technology for anti-gravity at 32 minute mark. He also posits at the 57 minute mark that the amount of gold in world may be understated by an order-of-magnitude. I have not formed an assessment of this video yet.

Edit: the bearer bond issue towards the end of the Farrell video potentially has enormous implications on crypto-currency!

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June 09, 2015, 03:21:22 AM
Last edit: June 09, 2015, 03:46:43 AM by TPTB_need_war
 #269

Looking forward to a 'Monero'-like ring signature sidechain and Lightning network sidechain as first working demonstrations for the force of the distributed sidechain solution of self-similar networks operating concomitantly at multiple scales transferring value effortlessly up and down the wealth cascade.

Shit this is too important to ignore. Actually I had been thinking this out over the past days.

Subsumption of all altcoin advantages into pegged Bitcoin side chains is a very powerful threat to avoiding NWO dominance.

At the end game, TPTB push all their zombies that use Coinbase, Circle, Paypal, Facebook, etc into a pegged side chain which is a centralized ledger with world bank control over the debasement rate. MP's defense plan is destroyed by the pegging.

Monero has no technological disruption scaling advantages over Bitcoin in terms of mining, thus subsumption into a pegged Bitcoin side chain is imminent. Whereas a coin with scalable mining AND protections against implemention of pegged side chains (if that is possible, on my todo list to research the Blockstream whitepaper federation proposal) would not be implemented as a pegged Bitcoin side chain without losing the protection. Thus such a coin would garnish support from all those who want to resist the NWO outcome. Or they buy the pegged side chain version, because unlike other pegged side chains which can't resist 50% attack, such a side chain could survive alongside the cabal NWO side chain. However they may not be inclined to invest in the pegged side chain version of such a coin design, because they lose the upside ROI of such a novel design. Thus I am fairly confident that I possess the killer design which resists this subsumption. Blockstream is attempting to destroy the economics of altcoin, but I have an ace up my sleeve.

That in a nutshell is how this battle is going to play out. You read it first here. Don't forget who told you first.

The wildcard is if GavinCoin proceeds and there is a war now against MP et al. That might open a (probably short-term) window for Monero.

in the end, Bitcoin with larger blocks is what will win.  sidechains will die and take Blockstream with it.

Sorry but the zombie masses who will use Circle, Coinbase, Paypal, Facebook, 21 Inc devices, etc.. won't care when their coins are processed in a centralized pegged side chain (with large blocks).


...
At the end game, TPTB push all their zombies that use Coinbase, Circle, Paypal, Facebook, etc into a pegged side chain which is a centralized ledger with world bank control over the debasement rate. MP's defense plan is destroyed by the pegging.
...

Bitcoin as a backing for sidechains is eminently compatible with Bitcoin as MP's personal wealth playground.

So you are implicitly asserting he will agree to lose the decentralized, pseudonymous characteristic of Bitcoin? Because once the masses are on a pegged side chain with mandatory KYC, the miniscule minority Core chain can be 50% attacked to force it to have the KYC attribute (which means it is also effectively centralized).

Come on now, haven't you seen where this has all been headed?

MP may be a disinformation agent too. Anything is possible. His public role is the Hegelian dialectic employed by TPTB.

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June 09, 2015, 04:05:03 AM
Last edit: June 09, 2015, 04:40:49 AM by TPTB_need_war
 #270

Or they buy the pegged side chain version, because unlike other pegged side chains which can't resist 50% attack, such a side chain could survive alongside the cabal NWO side chain. However they may not be inclined to invest in the pegged side chain version of such a coin design, because they lose the upside ROI of such a novel design.

Blockstream is killing altcoin economics, because Bitcoin users will be inclined to prefer the pegged side chain version over the altcoin so they don't have to deal with volatility in their Bitcoin unit-of-account.

However, if there are out-of-band applications of the altcoin which refuse BTC for ideological reasons (knowing that the ultimate outcome of Bitcoin is to move all zombie masses onto a centralized ledger KYC pegged side chain), then those users who want that out-of-band application will not invest in the pegged side chain version and instead will invest in the altcoin.

The point is that users who want anonymity will congregate away from Bitcoin. But Monero can be 50% attacked and it lacks this out-of-band application I have in mind (and couldn't support it without changes to the mining algorithm). If there is a pegged side chain with all of Monero's attributes, then I no longer need to hold XMR and instead will be holding BTC in addition to my coin.

