Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[Richy_T]

Ha ha!  Well I did read somewhere that technical analysis is simply astrology for men and that astrology is no better at predicting the future than random chance.  It gives me something rather than watching TV to do in my free time though.

I consider it more akin to reading tea-leaves.

[1713571851]

1713571851

[1713571851]

1713571851

[aesma]

sub $10k = 2%
 
$10k-$20k = 6%

$20k to $30k = 12%

$30k to $40k = 18%

$40k to $46k = 23%

Total percentages for downspike scenarios:  61%

then hopefully you are able to line up your BTC buy orders in accordance with your assignment of probabilities accordingly.  So of course your numbers might be different than the ones that I have described above.. and maybe those are approximations of my own?  Don't get me wrong, the fact that I might concede a down spike having 61% odds of happening would not mean that I would necessarily consider any of these to be sustainable or even BTC's likely direction, since I still consider that we are in a bull market, but there could be some questions regarding how much more downward movement might happen, how long it might last, and then if such additional down does end up happening, then does such down change the odds of more down or take us out of the bull market after a certain price range or duration in being at such price range.

My lowest order is actually at 20000$.

Why do you only allocate 61% and not 100% ?

[Hueristic]

Oh right after I post NY Jets are now trailing oh well

[Richy_T]

If AlcoHODL had left out the condescending rant against people who choose not to take the vaccine, he never would have triggered me. Plus he posted it here, instead of Bob's off-topic thread he was already aware of, because he's posted there before also. He knew EXACTLY what he was doing. And all you guys are applauding him for it.

This, basically.

Though I find more reprehensible those who are calling out those who responded to it. If you don't want counter-responses, don't post on controversial topics. Those who are crying that only their point of view should be expressed can go piss up a rope.

Whoever the hell is modding this these days should just delete the whole shebang, including this comment.

[OutOfMemory]

sub $10k = 2%
  
$10k-$20k = 6%

$20k to $30k = 12%

$30k to $40k = 18%

$40k to $46k = 23%

Total percentages for downspike scenarios:  61%

then hopefully you are able to line up your BTC buy orders in accordance with your assignment of probabilities accordingly.  So of course your numbers might be different than the ones that I have described above.. and maybe those are approximations of my own?  Don't get me wrong, the fact that I might concede a down spike having 61% odds of happening would not mean that I would necessarily consider any of these to be sustainable or even BTC's likely direction, since I still consider that we are in a bull market, but there could be some questions regarding how much more downward movement might happen, how long it might last, and then if such additional down does end up happening, then does such down change the odds of more down or take us out of the bull market after a certain price range or duration in being at such price range.

My lowest order is actually at 20000$.

Why do you only allocate 61% and not 100% ?

39% are upside scenarios?

If AlcoHODL had left out the condescending rant against people who choose not to take the vaccine, he never would have triggered me. Plus he posted it here, instead of Bob's off-topic thread he was already aware of, because he's posted there before also. He knew EXACTLY what he was doing. And all you guys are applauding him for it.

This, basically.

Though I find more reprehensible those who are calling out those who responded to it. If you don't want counter-responses, don't post on controversial topics. Those who are crying that only their point of view should be expressed can go piss up a rope.

Whoever the hell is modding this these days should just delete the whole shebang, including this comment.

What!?
Are you trying to tell us that if infofront ever quits moderating the WO, his successor could (theoretically) cause the "Great Reset" of WO?  
I think moving these posts would suffice, tbh.
Didn't i discuss about "freedom" with someone of us recently here? 

[Richy_T]

I think moving these posts would suffice, tbh.

I'm fine with that. No difference as far as I'm concerned. I don't care to engage in those discussions particularly much. As far as I can tell, everyone is doing their best to get through this as well as they can and there is not enough quality data being collected to make more than an approximate estimation of the best course of action and that will vary for different people in different circumstances in any case. I find the hate that's being genned up around this situation to be very concerning, particularly as it accompanies a rush to curtail freedoms.

