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Author Topic: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread  (Read 603338 times)
casperBGD
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June 11, 2020, 10:43:23 PM
 #8601

Leipzig has their chance tomorrow in Hoffenheim, M'Gladbach is playing with Bayern and Leipzig could reach 6 point lead to them, which will secure CL for them next season, it is @1.4, so maybe will combine with goals, but away game is as a home pitch after the restart
in Zweite, HSV has another chance after missing Kiel winning on Monday, they play in Dresden, and that one should come for sure @1.5
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June 12, 2020, 12:17:23 AM
 #8602

Leipzig has their chance tomorrow in Hoffenheim, M'Gladbach is playing with Bayern and Leipzig could reach 6 point lead to them, which will secure CL for them next season...
-snip-
Securing a CL spot is a must for them especially that its rivals have a decent games (bah for Schalke/Leverkusen used to be maybe), so at least having +6 difference is very important. However regarding their overall performance I am worried that the game will end with a surprise..

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June 12, 2020, 08:30:28 AM
 #8603

Bremen plays against Paderborn. Bremen is stronger away than home. They haven't lost the last three games away. But Paderborn lost only one game from the last five. But they have to win. It seems, that will be the last chance for Paderborn.
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June 12, 2020, 09:02:01 AM
 #8604

Bremen plays against Paderborn. Bremen is stronger away than home. They haven't lost the last three games away. But Paderborn lost only one game from the last five. But they have to win. It seems, that will be the last chance for Paderborn.

But it's also a must-win for Bremen if they don't want to get relegated. If they don't win against Paderborn they can already start to plan their trips to Sandhausen, Aue etc. For a long time, I was sure that they have good chances to beat Paderborn but the closer we get to the match, the bigger my doubts get. Although they have not lost the last three away games, their performance was all but convincing in these games. And now that they have lost their last game, I fear that they will be extremely insecure, especially when they are almost forced to win this game (next one will be against Bayern). And together with an already shaking defence that's a really bad combination.

Paderborn on the other hand seems to just enjoy the remaining matches. This phrase sounds weird but I think everybody at that club is/was just thankful for the season in the first league (remember they played in the third league 2 seasons ago) Nobody expects much from them so they can play without any pressure.

So the more I think about this game, the more indecisive I get. Right now I'd probably bet on a draw or BTTS.
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June 12, 2020, 09:04:34 AM
 #8605

Hopefully RB Leipzig will win todays evening match against Hoffenheim so they can make some points for the Campions League place !
My bet goes for Leipzig and fingers crossed that they dont come under the wheels again.
Should be possible or normaly they win that , but we all know thats strange times at the moment for some matches and the results.

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June 12, 2020, 09:24:46 AM
 #8606

Hopefully RB Leipzig will win todays evening match against Hoffenheim
I think so too. But Hoffenheim has a new "coaching staff". And most of the time, it gives a boost. But since the players themselves didn't know that Schreuder would be dismissed, this effect will probably fizzle out.
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June 12, 2020, 09:29:11 AM
 #8607

in Zweite, HSV has another chance after missing Kiel winning on Monday, they play in Dresden, and that one should come for sure @1.5

I am not so sure about that. Quality difference is of course huge, but Dresden is doing ok-ish after finding some rhythm with ending quarantine. It was just Wehen and Fürth, where they got 4 points recently, but they have some momentum and self-confidence. And they have nothing to lose, because nobody is expecting anything from them today. Hamburg otoh once again shot themselves in the foot on Monday. They play good football, but only managed one win after the break against poor Wehen. They were unlucky with late goals against Fürth, Stuttgart and Kiel, but when it happens that often, there is something wrong, this is not just bad luck.
Stuttgart was 1.60+ when they played at Dresden the other week - and that was when Dresden wasn't match-fit at all. Now Hamburg is 1.50+ and I think it's too low or fair at best. They should win, but 2. Bundesliga is crazy at times Wink

-

I think Sandhausen has a great shot today at giving Bielefeld all sorts of trouble. Bielefeld seems to run a bit out of gas and they don't need the 3 points badly, a draw would do the trick as well. Neuhaus will take rather defensive approach imo and look to keep a clean sheet first and then hope for some Klos-Magic upfront. Sandhausen themselves are on a pretty good run and sitting comfortably in the middle of the table. This looks like a low-scoring draw (0-0/1-1) for me, but unfortunately the markets think the same and odds are not very tempting; the odds for Bielefeld look actually quite huge on paper. Probably a game to lay the team that manages to get the lead.



