Bitcoin Forum
October 17, 2021, 04:05:59 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 22.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: Will the Bitcoin Futures ETF be approved in the U.S. on Oct. 18?
Yes - 38 (52.1%)
No - 20 (27.4%)
Maybe - 15 (20.5%)
Total Voters: 73

Pages: « 1 ... 20621 20622 20623 20624 20625 20626 20627 20628 20629 20630 20631 20632 20633 20634 20635 20636 20637 20638 20639 20640 20641 20642 20643 20644 20645 20646 20647 20648 20649 20650 20651 20652 20653 20654 20655 20656 20657 20658 20659 20660 20661 20662 20663 20664 20665 20666 20667 20668 20669 20670 [20671] 20672 20673 20674 20675 20676 20677 20678 20679 20680 20681 20682 20683 20684 20685 20686 20687 20688 20689 20690 20691 20692 20693 20694 20695 20696 20697 20698 20699 20700 20701 20702 20703 20704 20705 20706 20707 20708 20709 20710 20711 20712 20713 20714 20715 20716 20717 20718 20719 20720 20721 ... 29688 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 25459673 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (157 posts by 13+ users deleted.)
bluebits
Copper Member
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 72
Merit: 12


View Profile
July 01, 2018, 11:45:06 PM


You should plot 2011 on there too



Theory: As the market grows in absolute value the time needed for the bear market process increases. This is due to the much larger number of players and money in each subsequent cycle. As an easy thought experiment, BTC can crash and blow up in just weeks if only a few hundred people are speculating in it. On the other extreme, if BTC is owned by everyone, the cycles would match economic ones with major changes taking decades or more to work through.

Application: 2018 crash will take longer than the prior 2 cycles and (excepting total BTC failure) will not be as severe in total loss percentage. This would predict a bottom around late 2019 in the 3k range.

Current Trade: To match the predicted timescale and magnitude it is likely we need another glade (3.0) to take it back to 8k+. This will take up another 2+ months, setting up the stage for a fall to fake bottom #2 (4.5k area). A few bounces off this area and then a final fall into the 3ks. From here it can bounce and slowly bleedout out as pessimism reaches a peak.

External Events: ICO failure and enforcement, continued regulation and exchange failure, and most of all the coming next business cycle global recession would set up things for several years in the early 20's of bottomed out prices. This would be the time to find promising alts using new technology.
1634486759
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1634486759

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1634486759
Reply with quote  #2

1634486759
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1634486759
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1634486759

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1634486759
Reply with quote  #2

1634486759
Report to moderator
1634486759
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1634486759

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1634486759
Reply with quote  #2

1634486759
Report to moderator
1634486759
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1634486759

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1634486759
Reply with quote  #2

1634486759
Report to moderator
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2772
Merit: 4892


ESG, KYC & AML are attack vectors on Bitcoin


View Profile
July 01, 2018, 11:55:18 PM

[edited out]
Yes I'm'a shillin for fifteen centos, so mucho moneyo.

You are pathetic and beneath my contempt.

First.  thanks for the admission that you are shilling (similar to trolling, no?)

Second.  I feel so devalued by falling even below your level of contempt because I am not valued by you, I feel sad and lost.. sad and lost.


Like this one:
regent4
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 28
Merit: 1


View Profile WWW
July 02, 2018, 12:02:01 AM

Hourly
https://i.imgur.com/IOXSoKH.png

Daily
https://i.imgur.com/bBlZExZ.png

analysis

http://blockchainshowdown.blogspot.com/2018/07/btc-usd-2nd-july-2018.html
babanana
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 120
Merit: 10


View Profile
July 02, 2018, 12:58:35 AM

This is the reality.

1. Those with decent amount of BTC are just chill, quiet and observing. Not even saying anything bad against other alts.
2. Those with few to none are hyped and shill and calling names, predicting doom. They say BTC is root of all evil.

But in truth they are hoping to have more. And when they do, they become number 1.
Lets be patient with these shills.  Grin
sirazimuth
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2422
Merit: 2063


born once atheist


View Profile
July 02, 2018, 01:40:46 AM

This thread is numpty today. What happened? All the sane people took the weekend off?
I was busy researching Bigfoot and alien abductions.... shit is real man....
Raja_MBZ
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1750
Merit: 1412



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 02:03:42 AM

Coming up next:

Icygreen
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1468
Merit: 1065



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 02:10:24 AM

Whats wrong with conspiracy?  Some things should absolutely be questioned until the truth is in a majority consensus.
windjc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070


View Profile
July 02, 2018, 02:54:04 AM


You should plot 2011 on there too



Theory: As the market grows in absolute value the time needed for the bear market process increases. This is due to the much larger number of players and money in each subsequent cycle. As an easy thought experiment, BTC can crash and blow up in just weeks if only a few hundred people are speculating in it. On the other extreme, if BTC is owned by everyone, the cycles would match economic ones with major changes taking decades or more to work through.

Application: 2018 crash will take longer than the prior 2 cycles and (excepting total BTC failure) will not be as severe in total loss percentage. This would predict a bottom around late 2019 in the 3k range.

Current Trade: To match the predicted timescale and magnitude it is likely we need another glade (3.0) to take it back to 8k+. This will take up another 2+ months, setting up the stage for a fall to fake bottom #2 (4.5k area). A few bounces off this area and then a final fall into the 3ks. From here it can bounce and slowly bleedout out as pessimism reaches a peak.

External Events: ICO failure and enforcement, continued regulation and exchange failure, and most of all the coming next business cycle global recession would set up things for several years in the early 20's of bottomed out prices. This would be the time to find promising alts using new technology.

$3000 is the new $99. Everyone and their grandmother expects us to go there.