[Biodom]

I did not sell any btc to increase spending, but had to make some moves in a couple of unnamed alts that had obscene gains in 2021.
House remodeling is expensive.
My bitcoin stash keeps accumulating (slowly) due to mining rewards.

For those of you who like viewing some expensive RE (I have to say that the buildings themselves are amazing from the engineering perspective), check out this, although this is probably out of reach for almost everyone here...but in 10 years...who knows:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wehsz38P74g

In New York?

OK as your second or third home, I guess.

maybe..the vibe from a promoter/re agent was that this is like owning a Picasso-something very unique and there are only about 400-500 apt total in skyscrapers like this (in NY).

[LFC_Bitcoin]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[OutOfMemory]

I think moving these posts would suffice, tbh.

I'm fine with that. No difference as far as I'm concerned. I don't care to engage in those discussions particularly much. As far as I can tell, everyone is doing their best to get through this as well as they can and there is not enough quality data being collected to make more than an approximate estimation of the best course of action and that will vary for different people in different circumstances in any case. I find the hate that's being genned up around this situation to be very concerning, particularly as it accompanies a rush to curtail freedoms.

As a rule of thumb, in complex systems (like a pandemic) simple solutions fail most of the time, not only by producing more problems by "unwanted side effects".

[aesma]

I did not sell any btc to increase spending, but had to make some moves in a couple of unnamed alts that had obscene gains in 2021.
House remodeling is expensive.
My bitcoin stash keeps accumulating (slowly) due to mining rewards.

For those of you who like viewing some expensive RE (I have to say that the buildings themselves are amazing from the engineering perspective), check out this, although this is probably out of reach for almost everyone here...but in 10 years...who knows:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wehsz38P74g

In New York?

OK as your second or third home, I guess.

maybe..the vibe from a promoter/re agent was that this is like owning a Picasso-something very unique and there are only about 400-500 apt total in skyscrapers like this (in NY).

I was suggested the video by youtube earlier today. It says that half the falts are empty, even the most expensive ones. Someone pays 250 millions for a flat and never uses it, even once. What a waste !

It was also suggested that maybe it wasn't the best investment, because at first, with one such tower, it was "unique", but now, like you say there are several hundreds of them.

[marcus_of_augustus]

As far as I can tell, everyone is doing their best to get through this as well as they can and there is not enough quality data being collected to make more than an approximate estimation of the best course of action and that will vary for different people in different circumstances in any case.

... I can give you some hard data that might help inform your decisions, or any others that may be reading this that have faith in my integrity to supply sourced data

... the Pfizer vaccine 2 dose regime is 50% effective against the delta strain and wanes within 4 weeks, so you'll need a booster relatively soon with delta strain to maintain any meaningful protection

... it was only ever 95% effective against the Wuhan strain 2 weeks after second jab, it's been downhill since that nadir for the experimental gene therapies that have never been used for vaccinations previously

... in the general population about 1 in 20,000 is dying from vaccine injury per dose, so a 2 dose regime puts you at 1 in 10,000 risk of death, thus 100 people in a million are dying from mRNA jabs

... the most dangerous vax produced previously was for smallpox which killed 2 in a million so these mRNA jabs are 50 times more dangerous than the previously most dangerous jabs

... lethality from CoVID is about 1 in 1000 for people over 60 and co-morbidities (of which obesity is the major one) vit. D and zinc deficiencies are also major compounding factors ... this is a 99.8% survival rate

... lethality from CoVID is about 1 in 10,000 for people under 50 ... 99.9% survival rate with current treatments (monoclonal antibodies, zinc, dexamethadone)

https://podcasts.apple.com/nz/podcast/but-they-do-develop-vaccines-nikolai-petrovsky-everything/id1488846523?i=1000543679669

[Biodom]

I did not sell any btc to increase spending, but had to make some moves in a couple of unnamed alts that had obscene gains in 2021.
House remodeling is expensive.
My bitcoin stash keeps accumulating (slowly) due to mining rewards.

