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Question: Is this the last time we see sub-$10K?
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21529105 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (142 posts by 32 users deleted.)
El duderino_
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September 09, 2019, 11:30:44 AM

pump, pump, pump!

Sweet sweet sweet
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Ludwig Von
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September 09, 2019, 12:55:46 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

It looks like the bankrunner bringing fiat from my bank, Ghent Be to the Stamp bank (in Slovenia) somewhere got lost. Next time I will include a routeplanner when I try to do that again... . Angry Grin Angry Sad
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September 09, 2019, 01:03:52 PM

A good opsec security is just a part of the equation trying to avoiding crimes involving crypto’s happens to you:
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Norwegian bitcoin millionaire jumped down 2 stories from his balcony after man with shotgun broke in to his house. This is why you never tell anyone you own BTC

https://twitter.com/redditbtc/status/1170809574607249409?s=21

This is my suggestion.
Fillippone, your fellow Mexican WO pal.
Going to a trekking in Yucatàn trying to forget the fact I just lost my private keys in a boating accident!

Lol, Here's a good reply. Smiley

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Well technically he jumped one story because he was already at the bottom of the second story.
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September 09, 2019, 01:06:06 PM

This yoyo BTC price is a bit boring...  Roll Eyes


Not if you


I think the trick here is to avoid the unprofitable Scenario 1 and stick to Scenario 2.

Scenario 1:


Scenario 2:


So I'm going to play the "buy back" game only if the price drops significantly, like 75%.


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September 09, 2019, 01:11:59 PM

via Imgflip Meme Generator

via Imgflip Meme Generator

Not sure if this should be done with left or right hand, but a little slot machine observing in Vegas this weekend.  Wink

268 days into the new BTCull Market and all is well.  Cheesy

I h8 slot machines and only use them to roll over my free play but something spoke to me in those shots,


I think it was the star trek theme. Grin
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September 09, 2019, 01:18:22 PM
Last edit: September 09, 2019, 01:30:07 PM by Hueristic
Merited by Lambie Slayer (1)


 Antonio Brown is a team destroyer.  Go Steelers!!   Tongue

Edit: k.  I'll admit it was embarrassing and I wish I had gone to bed instead of watching.  Now I'm tired and angry.

I had Moncrief and Washington on my bench and moncrief is now tossed to the shitter, I remember him dropping everything at the colts but took a gamble just in case he stepped up. Washington looks like he's gonna work out though. Smiley


I am wondering if Tomlin is pulling the masterstroke and using AB as a radioactive Trojan Horse to take down several teams in the league and drive them into dysfunction. Belichick has superpowers of making things go right, but AB has superpowers of turning things into horseshit, its a question of who will have the strongest superpower. Its Bill's greatest test. AB is one of the biggest pieces of shit in sports that I can remember in my lifetime. Raiders were dumb to sign him, but Im pissed how he screwed them over.

ROTFLMFAO! Right, its all goddamn Voodoo.

Tomlin does have the worst luck and literally Belichick catches all the breaks that make him look like a genius. I really was pulling for the raiders as they were my team growing up (because the Pats sucked so bad i had to have 2 to root for) and Gruden is going through Prima Donna WR's like french whores go through perfume,. It looks like Gordon is even working out, who would have guessed that? Not me thats for sure. They started with nothing for wr and lost Gronk and now they have too much wr talent. They probably won't even make the playoffs now. Grin


I have deduced that they're talking about a sport.


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September 09, 2019, 02:03:52 PM
Merited by akhjob (1)

Anyone shared this? No?

Dude built a Lightning ATM

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/d1hx12/i_built_a_lightning_atm_build_your_own/
LFC_Bitcoin
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September 09, 2019, 02:52:26 PM

^ Lambie we are supposed to concentrate on WO sign?  Tongue
Dear Lord!
I hadn't noticed!
Something is wrong with me, if I care more about WO sign instead of natural (or not natural, I don't care) beauties!


Love these pics Cheesy
Keep them coming guys Smiley
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September 09, 2019, 03:09:59 PM

Didn't see this posted yet, the correlation with halving while not too surprising is still interesting, keep HODL'n...
Quote
While a 100% sure profit would have taken a maximum of 1,335 days, this relates to the bull-run in late 2013, when Bitcoin price surged to $1150. If you had bought in right at the top, then it took 1,335 days before Bitcoin finally broke that level in early 2017.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-analysis-every-bitcoin-holder-makes-a-profit-after-1-335-days
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September 09, 2019, 03:16:38 PM

Some of you may get a kick out of this article...

Quote
Of course, technical analysis sometimes seems to work, says Janny Kul, who crunched the numbers on hundreds of TA research papers. Likewise, a coin flipped several times might yield five heads in a row. But falsely assuming that the coin’s past landings affect the probability of its future landings is wrongheaded. Indeed, the fallacy even has a name—“statistical independence.”
https://decrypt.co/9002/technical-analysis-the-art-of-wrongly-predicting-the-future

"Coin’s past landings affect" analogy is stupid. There's a big chance tomorrow's price will be close to today's price, everyone knows that. Tomorrow's price is not "statistically independent" from today's price.

Multi-year trend lines also can be useful for multi-year predictions.

Even past 2-3 months can be useful, like right now we're experiencing 80 days of sideways. So there is a good chance we'll continue moving sideways for at least another week.

