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Question: What happens first:
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26372143 times)
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goldkingcoiner
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August 15, 2018, 02:18:33 AM

While you peasants were busy being peasants, I made 14% today on ADT Cheesy Kiss

Good for you.  How much did you lose on your other bags?  Actually, don't answer that.

Edit:  Glad you are enjoying your ADT



Thank you!

I lost a lot actually. But I think we can all agree the speculation game is why we are here and its damn fun.
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August 15, 2018, 02:20:55 AM

Just want to say "BIG THANKS" to all the posters making quality contributions today, there's been plenty. You know who you are.

yw

 Grin
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August 15, 2018, 02:25:53 AM

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7215388/ https://youtu.be/oQGpdgV_ifI
An unsettling and eye-opening Wall Street horror story about Chinese companies, the American stock market, and the opportunistic greed behind the biggest heist you've never heard of.
Lots of parallels to crypto shenanigans

A good doco (well spotted) but you can't help the feeling of deja vu: 

Massive corporate fraud to rip off ordinary people and the ones who make the money don't give a shit and don't even think it's doing anything wrong.

It's just 'normal', nothing changes. Business as usual. No one goes to jail.
Yes depressing stuff, but I think bitcoin will eventually bring about an honest business climate again. Reputation will be everything, and con-men and idiots will have nowhere to go, except prison or the woodchipper.

The system lapped up the ICOs (and why not - free money) but they don't like Bicoin yet.  They will when they can fractionally reserve it.  Look further into ICE / Bakkt, they want to find a way. 

You do good research, V8.  When you get a moment, check this podcast on what ICE 'may' mean - it's worth a listen:

https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/why-ice-bakkt-news-makes-some-crypto-investors-nervous/id1347049808?i=1000417570519&mt=2

ICE wont be stopped by the SEC, they own the fucking NYSE (and 22 other exchanges). It might not all be good news they are looking to get into Bitcoin. 

And before you say 'Bitcoin can't be in a fractional reserve situation' think again.  Because it actually could. 

Um... Like I'll be accepting an IOU piece of paper to represent bitcoin. It was done on metals but I'm not so sure the people are that gullible for the same trick.  Its interesting to see how ICE wants a piece of the pie. They sure as hell wont send my money to anything crypto related as I found out a couple weeks ago while trying. Ha Bullish!
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August 15, 2018, 02:26:57 AM

Did anyone pay attention to the transactions?

https://www.blockchain.com/btc/unconfirmed-transactions

Is that money going out, or money going in?

Who gives a ratt's ass if it is going in or out?    You cannot determine by merely looking at pending transactions whether they are going "in" or "out"

If there are more buys than sells, then they are going in, and if there are more sells than buys then they are going out.  So in that regard, the price will go up if there are more buyers than sellers and down if there are more sellers than buyers, so in that regard, you can identify short term trends, but still insufficient data merely based on the level of the unconfirmed transactions.


Did anyone pay attention to the transactions?

https://www.blockchain.com/btc/unconfirmed-transactions

Is that money going out, or money going in?

Mempool is growing. Transactions happening. Fees still pretty cheap...for now. https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#1,24h

Thanks for that link Syke.... Looking back we can see that there was a short term spike.  Perhaps an unsuccessful attempt at a spam attack?
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August 15, 2018, 02:32:07 AM



Shorts getting wrecked.
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August 15, 2018, 02:36:11 AM



[WHERE THE MARKET WILL GO?]
Based on the "wave" of the Dominance chart we have three hypotheses about the bottom of the Fibonacci number
Currently in Case 3,% Dominance can reach 56.7% before the market recuperate

Why would one indicator matter?

That market dominance indicated is a bit manipulated anyhow, so you cannot really rely on it - except you can see a correction that seems to be hitting more heavily on the alts rather than BTC - but a mere trend is not going to provide much help with predicting the future BTC price direction, is it?
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August 15, 2018, 02:38:20 AM

I just wanted to let you all know, that I'm secure enough with myself to admit, that I have absolutely no idea what is going on with Bitcorn prices.

What a ride though. Crazy wild swings.

I can't imagine the financial carnage Bitcorn has caused people trying to play the markets.

isnt this what we signed up for? the wild ride?

i mean who wants to be bored.