For those of you who like viewing some expensive RE (I have to say that the buildings themselves are amazing from the engineering perspective), check out this, although this is probably out of reach for almost everyone here...but in 10 years...who knows:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wehsz38P74g

In New York?

OK as your second or third home, I guess.

maybe..the vibe from a promoter/re agent was that this is like owning a Picasso-something very unique and there are only about 400-500 apt total in skyscrapers like this (in NY).

I was suggested the video by youtube earlier today. It says that half the falts are empty, even the most expensive ones. Someone pays 250 millions for a flat and never uses it, even once. What a waste !

It was also suggested that maybe it wasn't the best investment, because at first, with one such tower, it was "unique", but now, like you say there are several hundreds of them.

4-5 buildings, 400-500 apartments, still a rarity..before Musk would start selling apartments on Mars, lol.
Not using bought apartments/houses is nothing new, though, London, Paris, Vancouver, Toronto, Singapore, etc., all have it and fighting back with unused property taxes.
Personally, I would love to have an apt in NY, preferably Manhattan, been there a lot during my thirties, loved it back then. London is very interesting too.

Re bitcoin...will someone post a man with a stick pic, please...not much action, it seems.

[xhomerx10]

I did not sell any btc to increase spending, but had to make some moves in a couple of unnamed alts that had obscene gains in 2021.
House remodeling is expensive.
My bitcoin stash keeps accumulating (slowly) due to mining rewards.

For those of you who like viewing some expensive RE (I have to say that the buildings themselves are amazing from the engineering perspective), check out this, although this is probably out of reach for almost everyone here...but in 10 years...who knows:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wehsz38P74g

In New York?

OK as your second or third home, I guess.

maybe..the vibe from a promoter/re agent was that this is like owning a Picasso-something very unique and there are only about 400-500 apt total in skyscrapers like this (in NY).

I was suggested the video by youtube earlier today. It says that half the falts are empty, even the most expensive ones. Someone pays 250 millions for a flat and never uses it, even once. What a waste !

It was also suggested that maybe it wasn't the best investment, because at first, with one such tower, it was "unique", but now, like you say there are several hundreds of them.

 One day I hope to say that about a bitcoin

[AlcoHoDL]

I've just posted a reply to a post by Torque in Bob's thread.  Those involved in the COVID-19 discussion, or simply concerned and interested, may want to read it. It contains an analysis and some numerical results. I'm posting the above link to it here in WO, in the hope it gets some more exposure, as I think it's informative.

Please, let's keep that discussion in Bob's thread. Thanks.

[Hueristic]

https://techsparx.com/software-development/security/csp-camera-microphone.html

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation

[Biodom]

Naah, Ben told Jenny that he has another flask in his back pocket..hence the stony face (hers) and his smirk.

[Gachapin]

I did not sell any btc to increase spending, but had to make some moves in a couple of unnamed alts that had obscene gains in 2021.
House remodeling is expensive.
My bitcoin stash keeps accumulating (slowly) due to mining rewards.

For those of you who like viewing some expensive RE (I have to say that the buildings themselves are amazing from the engineering perspective), check out this, although this is probably out of reach for almost everyone here...but in 10 years...who knows:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wehsz38P74g

Really interesting... from an architectural and an economic view point.

There seems to be quite a bit of demand for these kind of investments, all over the world.

BTC might well suck up a nice portion of that. It just takes time until people really get its revolutionary concept.

Fittingly Saylor constantly compares BTC to NY real estate.... "Manhatten in cyberspace" 

[Torque]

Though I find more reprehensible those who are calling out those who responded to it. If you don't want counter-responses, don't post on controversial topics. Those who are crying that only their point of view should be expressed can go piss up a rope.

THIS x 100000000000000000000000000000000000000000