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Poll
Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26370889 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
aminorex
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Sine secretum non libertas


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April 25, 2014, 05:40:16 PM

aminorex, what's your opinion about Epsilon Theory? I'm asking because you mentioned De Mesquita earlier.

High ambitions, relatively low content.  The blogger's approach as stated is likely a fruitful one.  I haven't found his analysis up to the task he set for himself.  He does however do me one great favor:  He digests a lot of domain knowledge, and thus gives me leads to research.  I definitely need deeper and broader understanding of game theoretical factors, as these are low-hanging fruit for my modeling work.  I am quite new to the subject.  de Mesquita's approach appears fruitful, but costly to implement.  I'm hoping to start with lower-hanging stuff.  Although, I do have almost unlimited textual data, and it might be automated, to extract the structure and parameters required for de Mesquita's approach...I'm just not sure I can afford to build the pieces of that software stack which I am missing.  Software takes so freaking long around here.
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1714657385
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Reply with quote  #2

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PoolMinor
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April 25, 2014, 06:00:07 PM

I would hate to say it, but I believe this price drop is due to the poll.
Please, Adam, stop posting polls with finite pricing. It would be more effective if the question was not a self-fulfilling prophecy.
The next poll should be very limited in information, and definitely not have specific price points that are obvious goals for some.
ChartBuddy
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April 25, 2014, 06:01:00 PM


Explanation
roslinpl
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April 25, 2014, 06:07:12 PM


Soon we will see 100 new threads like "Bitcoin price will hit $1 soon" "Bubble! Sell your BTC!!"

... I hate when price is dropping because of that what I wrote above ...

But .. perhaps I should just get used to it.
PoolMinor
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April 25, 2014, 06:26:13 PM
Last edit: April 25, 2014, 06:57:25 PM by PoolMinor

It has occurred to me that this thread is in badly need of some TCB (Trust, Certainty, Belief). Not all of these stories carry the same weight of influence, but most should be pertinent.

Bitcoin enthusiasts may soon be able to use the digital currency to support political campaigns.
http://money.cnn.com/2014/04/22/technology/bitcoin-political-contributions/index.html

How bitcoin is moving money in Africa
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/04/25/ozy-bitcoin-africa-currency/8148853/

Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto thanks bitcoin community: 'I want to hug you'
http://www.latimes.com/business/technology/la-fi-tn-dorian-satoshi-nakamoto-bitcoin-20140422,0,796566.story

Bitcoin to launch satellites as global 'backup'
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/news/10787932/Bitcoin-to-launch-satellites-as-global-backup.html

A Bitcoin Boulevard in Cleveland Heights
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2014/04/20/a-bitcoin-boulevard-in-cleveland-heights/


http://bitcoinboulevard.us/

Bitcoin’s Promise Goes Far Beyond Payments
http://blogs.hbr.org/2014/04/bitcoins-promise-goes-far-beyond-payments/

Bitcoin Friday: A Collision Of Bleeding Edge Technologies
http://invests.com/bitcoin-friday-a-collision-of-bleeding-edge-technologies/20140425555215663

Artisan businesses hop on bitcoin bandwagon
http://business.asiaone.com/news/artisan-businesses-hop-bitcoin-bandwagon

Oakland mayor candidate Bryan Parker sees bitcoin paying off
http://www.sfgate.com/technology/article/Oakland-mayor-candidate-Bryan-Parker-sees-bitcoin-5422502.php

MIT Groups Insist That Bitcoin Is the Way of the Future
http://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/blog/2014/04/24/mit-bitcoin-event/










   
Tyson95
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April 25, 2014, 06:29:34 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.
windjc
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April 25, 2014, 06:40:01 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.

There is some serious denial going on at Finex.
Tyson95
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April 25, 2014, 06:51:11 PM

This current rally wasn't authorized by Huobi what are these guys thinking? Tongue
podyx
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April 25, 2014, 06:51:24 PM

good opportunity to sell right here and rebuy at 450
dreamspark
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April 25, 2014, 06:53:10 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.

There is some serious denial going on at Finex.


Denial of what? I'd call it denying the option to care about China like its the world BTC leader. It wont be long before there's not that many coins in China and no one will care anymore, it might just take a while but the order books on the Chinese exchanges are already looking thinner.

People said ah we cant go up off a bottom like that without a retrace and then are bewildered when it does retrace  Huh
F-bernanke
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April 25, 2014, 06:55:17 PM

This current rally wasn't authorized by Huobi what are these guys thinking? Tongue

Good to see the west lead again.
4mherewego
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April 25, 2014, 06:56:12 PM

Some nice bids pushing up the price right now
ShroomsKit
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April 25, 2014, 06:58:16 PM
Last edit: April 25, 2014, 07:22:28 PM by ShroomsKit


Hello guys,

I'm french, ( french forum talk about everything except coins...)