I made an entire thread on this out-of-band application, but readers appear to be oblivious.

Monero folk will tell you we need more anonymity.  ...  that's enough anonymity for the ordinary user not doing anything wrong.

That is not enough anonymity for those with wealth who will be expropriated by the coming global contagion collapse of socialism. And that is a key point! You've entirely missed the boat on this one. You are siding with the zombie masses who will vote for expropriation and unwittingly their own collapse.

So at this time it's Bitcoin hat has the most utility, alts aren't a threat, there will be hacks that can leverage that network, there will be investment opportunities and price growth in alts but for now as I see it

Until there is something that Bitcoin can't do and where BTC is not accepted because Bitcoin is a sly, imminent KYC expropriation paradigm. So now you know how such a coin will be marketed. Prepare your counter-arguments.




OTOH, this could be as well achieved by adding PM in your portfolio. But that's not our subject.

Surely you recognize the great disadvantages of gold as I explained upthread? No one could refute my question about who they will sell their gold to when all the gold dealers have been shut down as they are now in France, and recently extending to Belgium, etc..

There is no economy-of-scale in trading gold. But crypto trades at a distance and (not for Bitcoin) anonymously, thus economies-of-scale are easily attained.

It is no contest. Gold is dead forever. Fuhgeddaboudit.

FWIW, I agree that anonymity can be achieved -under certain circumstances- with BTC but, let me add, this is possible also by using almost any means of transaction. If one wants to be anonymous, he will do what's necessary to achieve so.

When the mining refuses transactions without KYC, then you will not be anonymous in Bitcoin. I have already explained how this will come about over time.

You are digging your expropriation grave with Bitcoin.

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June 09, 2015, 05:58:05 AM
Last edit: June 09, 2015, 06:08:11 AM by TPTB_need_war
 #271

If it is any consolation the boys wanting to play with their big blocks XT toy will be able to run it as a Sidechain, in a sandbox, keeping the mess to a minimum. And we can all learn valuable things for when bigger blocks make sense.

Dead right.  I'll happily use XT as a sidechain, and especially if others are going to subsidize my activity in exchange for my allowing them to spy on me.  None of my BTC input is going to be red-listed because I can account for all of it, and I'm happy to register my XTsidecoins for buying all kinds of trinkets under the watchful eye of Big Bro.  As long as any frozen XTSC I hold eventually auto-revert to BTC in the case of a taint freeze-out or other failure I'm as happy as a clam.

And when the dying NWO socialism expropriates all wealth, even that which can be accounted for?

Do you dismiss this as very unlikely? You will not even hedge against this outcome?

Have not Dark Ages occurred every 2 x 309 years or so throughout human history? Do you know which of the two alternating cycles we are on now? In short, do you know what time it is?

Have you not viewed at least the first of the following linked presentations? You are doing yourself a massive disservice as an investor if you don't review the following. Are you aware of the Reese commission report? (of course not, because all the copies of this Congressional report were bought up and destroyed)


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June 09, 2015, 07:10:58 AM
 #272

lol at least he will have his trinkets..
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June 09, 2015, 07:16:36 AM
 #273

This is a key point on my todo research list. Federated servers don't work? Or wouldn't be trusted by the market?

Federated servers are just a hack to be able to test prior to getting the necessary softfork. Without the proper two-way peg where coins are secured by an SPV proof against the Bitcoin blockchain, this is fundamentally no different than any other off-chain solution where coins are being held in some form of custody.

Few people argue that federated methods are much more than a kludge, but as Maxwell points out in the recent announcement vid it is not clear that Bitcoin's native method of consensus, ideologically pure as it is, is devoid of fault or failure modes.  I've long argued that a federated scheme or similar would be a good auxiliary fall-back (mostly to discourage superior resource attacks from even being attempted.)  For this reason it hardly breaks my heart that necessity forces development of federated schemes which, temporary or not, deserve some degree of love.

Properly implemented federated methods absolutely ARE fundamentally different than many of todays crop of off-chain solutions.  With great effort a decent federated system might be able to inconvenience me and/or steal a tiny fraction of people's money in the micro-seconds before they were found out, but that is a completely different thing than, say, Coinbase who could freeze (and spend) all of the BTC I have in my account and everyone else's account as well.

