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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 648254 times)
bct_ail
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May 08, 2020, 09:33:18 PM
 #8001

It is very difficult to assess the teams. There were no test matches. The training level is not known. It is not known how fit the players are.
What are your strategy when placing a bet?
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May 08, 2020, 09:52:50 PM
 #8002

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?
Premier League will be probably free for all on Youtube, what about Bundesliga?

It will be huge the game played on Korea (KOREA!!) got almost 2 million spectators on Youtube today.


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May 08, 2020, 10:03:13 PM
 #8003

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?
It will be shown on sky on free tv. The next two matchdays of the 1st and 2nd Bundesliga. But unfortunately only in the conference. For single matches a subscription is needed.
https://sport.sky.de/fussball/artikel/bundesliga-im-free-tv-und-livestream-infos-zur-uebertragung-auf-sky/11984375/34130
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May 09, 2020, 04:30:38 AM
 #8004

Thats nice to hear and to read thanks for the information !
Now we just must to wait for the next match day and place our bets.
Hopefully mine will be good and right  Grin
Guess most intresting Match would be Dortmund vs Schalke.

@Lafu our prayers have finally been answered, and now we will get to see some live football after such a long period of waiting for it.



It is very difficult to assess the teams. There were no test matches. The training level is not known. It is not known how fit the players are.
What are your strategy when placing a bet?

@bct_ail you’re absolutely correct as we have no idea about the players fitness levels, and the only way we can now place bets is on their past performances, and that’s why I’m choosing to place a bet on Dortmund to win because Halland and Sancho were in hot form when the league was called off.

Sources:

https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga/news/a-tactical-look-at-how-erling-haaland-has-added-to-borussia-dortmund-s-attack-10235

https://www.goal.com/en-in/news/eleven-goals-11-games-sancho-form-dortmund/c7k6569lv2c011iroq79vz094
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May 09, 2020, 07:26:21 AM
 #8005

Bundesliga markets are LIVE. I repeat, Bundesliga markets are LIVE!!  Cool



source: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/soccer/germany-bundesliga/matchups/

Never thought I'd get so excited to see those beautiful 1x2 odds  Cheesy  Will definitely keep an eye out to see how odds change as we get closer to matchday.
One more weeks and we will see Bundesliga comes back with real matches, not virtual ones. Eventually, it is true and we will see real matches with real players soon. The next wish is the complete finish for the season that will be good for the one and for next one as well as for clubs in Bundesliga. In turn, the complete season in Bundesliga will affect next plan of UEFA for Champions League and Europa League.

Let me repeat, football will come back soon, starting with Bundesliga.

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May 09, 2020, 07:30:10 AM
 #8006

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?
Premier League will be probably free for all on Youtube, what about Bundesliga?

It will be huge the game played on Korea (KOREA!!) got almost 2 million spectators on Youtube today.



Who has decided that the EPL games will be broadcasted free on youtube?
Do you know the channel? If Bundesliga is going to be broacasted on Youtube as well this is going to be huge. I would not miss any Leipzig games till the end of the season.
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May 09, 2020, 09:14:24 AM
 #8007

What are your strategy when placing a bet?

This is even harder than in the beginning of a season - risk and opportunity. Nobody really has any insight where the teams are. There is only a short period of preparation, no test matches, some players were sick and probably have gained some weight during the last weeks of inactivity (I certainly did Grin ). 

The best strategy is probably to do nothing at all, at least pre-match. But after this long period of non-betting it's hard to stay disciplined and not jump ecstaticly in. My strategy would be, to have small stakes for pre-match bets, like 20% of what you normally bet maybe. Do most of your betting in-play.
I was thinking, if there was some angle with over/under bets. I expect the teams/players to be very rusty and not in sync. This would impact their offensive ability more imo, since it's more about taking action yourself; defending is a bit easier in these circumstances. So I would expect to see few goals - no spectators also tends to lead to more underish outcomes.

-

I think the odds for Hertha X2 are good. Hoffenheim was quite successful against Berlin in recent years at home, but Berlin has a new coach. Labbadia is a very good plug and play coach, because he is very good on the motivation side of things. Berlin players embarrassed themselves with this video recently - or Kalou embarrassed them - and I think they want to prove the world that they are not a bunch of idiots and will be super focussed. Hoffenheim are no world beaters these days and I see this game ending in a draw/away win most likely.

