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Question: What happens first:
$65,000 - 59 (86.8%)
$48,000 - 9 (13.2%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26336769 times)
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Lambie Slayer
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March 11, 2019, 03:34:43 AM

No.

You rebel (or should I say "cunt"?).

You backed up your point, very clearly and unambiguously.   Roll Eyes

Salty Cunt  Wink Grin
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March 11, 2019, 03:43:42 AM

14-Year-Old WinRAR Exploit Allegedly Threatens Crypto Wallets
[snip]
Alternatives:
7-Zip
Winzip

I feel your pain. Better Alternatives?
Don't use Winderrs.
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March 11, 2019, 03:44:20 AM

I wonder how much anxiety there is about breaking above $4k?

Odds seem in favor of it, currently.

On the other hand, should we just be taking up other hobbies for a few months.. and maybe we bounce in a kind of narrow range?  What would that range be?  $3,600 to $4,200? 

It seem to me that there is a desire to bounce between $4,000 and $4,500 - your results may vary.


........... aaaaaaaannnnnnnddddddd   the next 12 hours are critical.

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March 11, 2019, 04:07:40 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Last of the V8s (1)


I saw this one the other day, and I did not want to say anything.



Looks like a wind-up catapult. Trebuchets are better, but the increased acceleration could burst the blood vessels in your eyes, before you leave the sling. Don't try this at home.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo_oigyFlTA

The acceleration is so great, that it can extinguish a burning piano, before it leaves the sling:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Rn8jBzsg9U

I built a small one, they are very accurate, once you get the sling length/pin release worked out, counterweight and projectile weight dialed in. I can hit a monitor with a marble 4 cubes away, 10 out of 10 tries. GTFO with your nerf guns, I have a siege weapon...
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March 11, 2019, 04:20:24 AM


I saw this one the other day, and I did not want to say anything.



Looks like a wind-up catapult. Trebuchets are better, but the increased acceleration could burst the blood vessels in your eyes, before you leave the sling. Don't try this at home.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo_oigyFlTA

The acceleration is so great, that it can extinguish a burning piano, before it leaves the sling:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Rn8jBzsg9U

I built a small one, they are very accurate, once you get the sling length/pin release worked out, counterweight and projectile weight dialed in. I can hit a monitor with a marble 4 cubes away, 10 out of 10 tries. GTFO with your nerf guns, I have a siege weapon...


Oh my!!!!   

I think that I value my life (even if I were younger and more risk-taking) way too much to take any of those kinds of risks.   Probably, I am in the 99% in that regard.

Really looks dangerous, that Trebuchets, and the amount of power that seems to be generated (even if you assert that their throw is quite accurate).
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March 11, 2019, 04:24:04 AM

I wonder how much anxiety there is about breaking above $4k?

Odds seem in favor of it, currently.

On the other hand, should we just be taking up other hobbies for a few months.. and maybe we bounce in a kind of narrow range?  What would that range be?  $3,600 to $4,200?  

It seem to me that there is a desire to bounce between $4,000 and $4,500 - your results may vary.


........... aaaaaaaannnnnnnddddddd   the next 12 hours are critical.



The bearline sits at $4k. We won’t take $4k without a fight. But we have a golden cross on the 50 / 100 MA to lift us into the fight.  (Crossing of yellow and orange lines).

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March 11, 2019, 04:30:19 AM


I built a small one, they are very accurate, once you get the sling length/pin release worked out, counterweight and projectile weight dialed in. I can hit a monitor with a marble 4 cubes away, 10 out of 10 tries. GTFO with your nerf guns, I have a siege weapon...
You can hit a monitor how far? What’s a cube? Lol a typo?  Yet Another Silly Non SI unit?
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March 11, 2019, 04:41:53 AM

Samsung Pay will integrate cryptocurrencies for 10 million users.

https://www.ccn.com/samsung-pay-10m-users-integrate-crypto
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March 11, 2019, 04:48:51 AM

I wonder how much anxiety there is about breaking above $4k?

Odds seem in favor of it, currently.

On the other hand, should we just be taking up other hobbies for a few months.. and maybe we bounce in a kind of narrow range?  What would that range be?  $3,600 to $4,200?  

It seem to me that there is a desire to bounce between $4,000 and $4,500 - your results may vary.


........... aaaaaaaannnnnnnddddddd   the next 12 hours are critical.



The bearline sits at $4k. We won’t take $4k without a fight. But we have a golden cross on the 50 / 100 MA to lift us into the fight.  (Crossing of yellow and orange lines).



Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?  