We see that Buttcon supporters put up with all sorts of inane arguments about:

1. CoinJoin is scalable
2. Off chain anonymity is sufficient
3. Centralization won't happen because of Nash equilibrium and nodes awakening
4. Centralization is efficiency and is okay

So yeah, they will also embrace federation too.

But for those who are not idiots, they will prefer an altcoin that can't be 50% attacked, can't be expropriated, and is assuredly anonymous.

I am placing my bets on the non-idiots to survive the coming global contagion. You can decide which side you want to be on.

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June 09, 2015, 07:28:55 AM
 #274

Quote from: TPTB_need_war link=topic=68655.msg11571098#msg11571098

When the mining refuses transactions without KYC, then you will not be anonymous in Bitcoin. I have already explained how this will come about over time.

You are digging your expropriation grave with Bitcoin.

Anonymous cash has been the preferred form of money for the last centuries. It is only with the advent of Bitcoin in the last ~7 years that has opened the possibility of a traceable digital token for some delusional "one-world-one-block-chain" bitcoiners think its a silver bullet for every problem in the world, mainly against the system and its power-grabbing freaks they say to fight against.

http://www.wired.com/2015/06/tech-behind-bitcoin-stop-next-snowden/

Some of us see the threat. But how many of us are there? Enough to make an altcoin fly?

I think so, especially by drawing in the Silk Road market using an out-of-band application. What say you?

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June 09, 2015, 09:01:51 AM
 #275

An education about reality for Cypherdoc and his Kafkaesque "saving the Afrikaans" kleptocratic plutocracy.

Over the past year or two, I had been able to order imported vitamins of all types from olx.ph. The sellers didn't need a business license, didn't pay any taxes, thus low overhead and reasonable prices (about 2X what I'd pay online in the USA). They would order these in bulk from the USA and ship via filoutlet.com to Manila. You'd send them a money transfer or bank deposit, then they'd ship to you. An ideal market for Bitcoin right? Read on...

Suddenly olx.ph merged with both ayosdito.ph and sulit.ph, leaving only buyandsell.ph and ebay.ph remaining. Well ebay still allows vitamins apparently but takes a 10% cut. But all the other sites apparently no longer allow human vitamin listings, ostensibly because the BFAD (Bureau of Food and Drugs) has cracked down. Yet you can still buy vitamins on ebay.ph, Lazada.com.ph, and one other site. Lazada is only allowing sellers who have registered with the government and thus pay taxes, as well as taking their own cut of the sale.

So the problem is that for any site to do what used to be available is going to require anonymity for the site (not for the resellers because the government would never try to go after 100s of small resellers). But how to make a site anonymous? Tor hidden servers are apparently compromised. And besides no one in the Philippines is going to install Tor just to shop online.

The slow creep into the NWO is underway. You'd have to be blind to not see.

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June 09, 2015, 09:30:15 AM
Last edit: June 09, 2015, 10:13:12 AM by TPTB_need_war
 #276

There is one fly in the ointment of curing the altcoin disease with pegged side coins.

Users will use a side chain for features they like, but there is 0 direct incentive for them to use a side chain to get a higher ROI on their investment.

Thus those who want to maximize ROI of some new feature such as for example on chain anonymity (off chain anonymity is untenable), will prefer to buy the altcoin version of the feature assuming that altcoin has a superior adoption curve to Bitcoin (remember smaller things grow faster on percentage basis).

And especially if that altcoin has an ecosystem that refuses to accept BTC directly because it is recognized that Bitcoin is a NWO paradigm wherein the future is Coinbase, Circle, Paypal, Facebook, etc will move their zombie masses onto a pegged side chain they control with a centralized ledger, with full compliance government KYC required on all transactions. The masses don't care. They already completed the KYC requirement when they joined those sites.

It will come down to a war over anonymity. Bitcoin gets the non-anonymous world. Another altcoin will vie for the anonymous world if it is done correctly. The key will be driving anonymous usage and thus adoption.

One could argue that an anonymous side chain would suffice for users of anonymity, but this depends on the usage of anonymity. If all you are doing is storing value, then you plan to cash out via BTC, then that isn't going to drive much adoption as evident for Moanero.

But if you've got an ecosystem for anonymity that has investors and operators who refuse to accept BTC then such an ecosystem can outpace Bitcoin's percentage growth and thus ROI for investors.