Volatility is my friend. Every round of priceDownUp puts another bit of BTC and BCH in my pocket. As long as the long term trend remains up (long term as in 4-year cycle), I am a happy camper.


Sorry to say that your BTC might have to support your BCH habit... and your remaining attached to those bcash bags may all work out in the end.  Perhaps?  Perhaps?
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August 15, 2018, 02:54:21 AM

$6000 seems to be holding a little too falsely to me. Got to be manipulation holding us arund this range, no?
The price fell all too easily from $8500 to $5800 but recovered to above $6000 (just about) but we’re holding here by literally $5 - $100, why?

My conspiracy driven mind tells me we’re being played by whales who are still accumulating at these prices before we begin the next bull run.

It just seems so artificial clinging onto $6000 for dear life & not showing any sogns of crashing significantly below it or pulling away & going up.

Bigger forces at play here, this is not just ‘the market’.

your implication that we cannot really know what is going on behind the scenes with any kind of certainty is not without precedent.

Of course, if whales could push the BTC price down more without giving up their own coins, then they are likely to attempt such.

Even though the time frames in 2015 were different, but we spent a considerable amount of the whole year of 2015 in the $200s and there were continued attempts to bring the BTC price down, but at a certain point, they ran out of sellers.

Yeah, we keep revisiting $6k, and none of us know for sure if $6k is going to hold - but we have been here quite a bit, and we continue to return to around this price range.  At some point, there are likely to be more buyers than sellers in this price range and at prices much higher than this, but I still think that it could take awhile to break above $10k and to stay there.  Would be nice if we could get into the $10k striking range in the coming months, but seems to me that the odds are not really better than 50/50 in that regard, perhaps even in the 40% arena?  Surely, I like surprises, especially upwards, but we should continue to prepare ourselves mentally and financially in case it takes longer than expected to get back above $10k.
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August 15, 2018, 03:04:50 AM

Rats, rats will be hunted

do not trade, no negotiation, hodl

Be lions, be ferocious











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August 15, 2018, 03:05:58 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (2), JayJuanGee (1)



Shorts getting wrecked.

That is the ultimate in stupid for someone margin shorting in a bear market and still getting REKT.  Cheesy
Anon136
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August 15, 2018, 03:10:42 AM









I liked some of your posts and links and stuff before. I was your advocate even when others were souring on you. But looking back over the last half dozen pages you seem like you are losing it.
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August 15, 2018, 03:11:40 AM

$6000 seems to be holding a little too falsely to me. Got to be manipulation holding us arund this range, no?
The price fell all too easily from $8500 to $5800 but recovered to above $6000 (just about) but we’re holding here by literally $5 - $100, why?

My conspiracy driven mind tells me we’re being played by whales who are still accumulating at these prices before we begin the next bull run.

It just seems so artificial clinging onto $6000 for dear life & not showing any sogns of crashing significantly below it or pulling away & going up.

Bigger forces at play here, this is not just ‘the market’.

This is my opinion, and has always been. The game is rigged and the only winning move is to not play, ie. HODL.

Bitcoin will become [a/the] major global currency, and everyone knows it (especially the haters).

Your advice is really incomplete, and I don't really know what you mean with your assertion of "rigged."  Actually, the "rigged" concept seems like quite a bit of incomplete bullshit. 

I agree with any point that you might be making that whales (especially bear whales) are going to attempt to manipulate the price down as much as they are able to manipulate it down, but that mere fact does not mean that the long term situation is "rigged." 

In other words, bearwhales might not want to sell their own coins in order to manipulate the price down, especially if they are not confident about their ability to get the price to go down, so they attempt to get others to sell their coins.

You do realize that we are at quite less than 1% world-wide adoption of bitcoin, and accordingly, there continue to be a lot of peeps who are just finding out about bitcoin and wanting to take some kind of stake in bitcoin.   Those peeps cannot HODL.  They have to figure out a reasonable buying strategy to get a stake into bitcoin.

  Even people who have been in bitcoin for a considerable amount of time might not be content with the amount of bitcoins that they have, and those people might be attempting to accumulate coins, too, and HODL is not going to work to accumulate coins.