Even though I recognize that you have been decently successful with you lines on a chart, I don't necessarily want to get caught up with those lines, too much.. but anyhow, I still come up with  tentative theories, and currently, I am still thinking that there is decent chances that we experience significant resistance at each of the 3 points that I describe above (assuming that we end up breaking through $4k in the coming 12 to 48hours).  

My theories are based on quasi-SOMA principles (term kind of trade marked by d_eddie, of course).
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March 11, 2019, 05:15:31 AM

Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?

Hitting and holding $4k will be a huge victory but nothing will be easy after that either.  I have previously said it will take until December for us to reach and hold $6k and we will have to fight every step of the way.  This will be a war of attrition and accumulation.  

It will not be pretty but it will be upward on average.
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March 11, 2019, 05:23:10 AM

Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?

Hitting and holding $4k will be a huge victory but nothing will be easy after that either.  I have previously said it will take until December for us to reach and hold $6k and we will have to fight every step of the way.  This will be a war of attrition and accumulation.  

It will not be pretty but it will be upward on average.
$4K or $6K by Decemeber 2019,the price will reach new heights on the next halving so we need to ready for the another bull run before end of 2020.

Am I right?
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March 11, 2019, 05:28:02 AM

It will probably take a least a year after the halvening for the price to fully respond to the supply side shock.  So 2021 not 2020. New ATH at the very end of 2020 if we are lucky.
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March 11, 2019, 05:28:47 AM
Last edit: March 11, 2019, 05:43:18 AM by nanobtc
Merited by fillippone (1), Toxic2040 (1), HairyMaclairy (1)


I built a small one, they are very accurate, once you get the sling length/pin release worked out, counterweight and projectile weight dialed in. I can hit a monitor with a marble 4 cubes away, 10 out of 10 tries. GTFO with your nerf guns, I have a siege weapon...
You can hit a monitor how far? What’s a cube? Lol a typo?  Yet Another Silly Non SI unit?

Sorry, that's tech worker slang. A cube is a cubicle, an office working environment. A monitor is a computer viewing device. A monitor lizard would not be impressed by being hit with glass marbles at all, and only annoy it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monitor_lizard

A nerf gun is a safe and legal toy. Siege weapons were used since 429 BC, to break down fortified environments. Sometimes, instead of breaking down the castle wall, they would just hurl a dead cow inside a castle, and wait for them to all die from disease. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_engine

If the king sent a messenger with an offer that was refused, they would sometimes just fling the messenger against the castle wall in response. Don't kill the messenger?

EDIT: Just now looked, a Trebuchet was apparently a 4BC Chinese invention, despite the French sounding name. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trebuchet

EDIT AGAIN: I even named my small toy trebuchet. I called it "The Duke of Hurl" You can experiment with parameters here, safely.  http://www.virtualtrebuchet.com/
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March 11, 2019, 05:33:05 AM

It will probably take a least a year after the halvening for the price to fully respond to the supply side shock.  So 2021 not 2020. New ATH at the very end of 2020 if we are lucky.
Hat family members are very lucky. Wink
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March 11, 2019, 05:41:25 AM

Fourth consecutive week closed in the green... and I still have no fucking idea what the price is gonna do next. Bleh. If at least I had the balls to aggressively scalp around this range....


Welcome to my world...befuddled...hodl'ing but befuddled on 2019, especially with the mt. gox dump in May 2019..I think it is?
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March 11, 2019, 05:41:33 AM

Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?

Hitting and holding $4k will be a huge victory but nothing will be easy after that either.  I have previously said it will take until December for us to reach and hold $6k and we will have to fight every step of the way.  This will be a war of attrition and accumulation.  

It will not be pretty but it will be upward on average.

O.k.  Fair enough.  That's in the ballpark of my thinking too in terms of the kind of expected price battle on the way up between here and $6k-ish, but I would like to think that I am less wedded than you regarding any kind of exacting timeline within a kind of fractal comparison of how long the battle will take.

As far as I am concerned, the fractal comparisons can take a flying hike (look at me, G-rated language) - though I will still likely continue to ask you, from time to time, about whether you consider that we are still within the parameters of the fractal, as you see it, especially since so far in this current price correction cycle there have been considerably decent and eerily comparable BTC price performance within this correction cycle as compared with the last one. 

In other words, I hate relying upon such similar performance (and expectations of such), even though such BTC price direction largely seems to be continuing to take place in that pattern following way.
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March 11, 2019, 05:48:21 AM

Perhaps my guideways are not as rigid as you might think (or I have portrayed).

I have picked a number as a signpost but as we both know on any given day the actual price can be at least 20% higher or lower (or both) without breaking a sweat. 
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March 11, 2019, 05:53:43 AM
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Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?