Why would investors and operators of an anonymity ecosystem refuse to accept BTC? Because they'd be shooting their own foot in terms of their investment in the altcoin with a higher growth rate. They'd be siphoning off their own network effects and diluting them into the larger monolith of BTC chains. It is a simple economic calculation. One can assume that anonymous operators will be intelligent, otherwise they wouldn't be interested in anonymity.



I remember watching Adam Back's talk about this concept when he was in Israel at a meeting I think sponsored by Meni Rosenfeld.

In any case, the concept is sort of inane. Who ever receives a payment can trace all the way back through the chain of payment history of obscured amounts. So afaics the anonymity breaks down over time to eventually 0. Please correct me if I am mistaken.

Also in the linked text from Maxell, he claims that ring sigs need a forever expanding high bloated unscalable block chain. I have solved that problem.

The main problem side chains has introduced for me, is they can steal my technology and put it in a side chain. So I will just have to put it in a side chain first and make sure I am siphoning value from BTC in a way that can't technologically be improved upon. I know how to do this because it was already necessary in my design.

So everything is falling right into place for me. Monero has eventually been co-opted by side chains (unfortunately).


In any case, the concept is sort of inane. Who ever receives a payment can trace all the way back through the chain of payment history of obscured amounts. So afaics the anonymity breaks down over time to eventually 0. Please correct me if I am mistaken.

I think I conflated with the "respendable commited-tx". The homomorphic encryption was 5 slides above that. So perhaps the HE does not have the flaw I assumed. So it hides payment amounts but doesn't mix outputs from numerous entities. You'd still need CoinJoin for that, which is unscalable. And if you add on-chain ring sigs, then you don't need the HE. Also I don't understand how hiding the amount helps when the amount needs to be same for all those who are mixing in CoinJoin  Huh (otherwise analysis of permutations between input and output amounts can decrease the anonymity set).

So far this looks like another one of those half-baked Gregory Maxwell ideas.  Roll Eyes I await clarification.

Links:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=509674.0
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=305791.0

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June 09, 2015, 10:24:50 AM
 #277

Socrates under attack by the powers that be?


QUESTION: I attend Abundance 360 hosted by Peter Diamandis each year and he states that only the Pentagon, Homeland Security and NASA have Quantum computing abilities and that they can hack into any program on the planet with those abilities.  With that said will Socrates be based on a Quantum platform?

ANSWER: Preventing attacks has been one of our greatest concerns when trying to provide access to Socrates. The only SAFE way to accomplish this monumental problem has been to create time locks, so to speak, and by no means will Socrates be connected online through the services. Only the results will upload to our servers but there will be no path directly to Socrates in order to prevent hackers.

So far, we have had over 7,000 attempts to break-in this year. This is a major issue and the platform that Socrates resides on will have to remain a secret. Some will try to steal him and others will try to prevent the public from accessing such info. This is a cyber war I never thought I would find myself in.

It is very clear that there are forces who seek to prevent this site from functioning and they can only be driven by those who want to prevent the public from gaining access to something other than opinion based forecasting. We just have to accept that there are indeed simply evil people who could care less about the world we live in as long as they get their’s. These people are like cancer cells out to destroy the very host in which they survive bringing about their own demise as well. They are too stupid and greedy to realize if the host dies, so do they.
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June 10, 2015, 04:47:41 AM
 #278

Sometimes I just want to watch the world burn
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June 10, 2015, 05:19:59 AM
Last edit: June 10, 2015, 11:28:16 AM by trollercoaster
 #279

Global population forecasts for 2025:

http://www.deagel.com/country/forecast.aspx?pag=1&sort=GDP&ord=DESC


There have been many questions about the countries forecast specially the one focusing on the United States of America (USA). They won't be answered one by one but below you can find some explanation, thoughts and reflections. We are going to keep this as short as possible.

The majority of the economic and demographic data used in the making of the forecasts is widely available by institutions such as the CIA, IMF, UN, USG, etc. You can see the most relevant data at every single country's page. There is a tiny part of data coming from a variety of shadow sources such as Internet gurus, unsigned reports and others. But all these sources are from the internet and are of public domain for at least a minority. For example, several years ago Dagong, the Chinese ratings agency, published a report analyzing the physical economy of the States comparing it with those of China, Germany and Japan. The conclusion was that the US GDP was something between $5 to $10 trillion instead of $15 trillion as officially reported by the USG. We assume that the official data, especially economic, released by governments is fake, cooked or distorted in some degree. Historically it is well known that the former Soviet Union was making up fake statistics years before its collapse. Western as well as other countries are making up their numbers today to conceal their real state of affairs. We are sure that many people out there can find government statistics in their own countries that by their own personal experience are hard to believe or are so optimistic that may belong to a different country.

