Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread

[Naida_BR]

i am of the opinion that there should be no relegation or promotion if the season is interrupted - unless the two clubs have no chance calculative to stay in the 1. bundesliga

As it is decided that the league is going to start again we are going to see relegation as usual.
If there will be no relegation, teams with low dynamic will lose their interest in the games and in the whole season and they will focus on preparing a team for the next season which is not makes a lot of sense.

[tomahawk9]

The DFL just released an annoucement about the Bundesliga and 2nd division.

Full article: https://www.dfl.de/de/aktuelles/dfl-mitgliederversammlung-bekraeftigt-laufende-saison-soll-zu-ende-gespielt-werden-falls-notwendig-im-juli/

TL;DR:
- 5 subs for each team in each game until the end of the season.
- There will be relegations this season.
- In case something happens (sudden stop of football activities), both leagues will continue beyond June 30th.

So, 5 subs, huh? Top teams now have a massive advantage since they're the ones with bigger and better squad depth.

[bct_ail]

- In case something happens (sudden stop of football activities), both leagues will continue beyond June 30th.

To finish the season with all their strength. Let's see if that works out.
But if they really play until July, the new season should be start later. Although? The teams will be in training and they have only played 9 days. So they could start again in August after a short break.

[jayce]

So, 5 subs, huh? Top teams now have a massive advantage since they're the ones with bigger and better squad depth.

Yea that's a good point. Tbh I want to see RB Leipzig to win this season but with this new rule, it would favor Munich and Dortmund only as their whole squad are equally good and better than other Bundesliga teams.

[Coyster]

Are there any plans for the league if one player in one team is infected? How to solve such player and such team? All the team will go into quarantine mode (in 14 days) or only the group of players have close contact with the infected player will be quarantined?

Imo it's the entire team that'll be quarantined and tested, there is no way to pick out the exact players that had been in contact with the infected player, and teammates are usually always in physical contact with each other, so it's the whole team that should be quarantined. If that happens they'll have their games shifted(postponed)i think, and in case of this scenario the league would not finish at the time stipulated for it to due to postponed matches.

How will you watch the games? Will any of you watch the games in a pub?

Most pubs are still on lockdown, so I don't think many people would have this option available to them, and even if they did, I'll advice everyone to watch at home, it's usually most times more interesting to watch football where you meet other fans, but it's hard to maintain social distancing there, so for now, our homes would do.

[vella85]

I'm just glad we get to see some football being played no matter if watching it from home. Lets just hope all goes well and we get to see the season finish and then get to see other leagues reopen and start playing again.

[tomahawk9]

Finally! In less than 24h, we're going to have some top-class european football action.

I'm gonna post my picks (singles) for tomorrow...I usually don't do this (make my picks a day before matchweek kicks off), i like to wait for lineups confirmed and stuff, but i have to deal with some stuff in the meatspace, so:

Leipzig vs Freiburg - O9.5 corners @1.70
Dortmund vs Shake - O3.5 cards  @1.44
Gladbach - X2 @1.46

Almost went with a 3 fold acca but decided to go with singles..will leave crazy 3 fold and 4 fold accas for next week. Man, this thread is too quiet, are you guys excited about the Bundesliga coming back or what? 

[Captain Corporate]

 I wouldn't really gamble for the time being, this is going to be the first games of the big football world coming back and I am not entirely sure if it will be really as big as we think they will be. I feel like everyone will be holding back a bit and no matter how much training they have done already, they couldn't be %100 without playing some games, there is this special shape you get into when you constantly play games.

 I just hope everyone goes out of this healthy, not just getting corona because if everyone is healthy they can't suddenly get it, but also regular injuries as well. Players get injured constantly on regular time, now they have stopped for months suddenly and they haven't played for months, coming back could be very stressful for their bodies and I really hope everyone just stays healthy.

[jayce]

Finally! In less than 24h, we're going to have some top-class european football action.

I'm gonna post my picks (singles) for tomorrow...I usually don't do this (make my picks a day before matchweek kicks off), i like to wait for lineups confirmed and stuff, but i have to deal with some stuff in the meatspace, so:

Leipzig vs Freiburg - O9.5 corners @1.70
Dortmund vs Shake - O3.5 cards  @1.44
Gladbach - X2 @1.46

Almost went with a 3 fold acca but decided to go with singles..will leave crazy 3 fold and 4 fold accas for next week. Man, this thread is too quiet, are you guys excited about the Bundesliga coming back or what? 

Those are quite good picks, mate. Honestly if it's me I'd prefer to parlay them since the odds on two of them are below 1.50. Though I'll wait the confirmed lineups announced before take my picks, since I love to bet on the goal scorer category. Good luck for your bet!

