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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26840254 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
JayJuanGee
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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March 16, 2022, 11:39:11 PM
Last edit: March 16, 2022, 11:51:54 PM by JayJuanGee
Merited by Hueristic (1)


To be fair, this has little to do with NFTs, and more to do with people being fat-thumbed millennials. If you send 444 Bitcoins to someone when you intended to send 444 sats, you'd be just as fucked.

technically... with the 200-week moving average reaching $20,500, it might be reasonable to assert that 44 BTC are worth around $1 million... even though spot price you could get right around double the price... interesting.. spot price is around double the 200-week moving average.

Also, listing the NFT for a $1 million shows the price the fat-fingered shitcoiner had wanted for the NFT, but does not mean that he would have gotten $1 million for it.

I have a lot of confidence that I could get pretty damned close to $1 million if I had 22 BTC that I were to want to sell, but if I am trying to play longer term, I would consider those 22 BTC to have much higher value.. so I would likely ONLY shave off a small portion.. maybe if I was desperate, I might shave off 1-2 BTC, and that would surely be pushing the matter because in accordance with Gresham's law, I should be looking around for other possible ways to accomplish my goals, if for some reason I need some value to transact..

Oh. and considering the 200-week moving average, in my state of hypothetical desperation, I may well have to limit my maximum sale of BTC to about 12% of the 200-week moving average value, which would be 22 BTC x $20,500 = $451,000 which would be $54,120 (12% of $451k) - and at today's BTC price that would be a maximum of 1.32 BTC shaven off for emergency purposes - and likely that would be my BTC shaving off allowance for a whole year and I would have to wait a year if I feel like I need to tap into BTC again.  Too conservative?  Perhaps? perhaps?  


To be fair, this has little to do with NFTs, and more to do with people being fat-thumbed millennials. If you send 444 Bitcoins to someone when you intended to send 444 sats, you'd be just as fucked.

Your goofed to start with when you have over 444 Bitcoins in a hot wallet.

For sure, there would be some needs for better BTC management if either holding all of your BTC in one wallet, and that quantity does not seem like a good one to be working with... $18 million spot price and $9 million 200-week moving average price.  Sometimes our coin management might cause us to move a lot of value at once.. Should those coins be split?  And how to do it?  BIG questions... and a lot of individual discretion for sure.
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March 16, 2022, 11:48:27 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)


Oh, he sold his nft exactly the same way I lost everything in a tragic boating accident.  Wink
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March 16, 2022, 11:51:35 PM

likely sold his NFT to himself.  It seems to be a popular way to say "I do not own this address".  You then buy stuff overseas with it, like a beach house in Haiti Dominican Republic.
edit: plus claim loss on taxes ?  So evade taxes AND fraud taxman ?  wow thats savage
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March 17, 2022, 12:01:27 AM


Explanation
JimboToronto
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March 17, 2022, 12:41:20 AM
Merited by Hueristic (1)



I was wondering where all the ask walls went and then I scrolled down to this:



Did that really happen or is CB sick?
Toxic2040
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March 17, 2022, 12:41:40 AM

the evening wall report


Bitcoin up 4.86% today on strong volume and is currently trading just above $41k

Most markets saw significant upwards movement after the US FOMC raised interest rates the expected quarter point today. Not sure why people are happy getting charged more...but there you go.

Today begins the 21th day of the invasion of Ukraine.

A powerful 7.3 magnitude earthquake was reported in Fukushima Prefecture earlier today. People claiming it was the 'longest and scariest' they had ever experienced. This is coming from people in Japan..who experience hundreds of significant quakes a year.
https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/northern-japan-earthquake-tsunami-b2037217.html

dyor

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thin as a girlscout cookie in this twist but...hodling...and you know what...looks ok really   interested to see how the week goes..steady on
D

stronghands
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March 17, 2022, 12:59:47 AM
Merited by JimboToronto (1)

Did that really happen or is CB sick?

It seems to happen frequently and I've commented on it before. It's the data returned by the exchange and that's all I can really say about it. I had an issue with an exchange once where it kept returning the same data for minutes in a row but this does seem to be varying with each data set.

Which is to say  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
ChartBuddy
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March 17, 2022, 01:01:21 AM


Explanation
goldkingcoiner
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A Bitcoiner chooses, a slave obeys.


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March 17, 2022, 01:14:04 AM
Merited by jojo69 (1)

This is bullshit. Why is a picture of a rock worth 1 million? The internet was a mistake.
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March 17, 2022, 01:47:31 AM

3D thoughts

stronghands
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March 17, 2022, 01:57:17 AM

3D thoughts

stronghands


I don't like greasy goose poop!!!

(This coming from the new kid, still FOMOing into every dip like dinner tonight is optional)
ChartBuddy
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March 17, 2022, 02:01:33 AM


Explanation
philipma1957
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March 17, 2022, 02:07:58 AM

This is bullshit. Why is a picture of a rock worth 1 million? The internet was a mistake.

Andy Warhol’s paintings of Campbell’s soup 🥣 sold for huge money.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Campbell%27s_Soup_Cans

I think it was about 32 paintings he milked that for years  by painting other paintings of soup cans. Over his career.

So if that works why not nfts.

personally both are and will always be a con.
Arriemoller
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Cлaвa Укpaїнi!