I don't. So there.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 04:31:14 AM
Merited by jojo69 (1)

I'm also going to go out on a limb here. If I had more of a cushion I might be inclined to BTFD. I know what you're thinking. Rosewater, that's crazy talk. But 12 hours of astroturfing leads me to believe someone in the know is sponsoring it. I think (call me crazy) that maybe we have a moonshot incoming and someone somewhere is trying to shake us old degenerates loose.

I know what you're thinking. Rosewater, that's crazy talk. Maybe. But none of this is new to any of us.
Elwar
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3570
Merit: 2376


Viva Ut Vivas


View Profile WWW
July 02, 2018, 04:50:32 AM
Merited by Ibian (1)

Whats wrong with conspiracy?  Some things should absolutely be questioned until the truth is in a majority consensus.


It is when the majority is in consensus that I start questioning things.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 04:54:16 AM

Elwar, that's crazy talk. Get in line this instant.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:01:54 AM

This is where the fat hits the fire, folks. Here we go. Don't kid yourself.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:04:36 AM

Open the doors. Arrange yourself. Be still before the heath of Time.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:06:32 AM

Hear the clack of sacred stones.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:08:01 AM

Hear the rhythmic throat-songs of upheaval, the rush of civilizations; remember the foot-falls on earthenware and bone, the blood-oaths, the lament of banished scribes. Sit. The threads of an ancient tapestry hang before you. Pull one.
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:19:19 AM

Listen.

We are churning our way through the mystical under-rivers of the world. I call to you from the very belowdecks. Do you dare answer? 
Rosewater Foundation
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 392
Merit: 254



View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:21:42 AM
Merited by jbreher (1)

Have you understood the booming seas much? Prick up your ears.
jojo69
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2240
Merit: 2910


1/21000000 , the only math you need to know


View Profile
July 02, 2018, 05:33:55 AM

drink plenty of water mayor...you're getting too old for this
mymenace
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1596
Merit: 1061


Smile


View Profile
July 02, 2018, 07:06:46 AM

..."in this context the value of btc is equal to because the pedodollars the currency of the predatory parasitic oligarchic (Central Cabal Bankers) pedophile imperialist americans British (Mr King George - No Nicholas I will not help you) and their western allies (Five eyes intelligence) is worth nothing"....
Just to help clear up the who the actors are
Why bitcoin was made, read history on above actors  Shocked Shocked Shocked
I have never seen a statement above that shows exactly who is in control of the world.  Grin

near the event horizon, specially  Grin.

C17H21NO4 and C21H30O2

please don't fall in the abortion debate, it is just a trap.

focus on counting the bodies of our enemies. seth rich dead. aaron schwarz dead.

who is jon corzine fucking?

I agree, let's watch the charts... don't forget where the pedobucks get it's illusion... and when this fall...
(everybody should be paying attention)

look at me, beyond the horizont  Grin

very important

Will admit anonymint concerned me re: Segwit addresses. I’ve looked through every single address that I have coins in though & they all start with a 1 so fuck it - as you were Smiley
Segwit activated a thousand years ago. Were you concerned then? Or did you just catch this recently? Because it's being spread like a virus. Just trying to be clear.
..."Because it's being spread like a virus"....
Extremely clear
thank you

With all this talk of attacks on the blockchain, looks like one event could be pulled off;

Global segwit attack
hv_
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2058
Merit: 1049

Clean Code and Scale


View Profile WWW
July 02, 2018, 07:12:47 AM


You should plot 2011 on there too



Theory: As the market grows in absolute value the time needed for the bear market process increases. This is due to the much larger number of players and money in each subsequent cycle. As an easy thought experiment, BTC can crash and blow up in just weeks if only a few hundred people are speculating in it. On the other extreme, if BTC is owned by everyone, the cycles would match economic ones with major changes taking decades or more to work through.

Application: 2018 crash will take longer than the prior 2 cycles and (excepting total BTC failure) will not be as severe in total loss percentage. This would predict a bottom around late 2019 in the 3k range.

Current Trade: To match the predicted timescale and magnitude it is likely we need another glade (3.0) to take it back to 8k+. This will take up another 2+ months, setting up the stage for a fall to fake bottom #2 (4.5k area). A few bounces off this area and then a final fall into the 3ks. From here it can bounce and slowly bleedout out as pessimism reaches a peak.

External Events: ICO failure and enforcement, continued regulation and exchange failure, and most of all the coming next business cycle global recession would set up things for several years in the early 20's of bottomed out prices. This would be the time to find promising alts using new technology.

$3000 is the new $99. Everyone and their grandmother expects us to go there.

I don't. So there.

Very nice comparison

but

2011 - Markets where not very liquid - highest volatile and not accountable

2013 - We had first China crack down and MtGox desaster

Now: If we go down that high (comp to 2011 / 13)  - with many of those parameters improved or not existent -> REKT

Pages: « 1 ... 20621 20622 20623 20624 20625 20626 20627 20628 20629 20630 20631 20632 20633 20634 20635 20636 20637 20638 20639 20640 20641 20642 20643 20644 20645 20646 20647 20648 20649 20650 20651 20652 20653 20654 20655 20656 20657 20658 20659 20660 20661 20662 20663 20664 20665 20666 20667 20668 20669 20670 [20671] 20672 20673 20674 20675 20676 20677 20678 20679 20680 20681 20682 20683 20684 20685 20686 20687 20688 20689 20690 20691 20692 20693 20694 20695 20696 20697 20698 20699 20700 20701 20702 20703 20704 20705 20706 20707 20708 20709 20710 20711 20712 20713 20714 20715 20716 20717 20718 20719 20720 20721 ... 29688 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!