[Slow death]

But since this thread is about predictions, let's get back to Bundesliga betting, guys. We got some very interesting games coming up on the 26. Matchday of the Bundesliga season. Actually we are starting with a huge clash in the Revier-Derby with Borussia Dortmund vs. Schalke 04. What are your predictions? Do you think Dortmund, Bayern or Leipzig will struggle after the huge break? The whole match schedule of the weekend looks like this:

do not think that Borussia and Leipzig could keep up with Bayern until the end of the season, Bayern will took the title, Borussia will probably finish second, and Leipzig will finish third IMO, if Leverkusen does not make the series and took them over, will be very interesting on Monday in Bremen to see how pharmacists made it over Corona crisis, could they continue their good series, since Leipzig is only four points away

I still think that the advantage that bayer has is not so big enough to consider them as the future champions

Bayern has 55 points

Borussia has 51 points

RB Leipzig has 50 points

with that interruption, the pace of many teams must have been broken which will cause surprises in the next games

[coinfinger]

Testing the whole team and any team they played in the past weeks is a thing they have to do if one player turns out infected. But at the same time, I feel like there is not that many people who are infected anymore so there is testing going on which means maybe there are test kits available enough now that you could just use all the extra ones on the players constantly? That way you would basically be testing players constantly, which means if you learn that one player has corona, you would know if anyone else has corona at the same time as well?

Like you test 20 players all together, so if one of them has corona, the other 19 results will be decided already as well? So, I think that wouldn't really be a problem, you would constantly know if anyone has corona or not all at the same time.

[casperBGD]

But since this thread is about predictions, let's get back to Bundesliga betting, guys. We got some very interesting games coming up on the 26. Matchday of the Bundesliga season. Actually we are starting with a huge clash in the Revier-Derby with Borussia Dortmund vs. Schalke 04. What are your predictions? Do you think Dortmund, Bayern or Leipzig will struggle after the huge break? The whole match schedule of the weekend looks like this:

do not think that Borussia and Leipzig could keep up with Bayern until the end of the season, Bayern will took the title, Borussia will probably finish second, and Leipzig will finish third IMO, if Leverkusen does not make the series and took them over, will be very interesting on Monday in Bremen to see how pharmacists made it over Corona crisis, could they continue their good series, since Leipzig is only four points away

I still think that the advantage that bayer has is not so big enough to consider them as the future champions

Bayern has 55 points

Borussia has 51 points

RB Leipzig has 50 points

with that interruption, the pace of many teams must have been broken which will cause surprises in the next games

for me, more chances has Bayer Leverkusen than RB Leipzig to finish within top 3 teams, and Bayern is an institution, they will not gamble their title, with four points above Borussia, although they have tough schedule playing Dortmund and Leverkusen away and M'Gladbach home in this nine rounds

[hahay]

But since this thread is about predictions, let's get back to Bundesliga betting, guys. We got some very interesting games coming up on the 26. Matchday of the Bundesliga season. Actually we are starting with a huge clash in the Revier-Derby with Borussia Dortmund vs. Schalke 04. What are your predictions? Do you think Dortmund, Bayern or Leipzig will struggle after the huge break? The whole match schedule of the weekend looks like this:

do not think that Borussia and Leipzig could keep up with Bayern until the end of the season, Bayern will took the title, Borussia will probably finish second, and Leipzig will finish third IMO, if Leverkusen does not make the series and took them over, will be very interesting on Monday in Bremen to see how pharmacists made it over Corona crisis, could they continue their good series, since Leipzig is only four points away

I still think that the advantage that bayer has is not so big enough to consider them as the future champions

Bayern has 55 points

Borussia has 51 points

RB Leipzig has 50 points

with that interruption, the pace of many teams must have been broken which will cause surprises in the next games

for me, more chances has Bayer Leverkusen than RB Leipzig to finish within top 3 teams, and Bayern is an institution, they will not gamble their title, with four points above Borussia, although they have tough schedule playing Dortmund and Leverkusen away and M'Gladbach home in this nine rounds

I'm still not sure each team will play to their maximum strength or the best squad because of some factors that might be something that makes them uncomfortable but however, the return of this match is something that is highly anticipated and of course with that too then at least they will still give their best to win the match and I personally am still very confident that Bayern Munich and Dortmund will remain in the first and second ranks until the end of the season.

[Juggy777]

But since this thread is about predictions, let's get back to Bundesliga betting, guys. We got some very interesting games coming up on the 26. Matchday of the Bundesliga season. Actually we are starting with a huge clash in the Revier-Derby with Borussia Dortmund vs. Schalke 04. What are your predictions? Do you think Dortmund, Bayern or Leipzig will struggle after the huge break? The whole match schedule of the weekend looks like this:

do not think that Borussia and Leipzig could keep up with Bayern until the end of the season, Bayern will took the title, Borussia will probably finish second, and Leipzig will finish third IMO, if Leverkusen does not make the series and took them over, will be very interesting on Monday in Bremen to see how pharmacists made it over Corona crisis, could they continue their good series, since Leipzig is only four points away

I still think that the advantage that bayer has is not so big enough to consider them as the future champions

Bayern has 55 points

Borussia has 51 points

RB Leipzig has 50 points

with that interruption, the pace of many teams must have been broken which will cause surprises in the next games

for me, more chances has Bayer Leverkusen than RB Leipzig to finish within top 3 teams, and Bayern is an institution, they will not gamble their title, with four points above Borussia, although they have tough schedule playing Dortmund and Leverkusen away and M'Gladbach home in this nine rounds

I'm still not sure each team will play to their maximum strength or the best squad because of some factors that might be something that makes them uncomfortable but however, the return of this match is something that is highly anticipated and of course with that too then at least they will still give their best to win the match and I personally am still very confident that Bayern Munich and Dortmund will remain in the first and second ranks until the end of the season.

