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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (9%)
8/4 - 16 (13.1%)
8/11 - 7 (5.7%)
8/18 - 6 (4.9%)
8/25 - 8 (6.6%)
After August - 73 (59.8%)
Total Voters: 122

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26486406 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
rpietila
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April 26, 2014, 10:14:30 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).
xulescu
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April 26, 2014, 10:21:51 AM

Brothers, do you believe NMC will be 8 dollars like it once was?

I think NMC is not going to cut it and will end up just an alpha test. I think there are details to be fleshed out in how to implement name registration.
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April 26, 2014, 10:24:19 AM

Brothers, do you believe NMC will be 8 dollars like it once was?

I think NMC is not going to cut it and will end up just an alpha test. I think there are details to be fleshed out in how to implement name registration.

Really? So its done for???
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April 26, 2014, 10:24:31 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

I think this bet need a deadline  Grin
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April 26, 2014, 10:25:06 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

No PMs. Lets talk openly. What kind a bet? For how much about 1BTC? Or 1 oz gold coin?
equipoise
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April 26, 2014, 10:28:48 AM

No this is actually NEW China news this time:  They want to take down recharge codes and other deposit options, and before it was just bank transfers. For the first time, the situation is actually significantly worse now than it was in was in December. For a while we thought that Chinese exchanges would be able to continue doing volume by using alternative payment methods but now it is turning into a complete cut-off. I bet btcchina's ATMs will be taken down.
Nothing changed since the December china statement which was:
Bitcoin is not a currency - it's a digital commodity (virtual goods). This means 3 thing:
1) No banks or payment processors could be involved directly or indirectly in Bitcoin trading - they have licences for dealing with money not bitcoin.
2) You can't price any other commodity or service in Bitcoin - those are priced in yuan.
3) Bitcoin is legal and you could buy it or sell it privately (face to face or something like localbitcoins). No statement was made what are the valid ways to do this, so regulation or clarification on this could come in the future.

Those were clearly stated back in December and there is no change till now.
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April 26, 2014, 10:34:18 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

while many day traders are expecting an upswing to 475, this makes a very good case to be long  Grin

The event unfolded as an ABC corrective pattern, stunted at 440. I would bet that we never see under 400 again. I think Im going to make a bet on bitbet - '4000 before 400'
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April 26, 2014, 10:53:14 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

I prefer to make my bets by my position in market rather than with people directly, but do you really think that if a Chinese exchange came out now and either confirmed the news or even worse announced they were closing that we wouldn't drop $20?
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April 26, 2014, 10:55:57 AM

Some bear markets go on for longer than others.
rpietila
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April 26, 2014, 10:57:17 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

No PMs. Lets talk openly. What kind a bet? For how much about 1BTC? Or 1 oz gold coin?

Resolved after 3 months or if it goes below.

What odds?


Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again

I prefer to make my bets by my position in market rather than with people directly, but do you really think that if a Chinese exchange came out now and either confirmed the news or even worse announced they were closing that we wouldn't drop $20?

Anything can always happen. Why I am touting this matter now, is that I believe I have a higher confidence that it won't happen than the others. If everybody agreed that the likelihood for that (hitting 435 again) is exactly 87.3%, there would be no betting and no fun.

(It is not easy to bet the long side, because the best bet is always to just buy bitcoins.)
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April 26, 2014, 11:00:35 AM


Explanation
seanneko
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April 26, 2014, 11:18:53 AM

Brothers, do you believe NMC will be 8 dollars like it once was?

I think NMC is not going to cut it and will end up just an alpha test. I think there are details to be fleshed out in how to implement name registration.

Really? So its done for???

The theory is an interesting idea. The implementation leaves much to be desired. I would not be putting my money on the line for NMC.
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April 26, 2014, 11:23:01 AM


what happened chart buddy, low price not letting you compute?  Grin
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April 26, 2014, 11:30:32 AM

In general, I agree with you.  I've noticed (I think) some who have long holdings but don't try to influence the mood of this thread.

The complex personalities here are the most interesting to me.  I believe that there are several who practice second level thinking when it comes to making a post here.  I also think that there are some who are capable of third level thinking.
Now you intrigued me  Wink.  What do you call second level thinking?

And if you are wondering about my level  Grin:
KeyserSoze
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April 26, 2014, 11:30:51 AM

The event unfolded as an ABC corrective pattern, stunted at 440. I would bet that we never see under 400 again. I think Im going to make a bet on bitbet - '4000 before 400'

After staking your analysis reputation on price hitting $580 before $480, and losing, you are forbidden to guess price any further.
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April 26, 2014, 11:34:33 AM

Huobi rising while Stamps falling, we saw a $20 or so gap between the two yesterday (GMT) and over night the gap has been closed to $6.

ShroomsKit
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April 26, 2014, 11:38:44 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

As much as i want to agree with you i never understand how people make these "never see again" claims. I too think we will go up again but 1 fud article from China in the next 5 minutes and we will be at 420 before you can blink your eyes. How can just rule that out?
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April 26, 2014, 11:39:06 AM

The event unfolded as an ABC corrective pattern, stunted at 440. I would bet that we never see under 400 again. I think Im going to make a bet on bitbet - '4000 before 400'

After staking your analysis reputation on price hitting $580 before $480, and losing, you are forbidden to guess price any further.

oh my 'analysis reputation' aye? haha  Cheesy i did not stake my 'analysis reputation' or any future analysis. lol. forbidden? I thought you might give me some credit when it bounced squarely of 480 on stamp before the c wave, you probably saw the chart. nope, but I only get credit for my losers around here. selective bastards. you will see plenty analysis to come I promise. I might pm you some of my best work  Wink
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April 26, 2014, 11:39:40 AM

Huobi rising while Stamps falling, we saw a $20 or so gap between the two yesterday (GMT) and over night the gap has been closed to $6.



Chinese coming to the West. 5k walls soon
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April 26, 2014, 11:49:54 AM

Based on my research, I don't believe we will see 435 ever again (Bitstamp). If someone is willing to bet (I naturally expect much better than 1:1 for me), PM please.

Chart1 & Chart2.

This is just the 2013-7-18 again. No looking back (when you least expect it).

If you want much better than 1:1 odds I wonder what real chance you give your own prediction? Those odds indicate significantly lower than 50%.
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