Can you quantify the 'good chance' and why the week time duration of your prediction? I think the analogy works when you consider the prediction is not whether the price is close to short term past but whether it moves up or down relative. That's the coin flip part. At least that's how I understood it.
El duderino_
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September 09, 2019, 03:18:04 PM

The Bakkt Warehouse is active for futures

Bitcoin deposited at our Warehouse is protected by a $125 million insurance policy

https://twitter.com/bakkt/status/1171040208105758720?s=21
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September 09, 2019, 03:18:35 PM

Didn't see this posted yet, the correlation with halving while not too surprising is still interesting, keep HODL'n...
Quote
While a 100% sure profit would have taken a maximum of 1,335 days, this relates to the bull-run in late 2013, when Bitcoin price surged to $1150. If you had bought in right at the top, then it took 1,335 days before Bitcoin finally broke that level in early 2017.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-analysis-every-bitcoin-holder-makes-a-profit-after-1-335-days


This is nonsense.
No evidence, no rationale.
It's like driving straight on a road because on the the rear mirror it has always been a straight road.
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September 09, 2019, 03:21:19 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

Didn't see this posted yet, the correlation with halving while not too surprising is still interesting, keep HODL'n...
Quote
While a 100% sure profit would have taken a maximum of 1,335 days, this relates to the bull-run in late 2013, when Bitcoin price surged to $1150. If you had bought in right at the top, then it took 1,335 days before Bitcoin finally broke that level in early 2017.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-analysis-every-bitcoin-holder-makes-a-profit-after-1-335-days


This is nonsense.
No evidence, no rationale.
It's like driving straight on a road because on the the rear mirror it has always been a straight road.

Or like drawing a straight line through a price chart of the last 4 years and expecting it to still be straight 4 years from now.
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September 09, 2019, 03:31:29 PM
Merited by Toxic2040 (1)

Can you quantify the 'good chance' and why the week time duration of your prediction?

It's a gut feeling, not quantifiable math. And it's not a week but "at least a week", so could be longer. Maybe 2-3 weeks.

I think the analogy works when you consider the prediction is not whether the price is close to short term past but whether it moves up or down relative. That's the coin flip part. At least that's how I understood it.

There are different types of predictions, from unreliable short-term predictions for traders, to pretty reliable long-term predictions for us holders. It would be wrong to just dismiss all of them.
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September 09, 2019, 03:43:44 PM

There are different types of predictions, from unreliable short-term predictions for traders, to pretty reliable long-term predictions for us holders. It would be wrong to just dismiss all of them.

Totally agree, that's why I find the topic pretty interesting.
El duderino_
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September 09, 2019, 03:49:12 PM
Merited by akhjob (1)

#Gold made sense when transactions were physical interactions, but our digital world demands a form of digital gold. #DropGold

https://dropgold.com/drop-gold/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=2019_q3_MS
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September 09, 2019, 04:05:42 PM
Last edit: September 09, 2019, 04:26:50 PM by jbreher

If jbreher uses his intelligence to deceive people

Not at all. At least never intentionally.

Quote
or to to get caught in stupid-ass technical arguments

I guess it takes a self-described technical ignoramus to openly refer to technical arguments as 'stupid-ass'.

you have a significantly large amount of misleading and misinformation in your posts

You are wrong. There is no such thing as factual information that is misleading or misinforming. I present facts, and leave the editorializing to a minimum. Any mis- is in your misattribution of ulterior motive to my actions, which causes you to invent things in my writings that are not there.

Quote
Regarding your stupid-ass technical arguments, they frequently are stupid-ass because they either are misleading or they are put too much weight on improbable events, which is another form of misleading.

Again, I present mostly scenarios within the range of possibility. I rarely assign probabilities to such events.

OTOH, to outwardly shame the presenter of truthful possibilities is indeed in itself a misleading activity, largely the domain of those trying to prevent the truth from becoming widely known.

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Since it seems quite unlikely that you are going to get banned,

Dream on, compadre, dream on.

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Remember Jstolfi?  

What the hell does Stolfi have to do with this? Absolutely nothing. Stolfi was rational, but he worked from flawed axioms - to wit:
- Bitcoin is merely a currency at best.
- Deflationary currencies can never work in any role in economic society.

Nay, the axiom that we seem to disagree upon would seem to be my belief that actual utility matters.
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September 09, 2019, 04:07:57 PM

JJG, you may be a bit too wordy, but I'm glad that you spare the time to call out the destructive bullshit that jbreher spews in order to manipulate others. I am also thankful for Hairy's contributions as well. 

Yeah. Too bad for your camp of witch-burners that JJG never actually addresses any of the points made, and that when Hairy does, it backfires spectacularly due to his/her lack of grasp of the very topics s/he utters.
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September 09, 2019, 04:12:22 PM
Merited by Last of the V8s (1)

I am wondering if Tomlin is pulling the masterstroke and using AB as a radioactive Trojan Horse to take down several teams in the league and drive them into dysfunction. Belichick has superpowers of making things go right, but AB has superpowers of turning things into horseshit, its a question of who will have the strongest superpower. Its Bill's greatest test. AB is one of the biggest pieces of shit in sports that I can remember in my lifetime. Raiders were dumb to sign him, but Im pissed how he screwed them over.

Hey Lambie (and other NFL fans), I started my own NFL predictions thread in the Gambling section, but its pretty slow going over there. Feel free to stop by and drop some of your wisdom if you like. I'm always looking for insights about picks, I'm sure others are too:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5179018

I have deduced that they're talking about a sport.

The only sport where I can sit through the whole damn thing.

It is a bit weird that Americans decided to adopt the word "football" for their sport. The foot connecting with the ball is a rarer part of the action.
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September 09, 2019, 04:15:25 PM

The Bakkt Warehouse is active for futures

Bitcoin deposited at our Warehouse is protected by a $125 million insurance policy

https://twitter.com/bakkt/status/1171040208105758720?s=21

I fear BTC price will tumble significantly when Bakkt swings full gear.
At least that's what happened back in 2017 when CBOE & CME launched futures trading.
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