@hahay Bundesliga is an unpredictable league and hence I don’t feel that Bayern can easily win the title, because Dortmund have Sancho and Halland playing for them, and these two alone can fire Dortmund to the top of the table. Furthermore I’m anticipating all the teams to play their best 11 on the pitch, but I’m keeping my expectations low about their performances as all the players will be playing after a lengthy break.

Sources:

https://soccer.nbcsports.com/2020/05/15/bundesliga-predictions-revierderby-in-dortmund-bayern-in-berlin/

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/european/bundesliga-2020-title-race-bayern-munich-borussia-dortmund-haaland-rb-leipzig-latest-news-a9314051.html

https://www.forbes.com/sites/steveprice/2020/05/10/bundesliga-is-back-from-sancho-to-schalke-heres-what-to-watch-for/#75407e2e77b5

[Barcode_]

Dusseldorf might be playing at their home stadium today but there will be no fans cheering for the home team, and I guess the home advantage would not have a huge impact on this match, I think Paderborn might be able to gain some point against Dusseldorf today, this match might ends up with a draw at the final whistle.

[Coyster]

Dusseldorf might be playing at their home stadium today but there will be no fans cheering for the home team, and I guess the home advantage would not have a huge impact on this match, I think Paderborn might be able to gain some point against Dusseldorf today, this match might ends up with a draw at the final whistle.

Home advantage in football would no longer have an influence on the matches, if we agree that it's the fans that creates that advantage for the home team, cheering and creating an enjoyable atmosphere for them(the home team), especially when they are attacking.

It will be the same feeling until fans are allowed to go into the stadiums.(but I think it'll be a long time from now)The atmosphere would remain the same, whether for the home or away team, the only voices that will be heard would probably be from the bench, the coaches and teammates on the sidelines.

[coinlocket$]

Today finally but perhaps prematurely we return to football.
Certainly, the best European leagues are trying to end the season to collect television amounts of money and try to limit the loss due to the stop by as much as possible.

Bundesliga has a huge opportunity today as it is the first to start and will be seen by about 1 billion people (a number estimated by different media) and this will produce unprecedented advertising revenue.
There was even talk of showing free games on youtube for some leagues but I did not follow well how the situation has evolved in the last month.

However, football is back and we hope it will last until the end of the season.

[tyKiwanuka]

Home advantage in football would no longer have an influence on the matches, if we agree that it's the fans that creates that advantage for the home team, cheering and creating an enjoyable atmosphere for them(the home team), especially when they are attacking.

It will be the same feeling until fans are allowed to go into the stadiums.(but I think it'll be a long time from now)The atmosphere would remain the same, whether for the home or away team, the only voices that will be heard would probably be from the bench, the coaches and teammates on the sidelines.

We have/had an interesting discussion about that here in this thread: [Discussion] There is more to Home Advantage than just Fans


Finally matchday in Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga In 2. Bundesliga I don't like anything, looks all well-priced as far as you can judge with next to no insight about where the teams stand. For Bundesliga I placed two bets.

Frankfurt tb Mönchengladbach @3.15 3/10
Frankfurt loves these matches against the top teams. Everyone remembers that 5-1 against Bayern last November, but they also beat Leipzig twice (3-1 & 2-0) and Leverkusen (3-0) at home and split points with Dortmund (2-2). They have good mentality in their team for these games, when they are underdog, especially at home. An important ingredient to this success are their fans and as we all know, they will be missing today to push them to the limits, so just small stakes. HC-1 for odds 6.0 above looks good too, if you are brave enough.

Augsburg tb Wolfsburg @3.55 2/10
Wolfsburg is rightfully favourite here, but odds are a bit too high imo. You won't beat them easily, because they play very organized and it's not easy to score against them. Otoh they themselves have trouble scoring all season long. Their topscorer Weghorst is suspended for todays match and he is accounting for over 30% of goals scored. He is replaced by Ginczek, who is a very good 2. Bundesliga striker, but too poor for Bundesliga imo. Augsburg was on a poor run before the break, but losing to Bayern/Gladbach/Leverkusen/Frankfurt is no shame. They can always make things happen at home and one goal scored might be enough to beat offensively struggling Wolfsburg today. Small stakes as well.

[casperBGD]

i would add one more bet, that is in line with my expectation from the end of this season, and that is that Freiburg will not loose the match in Leipzig, they were in good form this season, it is not easy to beat them when they play away, and Leipzig is not that good at home, as one top aspiration team should be, so i would go for a draw here, or maybe x2, as Freiburg could surprise totally today

small stake, but win can be good, @5.2 for x, and @3.3 for x2

[Nadziratel]

I think we shouldn't make our bets with huge sums at this stage. Because we don't have much idea about the physical / moral situations of the teams. But I am also very happy to see a football game after a long time. I hope all leagues will return as soon as possible.