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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May 09, 2020, 09:39:42 AM
 #8008

-snip-
One more weeks and we will see Bundesliga comes back with real matches, not virtual ones. Eventually, it is true and we will see real matches with real players soon. The next wish is the complete finish for the season that will be good for the one and for next one as well as for clubs in Bundesliga. In turn, the complete season in Bundesliga will affect next plan of UEFA for Champions League and Europa League.

Let me repeat, football will come back soon, starting with Bundesliga.
Of course this is very much awaited where the 16 May match will start soon, the Bundesliga has a lot of fans. I want to see the favorite team compete again, but what about television? like Beinsport, will it broadcast the first match of the Bundesliga?

I believe this match will be quite tight where there are no spectators who see this match at the stadium.

R


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May 09, 2020, 10:26:38 AM
 #8009

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?
Premier League will be probably free for all on Youtube, what about Bundesliga?

It will be huge the game played on Korea (KOREA!!) got almost 2 million spectators on Youtube today.



Who has decided that the EPL games will be broadcasted free on youtube?
Do you know the channel? If Bundesliga is going to be broacasted on Youtube as well this is going to be huge. I would not miss any Leipzig games till the end of the season.

I haven’t seen that reported, do you have a good source? I don’t think BT Sport & Sky will be very happy if this happens because they pay for the rights to show the live football in the PL.

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May 09, 2020, 01:48:59 PM
Merited by tyKiwanuka (1)
 #8010

Premier League will be probably free for all on Youtube, what about Bundesliga?
No idea. We're one week away from the official restart but no word from the DFL about broadcasting games on YT. If anything comes up, I'll post it here.

What are your strategy when placing a bet?
I'm gonna take this restart as if a new season of german top-flight just started. Teams took a 2-month break and now they're going straight back into football action, only with a couple of training sessions...Yeah, sounds like the first matchweek will be a glorified pre-season tournament  Grin So, what i'm going to do:

• Avoid ML, especially home wins, for a couple of weekends. (Dusseldorf WIN @2.17 looks good vs. bottom of the league Padderborn, but remember that there's no psychological "home advantage" -games will be behind closed doors-, crucial for a lot of teams. Same with Hoffenheim WIN @2.08).
• Consider double chance. (i'm expecting draws so i'll give DB a shot).
• Total goals market could be good (all the teams will have sloppy defences, sloppy finishing, sloppy GK's...expect a goal fest in most games).

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May 09, 2020, 03:11:35 PM
 #8011

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?

As far as i have heard and readed the 26 and the 27 Match day from the german league would be shown in the Free TV in germany.

Guess you will can see them maybe here :

https://www.zdf.de/live-tv
https://www.ardmediathek.de/ard/
Sky also will making a live stream and you should find some stream for sure to watch it .
So the Bet war starts again next week

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May 09, 2020, 03:24:10 PM
 #8012

Do you have any info on where games will be shown on tv?
Premier League will be probably free for all on Youtube, what about Bundesliga?

It will be huge the game played on Korea (KOREA!!) got almost 2 million spectators on Youtube today.

From what I know the rights of broadcasting the game is with BTsports and they do have a streaming website for their subscribers to watch it, now if they will also air the game in Youtube is something unlikely as it will be bad for the paying customers for their website. There is a big chance though that the replays/highlights will be uploaded right after the match which I don't think fans will like so I will see a lot of people preferring to watch on free streaming websites instead.
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May 09, 2020, 03:40:11 PM
 #8013

Guess this will be also hard for the players to keep this if they shoot a goal :

The German League restart is just around the corner.
So that this can take place the next weekend as planned.
Strict regulations awaiting the players when they celebrating goals in the German League , only "short elbow or foot contact" are allowed according to the Bild newspaper to restart the season.

Cheering, clapping and hugging should not be done, the newspaper reported on Friday evening, referring to an internal paper (Covid-19 organization circular special operation) of the German Football League.
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Update vom 9. Mai, 10.43 Uhr: Der Bundesliga-Neustart steht vor der Tür. Damit dieser auch wie geplant am nächsten Wochenende stattfinden kann, begeben sich die Klubs nach und nach ins einwöchige Quarantäne-Trainingslager. Strenge Vorschriften erwarten die Spieler - bald auch auf dem Rasen? Beim Torjubel in der Fußball-Bundesliga sind nach Informationen der Bild-Zeitung zum Neustart der Saison nur "kurzer Ellenbogen- oder Fußkontakt" erlaubt.
Gemeinsames Jubeln, Abklatschen und Umarmungen seien zu unterlassen, berichtete die Zeitung am Freitagabend unter Berufung auf ein internes Papier (Covid-19 Organisations-Rundschreiben Sonderspielbetrieb) der Deutschen Fußball Liga.