Hitting and holding $4k will be a huge victory but nothing will be easy after that either.  I have previously said it will take until December for us to reach and hold $6k and we will have to fight every step of the way.  This will be a war of attrition and accumulation.  

It will not be pretty but it will be upward on average.
$4K or $6K by Decemeber 2019,the price will reach new heights on the next halving so we need to ready for the another bull run before end of 2020.

Am I right?

New ATHs have not come before or even at the time of the halvenings, but several months (and maybe even more than a year afterwards). 

I doubt that this upcoming May 2020 halvening is going to be much different in that regard.   There is a kind of expectation that the halvening should be "priced in" because it is a known event, and should even really be a known dynamic; however, there seems to be so much god damned stupidity out there, not only in terms of so called smart-money, but also the population and even the spreading of opposite FUD. 

So there continues to be a dynamic of ongoing attempts to manipulate BTC prices as low as possible and for as long as possible (which I suppose could be considered kind of smart in and of itself for the smarter bearwhales to accumulate BTC);  but such strenuous downward BTC manipulation tendencies has tended to exacerbate pushing the price way below value and then a subsequent violent and seemingly unrealistic reaction in the opposite direction causing FOMO, pumping and just upwards price movements beyond anything close to reasonable.

Of course, I am always receptive to possibilities that history is not going to repeat itself, but ironically, with the passage of time, we are likely going to find ourselves experiencing a similar pattern as the historical ones.   The longer term BTC HODLers will continue to b surprised while at the same time NOT being overly surprised, while at the same time we won't be as surprised as the folks who are way newer to the market who will be exacerbating the FOMO, including the previous BTC no coiners and BTC naysayers who will likely be more surprised than long term BTC HODLers because they will be buying on the way up.. and long term HODLers will be continuing to struggle with some dilemma regarding when exactly to sell, and how much to sell, if any.
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March 11, 2019, 05:58:44 AM

Would you say, hypothetically, if BTC prices are able to convincingly break above $4k, then 1) such prices will not necessarily get repelled at the $4,200 level again, or 2) maybe have the next challenge at $4,500 or 3) there is no real resistance until getting in the upper $4k arena or sub $5k arena?

Hitting and holding $4k will be a huge victory but nothing will be easy after that either.  I have previously said it will take until December for us to reach and hold $6k and we will have to fight every step of the way.  This will be a war of attrition and accumulation.  

It will not be pretty but it will be upward on average.
$4K or $6K by Decemeber 2019,the price will reach new heights on the next halving so we need to ready for the another bull run before end of 2020.

Am I right?

New ATHs have not come before or even at the time of the halvenings, but several months (and maybe even more than a year afterwards). 

I doubt that this upcoming May 2020 halvening is going to be much different in that regard.   There is a kind of expectation that the halvening should be "priced in" because it is a known event, and should even really be a known dynamic; however, there seems to be so much god damned stupidity out there, not only in terms of so called smart-money, but also the population and even the spreading of opposite FUD. 

So there continues to be a dynamic of ongoing attempts to manipulate BTC prices as low as possible and for as long as possible (which I suppose could be considered kind of smart in and of itself for the smarter bearwhales to accumulate BTC);  but such strenuous downward BTC manipulation tendencies has tended to exacerbate pushing the price way below value and then a subsequent violent and seemingly unrealistic reaction in the opposite direction causing FOMO, pumping and just upwards price movements beyond anything close to reasonable.

Of course, I am always receptive to possibilities that history is not going to repeat itself, but ironically, with the passage of time, we are likely going to find ourselves experiencing a similar pattern as the historical ones.   The longer term BTC HODLers will continue to b surprised while at the same time NOT being overly surprised, while at the same time we won't be as surprised as the folks who are way newer to the market who will be exacerbating the FOMO, including the previous BTC no coiners and BTC naysayers who will likely be more surprised than long term BTC HODLers because they will be buying on the way up.. and long term HODLers will be continuing to struggle with some dilemma regarding when exactly to sell, and how much to sell, if any.

I hope the expectation of next halvening will make some impact on the investors who are waiting long for the right time to come.

Just start speculating it and it will bring some highs.Hopefully.

#MotivationalMonday  Smiley
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March 11, 2019, 06:07:29 AM

Perhaps my guideways are not as rigid as you might think (or I have portrayed).

I have picked a number as a signpost but as we both know on any given day the actual price can be at least 20% higher or lower (or both) without breaking a sweat. 


I know.  I have a tendency to want to beat up on your presentations for being correct too often, and part of the reason that you seem to end up correct is that you tend to have a sufficient amount of fractal pattern flexibility - so I concede about your flexibility..   Cry Cry
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