The sacking of Schreuder with Hoffenheim was really weird. They were doing quite good and didn't seem to play against their coach. They didn't play any top teams, but wins don't come easy in Bundesliga, even against the smaller teams. So something must have happened behind the curtains. Now with a new coach (or the old being sacked) I would normally expect Hoffenheim to come out firing on all cylinders, but this situation is a bit different Cheesy On top of that they will play against their old coach Nagelsmann and surely want to show what they are capable of. 1.45 for Leipzig looks a bit low considering all circumstances. They were ruthless with Mainz and Köln in their away games, but Hoffenheim is a different caliber.

.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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June 12, 2020, 09:52:50 AM
 #8608

Wow, odds on over 2,5 on the Hoffenheim - Leipzig pair are placed at 1.35. I knew it is going to be really low, but this is unbettable Grin

I played the counterbet considering the odds and took an under 3,5 instead. The odds are 1.98, too good not to try.

I'll probably lose it in the 1st half though.

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June 12, 2020, 10:16:18 AM
 #8609

in Zweite, HSV has another chance after missing Kiel winning on Monday, they play in Dresden, and that one should come for sure @1.5

I am not so sure about that. Quality difference is of course huge, but Dresden is doing ok-ish after finding some rhythm with ending quarantine. It was just Wehen and Fürth, where they got 4 points recently, but they have some momentum and self-confidence. And they have nothing to lose, because nobody is expecting anything from them today. Hamburg otoh once again shot themselves in the foot on Monday. They play good football, but only managed one win after the break against poor Wehen. They were unlucky with late goals against Fürth, Stuttgart and Kiel, but when it happens that often, there is something wrong, this is not just bad luck.
Stuttgart was 1.60+ when they played at Dresden the other week - and that was when Dresden wasn't match-fit at all. Now Hamburg is 1.50+ and I think it's too low or fair at best. They should win, but 2. Bundesliga is crazy at times Wink

I agree with your assessment and would like to add another fact, which is that Hamburg plays very offensive and doesn't know how to defend their advantage once they manage to acquire it. Most of their games are going over and both to score. I have decided to go with both to score @1.80 which has immense value for me. This is my main tip for the day and I will play it with highest stake possible. Dynamo Dresden scored 3 goals in last 2 matches and Hamburg conceded 7 in last 3 matches. Should be free money but given my recent record in German football you are probably better off with playing correct score 0:0 Smiley


Wow, odds on over 2,5 on the Hoffenheim - Leipzig pair are placed at 1.35. I knew it is going to be really low, but this is unbettable Grin
I played the counterbet considering the odds and took an under 3,5 instead. The odds are 1.98, too good not to try.
I'll probably lose it in the 1st half though.

Never like to play under games. I like to watch games I am betting on and it just feels hollow to root for lame match where neither team will manage to score. You know the situation, there is a good ball for the striker and you pray he misses one on one with the keeper, just wrong  Grin

Odds for over are very small so i went with both to score @1.55 which sounds very good to me. Hoffenheim changed the coach abruptly so that is an unknown factor and reason why I will play this only on small stake ticket. Both to score passed 4 times in the last 5 matches so history is on my side.

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June 12, 2020, 10:24:10 AM
 #8610

Never like to play under games. I like to watch games I am betting on and it just feels hollow to root for lame match where neither team will manage to score. You know the situation, there is a good ball for the striker and you pray he misses one on one with the keeper, just wrong  Grin

Odds for over are very small so i went with both to score @1.55 which sounds very good to me. Hoffenheim changed the coach abruptly so that is an unknown factor and reason why I will play this only on small stake ticket. Both to score passed 4 times in the last 5 matches so history is on my side.

I know what you mean, yea. But I'm not going to watch this one and I picked a bet that I think has some value.
Leverkusen's games are all finals until the end of the season, I expect them to play a bit more conservative than usual. However, that rarely happens in the Bundesliga.