Despite the numeric data "quantity" there is a "quality" model which has not a direct translation into numeric data. The 2014 strain of Ebola has a death rate of 50-60% but try to imagine what would happen if there is a pandemic of Ebola with hundreds of thousands or millions infected with the virus. So far the few cases of Ebola-infected people have "enjoyed" intensive healthcare with anti-viral and breathing assistance but above all with abundant human support by Physicians and nurses. In a pandemic scenario that kind of healthcare won't be available for the overwhelming number of infected leading to a dramatic increase of the death rate due to the lack of proper healthcare. The "quality" factor is that the death rate could increase to 80-90% in a pandemic scenario from the stated 50-60% rate. The figure itself is not important what is relevant is the fact that the scenario can evolve beyond the initial conditions from a 50% death toll to more than 90%. By the way, no pandemic or nuclear war is included in the forecast.

The key element to understand the process that the USA will enter in the upcoming decade is migration. In the past, specially in the 20th century, the key factor that allowed the USA to rise to its colossus status was immigration with the benefits of a demographic expansion supporting the credit expansion and the brain drain from the rest of the world benefiting the States. The collapse of the Western financial system will wipe out the standard of living of its population while ending ponzi schemes such as the stock exchange and the pension funds. The population will be hit so badly by a full array of bubbles and ponzi schemes that the migration engine will start to work in reverse accelerating itself due to ripple effects thus leading to the demise of the States. This unseen situation for the States will develop itself in a cascade pattern with unprecedented and devastating effects for the economy. Jobs offshoring will surely end with many American Corporations relocating overseas thus becoming foreign Corporations!!!! We see a significant part of the American population migrating to Latin America and Asia while migration to Europe - suffering a similar illness - won't be relevant. Nevertheless the death toll will be horrible. Take into account that the Soviet Union's population was poorer than the Americans nowadays or even then. The ex-Soviets suffered during the following struggle in the 1990s with a significant death toll and the loss of national pride. Might we say "Twice the pride, double the fall"? Nope. The American standard of living is one of the highest, far more than double of the Soviets while having added a services economy that will be gone along with the financial system. When pensioners see their retirement disappear in front of their eyes and there are no servicing jobs you can imagine what is going to happen next. At least younger people can migrate. Never in human history were so many elders among the population. In past centuries people were lucky to get to their 30s or 40s. The American downfall is set to be far worse than the Soviet Union's one. A confluence of crisis with a devastating result.

The Demographic crisis in the former Soviet Union countries has extended for over two decades, if we accept that it ended early in this decade (2010s). The demographic crisis will hit the World in the near future and is projected to last between three and eight decades more or less depending on technological breakthrough and environmental issues. The aftermath is more likely a frozen picture with the population numbers staying the same for a very, very long period of time. The countries forecast population numbers do reflect birth/deaths but also migratory movements. Many countries are going to increase their gross population due to immigration while their native population may shrink.

Over the past two thousand years we have witnessed the Western civilization built around the Mediterranean Sea shifting to Northern Europe and then by the mid 20th century shifting to an Atlantic axis to finally get centered into the States in the past 30 years. The next move will see the civilization being centered in Asia with Russia and China on top. Historically a change in the economic paradigm has resulted in a death toll that is rarely highlighted by mainstream historians. When the transition from rural areas to large cities happened in Europe many people unable to accept the new paradigm killed themselves. They killed themselves by a psychological factor. This is not mainstream but it is true. A new crisis joins old, well known patterns with new ones.

Sorry to disappoint many of you with our forecast. It is getting worse and worse every year since the beginning of the pre-crisis in 2007. It is already said that this website is non-profit, built on spare time and we provide our information and services AS IS without further explanations and/or guarantees. We are not linked to any government in any way, shape or form. We are not a death or satanic cult or arms dealers as some BS is floating around the internet on this topic. Take into account that the forecast is nothing more than a model whether flawed or correct. It is not God's word or a magic device that allows to foresee the future.

Sunday, October 26th, 2014
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June 10, 2015, 05:47:35 AM
 #280

Bitcoin maximalists fear (and consequently: hate) Monero more than fiat. Why?

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