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March 17, 2022, 02:20:46 AM

Putin speaks to the nation.

https://twitter.com/just_whatever/status/1504144895501557762?cxt=HHwWhICzsYX05d8pAAAA
JayJuanGee
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March 17, 2022, 02:45:56 AM

3D thoughts

stronghands

I don't like greasy goose poop!!!

(This coming from the new kid, still FOMOing into every dip like dinner tonight is optional)

How could you be FOMOing into BTC price dips?  You are just two months short of your one-year anniversary in these here parts.

In my thinking, the more that you grapple with a several BTC price moves over many months while you are attempting to establish and to follow some kind of BTC accumulation system, then the more that you should have some structure to your buys.. even if you are trying to be strategic in terms of buying on dips.

If the BTC price were to go down to $25k, would you have any dry powder left to buy?  How about down to $20k.. yet that would be an extreme that many folks here seem to consider to be quite low currently... but not impossible?

Last May 2021-ish there were so many guys who ran out of dry powder by the time the BTC price got down to $50k-ish.. and for sure that would not have felt very good... saw a lot of that pain back then..  - even though we have had quite a few opportunities to make up for the lack of dry powder at earlier times, so long as some kind of cashflow is coming in.. so surely purchases of BTC could have already been made quite a bit in the lower, mid and upper $30ks... whether we will be going back down there or not...   What are the odds?

Surely another cohort of BTC bullish folks were damaged when we have not had any price above $69k since November 9 - and surely would have been silly to believe that as guaranteed, even if it did seem to have decently high odds to go higher.. I do kind of regret anyone who might have been betting against BTC since November to have been getting rewarded for such bets, but none of us can control which bitcoiners - the bears or the bulls or the innocent get beaten up along the way.

One thing would be to have some kinds of ideas how much of a budget that you would have to buy on dips, if such dips happen right now, and another thing would be having such potentially severe dips play out for several months... and of course, your asserted angle that you are FOMO buying BTC means that you may well feel that you have been already adequately and sufficiently prepared for UP _ even if the UP has not really been happening as much as many of have been hoping.. especially since about November-ish.. that is already more than 4 months..

Have we NOT suffered enough?  

By the way, Copetech, any bitcoiner who had actually accomplished much of his/her BTC accumulation prior to September 2020 would be hard-pressed to be asserting too much suffering - relatively speaking.... even though there might have been some traders who ended up screwing up that 7x price spurt that happens to currently be bouncing between mostly 3.5x and 4.5x... I understand that was not your situation, but it seems that each class of bitcoiners will end up getting their day in which they can feel like they are able to breath with a decent price cushion... and for sure any bitcoiner accumulating coins between late 2018 and late 2020.. would have been likely to have accumulated such coins on the average of about $8k or lower.... even if mistakes were made.. and surely those averaging $10k had made more mistakes in their BTC accumulation costs, but still doing well... not always easy to time buying the dip, exactly... and surely there might have been some guys who had achieved BTC buys averaging less than $5k or $6k during that late 2018 to late 2020 period, but not easy not easy.. and in that regard sometimes, just regular ongoing buying of BTC will still allow for being in a position to have decently strong advantages (especially compared with the nocoiners (surely many of them are unwittingly pre-coiners), the bitcoin naysayers, or the fence sitters) because of BTC's ongoing asymmetric bet to the UPside.
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March 17, 2022, 02:57:22 AM

both are and will always be a con.

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March 17, 2022, 03:01:26 AM


Explanation
suchmoon
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https://bpip.org


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March 17, 2022, 03:08:52 AM

likely sold his NFT to himself.  It seems to be a popular way to say "I do not own this address".  You then buy stuff overseas with it, like a beach house in Haiti Dominican Republic.
edit: plus claim loss on taxes ?  So evade taxes AND fraud taxman ?  wow thats savage

I think he legitimately listed it in a marketplace and there was a separate TX that bought it (don't take my word for it, I know jack shit about NFTs) so if that's the case, the attempt to sell to himself would be extremely risky - there would have been a risk that someone would snipe it even if he broadcast both TX at the same time.
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March 17, 2022, 03:10:39 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

3D thoughts

stronghands

I don't like greasy goose poop!!!

(This coming from the new kid, still FOMOing into every dip like dinner tonight is optional)

Snippity-snip-snip

Buying my weekly DCA religiously, and still in the green! (Current Cost Average $31,756, don't ask, you don't wanna talk about it) But I freely admit, it's accumilating too slow!!! At this rate I may never reach 1 whole coin! So everytime we dippedy-do down below  $39k there I am bruising my dirty knees saying, "Please Baby, the Corn's so cheap!?! I don't have to eat dinner tonight, right???" Of course, being the smart woman she is, she says no as much as she says yes... bet then goes and blows the money on senseless things like dental appointments and electric bills!!! Oh well, guess there's worse things to fight about.
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March 17, 2022, 03:11:38 AM
Merited by goldkingcoiner (1)

Double posted for some reason so I guess I'll ramble on...

Finally did my 2021 taxes this week! Been procrastinating like hell, because I was afraid Uncle Sammy was gonna bend me over and rip me raw with no KY to C me through...
Turns out, by FIFO accounting, my random method of buying high selling low and then buying back low to sell back barely profiting worked out nicely! $15k+ of total 2021 transactions coming in at a $270 loss! (Woohoo! Still holding more than I put in but Uncle Sam will have to wait for his cut!)
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