I agree that once you have established a decent sized BTC stash that reasonably fits your own circumstances, then at that point, HODL can be a very good plan, but HODL by itself is likely incomplete for a large number of peeps, especially given our continued low level of actual adoption which continues to justify various means to attempt to accumulate BTC.
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August 15, 2018, 03:24:01 AM

not sure but i want to say bullish!
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August 15, 2018, 03:25:10 AM

Almost transparent, but has taken time. The who is who of the zoo makes it difficult.

but this is certain, the monsters have been found, the resources required are endless

I have been forsaken, gone lost, my goal is beyond bitcoin

for me my resources are fine, for mine my resources are no less than a dynasty

that is a lot of bitcoin

Dank, is that you?

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August 15, 2018, 03:27:17 AM

JayJuanGee
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August 15, 2018, 03:38:06 AM

Well, we haven't seed hide nor hair of jbreher or PeterR or any of the other bcash pumpers in recent days to attempt to defend bcash shenanigans

Meh. I'm merely somewhat behind the head of the thread. Traveling, with not much time to stay abreast.

I will concede that I believe you are a real person, and therefore the needs of real people will sometimes cause an inability to contribute to the WO thread.


Disappointed re: the drop in BTC value. Though I've been buying, so I have more net BTC.

Surely, a lot of us BTC HODLers feel some kind of desire for the BTC price to just do something... We get several incidents of seeming to break up, but then we continue to get caught back down in this $6k price range (which is the bottom of the range)... So yeah, it can be a bit depressing, even while it is within the realm of normal market behavior and within a realm of possibilities that we should have been able to expect to be possible... and in that regard, there may be some relief that the price correction is not greater and that BTC is holding this bottom pretty well (even though we are far from out of the woods.. bring us above $10k, and we might start to feel some kind of satisfaction that the "bottom is in").



Even more disappointed re: the drop in BCH value. Though I've been buying, so I have more net BCH.

Hopefully, you do not get burned with that crap, but I suppose some folks would consider that you deserve it and there is not much sympathy for Bcash supporters in these parts - especially since it continues to be largely perceived as an ongoing attack vector against BTC... so in some regards, people are hoping that Jihan and Roger and even you get burnt with your bag holdings.. But we will see... time will tell.  If Jihan gets an IPO bail out, it could take another 5-10 years to play out (hope not but it could take that long).


For the foreseeable future, I have sufficient personal liquidity, so I can wait for the inevitable sky-high valuation.

Your thinking is muddy, here.  Anyhow, you seem to be talking about both BTC and BCH and expecting both of them to have at least one more exponential price rise.  I cannot really disagree with your that BCH could muster up another pump at some point in the near future.

IOW: Bitcoin user hodler not affected.

Again you seem to be conflating bitcoin and bcash, and sure there is some relationship, but we are probably not going to get anywhere by diving into the beaten up topic further.

On the other hand, it remains a good practice to have established an acceptable amount of liquidity, but in practice, there continues to be temptations to spend some of that liquidity while the price is down, and perhaps to screw things up by running out of money in the event that the asset (referring to bitcoin here) continues to go down.. perhaps below $3k - which seems a stretch to me, but certainly not out side of the realm of possibilities... which will be depressing for me too, even though I am prepared to keep buying and I already have orders set down to those price levels, just in case.

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August 15, 2018, 03:38:55 AM



Lauda, is that you?   You are looking kind of serious and focused, even with those wings.  Cheesy Cheesy
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August 15, 2018, 03:45:02 AM

just lucky to be a hodler with not to much of shitcoins in my bag

life still the same ....-playing poker as today (only very short session by to much  headbanging complaining ......)
                              -still going on many dinner evenings
                              - still saturday evening dinner and BOOZe
                              -^with sunday sober up day , and premier league football and greasy food
                              -still weekly going to the movie's as seeing manie serie's and movie's @ home
                              -still every day (6of 7) work out.....
                              -still reading WO threat
                               -........
                               -........
                               -And so on ......................

All of my routines still the same THATS HOW HODLERS ROLL     keep on hodling keeping the patience keep leading the same hodling life

only when possible buying DIPS and getting that personal BTC nr UP  Grin

What about your income stream, micgoos?

You cannot just spend money without having income coming in, right?
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August 15, 2018, 03:55:13 AM

Even more disappointed re: the drop in BCH value. Though I've been buying, so I have more net BCH.

How do you feel about Bitmain holding Satoshi-plus sized bags?

I'll admit, I am conflicted.

I worry about one entity holding that much value.