-I placed an order at 448 this morning on Kraken, and I realised that it passed while I was eating at restaurant...I would have canceled it when I see how it's going down, but it's done, my first BTC !



So what would you do if you had about 950 dollars to buy BTC? Buy now ? Wait ?





Dont take investment advice from people on the internet, especailly from people in a speculation forum where almost everyone is talking their book.

Ok !

Lax, go on charts like bitcoinwisdom, coinmarketcap, coindesk google news (search bitcoin)
and decide if you want to invest.  You can read comments here (and I suggest you take senior members posts more seriously)  (a few months ago, I asked if 800 was a good buy in and a senior type member kept telling me no.  so I guess just read comments and form your own conclusion.)

Very bad advice. Being a senior member means nothing. One of the dumbest and biggest trolls here is the moderator of this part of the forum.
ChartBuddy
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April 25, 2014, 07:00:59 PM


Explanation
KFR
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Per ardua ad luna


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April 25, 2014, 07:02:04 PM

Ridiculous. The only reason why most bitcoin crimes go unpunished and victims get no reparation is that bitcoin was appropriated by rabid "libertarians" who hate governments, law, regulations, and police.

The logical consequence of assuming that those things are evil is that "there are no criminals nor victims, only smart people and stupid people".

The invariable response of the "bitcoin community" to each new bitcoin scam or heist is "stupid victims, they should have blah blah blah."

Good to see you airing those "academic" prejudices a little more openly again, prof.  Have the high priests of the global Bitcoin conspiracy been getting to you again? Roll Eyes

The reason that some crimes involving Bitcoin have gone unpunished is because governments and regulators are slow to catch on to new technology.  Now, what's the reason for the lack of prosecutions with regard to massive fiat scandals?  Oh yes, the institutions are "too big to fail" and the individuals involved apparently can't themselves be held accountable either.  So that's fair.

Bitcoin could be your saviour but you're so terrified of some of its libertarian fans somehow taking complete control of this massive open-to-all consensus-based network that you'd rather dedicate your time to saving the world from those dangerous imaginary cultists in the most bizarre and fruitless way possible - trolling this thread.

If you want to try and change Bitcoin's direction, stop pushing back and start looking forward.  

KeyserSoze
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April 25, 2014, 07:03:18 PM

Some nice bids pushing up the price right now

It isn't bids doing that. It's magic.
windjc
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April 25, 2014, 07:06:04 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.

There is some serious denial going on at Finex.


Denial of what? I'd call it denying the option to care about China like its the world BTC leader. It wont be long before there's not that many coins in China and no one will care anymore, it might just take a while but the order books on the Chinese exchanges are already looking thinner.

People said ah we cant go up off a bottom like that without a retrace and then are bewildered when it does retrace  Huh

So are you calling the low 441? Because, once we get up to the 470s and 480s I'm going to short about 1500 btc.
roslinpl
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April 25, 2014, 07:07:52 PM

Some nice bids pushing up the price right now

It isn't bids doing that. It's magic.

Hehe. It is not a magic. It is demand.
dreamspark
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April 25, 2014, 07:08:26 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.

There is some serious denial going on at Finex.


Denial of what? I'd call it denying the option to care about China like its the world BTC leader. It wont be long before there's not that many coins in China and no one will care anymore, it might just take a while but the order books on the Chinese exchanges are already looking thinner.

People said ah we cant go up off a bottom like that without a retrace and then are bewildered when it does retrace  Huh

So are you calling the low 441? Because, once we get up to the 470s and 480s I'm going to short about 1500 btc.

Did I say that ?

I asked what they were in denial of as you seem to think there's some "serious denial" but without saying anything to back it up.

Short away post some proof when you do it.
windjc
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April 25, 2014, 07:09:51 PM

Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.

There is some serious denial going on at Finex.


Denial of what? I'd call it denying the option to care about China like its the world BTC leader. It wont be long before there's not that many coins in China and no one will care anymore, it might just take a while but the order books on the Chinese exchanges are already looking thinner.

People said ah we cant go up off a bottom like that without a retrace and then are bewildered when it does retrace  Huh

So are you calling the low 441? Because, once we get up to the 470s and 480s I'm going to short about 1500 btc.

Did I say that ?

I asked what they were in denial of as you seem to think there's some "serious denial" but without saying anything to back it up.

Short away post some proof when you do it.

Ok.



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