Source : https://www.wa.de/sport/borussia-dortmund/bundesliga-ere1445216/coronavirus-bundesliga-neustart-nrw-dortmund-bvb-schalke-04-revierderby-torjubel-quarantaene-13745773.html

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May 09, 2020, 03:51:07 PM
 #8014

Guess this will be also hard for the players to keep this if they shoot a goal : (...)

No problem for a lot of teams, since they fail to score on a regular basis anyway Grin On a more serious note, I guess a lot of players will forget about it in the heat of the moment - and what will happen then ? Will they get booked just like they get when taking off their jersey after a goal (which is the most stupid rule ever btw) ? Lets see how this works in reality Cheesy

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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May 09, 2020, 04:01:24 PM
 #8015

Will they get booked just like they get when taking off their jersey after a goal (which is the most stupid rule ever btw) ? Lets see how this works in reality Cheesy

True that this is the most stupid rule ever made from DFL and the UEFA !
I think or guess that they already have something in there mind that players also get a yellow card if they hugging after a goal was shooted.
Or you have to pay a fine to the DFL if you dont follow the rules!
Like it was in the curfew when the police catched some people making a party.

Everything is possible at the moment .
But we will see how it all comes and works.

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May 09, 2020, 06:10:19 PM
 #8016

Does anyone else thinks that draws will be a lot more frequent during the first games? Specially 0-0 because basically everyone will be tired pretty quickly and conditions and match sharpness is at the bare bottom right now, they didn't even properly get a friendly in before they start playing again, at least when they start the league they play friendlies to get the sharpness back, here they are just going back right in.

So, I think 0-0 draw would be a great possibility for the teams right now, especially if they are lower end teams that play each other. I will definitely check the games and the teams and going to see if there is 0-0 game result bets going on anywhere, I bet that must be paying at least 3x or even 4x, not sure if it will work but sounds like it worths to try.
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May 09, 2020, 06:57:29 PM
 #8017

The league hasn't even restarted yet, but there are already huge troubles now - namely in Dresden as various sources report. With the first test, there was one player positive. Second test all players were negative. Now with the tests from yesterday, there are two additional players positive. Health authorities in Saxony decided to put the whole team under quarantine for 14 days - so they won't/can't play next week at Hannover.

This also means that they are not able to train etc., so big disadvantage for a team that is fighting against relegation. Normally they should also be guaranteed some preparation time, like all other teams have now, so the whole schedule is f'ed up already Cheesy

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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May 09, 2020, 10:04:44 PM
 #8018

Health authorities in Saxony decided to put the whole team under quarantine for 14 days - so they won't/can't play next week at Hannover.
Many players' contracts end on 30 June. So the remaining matchdays should be completed by then. The relegation matches will definitely only be able to take place after 30 June. This means that many players will no longer participate in the relegation. Maybe some players will have switched to the relegation opponent.  Cheesy
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May 10, 2020, 12:43:50 AM
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I am very happy that the Bundesliga will resume soon on May 16, and have the support of UEFA president Aleksander Ceferin. But while
maintaining a strict health protocol, to prevent the spread of the corona virus. Like a player in a minimal health test once a week, the number
of viewers is limited in stadium, substitute players who are on the bench must keep their distance and spray disinfectant to the entire stadium.
This is also good news for sports betting fans.

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May 10, 2020, 01:14:14 AM
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I am very happy that the Bundesliga will resume soon on May 16, and have the support of UEFA president Aleksander Ceferin. But while
maintaining a strict health protocol, to prevent the spread of the corona virus. Like a player in a minimal health test once a week, the number
of viewers is limited in stadium, substitute players who are on the bench must keep their distance and spray disinfectant to the entire stadium.
This is also good news for sports betting fans.
Having regular tests (once a week) and maintaining social distancing are good but I don't agree to have limited viewers in stadiums. There are risks of cross-infections and we should not ask for it at the moment. Having the league's resume and good ending for the season. For normal match in stadiums with views, maybe we have to wait for the next season. Let's countdown a few more days till 16 May for the first matches of Bundesliga after months.

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