OTOH, it reassures me that Bitmain has such a large commitment.

I know the local narrative is that Bitmain shit the bed on this. I can see several ways, however, that this works out well for my position - in working out well for Bitmain. Time will tell.
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August 15, 2018, 04:01:19 AM
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$6000 seems to be holding a little too falsely to me. Got to be manipulation holding us arund this range, no?
The price fell all too easily from $8500 to $5800 but recovered to above $6000 (just about) but we’re holding here by literally $5 - $100, why?

My conspiracy driven mind tells me we’re being played by whales who are still accumulating at these prices before we begin the next bull run.

It just seems so artificial clinging onto $6000 for dear life & not showing any sogns of crashing significantly below it or pulling away & going up.

Bigger forces at play here, this is not just ‘the market’.

your implication that we cannot really know what is going on behind the scenes with any kind of certainty is not without precedent.

Of course, if whales could push the BTC price down more without giving up their own coins, then they are likely to attempt such.

Even though the time frames in 2015 were different, but we spent a considerable amount of the whole year of 2015 in the $200s and there were continued attempts to bring the BTC price down, but at a certain point, they ran out of sellers.

Yeah, we keep revisiting $6k, and none of us know for sure if $6k is going to hold - but we have been here quite a bit, and we continue to return to around this price range.  At some point, there are likely to be more buyers than sellers in this price range and at prices much higher than this, but I still think that it could take awhile to break above $10k and to stay there.  Would be nice if we could get into the $10k striking range in the coming months, but seems to me that the odds are not really better than 50/50 in that regard, perhaps even in the 40% arena?  Surely, I like surprises, especially upwards, but we should continue to prepare ourselves mentally and financially in case it takes longer than expected to get back above $10k.


agree. 2 questions however

1) the revisiting 6k ... is this simply 'manipulation' at this point in time, due to the fact a LOT and I mean a LOT of ASIC miners, btc

and others are folding. Some good-sized data halls as well. Thus forced in the situation of 1) paying off loans/debts etc with btc/crypto

to the bank or whatever to cut down on monthly expenses (not to mention people, pulling out rigs) thus, once their house is in order

(painful though it may be) hope to MINE LIKE HELL and HODL BTC (or whatever crypto) and replenish HOARD at the other side. It is

a half-assed way to do this, but if you have big monthly expenses, cashing coin out now to minimize that and mine at the back end,

from folk I know, seems to be what is going on. ie get the bank off my back, by selling crypto, have the bldg etc as a hedge, if all crypto

goes tulips, and then with less

expenses outside electric, etc and mine and HODL to get it back, after this August has passed. An everyone cashing out because, they

got caught with their pants down, kinda situation...don't ya know. Smiley

So my point is, is this a 'short-term' adjustment by miners to a 'new reality' and thus the glut of BTC/crypto sales and getting their house in

order? (hell, I don't know, tossing it out there for better minds than mine to ponder)

2) what exactly do you have to have for electric and such to make any money with BTC or LTC mining at these current prices?

Like what? Something silly like 5c electric for your BTC or other crypto ASIC rigs? Hell if I know if bitmain is making money or losing money

right now. I guess it depends on what the 'big, I mean really, big boys pay for electric". I've no clue.



To sum up, is the boat on pow mining of any type, just awash and can be bailed out ..or is the pow mining (BTC specifically) sinking?

Or hell, is what I'm saying has nothing to do with the price or any other issue with BTC or crypto at this time?

Just a further aside, if any combo of the above is true, would that not mean, this too shall pass? (overproduction vs price) and with

85% of all BTC already mined, there simply will have to be a rebound (eventually)? (or am I delusional?)

as usual, I think you see what I'm pondering here..but really have no idea of how widespread big miners are and if/or not they are

in trouble like the rest of us ....or simply reaping the rewards as pow miners of any flavor are pulled and now doorstops at the lower

end and higher electric price levels (middle and small fry data halls may be toast as I speak)

thanks, as usual, I'm hoping the price is due to the above considerations, short-term and simple low volume and such being August and all.

and again, nothing I've said above has any basis on the current situation this August or price of BTC or crypto and I've missed the mark

entirely. (but then again, delusion may be my middle name, these days, got to have a reason made up or not!) Smiley

anyway, above is where the rabbit trail of my mind is going

brad
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