I agree that BTTS might be the best bet, so let's hope for a really boring 1-1 draw Grin

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June 12, 2020, 11:44:47 AM
 #8611

Wow, odds on over 2,5 on the Hoffenheim - Leipzig pair are placed at 1.35. I knew it is going to be really low, but this is unbettable Grin
You know, i've seen some ppl in this board place bets in the range of @1.30 or @1.40 odds...To each his own i guess  Roll Eyes

I mange to find a good pick: O9.5 corners @1.70 https://i.ibb.co/Yf6mN2r/v10.png

If people are expecting a lot of goals from both teams, then it's very likely that we'll see some corners. Big brain analysis right there, you're welcome  Grin

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June 12, 2020, 07:59:36 PM
 #8612

Leipzig is in the lead 0:2 in Hoffenheim, think that three points are already counted in for them today, and CL qualification spot as well, maybe Leverkusen can still fight for third spot
HSV also won 0:1 in Dresden, all in all, should be a good day for me
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June 12, 2020, 08:08:47 PM
 #8613

Leipzig still seem to be playing good football.
They scored two goals against Hoffenhaim and it seems they are getting this win.
It is a pity that this team didn't manage to be a title contestor till the end of the season.
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June 12, 2020, 08:36:05 PM
 #8614

Wow, odds on over 2,5 on the Hoffenheim - Leipzig pair are placed at 1.35. I knew it is going to be really low, but this is unbettable Grin
You know, i've seen some ppl in this board place bets in the range of @1.30 or @1.40 odds...To each his own i guess  Roll Eyes

I mange to find a good pick: O9.5 corners @1.70 https://i.ibb.co/Yf6mN2r/v10.png

If people are expecting a lot of goals from both teams, then it's very likely that we'll see some corners. Big brain analysis right there, you're welcome  Grin
First I was also going to over3.5 goals but at last moment I change mind and have over 9.5 Corners which was also not bad at all as this give some good return and goals never touch this figure now for me goals is very risky market in Bundesliga.
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June 12, 2020, 09:54:06 PM
 #8615

Leipzig still seem to be playing good football.
They scored two goals against Hoffenhaim and it seems they are getting this win.
It is a pity that this team didn't manage to be a title contestor till the end of the season.
If another season started just after the pause, I will not be surprised if I found Leipzig in the middle of the table. I mean in easy games you could say with confidence that Bayern will win it, Dortmund will win it, Leverkusen will win it but you cannot say the same thing with Leipzig. Lucky for them that they managed to score quickly and successively  Smiley

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June 12, 2020, 11:59:53 PM
 #8616

Real glad and happy to read that Leipzig has won there game about Hoffenheim with 2 scored Goals.
Looks like Leipzig has won that game in 3 min when they scored there goals.

An intresting game will be today Bayern Munich vs Gladbach and i realy dont know what should i bet on it .

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June 13, 2020, 05:48:46 AM
 #8617

Real glad and happy to read that Leipzig has won there game about Hoffenheim with 2 scored Goals.
Looks like Leipzig has won that game in 3 min when they scored there goals.

An intresting game will be today Bayern Munich vs Gladbach and i realy dont know what should i bet on it .

not only this game between bayern and mönchengladbach will be interesting, but also the duel between paderborn and werder - there it's all about everything whoever loses the match will be relegated to the 2. bundesliga

my bets for this 2 games are
bayern wins
werder wins

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June 13, 2020, 07:55:52 AM
 #8618

Real glad and happy to read that Leipzig has won there game about Hoffenheim with 2 scored Goals.
Looks like Leipzig has won that game in 3 min when they scored there goals.

An intresting game will be today Bayern Munich vs Gladbach and i realy dont know what should i bet on it .

Gladbach aren’t a bad team, they’re currently sitting in 4th place in the table but with home advantage you have to expect that Bayern will win. The title is in their sights now, nothing is going to stop them.

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June 13, 2020, 09:49:41 AM
 #8619

The odds payout for Borussia Dortmund to win the match in full time against Dusseldorf is @1.33, I think the odds payout is quite attractive as Dusseldorf is struggling in the relegation zone while Borussia Dortmund are trying to catch up with Bayern Munich on the table. I guess Borussia Dortmund would be able to claim 3 points successfully when they play against Dusseldorf today.

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June 13, 2020, 11:52:31 AM
 #8620

Today, we have an in-form Hertha Berlin in the league against a shaky Frankfurt who lost to Mainz last weekend. Home Win or Over 2.5 sound like good picks on paper.

An intresting game will be today Bayern Munich vs Gladbach and i realy dont know what should i bet on it .
Indeed. I'm looking forward to see what Marcus Thuram can do today. Aside from the game vs. Freiburg, he's been fantastic in the last few weeks.

I'm gonna skip MLs for this match and just add O8.5 corners @1.42 to a nice 3 team parlay including a couple of La Liga matches. Reminder that Lewandowski and Muller will miss the game, that should motivate Gladbach to not settle for a draw and just go for the win.

Btw, if i'm not mistaken, Bayern could officially win the league title today if they get the 3pts AND Dusseldorf wins  Shocked

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